2007 TCR Prediction Contest

As Christmas Opening Day approaches, time to put on the prognostication hats and have some fun with the Cubs season. Reader Bryan has offered to tabulate the results and I'll come up with the prizes at some point (still owe chifan3887 for his Free Agent Frenzy win, I didn't forget about you). So predict away... Five points for a correct answer. 1. Who will have the most plate appearances in the #2 spot of the lineup? 2. Who will have the most plate appearances in the #8 spot of the lineup? 3. Which player will end up playing the most defensive positions? 4. Which pitcher will start the most games for the Cubs? 5. Which pitcher will end up with the most appearances for the Cubs? 6. Which Cub(s) will make the All-Star team? (5 points for each correct name, subtract 2 points if you name someone who doesn't make it) 7. Which Cub(s) will finish in the top 10 in MVP voting? (5 points for each correct name, subtract 2 points if you name someone who doesn't make it - None is an acceptable answer) 8. Who will be the first Cub promoted from the minors? 9. Who will be the first Cub on the Opening Day 25-man roster to land on the disabled list? (that means Kerry Wood, Buck Coats and Juan Mateo are excluded) 10. Where will the Cubs finish in the division (1 through 6)? 8 points for a correct answer on the following 2 questions, subtract one point for how many places you're off. So if you predict they'll be 5th in runs scored and they end up at 3rd or 7th, you get 6 points. We won't get into negatives though, so if you're off by more than eight, you'll get zero points. 11. Where will the Cubs rank in team runs scored among National League teams? (1 through 16) 12. Where will the Cubs rank in team runs allowed among National League teams? (1 through 16, 1 meaning the least amount of runs allowed) 15 points for the correct answer on the following questions, subtract one point for how far you end up off the final answer. For example, if you predict 90 wins for the Cubs and they end up with 88, you get 13 points. We won't get into the negatives though, so if you miss by 15 or more you get a zero for that answer. 13. How many wins for the Cubs in 2007? 14. How many total home runs by Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez and Alfonso Soriano combined? 15. How many home runs and stolen bases for Soriano combined? (If you think he'll end up at 40/40, please put 80 as your answer) Tie-Breaker #1: How many innings pitched in the majors for Mark Prior? (closest answer wins) Tie-Breaker #2: How many innings pitched in the minors for Mark Prior? (only used if there happens to be a tie for the first tie-breaker question) To make it easy for Bryan, please use the following format to answer. Please use a separate comment if you care to add your two cents beyond your answers. I'll close the comments on Monday, April 2nd around 11am CST. 1. Name 2. Name 3. Name etc, etc, etc... UPDATE: In my attempt to make things easier I foolishy separated the wins and losses question earlier. Just ignore that and I'll fix the comments on those that answered already.
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Comments

1. Jacque Jones
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bob Howry
6. Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez, Michael Barrett
7. Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez, Derrek Lee
8. Mark Prior
9. Wade Miller
10. 1st
11. 5th
12. 8th
13. 89
14. 128
15. 88
TB#1: 150
TB#2: 28

Lee will have a big year, but Pujols, Berkman and Howard keep him out of the ASG if anyone cares for my reasoning.

1. Matt Murton
2. Henry Blanco
3. Mark DeRosa
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bob Howry
6. Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez
7. None
8. Mark Prior
9. Wade Miller
10. 3rd
11. 4th
12. 10th
13. 80 wins
14. 123 HRs
15. 70 total
TB1. 112 IP
TB2. 23 IP

Rob G,

Friends and family members of The Cubs Reporter or any of their affiliates are not eligible for this competition!

1. Murton
2. Cedeno
3. Theriot
4. Hill
5. Howry
6. Lee, Soriano, Zambrano, Barrett, Ramirez
7. Soriano, Lee
8. Prior
9. Izturis
10. 1
11. 3
12. 7
13. 91
14. 102
15. 71
TB#1. 149
TB#2. 32

Are Nos. 13 and 14 actually a math test? If not, they are they are repetitive.

No way Alfie swipes more than 35 SBs, I'm thinking more like 25-30.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Lee, ARam and Soriano
7. Lee and Soriano
8. Prior
9. Wuetz
10. First
11. Fifth
12. Seventh
13. 85
14. 105
15. 65

Tie-Breaker #1: 125
Tie-Breaker #2: 45

I used 13 and 14 to mitigate my risk, since I am sure all my other answers are right.

I think the fact that Lee already beat out Pujols for the popularity vote once, makes your logic flawed, Rob G. Go Lee!

