Projected Cubs Stats

Inspired by this post from the MVN Brewers site, a look at some Cubs players projected stats from their ESPN.com player pages (through Friday's games). Derrek Lee 126 R, 276 H, 12 HR, 126 RBI's, 102 2b's Alfonso Soriano 111 R, 208 H, 15 HR, 37 RBI's, 89 2b's Aramis Ramirez 89 R, 179 H, 33 HR, 117 RBI's, 7 3b's Mark Derosa 60 R, 140 H, 27 HR, 100 RBI's, 7 3b's Michael Barrett 46 R, 139 H, 27 HR, 113 RBI's, 13 2b's Ryan Dempster 81 IP, 87 K, 23 BB, 29 Saves, 6 HR Allowed Michael Wuertz 81 IP, 81 K, 23 BB, 12 HR Allowed Jason Marquis 23-6, 220 IP, 110 K, 75 BB, 12 HR Allowed Rich Hill 17-6, 203 IP, 168 K, 64 BB, 17 HR Allowed Ted Lilly 12-12, 220 IP, 220 K, 35 BB, 12 HR Allowed Carlos Zambrano 11-11, 223 IP, 163 K, 123 BB, 50 HR Allowed

Comments

276 hits for DLee, that sounds about right

I don't think the win-loss record for Z and saves for dempster have been updated for today's game though.

"Aramis Ramirez
89 R, 179 H, 33 HR, 117 RBI’s, 7 3b’s"

Minus the triples, this may come true.

Another very good win by the Cubbies. They are beating these teams they should be beating. I hope they have turned the corner and have .500 in their sights. They have a tough late May stretch, that will be a real good test.

Cub team won/loss projection: .500 record certainly an improvement over last year in major leagues weakest division.

23 wins for Marquis? I ain't holding my breath.

Marquis 23-6?... Ted Lilly 220 K?... dammmmmmmmmmmm...

[...] So, without further ado, here are the big issues going into the weekend: Aside from the King Felix/Dice-K matchup, the most intriguing showdown in the young season will take place Friday: Cole Hamels vs. Tim Lincecum. I’m predicting either 20 K’s or 12 BB’s between them, maybe even both. How will Brett Myers handle his first weekend in the closer role? Will Soriano and Lee (who is on pace for 276 hits) stay hot, pushing the Cubs past .500? What to make of the Toronto closing situation? Accardo or Frasor? What will Phil Garner do next? After a chat with Barry Bonds, when will Ryan Howard finally start hitting? [...]

By my figuring, the recent stretch of 6 wins, 1 loss in seven games, equals the BEST stretch (also 6-1) in ALL of last year, which started about ten days after the ASG.

But of course we know how that ended up, more or less 0-for-August. Actually it was a 3-18 stretch, and as I recall we were practically eating our young on the chatboard out of disgust and frustration.

Things are better now, aren't they? Just from today put DLee and JJ video highlights into your brain and savor.

PS I hope the CF-RF grandstanders can do something to show props to JJ for decent throws and hustle lately.

Teams starting to play like the team I envisioned. D-Lee is murdering the ball, Soriano is starting to hit, Theriot has been good and needs to start, and JJ is seeing the ball well and hitting it on the nose. He hasn't had a big blunder in the outfield either. I agree with Dave, he's hustling and playing well and the fans need to acknowledge that.

Floyd hasn't been awful either. De Rosa has been OK. Marquis, Lilly and Hill have been ridiculous. Wuertz and Dempster have replaced Howry and Eyre as our two best relievers. Good stuff overall.

Problems--Barrett not hitting and his usual suspect defense. Where has "Cy" Zambrano gone? Howry, Eyre and Ohman, abducted by aliens? Ronny Cedeno still sucks. Felix Pie so very promising, but not ready. Who has kidnapped Matt Murton? Daryl Ward is fat and a waste of roster space. Cesar Izturis is just plain BAD.

