Projected Cubs Stats

Inspired by this post from the MVN Brewers site, a look at some Cubs players projected stats from their ESPN.com player pages (through Friday's games). Derrek Lee 126 R, 276 H, 12 HR, 126 RBI's, 102 2b's Alfonso Soriano 111 R, 208 H, 15 HR, 37 RBI's, 89 2b's Aramis Ramirez 89 R, 179 H, 33 HR, 117 RBI's, 7 3b's Mark Derosa 60 R, 140 H, 27 HR, 100 RBI's, 7 3b's Michael Barrett 46 R, 139 H, 27 HR, 113 RBI's, 13 2b's Ryan Dempster 81 IP, 87 K, 23 BB, 29 Saves, 6 HR Allowed Michael Wuertz 81 IP, 81 K, 23 BB, 12 HR Allowed Jason Marquis 23-6, 220 IP, 110 K, 75 BB, 12 HR Allowed Rich Hill 17-6, 203 IP, 168 K, 64 BB, 17 HR Allowed Ted Lilly 12-12, 220 IP, 220 K, 35 BB, 12 HR Allowed Carlos Zambrano 11-11, 223 IP, 163 K, 123 BB, 50 HR Allowed

Comments

276 hits for DLee, that sounds about right

I don't think the win-loss record for Z and saves for dempster have been updated for today's game though.

"Aramis Ramirez
89 R, 179 H, 33 HR, 117 RBI’s, 7 3b’s"

Minus the triples, this may come true.

Another very good win by the Cubbies. They are beating these teams they should be beating. I hope they have turned the corner and have .500 in their sights. They have a tough late May stretch, that will be a real good test.

Cub team won/loss projection: .500 record certainly an improvement over last year in major leagues weakest division.

23 wins for Marquis? I ain't holding my breath.

Marquis 23-6?... Ted Lilly 220 K?... dammmmmmmmmmmm...

[...] So, without further ado, here are the big issues going into the weekend: Aside from the King Felix/Dice-K matchup, the most intriguing showdown in the young season will take place Friday: Cole Hamels vs. Tim Lincecum. I’m predicting either 20 K’s or 12 BB’s between them, maybe even both. How will Brett Myers handle his first weekend in the closer role? Will Soriano and Lee (who is on pace for 276 hits) stay hot, pushing the Cubs past .500? What to make of the Toronto closing situation? Accardo or Frasor? What will Phil Garner do next? After a chat with Barry Bonds, when will Ryan Howard finally start hitting? [...]

By my figuring, the recent stretch of 6 wins, 1 loss in seven games, equals the BEST stretch (also 6-1) in ALL of last year, which started about ten days after the ASG.

But of course we know how that ended up, more or less 0-for-August. Actually it was a 3-18 stretch, and as I recall we were practically eating our young on the chatboard out of disgust and frustration.

Things are better now, aren't they? Just from today put DLee and JJ video highlights into your brain and savor.

PS I hope the CF-RF grandstanders can do something to show props to JJ for decent throws and hustle lately.

Teams starting to play like the team I envisioned. D-Lee is murdering the ball, Soriano is starting to hit, Theriot has been good and needs to start, and JJ is seeing the ball well and hitting it on the nose. He hasn't had a big blunder in the outfield either. I agree with Dave, he's hustling and playing well and the fans need to acknowledge that.

Floyd hasn't been awful either. De Rosa has been OK. Marquis, Lilly and Hill have been ridiculous. Wuertz and Dempster have replaced Howry and Eyre as our two best relievers. Good stuff overall.

Problems--Barrett not hitting and his usual suspect defense. Where has "Cy" Zambrano gone? Howry, Eyre and Ohman, abducted by aliens? Ronny Cedeno still sucks. Felix Pie so very promising, but not ready. Who has kidnapped Matt Murton? Daryl Ward is fat and a waste of roster space. Cesar Izturis is just plain BAD.

