The Trade Winds Blow

Undoubtedbly the Cubs wil be selling as the July trade deadline approaches with Matt Garza, Scott Feldman, Kevin Gregg & Nate Schierholtz being the most likely chips on the table. There certainly may be others, but those players make the most sense. Let's take a look at some potential trade partners:


When it comes to starting pitching, a contender is one injury away from being in the market, so I'm sure the list will expand, but here are the most obvious candidates (NH stands for not happening):

1. Baltimore (Starters' ERA: 4.88)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects To Target: Kevin Gausman or Dylan Bundy

More Likely to Get: Jake Arrieta, Mike Wright or Brandon Kline

2. San Francisco Giants (Starters' ERA: 4.50)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Kyle Crick, Chris Stratton or Clayton Blackburn

More Likely to Get: Martin Agosta or Mike Kickham

3. Colorado Rockies (Starters' ERA: 4.41)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Nolan Arenado (NH) or David Dahl

More Likely to Get: Eddie Butler, Tyler Matzek or Tyler Anderson

4. Arizona Diamdonbacks (Starters' ERA: 4.13)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Tyler Skaggs(NH) or Archie Bradley (NH)

More Likely to Get: Adam Eaton, Matt Davidson or Andrew Chafin

5. Oakland Athletics (Starter's ERA 4.11)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Addison Russell or Michael Choice

More Likely to Get: Sonny Gray, Dan Straily or Nolan Sanburn

6. Texas Rangers (Starters' ERA 3.98)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Mike Olt

More Likely to Get: Mike Olt, Cody Buckel, Martin Perez

7. San Diego Padres (Starters' ERA: 4.56)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Jedd Gyorko(NH) or Rymer Liriano

More Likely to Get: Casey Kelly or Robbie Erlin

8. Anaheim Angels (Starters' ERA: 4.49)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Kaleb Cowart

More Likely to Get: Nick Maronde or R.J. Alvarez

The Angels might seem like an odd choice on this list, but they didn't spend all that money to pack it in.  That being said, they'll need a bit of a run heading into the deadline before they start being buyers. The Orioles seem to make the most sense on the list and could easily slot Garza and Feldman in their rotation, Gregg in their bullpen and maybe, just maybe that would be enough to land one of Gausman or Bundy and 3-4 other B/C prospects. Feldman makes a ton of sense for the Rockies if they go shopping (sinkerballers and all in Coors), but who knows how willing they are to move prospects and of what quality. The A's have always been willing to make deals when they feel they're in it, hence their inclusion. I know Adam Eaton might seem like an odd inclusion from the Diamondbacks, but with the emergence of Parra and with Pollock around and Eaton's  injuries, they can probably spare a young outfielder.

Relievers/Closers

1. Detroit Tigers

2. Boston Red Sox

3. Arizona Diamondbacks

4. St. Louis Cardinals

5. Cincinnati Reds

6. Baltimore Orioles

7. Anaheim Angels

The Cards, Reds, Angels and Orioles could have a use for Gregg as a set-up man and I'm sure many other teams could emerge in that role. The other 3 could probably use Gregg as a closer, but how much any team is going to give up in a deal for a guy picked off waivers is beyond my prediction capabilities.

Outfielders

1. Kansas City Royals (OPS by RF'ers: .707)

2. Pittsburgh Pirates (OPS by RF'ers: .664)

3. Oakland A's (OPS by RF'ers: .663)

4. New York Yankees (OPS by RF'ers: .679/ LF: .624)

5. Cincinnati Reds (OPS by LF'ers: .669)

I imagine Dejesus might be shopped around as well once he comes back, but Schierholtz seems to be the best best. Royals are in desparate need of power and a Francouer/Schierholtz platoon would be lethal, but who knows if that's on their radar. The Reds are expecting Ludwick back at LF at some point and seem to be doing well enough without him, so I don't expect a move, but I imagine it's a possibility. The A's were without Reddick that got them to that number and while he's struggled since returning, I'm not sure if they're looking for a minor upgrade on offense, especially considering Reddick's far superior defense.

Comments

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/prospects/watch/y2013/#list=int

international signing period begins on July 2nd, Cubs will be in on some of these names

and this

The Rangers should be very interested in an OF. Their LF production has been horrible. Nelson Cruz could be looking at a PED suspension. And DH Fatso Berkman has been a major disappointment for the past month and a half.

