TCR Friday Notes

I actually wasn't going to do one today, but after spending all morning working on something for the site, I felt the need to unveil it upon you all. But first... - Dayn Perry HATES the Cubs. The article ranges from the absurd to the obvious. My favorite gem:
(Derrek) Lee must stay healthy. While it's not likely he'll ever again be as dominant as he was in 2005, he is capable of returning to his typical "very good but not great" self. Provided he avoids injury.
While certainly there's truth behind the statement, who's really worried about him getting injured? A bad luck broken bone last year and we're walking on eggshells with him all of sudden? Didn't Sammy Sosa get hit by a pitch in 1996 that prematurely ended his season? Was everyone freaking out that he'll never be able to play a full season again? - Well you can't accuse the Cubs and Tribco of being corporate douchebags (at least not all the time). Here's a bit from Rusch's agent Tony Tanzer (emphasis added):
"He could stop taking his medication and play now, but he would have a recurrence," Tanzer said. "His plans are for 2008." Tanzer said the Cubs would be his first choice, just because they tried to keep him on the roster this season for one more year of service time toward retirement benefits. "Loyalty begets loyalty," Tanzer said. "He hopes to come [to Chicago] this spring and maybe work some in spring."
Apparently Hendry is a big fan of "My Name is Earl", time to payback all the bad karma in your life (or at least try). - In other reading, Wrigleyville 23 gives us the real story behind the Cliff Floyd signing, we're up to 116 on The Bottom 126 Cubs of all-time, Jeff Sackman of "Beyond the Boxscore" runs a Cubs preview using PECOTA as a prediction tool and comes up with 86 to 90 wins for us next year and "The Transaction Guy" has migrated to MVN.com finally (written by someone you know in the comments). - My morning project was this page, you can now easily add TCR stories to your favorite RSS reader or personal web page, even get stories emailed to you or sent to your cellphone(they'll be no more excuses for not reading us). Let me know if you think I should add any other sites and there will be a link to that page in the Author's Box sometime soon. Next on my agenda, is a "Stats" page, you'll see what I mean when I get it done.

Comments

I still think his FoxSports mug shot makes him look like Cillian Murphy would if he sucked down a bag of donuts a day.

Just now reading Perry's article. A "port-sider"? Seriously?

people actually read dayn perry?

Dayn Perry has no clue what he's talking/writing about. He only gets credibility because his co-writer at Fox Sports, Ken Rosenthal, is one of the best.

Dayn Perry has a terrible haircut.

oh hey, Transaction Guy, you flying solo now or still sharing the duties?

Flying solo for now.

I think the Cubs are in a weaker position then they should be considering how much they spent....does that mean I hate the Cubs?

In all seriousness, that article was pretty lame...but my biggest contention is with the idea that the Cubs pitchers need to throw the most strikeouts. Hogwash...what they need to do is throw less walks. If that means less K's, and a few more errors...I'm still all for it.

You'd write crap like this too if you drank enough "Port-cider"

This is the guy who "ranked" the GM's.

I remember at the time I stated that we should rate internet baseball writers and send it to him!

Dayn Perry is yet another alleged sabermetrician "smart guy" who thinks he has all the answers. To him, baseball is played via a video game. I'd be shocked if he's ever set foot on a real live baseball diamond, either as a kid or growing up. He was the kid picked last in gym class.

Such Angst.

The funny thing is that he even got some of his sabermatics wrong, the Cubs by those measures were a pretty good fielding team last year and expect to be better this year - with a full year of Izturis, Lee and Soriano.

"A bad luck broken bone last year and we’re walking on eggshells with him all of sudden?"

True dat Rob. There's also this gem from today's BP chat with Kevin Goldstein:

"dills! (chicago): how bad are my beloved and hated Cubs going to be this year? Can they make 75 wins?

Kevin Goldstein:They can make 75 wins. Probably not much more than that."

75 wins? With Soriano and A-Ram and Lee and Zambrano, in a severely depleted NL Central? Even for BP that's pretty pessimistic, I think we can at least pull in a winning season!