1. Matt Murton
2. Cezar Isturis
3. Mark DeLaRosa
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Scott Eyre
6. Zambrano, Lee, Soriano, Ramirez
7. Lee Soriano
8. Mark Prior
9. Jason Marquis
10. 2
11. 4th
12. 11th
13. 83
14. 109
15. 74
TB1 16
TB2 37

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Ramirez, Soriano
7. Lee
8. Prior
9. Miller
10. 1
11. 2
12. 8
13. 90
14. 120
15. 70
TB#1: 143.2
TB#2: 32.1

you know I was trying to make it easy for Bryan to calculate by separating the wins and losses into 2 questions. I'll just drop #14.

I'm eliminating your answers to #14....live with it.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Derosa
4. Zambrano
5. Dempster
6. Ramirez, Lee, Zambrano
7. Lee
8. Prior
9. Soriano
10. 2nd
11. 5th
12. 13th
13. 84
14. 94
15. 73
Tie-Breaker #1: 182
Tie-Breaker #2: 23

128 HR's! That gets my vote.

1)Murton
2)Izturis
3)Theriot
4)Zambrano
5)Ohman
6)Ramirez, Zambrano,Soriano
7)DLee, Soriano
8)Mark Prior
9)Wade Miller
10)2nd
11)5th
12)7th
13)85
14102
15)57
TB1 112
TB2 22

Whoops, can you change my .4 to Hill?

1. DeRosa
2. Izturis
3. DeRosa
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Soriano, Ramirez, Lee
7. Lee
8. Novoa
9. Dempster
10. 3
11. 4
12. 8
13. 81
14. 107
15. 77
TB#1: 76
TB#2: 121

1. Izturis
2. Derosa
3. Theriot
4. Marquis
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Barrett
7. Lee
8. Wood
9. Guzman
10. 1st
11. 5th
12. 7th
13. 94
14. 105
15. 75

Tie-Breaker #1: 94.0
Tie-Breaker #2: 42.0

1) Matt Murton
2) Cesar Izturis
3) Ryan Theriot
4) Carlos Zambrano
5) Bob Howry
6) Aramis Ramirez, Alfonso Soriano, Carlos Zambrano
7) Lee, Soriano
8) Pie
9) Cliff Floyd
10) 2nd
11) 5th
12) 7th
13) 87
14) 115
15) 77
TB) 153
TB) 33

1. Murton
2. Izzy
3.DeRosa
4. Z
5. Howry
6.Z, Soriano, Lee
7.Z, Lee
8. Soto
9. Wuertz
10.First
11. Third
12. Seventh
13. 88
14 115
15 75
TB#1 30
Tb#2 30

1. Matt Murton
2. Ronny Cedeno
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Scott Eyre
6. Alfonso Soriano
Carlos Zambrano
Michael Barrett
7. Derrek Lee
8. Rocky Cherry
9. Cliff Floyd
10. 1
11. 5
12. 6
13. 88
14. 114
15. 68

Tie-Breaker #1: 52.3
Tie-Breaker #2: 112.0

I thought there were not to be any comments.

~D'oh!~

Comments are fine, just add in a separate comment, make the copying and pasting easier for Bryan.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. DeRosa
4. Z
5. Howry
6. Z, Soriano
7. Z
8. Prior
9. Wuertz
10. Two
11. Nine
12. Four
13. 83
14. 111
15. 68

TB1 80
TB2 36

I think the fact that Lee already beat out Pujols for the popularity vote once, makes your logic flawed, Rob G. Go Lee!

Just a guess on my part that Lee won't quite have the same year he had in 2005 and Pujols seems a bit more popular today than he was in 2005 as well.

The fight for a reserve 1b spot in the NL will be fierce, no doubt.

Let us not forget Carlos Delgado.

and for fun, my pre-season top 10 MVP vote-getters:
1. Pujols
2. Aramis Ramirez
3. Soriano
4. Berkman
5. Cabrera
6. Bonds
7. Utley
8. Carlos Beltran
9. D-Lee
10. David Wright

HM: Howard, Matt Holliday, Jose Reyes, A. Jones

yeah, Delgado gets the NY vote of course, I wouldn't be surprised if he continues to taper off though. He's no spring chicken anymore...

Baby Maddux: Tie-Breaker #1: 52.3

I'll write that down as 53 innings.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Lee, Soriano, Zambrano, Ramirez
7. Soriano
8. Pie
9. Miller
10. 3rd
11. 4
12. 8
13. 84
14. 110
15. 78
Tie-Breaker #1: 120
Tie-Breaker #2: 60

he probably meant 52.1 I'm guessing, doubt that it makes a difference though

On question 12, I wanted to clarify I mean 7th best, not 7th highest in runs allowed. So... I guess 10th would be my real answer.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Ramirez, Zambrano, Lee
7. Lee
8. Prior
9. Floyd
10. 2
11. 4
12. 9
13. 86
14. 115
15. 60
TB1: 112
TB2: 60

well that's what I hope everyone else meant too, but I put a clarifying statement in the post if it's confusing.