I don't think they'd be in on Soriano. But they should be very interested in Schierholtz. And moderately interested in DeJesus or even Sweeney.

Not that you're wrong, but they're turning Profar into a LF'er - at least for this season.

I was aware of that. Bright bright future ahead of him. But the bat doesn't seem ready yet.

Gammons rumoring a Garza to Padres deal involving Reymond Fuentes and 2 others.

https://twitter.com/pgammo/status/349272908448800770

Also Nolasco to Giants.

Fuentes was part of the Gonzalez deal (along with Rizzo and C. Kelly). 22 years old in AA, putting up .891 OPS this year (.705 for his career though)...1st round (28th overall) in 2009.

Getting the band back together.

Fuentes scouting report

http://www.scoutingbook.com/players/p2605

fast dude, cousin of Carlos Beltran, great defense...not much power, needs to improve plate discipline.

If they could get Kelly(out for year with TJ surgery) and Fuentes, I'd be pretty stoked...send Padres most of cash to cover Garza's deal.

The deal would need to include this guy too.

http://www.scoutingbook.com/players/p3440

just for the name...

...hope he has a lot of Turk Wendell's quirks.

Marwin Gonzalez optioned to Triple A by the Astros btw.

NY Daily News and all, but apparently Nationals are looking for starting pitching as well...add them to the list.

http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/baseballinsider/2013/06/trade-deadline-...

Top 20 list

http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/12/27/3809440/washington-nationals-t...

L. Giolito, AJ Cole, M. Skoles...

Jim [email protected]
#Cubs sign 8th-rder Sam Wilson for $130k. Lamar (Colo.) CC LHP, also OF, 6-1/205, 88-91 to 93, SL has promise too.

30K under slot.

That leaves Garner as the only top 10 pick without his bonus being reported and then whatever Bryant gets...plus whatever over $100K 12th round pick Clifton is allegedly getting.

I believe the 24th round pick, Alamo, is also receiving a decent bonus.

at the moment, BA has them at $212,400 over their slot money, but they can go up to $527,825 before they lose a draft pick, so still some wiggle room.

if Bryant just gets slot money, he'll get more than Appel ($6.7M vs $6.35M), although I would be very surprised if that happens. I think he takes just a little less than Appel.

more on draft values

Hannemann's $1M would put him in the mid-2nd round between #55 and $56, Skulina's $800K would put him in the the competitive balance 2nd round between picks #69 and #70. The $170K that 9th round pick Burks got is mid-7th round money (between #214 and #215).

TOR's 11 game win streak ends...at the end of tonight's loss they've gone from last place to...umm...last place.

looks like the cubs might have a line on the garza + feldman replacements

"Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro indicated Monday that Carlos Zambrano is unlikely to be promoted before July 1, when he can exercise the opt-out clause in his contract."

/cringe
/lulz

possible AAA replacements include chris "89mph fastball lefty" rusin and...ummm...no one else.

i'm a bit surprised they haven't moved k.hendricks up to AAA (the dude acquired from TEX as part of the dumpster trade) to challenge him more...but it's not like he doesn't belong in AA or he's mastering it. they might not want to rush his development.

either way, if both go, vanillawafers will most likely move back into the rotation and when we get s.baker back in the last week of september that should help.

evidently the school closings and budget cuts in illinois along with the recent NSA spying has driven the population of chicago into the streets to protest

http://cdn.tribtv.com/wgntv/live/breakingnews.html

j/k...it's the douchebag parade because of hockey.

clark is on lockdown.

The mayor is sending the bill for extra police protection to the Cubs.

Paul Bonyenne [email protected]

Thousands flock to Wrigleyville's Clark Street to celebrate Cubs taking 2 of 3 from Astros.

---

Beachwood Reporter [email protected]

Occupy Wrigleyville issuing its demands: More beer, more Dave Matthews Band, more khaki, more bros, more entitlement . . . or else.

phil rogers on NBC shoving bros in the street getting in his live shot...lulz.

Congrats Hawks!!
Young homegrown talent wins second cup, please rub off onto the Cubs.

That was FUCKING awesome!

Couldn't have happened to a better city either...eff Boston.

Bears camp starts July 25th...one month of Cubs/White Sox for the city to be bored with.

Who are the White Sox?

