TCR Friday Notes
"I'm just not going to get caught shortî$2.75 million dollar insurance policy for next year is a bit hefty when you have so many other holes to fill. Particularly costly when you consider we have at least 4 other candidates to fill that spot in the rotation that come cheaper and could/should and most likely would be nearly as effective. Wouldnít you rather throw an extra $6 million at B.J. Ryan the next 2 years or use that cash to buyout Dusty Baker? Okay, maybe that last one is just me. Not to mention wasting a 40 man roster spot on a 5th/6th pitcher leads to the sort of buffoonery that leaves quality minor league players unprotected come Rule V draft time. Hendry may have a plan though to use a number of those pitching prospects as trade chips, so it wonít be until March before I reach a firm conclusion on this deal. And just so weíre all clear, Rusch was signed by Hendry to be a starter, not a swingman or LOOGY.
"His effectiveness was better this year as a starter," Hendry said. "Obviously, you don't promise anybody ... that they are penciled in the rotation. But I assured him that he could come back as a starting candidate and that I didn't have any interest any longer in putting him in the bullpen."Now whether Baker understands that or not, weíll see. His contract also includes some incentives for games started which may be as much a benefit to him as itís a message to Baker. As Mike C. so delicately put it in the comments earlier this week, Dusty is very aware of players contracts and their incentives and does his best to help the players achieve said incentives. While I wonít proclaim, as Mike C. did, that heís more interested in that then putting the best team out there, I will certainly agree that itís something Dusty is conscious of when making decisions. So maybe that incentive clause is as much for Baker as it is for Rusch. AFL/Winter League Updates - Jon Koronka left the AFL for personal reasons. The Cubs have the right to replace him with somebody else if they choose, but it might be a bit late in the season for that. - Buck Coats was removed from the Taxi Squad and is now eligible to play everyday. As a member of the Taxi Squad, he could only play on Wednesdays and Sundays. - Stats so far:
Matt Murton .321/.375/.506 1 HR, 13/13 BB/K, 10 2bís in 81 ABís Brandon Sing .288/.367/.558 3 HR, 7/16 BB/K in 52 ABís Eric Patterson .273/.319/.364 0 HR, 5/11 BB/K in 66 ABís; 4/7 in SBís Buck Coats .304/.360/.348 0 HR, 2/2 BB/K in 23 ABís David Aardsma 0-0 10.80 ERA, 7/15 BB/K, 2 HR in 15.0 IP Angel Guzman 1-2 3.86 ERA, 10/22 BB/K, 2 HR in 25.2 IP Jon Koronka 1-0 0.00 ERA, 5/11 BB/K, 0 HR in 13.0 IP; 3 SavesFelix Pieís #ís in the DWL: 11/49 .224/.273/.367 1 HR, 2/10 BB/K Adam Greenbergís in the VWL: 18/63 .286/.338/.444 2 HR, 4/17 BB/K Furcal update Well thanks to Furcalís agent Paul Kinzer, everyone knows exactly what is going on in the Furcal negotiations. Thanks, Paul. If youíve missed it so far, 3 teams have so far been in contact with Furcal, the Cubs, Mets and Braves. The Mets want him to play second and Furcal is willing. If everyone is willing to cough up the same amount of cash, heíll likely stay in Atlanta, but John Schuerholz will have to do some serious money moving to make that a reality as it looks like Jimmy Rollinsís recent 5 year, $40 mil deal is the starting off point for any talks with Furcal. Furcal wouldnít mind playing for the Cubs either, as apparently heís close to Aramis and Neifi and of course knows Maddux from past days. Apparently he flunked history though as his agent claims,
"Whatever team he goes to, he wants to be able to go to a World Series, and he feels the Cubs are going to be competitive in trying to get there. I'd say there is very serious interest from Rafael."Bless him for his hubris if he believes he's the guy to finally take us over the hump, but if playing World Series games is your goal, history at least tells us, that you should steer clear of the Cubs. If the Cubs really want Furcal, they should jump in with their best offer (at least 4 yrs/$36 mil w/ a 5th year option). The Braves, I doubt, can match it, although I shouldnít underestimate John Schuerholz. I think the Mets would like to wait until they know if they'll get in on the Wagner sweepstakes, figure out their catcher situation and the likelihood of getting out of some of Kaz Matsui's contract. Given that may take some time to develop, the Cubs could force the Mets hand by ponying up a huge offer on day one. This is of course, exactly the opposite of what Hendry normally does, which is wait until the market drops and tries to get guys on the cheap. The Sun-Times has an interesting piece on Furcalís past discretions, his attempts to overcome his alcohol problems and that the Cubs need to be prepared for any potential relapses. Of course they should have been better prepared for Nomarís injury this year, cause if Vegas were laying odds on ìlong-term injury to Nomar Garciaparraî or ìdrinking problem benches Furcalî, Iíd bet the odds are remarkably close. Other FA tidbits - A.J. Burnett was wined and dined by the Blue Jays, which included taking him to a Toronto Raptors game with Roy Halladay. Donít know if that was such a good idea. Your attempt to attract one of the top free agents is to take him to watch one of the worse run franchises in sports? If the Cubs are interested in Burnett, wooing him shouldn't be much of a problem. - So far itís been the Mariners, Cardinals and Indians that have pursued Brian Giles with the Padres taking their 3 yr/$21 mil deal off the table and taking a wait and see approach. - Former Oís manager, Lee Mazzilli said heíd do whatever it takes to convince the Yanks to sign B.J. Ryan. Bidding war vs Yanks = Find another player - Speaking of another bullpen guy, the Mets are the only team so far to have shown interest in Octavio Dotel. Rumor has it that he could be ready by as soon as spring training after his TJ surgery and considering the signings of Dempster and Williamson the last few years, I can see Hendry taking another waiver on Dotel. - [Cough]Journalism[Cough] I picked this up through Ivy Chat, but if you werenít convinced yet that Jay Mariotti is a buffoon whose opinion changes more often than I do my underwear, then read Eric Zornís Trib blog. It dissects each Mariotti column over the last year on the White Sox and shows him to be the uber-flip-flopper that weíve all suspected over the years.
If it was 2006 Hendry would be there w a Bible and a contract
he subscribes to my twitter, he's beyond TCR. #yolo #swag
Whoops. Maddon must have been reading TCR (for his daily crunch) and got confused.
kuhl is a righty, not a lefty.
i think maddon might think kuhl is a lefty, too. i wonder what the reasoning is for baez leading off vs a rightie.
"trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."
that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.
crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?
And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.
But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.
early tim tebow stuff rolling in...
ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power
it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.
LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.
Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).
it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.
plus, the kids deserve it.
The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either.
That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy.
Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.
"i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."
This level of discourse is #charming.
I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).
Have a nice day.
what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?
i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.
In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.
Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.
The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.