But yeah, if anyone else wants to change their answer let me know.
1st means least runs allowed in the NL, 16th means most runs allowed in the NL for question #12

When Delgado was a free agent (After 2004 I guess) my master plan was to sign him to play first and move Lee to left field. That would be a nice lineup today.

1. DeRosa
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Eyre
6. Zambrano, Soriano, DLee
7. DLee, Soriano
8. Cherry
9. Wuertz
10. First
11. Third
12. Eighth
13. 89
14. 110
15. 75
TB #1: 130
TB #2: 50

1. Matt Murton
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Mark DeRosa
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bobby Howry
6. Zambrano, Soriano, Barrett, Ramirez
7. Soriano
8. Mark Prior
9. Wade Miller
10. 1
11. 5
12. 2
13. 89
14. 112
15. 69
Tie Breaker #1: 112
Tie Breaker #2: 30

I guess my #12 should be 12th, then ....

Hold on, update:
I thought question 4 was which player would start the most games, not the pitcher. And then I thought 5 was which pitcher would start the most games.

4. Zambrano
5. Howry

Are you planning to post these in a table somewhere?

It occurs to me as I typed my entry that LouPa is likely to do some smart things this year. I have a philosophy about new managers: When you get to your new job, there are a number of obvious things to fix, lineup construction being one of them with the Cubs. So rather than try and figure out who LouPa was going to bat in the #2 hole, I decided to pick the guy I'd hit there and trust him to make the right choice.

Three years from now, I would be more inclined to hold his mistakes against him and assume he'd remain attached to his bad decisions of the past, but for now, he's got a blank slate and can just do smart things.

fixed

Actually that would be 13th, kjk.

You know for all the crap the NL Central takes, it seems to me they have won 3 pennants in a row and came within 7 outs of 4.

thank you, sir.

also fixed DD....

it's up to Bryan if he wants to publish it somewhere, he can try and export it to a google spreadsheet and publish it if he wishes.

Thanks, but i'll stick with 12 Neal. I just got a little more optimistic :)

thanks for the catch Real Neal, I'm just making changes bywhatever you guys say, don't expect me to think for you...

aw crap...12 or 13?

1. Murton
2. Cedeno
3. DeRosa
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Soriano, Lilly
7. Soriano
8. Cherry
9. Izturis
10. 1
11. 3
12. 9
13. 87
14. 113
15. 71
TB #1: 0
TB #2: 66.2

leave at at 13.

The answers to question #9 are interesting, I thought. I expected everyone to say the usual suspects, like Floyd & Izturis, but someone said Dempster, Marquis, there's even a few Millers. I almost can't wait for the first injury!

rynox: i picked soriano. i predict he will trip over one of those alligators that slips out of the RF moat and wanders into CF.

1. Matt Murton
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Ted Lilly
5. Bob Howry
6. Alfonso Soriano, Derek Lee
7. Aramis Ramirez, Derek Lee
8. Rocky Cherry
9. Carlos Zambrano
10. 1
11. 3
12. 9
13. 84
14. 105
15. 75

Tie-Breaker 1: 10
Tie-Breaker 2: 100

I can post the whole thing somewhere after all the ballots are in, and I'll provide a link to it.

sweet, it appears no one has topped 128 homers yet for Lee, Ramirez and Soriano's homers. My Cubbie Kool-Aid tastes the best, bitches!!!

kjk:

rynox: i picked soriano. i predict he will trip over one of those alligators that slips out of the RF moat and wanders into CF.

If that happens, specifically, then it should be worth about 400 points.

lmao Rob G

Rob, your cubbie kool-aid is no match for my mark prior kool-aid!

1. Pie
2. Cedeno
3. Derosa
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Soriano, Marquis, Ramirez, Lee, Barret
7. Lee, Soriano, Ramirez
8. Pagan
9. Floyd
10. First
11. 5th
12. 9th
13. 87
14. 96
15. 68
TB1 68
TB2 55

You know, this would be a really interesting "Wisdom of Crowds" study to do. Take all our answers, tabulate them, find out what our collective wisdom is... According to that book, our collective answer to each question should be a pretty accurate prognosticator for what will actually happen.