One possible solution--Trade Murton to a team that can better utilize him, see if we can pawn off one of the unwanted vets with him, and get a solid reliever or nice prospect in exchange. Send Cedeno to Iowa where he belongs, allowing you to keep Pie as a 4th OF and defensive replacement. We need a 5th starter, Guzman can't get the job done. Bobby Howry to Philly for Jon Lieber and cash?

hell, ward's barely played...and he's lost a few chances cuz the pitcher sees him and says "no thanks" giving him a walk. at that point cedeno gets to play...heh.

well, at least i wanna see more of him before i dismiss him...not like im expecting the world of him, but some doubles and the occasional homer would be worth 1m.

btw...its damn nice to have excess players without a glaring need somewhere.

yeah, it'd be nice to have a SS that could both hit and field, but who's selling....a "solid" 5th starter would be nice, too, but hey, its a 5th starter.

"Problems–Barrett not hitting and his usual suspect defense. Where has “Cy” Zambrano gone? Howry, Eyre and Ohman,"

Good, if guys start to cool down and come back to career averages, we have a few that are to to heat up.

yanks pitching is just...painful.

good thing they got mussina back even if his stamina isnt there and his stuff isnt was 2-3 years ago.

they're trying to slug their 100million lineup through this season independant of the pitching if this keeps up.

Another guy who won a job based on his spring training performance bites the dust. Lance Niekro was DFA'd by the Giants today. "Niekro hit .362 with three home runs and 10 RBI during spring training."

Amazing how upbeat we Cub fans get after a few wins over even worse teams, Pittsburgh and Washington. Today in the stands, pennant fever was really catching on after lots of fan anger in the earlier 5 games I attended. Still I am realistic and hoping for a .500 season.

sod that. we could really catch fire. our offense is just now starting to produce. if our pitching maintains, we are in very good shape.

88 wins.

even discouting the hot starts of marquis/lilly and settling for "they're good enough even if not this good"...the bats can produce pretty much randomly out of 6-7 slots everyday.

soriano/dlee/aram ... jones/barrett/floyd-murton ... derosa/theriot/pie ...

if everyone stays healthy the biggest worries about hitting should be izturis vs. theriot and barrett vs. blanco...and depending on how you feel about pie/jones, them too. personally, i'd rather have jones in CF over pie but others feel differently.

crunch:
yanks pitching is just…painful.

Yanks '07 pitching = Cubs '06 pitching?

jones' play is perfect. either we trade him at good value, or we have a productive outfielder who can play right or center....

Brewers win 10-0.

Hello second place.

Nice to see second place already. Chad, this means that your step 2 happened before your step 1 -- could this cause serious injury, given that the hole has not yet been cut in the box?

Nice to see second place already. Chad, this means that your step 2 happened before your step 1 — could this cause serious injury, given that the hole has not yet been cut in the box?

================

Yeah, I laughed out loud at this.

TCR has the funniest comment posters in the whole Cubs Blogoshpere.

You heard it here, folks.

And that's without me getting warmed up at all.

This one's for everyone at home who noticed right away that Z's arm angle was too low:

from the SunTimes:
Zambrano righted himself with a higher arm angle.

''My arm was down the first few innings,'' he said. ''After I made a pitch to Ryan Zimmerman [a leadoff walk in the third], I told myself, ''Come on, get your arm up.'

OK all caught up on the SNL "Step one, cut a hole in a box" reference, thank you YouTube.

Interestingly, I performed in a comedy revue seven years ago, and we did that same schtick-in-a-box dressed as UPS salesman, each one carrying a delivery box, doing a Chippendales sort of line dance, with the comic payoff at the end: all the guys start spinnng their boxes. Except me: mine was tiny, on a spring and just kinda flopped around. It got a big laugh.

102 doubles by D. Lee? That would be awesome! I wouldn't even care if he had 0 HR's if he hit that many doubles.

Tennessee had a fun time last night, 16-1 at Birmingham. 5 guys with three hits: Fuld, Fox, Craig, Dopirak and Robinson. Craig with 6 rbi. Holliman 4-0, 0.55 era.

Holliman, Holliman!!!

Wonder if he changed anything this offseason?

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  • rain delay...bah.

    crunch 31 min 7 sec ago view
  • Indians extend their streak.

    Darwin Barney gets tagged with the loss.

    Mornington Crescent 38 min 7 sec ago view
  • delayed until 7:20 -EST- (tarp off the field)...