One possible solution--Trade Murton to a team that can better utilize him, see if we can pawn off one of the unwanted vets with him, and get a solid reliever or nice prospect in exchange. Send Cedeno to Iowa where he belongs, allowing you to keep Pie as a 4th OF and defensive replacement. We need a 5th starter, Guzman can't get the job done. Bobby Howry to Philly for Jon Lieber and cash?

hell, ward's barely played...and he's lost a few chances cuz the pitcher sees him and says "no thanks" giving him a walk. at that point cedeno gets to play...heh.

well, at least i wanna see more of him before i dismiss him...not like im expecting the world of him, but some doubles and the occasional homer would be worth 1m.

btw...its damn nice to have excess players without a glaring need somewhere.

yeah, it'd be nice to have a SS that could both hit and field, but who's selling....a "solid" 5th starter would be nice, too, but hey, its a 5th starter.

"Problems–Barrett not hitting and his usual suspect defense. Where has “Cy” Zambrano gone? Howry, Eyre and Ohman,"

Good, if guys start to cool down and come back to career averages, we have a few that are to to heat up.

yanks pitching is just...painful.

good thing they got mussina back even if his stamina isnt there and his stuff isnt was 2-3 years ago.

they're trying to slug their 100million lineup through this season independant of the pitching if this keeps up.

Another guy who won a job based on his spring training performance bites the dust. Lance Niekro was DFA'd by the Giants today. "Niekro hit .362 with three home runs and 10 RBI during spring training."

Amazing how upbeat we Cub fans get after a few wins over even worse teams, Pittsburgh and Washington. Today in the stands, pennant fever was really catching on after lots of fan anger in the earlier 5 games I attended. Still I am realistic and hoping for a .500 season.

sod that. we could really catch fire. our offense is just now starting to produce. if our pitching maintains, we are in very good shape.

88 wins.

even discouting the hot starts of marquis/lilly and settling for "they're good enough even if not this good"...the bats can produce pretty much randomly out of 6-7 slots everyday.

soriano/dlee/aram ... jones/barrett/floyd-murton ... derosa/theriot/pie ...

if everyone stays healthy the biggest worries about hitting should be izturis vs. theriot and barrett vs. blanco...and depending on how you feel about pie/jones, them too. personally, i'd rather have jones in CF over pie but others feel differently.

crunch:
yanks pitching is just…painful.

Yanks '07 pitching = Cubs '06 pitching?

jones' play is perfect. either we trade him at good value, or we have a productive outfielder who can play right or center....

Brewers win 10-0.

Hello second place.

Nice to see second place already. Chad, this means that your step 2 happened before your step 1 -- could this cause serious injury, given that the hole has not yet been cut in the box?

Nice to see second place already. Chad, this means that your step 2 happened before your step 1 — could this cause serious injury, given that the hole has not yet been cut in the box?

================

Yeah, I laughed out loud at this.

TCR has the funniest comment posters in the whole Cubs Blogoshpere.

You heard it here, folks.

And that's without me getting warmed up at all.

This one's for everyone at home who noticed right away that Z's arm angle was too low:

from the SunTimes:
Zambrano righted himself with a higher arm angle.

''My arm was down the first few innings,'' he said. ''After I made a pitch to Ryan Zimmerman [a leadoff walk in the third], I told myself, ''Come on, get your arm up.'

OK all caught up on the SNL "Step one, cut a hole in a box" reference, thank you YouTube.

Interestingly, I performed in a comedy revue seven years ago, and we did that same schtick-in-a-box dressed as UPS salesman, each one carrying a delivery box, doing a Chippendales sort of line dance, with the comic payoff at the end: all the guys start spinnng their boxes. Except me: mine was tiny, on a spring and just kinda flopped around. It got a big laugh.

102 doubles by D. Lee? That would be awesome! I wouldn't even care if he had 0 HR's if he hit that many doubles.

Tennessee had a fun time last night, 16-1 at Birmingham. 5 guys with three hits: Fuld, Fox, Craig, Dopirak and Robinson. Craig with 6 rbi. Holliman 4-0, 0.55 era.

Holliman, Holliman!!!

Wonder if he changed anything this offseason?