And yes, I know we did that last season.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Soriano, Barrett, ARam
7. ARam, Soriano
8. Guzman
9. DeRosa
10. 2
11. 4
12. 9
13. 86
14. 98
15. 74
TB1. 15
TB2. 91

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. DeRosa
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Lee, Ramirez, Soriano, Barrett
7. Zambrano, Soriano
8. Prior
9. Floyd
10. 2
11. 2
12. 10
13.89
14. 112
15. 77
TB1. 110
TB.2. 50

Speaking of Wisdom of You... did anyone ever tabulate all those numbers last year?

I don't know, but I am pretty sure I would have won the Derrek Lee predection, I had him for about 300 AB's.

the WOY was all Ruz, good luck finding him. :)

1. Mark De Rosa
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Rich Hill
5. Scott Eyre
6. Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez, Carlos Zambrano
7. Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez
8. Rocky Cherry
9. Wade Miller
10. Of course, 1st place!
11. 3rd
12. 10th
13. 88
14. 127
15. 69
Tie-breaker #1: 42 IP
Tie-breaker #2: 36 IP

1. Matt Murton
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bob Howry
6. Carlos Zambrano, Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez, Derek Lee, Michael Barret
7. Derek Lee
8. Mark Prior
9. Cesar Izturis
10. 2
11. 3
12. 10
13. 97
14. 100
15. 65
Tie Breaker #1- 173
Tie Breaker # 2 - 29

1. Murton

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Z
5. Howry
6. Z, Aram, DLee,Phonz,Barrett
7. DLee, Aram. Phonz
8. Prior
9. Floyd
10. 1
11. 3
12. 8
13. 88
14. 94
15. 82
#1. 88
#2 34

Don't want to take this interesting thread to far OT, but CUBS WIN CUBS WIN HOLY COW!!!! at least according to the following simulation:

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/...

1. Matt Murton
2. Ronny Cedeno
3. Mark Derosa
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bob Howry
6. Carlos Zambrano, Derek Lee, Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez
7. Derek Lee
8. Mark Prior
9. Cesar Izturis
10. 1
11. 3
12. 7
13. 92
14. 129
15. 72
TB#1: 130
TB#2: 30

Aaron B sez:

Five points for a correct answer.

1. Matt Murton
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Mark DeRosa
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Scott Eyre
6. Carlos Zambrano, Fonzo Soriano,Aramis Ramirez, Michael Barrett
7.Fonzo Soriano
8. Mark Prior
9. Wade Miller
10. 1st
11. 3rd
12. 11th
13. 88
14. 98
15. 62

Tie-Breaker #1: 127
Tie-Breaker #2: 19

And what do I win?

1. M. Murton
2. C. Izturis
3. R. Theriot
4. C. Zambrano
5. S. Eyre
6. A. Soriano, D. Lee, A. Ramirez, C. Zambrano
7. A. Soriano, D. Lee, A. Ramirez
8. A. Pagan
9. C. Floyd
10. Third
11. Third
12. Tenth
13. 81
14. 119
15. 71

T.B. #1. 75
T.B. #2. 100

Pass the Kool-aid.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. DeRosa
4. Z
5. Eyre
6. DLee, Aram, Z, Fonsie, Barrett
7. DLee
8. Cherry
9. Dempster
10. 2nd
11. 1st
12. 12th
13. 84
14. 96
15. 67
TB#1 86
TB#2 42

1. Ryan Theriot
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Mark DeRosa
4. Ted Lilly
5. Scott Eyre
6. Derek Lee, Aramis Ramirez, Carlos Zambrano and Alfonso Soriano
7. Derek Lee and Alfonso Soriano
9. Cesar Izturis
10. 2
11. 3
12. 8
13. 91
14. 127
15. 94

Tie-Breaker #1: 42.0
Tie-Breaker #2: 112.1

1. Matt Murton
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Ryan Dempster
6. Alfonso Soriano, Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez, Carlos Zambrano,
7. Derrek Lee
8. Mark Prior
9. Wade Miller
10. First place
11. Second
12. Ninth
13. 86
14. 112
15. 78

TB#1: 93
TB#2: 37

Nathan F., you skipped #8.

According to that book, our collective answer to each question should be a pretty accurate prognosticator for what will actually happen.

The book doesn't say that Marshall. In fact, that book is a great example of circular reasoning. Suroweicki says that "wise" crowds do a good job of predicting (duh!) while "irrational" ones do not. TCR doesn't fit his definition of a crowd that would be expected to produce a wise decision. And MOST CROWDS fit his definition of irrational decision makers.