    CLE/TOR in the top 18th in case you're bored. 2nd baseman r.goins pitching for TOR...hit 90mph so far. 1ip 2h 1bb 0k, 0 r/er (bb was ibb). he threw a fastball/change mix. crowd loved it. d.ross is not impressed.

    d.barney strands j.lake at 2nd in the bottom 18 for the cubs bluejays...to the 19th!

    -cubs game has begun-

    crunch 52 min 43 sec ago view
  • BRADSBEARD: Javier Assad was still pitching into the 6th inning, and the first batter he faced reached base on an E-4 (that was Assad's 70th and final pitch of the game). Then Leathersich relieved Assad and retired the second batter 4-3 on the first pitch of the AB (the runner at 1st base advanced to 2nd on the play), and then on an 0-1 pitch the third batter in the inning (second one faced by Leathersich) lined into an inning-ending 6-4 DP (baserunner doubled off 2nd base). When calculating GO/AO, double plays and triple plays count as only one out. 

    Arizona Phil 1 hour 8 min ago view
  • Wow. The site actually loaded without an error! Happy 4th all, and Go Cubs!

    The E-Man 2 hours 4 min ago view
  • OK -- my 4th of July resolution is to try to stay more positive. So -- 10 games to the AS break, meaning the Cubs will be in first place at the break! First time since...2008? Also, hopefully, Willson, KB and Javy learned something about Familia yesterday that they can use in the future.

    billybucks 2 hours 39 min ago view
  • Hmmm, my math might be fuzzy but if he retired 3 batters with 3 pitches, how did he get a 1/1 GO/AO ratio?

    bradsbeard 4 hours 4 min ago view
  • Pls DFA Peralta when Richard comes back. Richard 1 IP, O R, O ER, 0 BB, 2 Ks in first rehab appearance. We really need to trade for a LHRP.

    chitownmvp01 4 hours 21 min ago view
  • "The Boston Red Sox were banned from signing any international players for the next year and had five of their teenage prospects declared free agents on Friday after a Major League Baseball investigation showed they circumvented signing-bonus rules last year, a source familiar with the situation told Yahoo Sports."

    https://www.yahoo.com/sports/news/source-red-sox-b...

    Rob Richardson 8 hours 59 sec ago view
  • The thing with Heyward is its not just free agency. He is way under performing his career #s. He's making the same % of contact but his soft contact is much higher and hard contact much lower than all his previous years so there is something very specifically going on this year causing the issues. Chances are he will eventually get back to his previous #s and it's better to get the slump now and get that hot run later but I wish I knew what is different about this year. He's either just not seeing the ball as well or a swing change is causing it.

    johann 8 hours 16 min ago view
  • Only 3 pitches for Leathersich. Not much of a rehab outing.

    Thanks for the reporting Phil.

    QuietMan 8 hours 28 min ago view
  • He's the nastiest pitcher I've seen in awhile. I'm gonna give them all a mulligan on this one.

    Coghlan's strike out was more disappointing. He was fighting off a lot of pitches and not swinging at crap, and on the last pitch, he swung at stuff he was laying off, and struck out.

    And Heyward, too. I don't blame Heyward - I blame free agency. I hate it. You almost never get a valid return on the investment.

    I look forward to the day when ball players own the teams. The current economics are not sustainable.

    Old and Blue 9 hours 29 min ago view
  • Oh, I'm sure you're right. He's not 27-27 in saves for nothing. But, man, I hope they learned last night that he didn't throw a single pitch in the zone to KB, Contreras or Baez, and they all just kept swinging.

    billybucks 11 hours 37 min ago view
  • Sounds like a much better game than last night's fiasco in Flushing.

    Old and Blue 11 hours 54 min ago view
  • I'm pretty sure it looks like a sweet pitch on the way in. How many sinkers like that are there at 98 mph? I agree that they should just do a Lackey and stand their with their bat on their shoulders until he throws a strike next time, but I can see how that's hard to do.

    The bullpen, on the other hand, is a mess, and Heyward is starting to piss me off.

    Old and Blue 11 hours 55 min ago view
  • I noticed that too. He's getting to everything, but when he gets right under it on a high flyball he looks uncomfortable

    cubbies.4ever 20 hours 29 min ago view