From Jon Heyman:

Third baseman Ian Stewart and the Cubs are on the verge of working out an arrangement for Stewart to leave the organization, people familiar with the situation said. This comes two weeks after he expressed frustration with his situation via a couple of revealing tweets.

The resolution allowing him to move to another organization is expected to come within a couple of days...

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/jon-heyman/22515...

Any bets on Hayman's source being Stewart and his agent Larry Reynolds - thinking they can just walk away and get paid.

Nice list. I won't remember any of it - but nice list anyway.

Whatever prospects the Cubs acquire, I only have one suggestion once they do. Bring em up!!!

Marmol DFA'd, Stewart released.

huzzah!!!

Bogusevic called up.

Holy shit. Didn't see that coming

Any chance Marmol accepts the assignment, and how much of Stewart's salary do they still need to pay?

Marmol gets paid regardless, he'll take his money and will most likely eventually sign with a team at the league minimum which will be subtracted from what the Cubs owe. I don't see why he'd entertain any ideas of pitching in Iowa...if he's willing to go to the minors, he'll find a contender.

Sounds like Stewart's taking a settlement to get his release, so probably just some of what he was still owed.

And they already saved a bit of cash with the 10-game suspension.

These types of moves have to be good signals to the minor league system at least.

Didn't realize Bogusevic was a former first rounder. As a pitcher. Kind of like, the Bizarro world's Brooks Kieschnick.

BOB: Carlos Marmol was Designated for Assignment so he hasn't been assigned yet. He actually has minor league options remaining, but because ha has accrued more than five years of MLB Service Time he would have to give his permission in advance before he could be optioned to the minors. However, because he was replaced on the 40-man roster by another player (Brian Bogusevic), the Optional Assignment option is off the table.

A player who is Designated for Assignment during Spring Training or the MLB regular season can be returned to the 40-man roster and be optioned to the minors AS LONG AS the player was not replaced on the 40-man roster by another player after being DFA'd. NOTE: A player being ootioned to the mninors after being Designated for Assignment will usually only happen if Optional Assignment Waivers are required before the player can be optioned to the minors and the player's slot on the 40 is needed for another player, because it takes two days to get a player through waivers). 

He could be outrighted to the minors, but again (because he has more than five years of MLB Service Time) he would have t9o give his permission in advance before thart can happen, and there is no reason for him to that. 

So the only two choices will be trade or release, and since the other 29 clubs know that he MUST be released if he isn't traded within ten days, there is no reason to give up a player to get him. And if he is signed after being released, the Cubs are on the hook for what remains of Marmol's 2013 salary (about $5M) minus the pro-rated MLB minimum salary (about $250K this time of year) that his new club must pay IF he signs a major league conttract.


But if Marmol endx up signing a minor lerague contract, his new club could pay him as little as $10,000 or so, with the Cubs on the hook for the balance, at least unltil Marmol is added ro an MLB 40-man roster and has to be paid at least the MLB minimum salary (with the Cubs on the hook for the balaqnce).


In the case of Ian Stewart, he still is owed about $1M  in 2013 salary, and the Cubs must pay that, unless he signs with anothger club, and then (like Marmol) the new club only has to pay him the minor league minimum (about $10,000) until he is added to an MLB 40-man roster, when the new club would have to pay Stewart the pro-rated MLB minumum salary (with the Cubs on thed hook for the balance), presuming he ever gets added tro an MLB 40-man roster prior to the conclusion of the 2013 season. 

Where is the news that Stewart was released? Don't see it anywhere?

Thanks.

One thing I like about this new regime, they aren't afraid of cutting losses.

Nomar!!!

Shawn Camp is a fuckin' survivor, man.

cockroaches, twinkies, Jamie Moyer, Neifi Perez and Shawn Camp....

Twinkies resent being on that list. They are delicious.

delicious and remarkably durable...

Twinkies and cockroaches. Connecting the dots...See Wall•E

http://www.balanceintheforce.com/wp-content/upload...

I saw something in the nets the other day about someone who left a burger and fries out at room temp for three years. McDonalds, Wendy's, and BK. Not a speck of mold after 3 years. That shit nasty.

The Cubs left Neifi Perez in the starting line up for a couple of years and that was nasty too.