Well, Kevin Goldstein isn't an analyst, he's a scout.

“dills! (chicago): how bad are my beloved and hated Cubs going to be this year? Can they make 75 wins?

Kevin Goldstein:They can make 75 wins. Probably not much more than that.”
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hey, that's MY last name. But that's not me. I'm gonna shake the family tree and take down that pessimist.

KG's a good baseball man, but i dunno about that cubs projection...seems a little negative from an objective view.

you'd have to discount all the additions as negatives (soriano excluded) and project dlee/aram for being less-than-expected contributors...

they can say all they want, it'll be decided on the field, but i don't see how they don't see how potent that lineup can and will be.

I can't remember which Dayn Perry column from last fall included his calling someone out for being out of shape but it made me chuckle as I scrolled back up to gaze at his pasty fat-fuck face, made all the more appealing by those stupid art-nerd glasses the dipshit wears. Dude needs to lay off the complimentary donuts in the FoxSports.com lounge.

This week he's got a picture of Hendry in the article, thereby setting up innumerable "Seperated at Birth?" jokes.

"Jacque Jones must be platooned. Religiously. Jones has never been able to hit lefties, and with Matt Murton on the roster (and now out of a starting job) there's no need to run him out there against port-siders. "

What exactly does he mean by out of a starting job? I thought Nurton is expected to get 400 or so at bats next year?

"Kerry Wood needs to work out of the bullpen and eventually become the closer. Wood isn't warming to the idea of pitching in relief, but it's clear he'll never be able to stay healthy as a starter. Giving him the closer's job should sate his ego. "

I thought Kerry Wood pretty much made it clear that he understood that if he is to make a comeback he'll have to do it from the bullpen. At least initially.

And I can't disagree more about putting Soriano in the middle of the line up. He belongs in the lead-off spot. His OBP has always been higher when batting out of the one spot. In addition, when it comes to his home run numbers, RBI #'s and SLG. he's at his best when he's batting lead-off.

These guys are such Cub-haters. There are question marks on the Cubs sure, but what NL team doesn't have plenty? The fact is, the NL has less quality and more parity right now than I can ever remember. Anyone that is a .500 quality team has a very real shot at the pennant, and IMO, the Cubs are a .500 quality team.

Further, while these guys want to harp on the Cubs weak spots, how about their strengths? Deepest bullpen in the division, second deepest (behind SD) in the league. There will be no less than 10 (!) pitchers in camp with big league starting experience, and each either has a track record of putting up quality numbers at some point as a ML starter, or is a bona-fide high ceiling prospect.

Look at the pitching disasters waiting to happen in NY and especially, St Louis. You think they might like some of our pitching depth?

Offensively, the move to CF by Soriano makes the Cubs a MUCH more potent offense. I count three guys in the starting lineup with 40+ HR, 100+ RBI track records, three others with 300+ BA track records (Murton, Jones and Barrett), and depending on playing time, Jones and Floyd are each 20+ HR, 80+ RBI guys. Oh yeah, and while no all-star, Mark DeRosa has a bit of pop, too.

The 2007 Cubs shape up as a pretty decent team, I wouldn't be all THAT excited were we in the American League, but we're not. Let's take the NL Central crown and see where things go in October.

Silent Towel --

Get Help.

First you take every opportunity to you can to scream "pussy" at some "millionaire athlete" who fails to meet your standards (despite the fact that you are completely ignorant about the healing arts and all things medical). Having trashed your own credibility as an insightful, intelligent person, we now get to hear your critiques of the Cubs' GM, farm system executives and a sport journalist, and -- surprise!! -- we hear more schoolyard insults ("He was the kid picked last in gym class"). Sounds like someone who feels -- inadequate.

Stop overcompensating. We don't care how small it is.