1. Theriot
2. Theriot
3. Theriot
4. Z
5. Howry
6. Z, Ramirez, Lee, Alf, Barrett
7. Lee
8. Hoffpauir (after Ward is released)
9. Ramirez
10. 1st

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Scott Eyre
6. Derrek Lee, Alfonso Soriano, Carlos Zambrano
7. Derrek Lee
8. Mark Prior
9. Michael Wuertz
10. 2
11. 5th
12. 9th
13. 83
14. 117
15. 73
TB#1 - 93
TB#2 - 28

11. 5th
12. 8

13. 92
14. 116
15. 102

Tie-Breaker #1:67
Tie-Breaker #2: How many innings pitched in the minors for Mark Prior? 67

1. Matt Murton
2. Cesear Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bob Howry
6. Alfonso Soriano, Derrek Lee
7. Derrk Lee
8. Angel Pagan
9. Jason Maquis
10. First
11. 7th
12. 5th
13. 89
14. 104
15. 65
TB1: 125
TB2: 28

at least according to the following simulation...
----
Gotta love a simulation that has the WSux winning 72.2 games

1. Murton
2. Cedeno
3. The Riot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Lee
7. None
8. Cherry
9. Floyd
10. 1st
11. 2nd
12. 8th
13. 90
14. 95
15. 63
TB #1 80
TB #2 50

1. Izturis
2. DeRosa

3. DeRosa
4. Zambrano
5. Howry

6. Zambrano, Soriano, Ramirez
7. Ramirez, Soriano

8. Mark Prior
9. Floyd
10. 1st
11. 4th

12. 5th
13. 90

14. 112
15. 68
Tie-Breaker #1: 141.2

Tie-Breaker #2: 80.1

DAMMIT! That's not how it looked in the dialogue box!!!

Chad-
Did you do yours on a IBM Computer punch card?

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Derosa
4. Lilly
5. Howry
6. Soriano, Hill, Lee
7. None
8. Prior
9. Marquis
10. 2nd
11. 2nd
12. 9th
13. 88
14. 97
15. 74
TB #1 66
TB #2 28

#69 -- Should it dampen my enthusiasm that the "PECOTA-adjusted" version of that simulation has the Cubs in last place at 66-96? Who is this PECOTA and why does he hate the Cubs?

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Derosa
4. Hill
5. Eyre
6. Soriano, Lee , Zambrano
7. Soriano, Lee
8. Cherry
9. Ramirez
10. 2nd
11. 3rd
12. 10th
13. 86
14. 121
15. 90
tb1. 116
tb2. 30

1) Murton
2) Izturis
3) Theriot
4) Zambrano
5) Howry
6) Soriano, Ramirez, Zambrano, Lee, Barrett
7) Soriano, Ramirez
8) Prior
9) Floyd
10) 1
11) 3rd
12) 8th
13) 86
14) 121
15) 82
Tie Breaker 1) 40
Tie Breaker 2) 21

Haven't posted for a while. Been pretty busy and hopefully I can pop in a few comments here and there.

Who is this PECOTA and why does he hate the Cubs?
....................................................................................

Cause he used to play for the mets?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/p/pecotbi01...

1. DeRosa
2. Izturis
3. The Riot
4. Z
5. Howry
6. Soriano, Aram
7. Soriano
8. Geovany Soto
9. Cliff Floyd
10. 1st
11. 2nd
12. 10th
13. 92
14. 126
15. 84
Tie #1-- 80.2
Tie #2-- 80.2

I'm going to actually read everybody's posts now, starting with (hopefully it's here) AZ Phil's...

1. Murt
2. Izzy
3. Theriot
4. Zambo
5. Howry
6. DLee, Fonzo, Aramis, Barrett, Zambo
7. DLee, Fonzo, Aramis
8. Pie
9 Floyd
10. Second in the Division
11. #3
12. #6
13. 87
14. 116
15. 82

TB#1 62.1
TB#2 34.0

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Bobby Howry
6. Aramis, Zambrano, Soriano
7. Derrek Lee
8. Mark Prior
9. Cliff Floyd
10. 1
11. 3rd
12. 4th
13. 88
14. 123
15. 80
TB #1: 94
TB #2: 67

"#69 — Should it dampen my enthusiasm that the “PECOTA-adjusted” version of that simulation has the Cubs in last place at 66-96? Who is this PECOTA and why does he hate the Cubs?'

I trust PETCO more when it comes to baseball then I do PECOTA.

Oh....since Kerry Wood is on the DL right now, will he count as a call-up from the minors if he does a rehab stint there?

no

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. DeRosa
4. Lilly
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Soriano, Lee
7. Soriano
8. Prior
9. Cedeno
10. 2nd
11. 5th
12. 3rd
13. 92
14. 102
15. 74

TB 1. 135
TB 2. 6

actually yes Hellfrozeover, you can't put him as your answer for the first to the DL, but if you think he'll get sent to the minors to rehab and be the first called up...yes.