Cubs roster: All OF, all the time...Count em (7, 6 active) Bogusevich, Soriano, DeJesus(DL), Schierholtz, Hairston, Borbon, Sweeney

Reminds me of the somber days of 2005 where we had 6-8 Quasi-Second Basemen: Neifi Perez, Todd Walker, Jose Macias, Enrique Wilson, Ronnie Cedeno, Mike Fontenot, Ryan Theriot and Nomar Garciaparra

http://www.baseball-almanac.com/teamstats/roster.p...

Recent comments

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  • Who is this Arrieta guy? Can I get the old one back please?

    The E-Man 18 min ago view
  • Well, this is, once again, the whole season for the Sox.

    billybucks 22 min 7 sec ago view
  • ...and the Bryant RBI jinx continues in the 3rd....crap.

    billybucks 1 hour 54 min ago view
  • bryant's in the dugout filling a police report BECAUSE HE JUST GOT ROBBED.

    f'n cabrerra...

    crunch 2 hours 31 min ago view
  • chapman showing up and available tomorrow night.

    i'm sure he'll be a bit hit. hope he doesn't choke. dude has a rifle for an arm. he'll add a bit of punch to the bullpen.

    crunch 2 hours 32 min ago view
  • the 'crosstown classic' sure has lost it's magic with interleague. the excitement level is barely noticable...maybe it's a bit more hype in the city, itself.

    crunch 2 hours 37 min ago view
  • Well he didn't leave a mark so its not that bad.

    Fuck that.

    Facts:

    He choked her.

    Her brother tackled him to separate him.

    He cooled off by shooting his gun in the garage.

    I don't have to like him on the team I follow.

    And you are others are free to not give a shit about his personal misgivings if you so choose as well.

     

     

    Rob G. 2 hours 56 min ago view
  • Sure, no marks and some inconsistencies in the witness's statements. But firing your gun into garage wall immediately after an argument and punching out your car window is still threatening and out of control behavior. There was certainly enough for MLB to think it warranted a 30-game suspension.

    Charlie 4 hours 7 min ago view
  • I'd prefer they be flexible with the closing situation depending on matchups. You're not really adding a lefty reliever if you use him strictly as a closer.

    Charlie 4 hours 7 min ago view
  • Stockpiling young talent isn't only for trading for someone like Chapman though. Even with an elite closer winning the World Series is basically a crap shoot so the key is to get to the playoffs as much as possible and not just mortgage everything on one year. Once you get there an elite bullpen certainly helps but the playoffs can be won by one hitter or starting pitcher getting hot (Murphy, Molina, Baumgardner) and a closer might not be able to stop that.

    johann 4 hours 32 min ago view
  • I'm also not crazy about press convictions. As the police report noted, there were no marks on the lady in question. There's a TMZ link (of course) to her police pictures, as well.

    I think the only way this trade goes real bad is if Cubbery intervenes and Chapman is suddenly bad for some reason.

    Old and Blue 4 hours 35 min ago view
  • I am right there with you closing in on 60.

    I don't care that much about "mortgaging" one player who is not only blocked by two guys, but is not ready to hit the majors for at least a couple years.

    There is no reason why this team, this year, can't have a real shot at something NONE of us have experienced.

    Further, I don't feel that even if they fall short that they have ruined their farm system.

    I have made my opinion clear here, with others, Warren was shit on the Cubs save one spot start.

    The E-Man 6 hours 5 min ago view
  • Trading for Warren, Warren sucking, getting Warren back for Chapman plus 3 prospects, sounds like Revenge of The Yankees on the former Boston executive. Old rivalries never die.

    I pray to the heavens above Chapman doesn't suck for some reason, or he'll be booed out of town faster than a Todd Hundley revival meeting.

    Old and Blue 6 hours 12 min ago view
  • I'm kind of nostalgic for the Schwarber-for-Miller rumors.

    Brick 6 hours 24 min ago view
  • This offseason, after some ridiculous playoff run and Chapman saving every game from here until the end of the postseason striking out 27/9innings, I welcome anyone to quote this thread and call me a dummy: I hate this trade, and my hate is 2 parts Chapman makes this team less likeable and 1 part that's a ridiculous overpay for 30 regular season innings and, at tops, 10 postseason innings. Already hoping they don't extend him.

    Charlie 6 hours 26 min ago view
  • btw...Thanks AZ Phil. I'm really enjoying your take on this trade.

    Cubster 6 hours 48 min ago view