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  • brock stewart...steven brault...fun times for the cubs hitters vs allegedly competitive teams...maybe.

    crunch 2 min 56 sec ago view
  • Maddon would have started three lefties against the Dodgers, Montgomery, Zastryzny and Lester, except that he doesn't have the juice to do that. No manager does. Maddon has a boss, Epstein (and probably Hoyer, too), who gave him a starting rotation of five guys including Hammel. Maddon was asked yesterday about the starting group for next year and basically said, Not my call, that's why I drive away in my RV in the summer and occasionally check in, etc.

    VirginiaPhil 4 hours 33 min ago view
  • video of Maddon.

    http://www.espn.com/espn/now?nowId=21-0561343809737202839-4

    always nice that he actually tries to honestly answer questions. Does mention that he wanted to give Zastr? a chance in a meaningful spot rather than a mop-up role.

    Rob G. 19 hours 44 min ago view
  • from Muskat:

    #Cubs Maddon: "I'm not going to make up an excuse for why I did what I did. It has nothing to do with lack of confidence" ... "It was the right thing to do today based on what I saw, what their lineup looked like and Rob Z.'s availability." #Cubs

    Rob G. 19 hours 49 min ago view
  • http://www.espn.com/espn/now?nowId=21-0561339391889382475-4

    Hammel not particularly understanding of getting pulled out...as he should. Be curious what Maddon had to say. All I can think of is is keeping arms fresh and maybe wanting to see if Zastr? is worth considering for the playoffs and how he'd do against the Dodgers.

    Rob G. 19 hours 54 min ago view
  • great defense

    Heyward, Russell, Baez, Bryant, Ross in particular...although Bryant's a bit hard to judge with all the positions.

    Fowler and Rizzo in the top half of the NL for their positions as well (per fangraphs)...Zobrist right at the halfway cutoff for 2b in the NL.

    I'm sure some luck is involved too, but the Cubs and Maddon knew what they were doing.

    Rob G. 20 hours 6 min ago view
  • If all the starters have FIP > ERA, is that luck or good defense?

    Craig A. 20 hours 17 min ago view
  • #Cubs plummet to 19-5 in August.

    Fun with FIP

    • J. Hammel   3.07 ERA/4.27 FIP (3.68 FIP last year)
    • J. Arrieta     2.62 ERA/3.05 FIP (2.35 FIP last year)
    • J. Lester     2.81 ERA/3.67 FIP (2.92 FIP last year)
    • K. Hendricks  2.19 ERA/3.37 FIP (3.36 FIP last year)
    • J. Lackey     3.41 ERA/3.72 FIP (3.57 FIP last year with Cards)
    Rob G. 20 hours 42 min ago view
  • zastyryzryzryzny put in 3.2ip 1h 0bb 3k

    he's great when his control is "on"...problem is it's rarely "on" consistently. he could vault up the cubs prospect list if he ever gets better with that aspect of his game.

    crunch 21 hours 22 min ago view
  • JD's take was just trying to get in a lefty to better deal with mostly lefty Dodgers lineup.

    My second thought was what you came up with. My first thought was he was trying to light a fire under Hammel.

    Jackstraw 22 hours 34 min ago view
  • Maybe he was trying to spare him another brutal road start? NY, Colorado...

    billybucks 22 hours 52 min ago view
  • joe got a pitcher up for hammel at nearly the 1st sign of trouble in the 3rd...pulled after 2.1

    not injured and though it wasn't his day so far he wasn't looking like a pure disaster.

    really short leash on him. zastryznzryzryny in.

    crunch 22 hours 56 min ago view
  • Russell and Soler can attest that Urias has a pretty good curve/slider - two big strikeouts looking to get out of that jam in the first.

    Eric S 23 hours 40 min ago view
  • Classic Scully - great stuff.

    Thank God we'll still have Hawk next season. (cricket cricket cricket)

    Eric S 1 day 4 hours ago view
  • Here's Scully's call on Bryant's 10th-inning homer:

    "And it's a long fly ball, a mean fly ball, and a gone fly ball."

    VirginiaPhil 1 day 5 hours ago view
  • When the Cubs were the old, hundred-year Cubs, one bad hop did not undo their opponents.

    VirginiaPhil 1 day 5 hours ago view