The PECOTA version hasn't been updated yet - that's last year's nonsense.

btw Kenny Rogers out for 3 months at least, they've got an uber-prospect kind of waiting named Miller but something to keep in mind if Prior finds his form and we need to ship Wade somewhere.

Anyone want to lay odds on us getting Neifi back in the deal?

Rob, why? The intent of the question is not to figure out who will do a rehab stint in the minors. Wood is not getting sent down like Prior. You're not really getting called up. As you know, Kerry Wood cannot get sent down to the minors anyway. He can only do rehab there and that is a HUGE difference.

Seems fair to me in the spirit of the question...

anyway, whoever put Geovany Soto as a callup is a genius considering Blanco's potential problem.

And to get all "exact words' on you, I am pretty sure that you do not get 'called up' from a rehab assignment.

technically it's not a promotion I suppose, so if you put Kerry Wood for #8, change your answer.

I'm not double-checking though.....

So far, there are 44 prediction sets in the pile, and no one has picked the Cubs to win fewer than 80 games. In the end, maybe we'll find that everyone here is drinking lethal doses of Cubs Kool-Aid.

"maybe we’ll find that everyone here is drinking lethal doses of Cubs Kool-Aid."

If there was such a thing, no one would be posting here.

1. Murton
2. Istiruz
3. Derosa
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Lee, Zambrano, Ramirez, Soriano
7. Lee
8. Prior
9. Floyd
10. 1
11. 4
12. 8
13. 91
14. 122
15. 75
Tie-Breaker #1: 105
Tie-Breaker #2: 24

Mabry and Finley made the Rockies, Buck Coats supposedly just sent to the minors according to ESPN's transaction page.

I noted a few predictors have Prior's combined minor + major league innings pitched adding up to over 220 IP. If so, Calfzilla is back! That's alot of innings for a lowly Tribune employee.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3.DeRossa
4.Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Ramirez, Lee
7. Ramirez, Lee
8. Cherry
9. Floyd
10 1
11 2
12 6
13 88
14 127
15 72
16 98
17 45

1. Murton
2. Cedeno
3. DeRosa
4. Hill
5. Howry
6. Soriano, Ramirez, Zambrano
7. Ramirez
8. Pagan
9. Floyd
10. 2
11. 3
12. 11
13. 88
14. 108
15. 73

TB 1. 115
TB 2. 35

1. murton
2. cedeno
3. de rosa
4. hill
5. howry
6. z and aram
7. aram and soriano
8. pagan
9. floyd
10. one/first
11. fourth
12. ninth
13. 85
14. 99
15. 69
tie breaker 1. 54
tie breaker 2. 54

cubster — March 30, 2007 @ 6:02 pm

I noted a few predictors have Prior’s combined minor + major league innings pitched adding up to over 220 IP. If so, Calfzilla is back! That’s alot of innings for a lowly Tribune employee.
=====
Innings? i thought that was pitches! :-)

1. Murton
2. Cedeno
3. Theriot
4. Lilly
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Soriano, Ramirez, Barrett
7. Soriano, Ramirez
8. Pagan
9. Floyd
10. 3
11. 4
12. 9
13. 84
14. 93
15. 71
T-1. 145
T-2. 35

That was me with 221. I am hoping for a big year so I went big. If I lose this contest over that, I'll count it as a moral victory.

according to ESPN’s transaction page...

Cubs made offer to Schmidt 3/44

I hate to do this but my answer to #14 should read (116) not (136). But it's okay if corrections are too much bother.

KJK: LMAO!

somebody tell me how to find the chat room before the season starts next week?

upper right in the author's box is a chat link under each writer

fixed cwtp

Thanx, Rob

1. Jock-Strap Jones
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Mark Derosa
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bobby Howry
6. Carlos Zambrano, Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez, Alfonso Soriano
7. Aramis Ramirez
8. Mark Prior (does he count?) if not, Rocky Cherry
9. Cliff Floyd
10. 3rd

11. 3rd
12. 8th

13. 88
14. 100
15. 73

Tie-Breaker #1: 50 1/3
Tie-Breaker #2: 60 2/3

1. Cesar Izturis
2. Felix Pie
3. Mark DeRosa
4. Alfonso Soriano
5. Bob Howry
6. Alfonso Soriano, Cesar Izturis, Michael Barrett, Ted Lilly
7. Alfonso Soriano
8. Felix Pie
9. Matt Murton
10. 3 (3rd place)
11. 5
12. 11
13. 82
14. 100
15. 70
Tie-Breaker #1: 15 innings
Tie-Breaker #2: 50 innings
1. Silent Towel