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  • Not as a major factor, but could be a tie-breaker. But, yeah, on performance and experience, it's Coghlan.

    billybucks 36 min 50 sec ago view
  • Arrieta’s 2.85 ERA would be good enough to lead 26 other teams. He's 3rd on #Cubs behind Hendricks (1.99) and Lester (2.28)

    Rob G. 43 min 13 sec ago view
  • jacos 1 hour 41 min ago view
  • For sure! Russell and Baez are the first infielders in a while to make me think of star defensive players in football or basketball--it's almost like they force turnovers, and they definitely play the field with a degree of athletic aggression I'd expect from a linebacker.

    [Edit: Was meant to be a response to JB above.]

    Charlie 2 hours 46 min ago view
  • tebow hit a HR in the 1st pitch he sees in instructs..lulz.

    crunch 2 hours 54 min ago view
  • I don't think his issue(s) will have anything to do with it. He hasn't hit since he's been back. Coghlan has the hot hand.

    Tito 5 hours 18 min ago view
  • I'm not a denier but definitely a skeptic on Strop and Grimm, who struggle with fastball control. Strop doesn't go near the ninth inning, and note how Grimm couldn't close the deal even with a 5-run lead. So Felix Pena comes in and gets the 3-pitch game-ending strikeout like it was nothing.

    And how about Almora missing that very catchable ball? That was unexpected after all the hype about his glove.

    When Trea Turner misses balls like that--which he does--I draw conclusions from it. It seems to be the one chink in his armor. But I'll give Almora another chance.

    VirginiaPhil 5 hours 22 min ago view
  • Assuming Soler is good to go, I think it comes down to 3 of the following 4: Coghlan, TLS, Sczcur, Almora. Of the 4, TLS seems to be the hardest to justify, particularly given his behavioral issues.

    billybucks 5 hours 28 min ago view
  • I'm wondering if both Coghlan and LaStella make it. With Javy being able to play all the infield spots and Joe maybe wanting late-inning D when Soler plays (assuming he plays), hence either Szczur or Almora, I think LaStella might be the odd guy out.

    Tito 5 hours 31 min ago view
  • Hendricks needs the win, anyway, plus a couple more.

    My hunch is that Hendricks wins the Cy Young . . . for Lester. That is, without Hendricks tipping the scale toward the Cubs, Scherzer tops Lester.

    VirginiaPhil 5 hours 44 min ago view
  • Old Cub fans remember when Ken Hubbs died at 22 in the crash of a small plane he was piloting in a storm in Utah in 1964. But Hubbs was not an elite power pitcher like Score and Fernandez. Score lived a long time after the accident but it was (effectively) career-ending.

    VirginiaPhil 5 hours 47 min ago view
  • HAGSAG: Since I've only seen them throw in one game and in one "live" BP session, all I can do is provide initial first impressions.

    Brailyn Marquez is listed at 6'4 but is probably more like 6'5 or 6'6. I would describe him as a younger version of Bryan Hudson, throwing a ton of ground balls but not getting a lot of swings & misses (yet). Because of his size he could eventually grow into more velocity, but right now he's mostly a pitch-to-contact guy. He generally throws strikes.

    Arizona Phil 5 hours 53 min ago view
  • Phil, do Marquez and Ocampo look like prospects?

    Hagsag 9 hours 37 min ago view
  • It helps when your defense has declared war against the H in WHIP.

    Still impressive.

    John Beasley 9 hours 39 min ago view
  • Lackey finishes with a 3.35 ERA. Currently good for 13th in the NL. Not bad for a guy signed to be a #3 starter in a 15-team league.

    He is also 6th in WHIP. Pretty amazing: Cubs have the #2, #3, #5 and #6 starters in WHIP.

    billybucks 16 hours 34 min ago view
  • Completely meaningless game, but Pena striking out Sean the Turd to with the bases loaded was very fun.

    Other than one bad game in SD, Pena has been very good. Even with that game, 9.0 IP, 13 K, 0.89 WHIP.

    billybucks 16 hours 38 min ago view