1. Matt Murton
2. Caesar Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Ted Lilly
5. Will Ohman
6. Alfonso Soriano
Ted Lilly
Aramis Ramirez
7. Soriano
8. Mark Prior
9. Daryl Ward
10. 2
11. 4
12. 5
13. 87
14. 111
15. 74

Tie-Breaker #1: 152
Tie-Breaker #2: 27

NL MVP...Carlos Beltran
Cy Young...Jason Schmidt
ROY...Mike Pelfrey
Batting Title...Rickie Weeks

NL East...Mets, Braves, Phillies, Marlins, Nationals

NL Central...Brewers, Cardinals, Cubs, Pirates, Reds, Astros

NL West...Padres, Dodgers, Rockies, Giants, Diamondbacks

AL MVP...Joe Mauer
Cy Young...John Lackey
ROY...Alex Gordon
Batting Title...Michael Young

AL East...Red Sox, Yankees, Orioles, Blue Jays, Devil Rays

AL Central...Twins, Indians, Tigers, White Sox, Royals

AL West...Angels, Rangers, Athletics, Mariners

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Lilly
5. Howry
6. Soriano, Ramirez, Zambrano
7. Ramirez
8. Pagan
9. Floyd
10. 1
11. 6
12. 6
13. 86
14. 112
15. 69
TB1. 68
TB2. 30

KChi- Prior should count as he has been sent down to the minors. Not for a rehab but as a demotion.

1. Matt Murton
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bob Howry
6. Aramis Ramirez, Alfonso Soriano, Carlos Zambrano
7. Aramis Ramirez, Alfonso Soriano
8. Mark Prior
9. Cesar Izturis
10. 1st
11. 4th
12. 8th
13. 89
14. 105
15. 74
T-1. 142
T-2. 21

ST if Izturis makes the All-Star game, Cubs win the division.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Eyre
6. Zambrano, Soriano, Ramirez
7. Lee
8. Rocky Cherry
9. Izturis
10. 4th
11. 3rd
12. 13th
13. 76
14. 115
15. 72
TB#1: 67.1
TB#2: 33.2

Silent Towel: You have Soriano as the pitcher who will pitch the most innings this year. Do you want to change your answer?

1. Matt Murton
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bobby Howry
6. Alphonso Soriano/Aramis Ramirez/Carlos Zambrano
7. Alphonso Soriano
8. Neal Cotts
9. Mark Prior
10. #1
11. 3
12. 6
13. 95
14. 110
15. 85
TB#1. 44
TB#2. 21

1.DeRosa
2.Izturis
3.Theriot
4.Zambrano
5.Eyre
6.Zambrano,Barrett
7.Lee
8.Pagan
9.Wuertz
10.1st
11.4th
12.10th
13.89
14.119
15.65
T1.99
T2.40

Btw, RobG...

Still waiting on that case of Old Style.

So Sayeth the God of WAR!

Rob G. re #105-- I wasn't sure if that was exactly fair, the rumors are already out there, but it would be a callup for Soto. Originally had the Pagan/Floyd combo for 8/9 (like Trans) and that is how I think it'll happen otherwise. We shall see!

Thanks for answering my question Rob.

Murton
Izturis
DeRosa
Zambrano
Howry
Soriano, Zambrano
Soriano
Cherry
Floyd
2
4
7
87
119
77
75
75

you can’t put him (wood) as your answer for the first to the DL,

I should have said Wood, just because there is still a reasonable chance that he will be called up off the DL, then get hurt again and put back on the DL, all in a span fast enough that no one else has been injured!

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. D. Lee, Zambrano, Ramirez, Soriano, Barrett
7. D. Lee, Ramirez, Soriano
8. Prior
9. W. Miller
10. #1
11. #2
12. #10
13. 89
14. 125
15. 79
TB#1. 89
TB#2. 34

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Soriano, Lee, Ramirez, Zambrano
7. Soriano, Ramirez
8. Pagan
9. Floyd
10. 3rd
11. 5th
12. 11th
13. 85
14. 97
15. 67
TB1. 71.2
TB2. 57.2

Tehmpus- I think you have your answers for 8 and 9 reversed.

1) Murton
2) Izturis
3) Theriot
4) Z
5) Howry
6) Lee, ARam, Soriano
7) Lee, ARam
8) Cherry
9) Wuertz
10) 1st
11) 2nd
12) 9th
13) 89
14) 119
15) 82
Tie breaker 1) 90 IP
Tie breaker 2) 35 IP

1. De Rosa
2. Izturis
3. De Rosa
4. Marquis
5. Wuertz
6. Soriano, Zambrano
7. Zambrano
8. Pagan
9. Floyd
10. second
11. third
12. seventh
13. 91
14. 93
15. 66
16. 86
17. 67

1. Matt Murton
2. Felix Pie
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bobby Howry
6. Aramis Ramirez, Ted Lilly
7. Alfonso Soriano
8. Felix Pie
9. Cesar Izturis
10. 3
11. 8
12. 9
13. 84
14. 95
15. 60
TB 1. 0
TB 2. 42

Um Brian can you change my # 8 from Cherry to Pagan
Since I am assuming Floyd is the first on DL , Cherry won't
be replacing him ( well OK I am also assuming Cotts won't suck
bad enough to go down for Cherry but there it is)

OK done

Still waiting on that case of Old Style.

I have no idea what your talking about, sorry. Did we make a bet?

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Zambrano, Ramirez, Soriano
7. Lee
8. Prior
9. Soriano
10. 3
11. 5
12. 12
13. 86
14. 111
15. 65
TB#1: 118
TB#2: 30.2

1. murton
2. izturis
3. theroit
4. z
5. howry
6. Z, Soriano
7. none
8. prior
9. floyd
10. 2nd
11. 5th
12. 9th
13. 85
14. 99
15. 70
TB1. 80
TB2. 80

in answer to post # 134

Oops....Put Ted Lilly down as Cub pitcher who pitches the most innings.

1. Matt Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Marquis
5. Eyre
6. Zambrano, Soriano
7. Soriano
8. Wuertz
9. Floyd
10. first
11. fourth
12. tenth
13. 88
14. 91
15. 70
TB1. 100
TB2. 35

Rob, you once wrote a humorous article about how you have been "signed" to continue writing articles for the CubReporter. This was during the offseason when a lot of free agent Cubbies were being signed. I sent you a reply saying that I had decided that I needed a signing bonus in order to continue to keep posting here. I decided that for myself to continue posting, I would need a case of Old Style as a signing bonus.

Hey, I'm doing my part. :)

So Sayeth the God of WAR!

OK ST... done.

On Terry S answer for #8 can someone on the Club also be the 1st recalled from the minors? I don't see why not.

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Soriano, Zambrano, Lee, Barrett
7. Soriano, Lee
8. Prior
9. Izturis
10. 1

11. 3
12. 8

13. 86
14. 110
15. 68

TB1. 87
TB2. 80

1. Murton
2. Cedeno
3. Derosa
4. Lilly
5. eyre
6. Zambrano, Barrett, A-ram, and soriano
7. A-Ram
8. R. Cherry
9. Izturius
10. 2nd
11. 4th
12. 9th
13. 90
14. 125
15. 75
T.B.#1 90
T.B. #2 110

Thanx,
scooter®

1.murton
2.izturis
3.theriot
4.lilly
5.howry
6.zambrano, lee, soriano
7.soriano
8.cherry
9.hill
10.1st
11.3rd
12.9th
13.86
14.106
15.67

tb1 99
tb2 50

[...] So go vote, we’ll give it until Tuesday. And don’t forget to enter our preseaon prediction contest which closes at 11am CST tomorrow. Trans - Viva la Parachat! Viva la Resistance! [...]

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Howry
6. Lee, Soriano, Zambrano
7. Lee, Soriano
8. Pagan
9. Floyd
10. 1st
11. 3rd
12. 8th
13. 87
14. 110
15. 72
TB#1: 72 1/3
TB#2: 47 1/3

GO CUBS!

1. Matt Murton
2. Ceasar Izturis
3. Mark DeRosa
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Bob Howry
6. Lee, Zambrano, Ramirez, Soriano
7. Lee, Ramirez, soriano
8. Cherry
9. Floyd
10. 1st
11. 2nd
12. 5th
13. 91
14. 126
15. 77
TB1. 114
TB2. 56

My official Cubs record prediction 83-79. A very nice improvement, but considering the Cubs spent $300+ million this offseason and have roughly a $120 million payroll this year and how weak the NL Central and NL overall is, not too good.

Tiebreaker answer: Jim Hendry finally gets fired October 4th after again not making the playoffs. Bye Bye Jim.......

1. Murton
2. Izturis
3. Theriot
4. Zambrano
5. Eyre
6. Lee, Zambrano
7. none
8. Prior
9. Hill
10. Second
11. 5th
12. 10th
13. 87
14. 79
15. 63
TB #1: 38
TB #2: 28

1. Matt Murton
2. Cesar Izturis
3. Ryan Theriot
4. Carlos Zambrano
5. Ryan Dempster
6. Alfonso Soriano, Derek Lee, Aramis Ramirez
7. Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez,
8. Mark Prior
9. Cliff Floyd
10. 3rd
11. 5th
12. 9th
13. 80
14. 128
15. 73
TB#1: 119
TB#2: 35

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