The Race

It pains me to include the St. Louis Ankiels in this table, but with Tony's Boys just three games behind the Cubs in the loss column, include them we must.
  Brewers Cubs Cards
Record 62-56 60-57 55-60
Pyth Record 59-59 62-55 50-65
Games Left 44 45 47
Home 22 23 24
Away 22 22 23
vs. Other Two 9 11 14
Over Last 75 36-39 40-35 39-36
Over Last 50 24-26 29-21 26-24
Over Last 25 9-16 12-13 13-12
Win Division* 53.7% 42.5% 3.5%
Win Wild Card* 2.6% 3.0% .2%
*From the Playoff Odds Report at Baseball Prospectus (subscription required), which involves running one million computer simulations of the rest of the season.
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Comments

Saint Louis is 25-33 on the road. They had issues aganist Pit and Was on the their last trip going 1-6. I dont think this week boades well for them.

I had a free ticket to the meaningless battle-of-the-last-place teams (PIT vs SF) here tonight at PNC. It had been suspected for some time that Barry Bonds would take a pass on this rainout-makeup doubleheader and simply jet on ahead to Atlanta for tomorrow's game. But give him (or his agent) credit- he showed, and there was a little bit of classy behavior on both sides. Barry did 7 years here long ago, so a lot of the box seat season ticket holders remember him. He got a big and polite hand just for walking out of the dugout and taking his position in the first inning, which he acknowledged with a tip of his cap. That was nice.

Most of the boo-birds were still in line for beer, apparently. When he came up to bat in the second, my section (southwest nosebleed) was resoundingly BOO-ing him, disapproval to the extent that a Cubscout pack leader behind me was explaining steroids to his troop. Jeez. Oh well. Let's just say that for his AB's tonight, Barry energized the crowd, which was about 75/25 split for applause vs booing (which of course makes more noise). During one AB, a mere flick of his outsized wrists sent an errant HR our way, just to the outside of the Fair Pole. Still, the guy (even from my vantage point) has excellent eye-hand coordinated with power on demand, and he drew a BB and had a 1B I think. Plus a couple of above-average fielding plays, admirable considering the state of his wheels, with spin-and-throw moves hitting his cutoff man or the third baseman on a couple of occasions. And this (by then) despite a chorus of hecking from the LF bleacher bums (the only section to sell out tonight on an otherwise sparse night). I clapped for Barry, because I clap for Baseball, and Baseball in its infinite wisdom decided to let Barry (and Mark, and Sammy) happen.

Couple of other points:

Check out the Rajai Davis sparkling fielding gem, sure to be featured on plays of the week: running full tilt from CF to the gap in left center, away from the ball, full-out airborne extension to make a catch, and skidding about 20 feet (not kidding) on the warning track. The crowd (having just suffered his trade from PIT to SF) gave him a resounding ovation and multiple scoreboard replays (not usual for a visiting team player.) Rajai Davis- remember the name. He is on a mission to cement his position as a starter.

Funny: a PYT chick behind me, unable to pronounce "Guillermo Rodriguez" when presented as name and picture on the scoreboard, exclaimed incredulously to her boyfriend: "wow he must be Chinese or something". Boyfriend, unable to think of the right word ("Latino") said, "No, he's Mexican." To say that Latinos are underrepresented here in Pittsburgh is a vast, vast understatement.

Forgot one thing:

In the first game, Paul Maholm with the complete game win, the first time in 12 years for back-to-back CG wins for the Pirates. My God, I thought as I looked up after 90 minutes, and we were in the 8th. 13 groundball outs. That's consistent efficiency. Total game time 1:51. Announcers looked up the record for shortest total elapsed time for a double header, and it happened back in the 20's. First game 1:12. Second game 0:51.

I JUST DO NOT SEE HOW A MAJOR LEAGUE 9 INNING GAME COULD POSSIBLY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED IN FIFTY ONE MINUTES.

Nice report, Dave!

Subscription not required for BP stats.

Ho hum. Another game, another 5 RBI for Geo. SOTO.

He's got 91!! RBI now in 319 AB's, but the Cub brainrust is gonna wait til September to bring him back for a look.

words escape me

It pains me to include the St. Louis

I'll be surprised if they don't win the division.

You'll be SURPRISED if the Cards don't win the division? The third place team who is 5 games under .500? Even if they sweep Milwaukee they will be under .500 and in 3rd place. Can they win it? Yes. Will they? No. If firmly believe that the Cubs will win the Central and probably be the only team over .500.

If the Cards win, it'll be because the Brewers and Cubs have collapsed mightily and are many games under .500. That is of course possible, but if it does happen, we won't have deserved to win anything anyway.

The other interesting thing here is a discussion we had at the beginning of the season: are the Cubs a .500 team or a playoff team. Well, in this division they could be both.

if all 3 of these clubs finish below .500, could bud the dud exercise his "best interests of the game" powers, and award the 2nd wild card team the playoff spot instead of the n.l. central chump er rather champ?

let's hope aram returns, healthy, and that lou gives ward a start at 1b...lee is really in need of a day or 3 off.

and, that if this offense gets harang on the ropes early, they don't go all woody williams/josh fogg on him.

Only 3 percent to win the WC? As Ronny would say, "Aw geez. Oh boy. Y'know.... "

It's starting to look like the Chc @ Mil series at the end of August will be pretty goddamn epic. Wonder what ticket availability is like.

dc60124:
and, that if this offense gets harang on the ropes early, they don’t go all woody williams/josh fogg on him.

Guys like Harang don't worry me as much as guys like Lohse, oddly enough. Harang likes to throw a lot of strikes and the Cub's like to hack a lot of pitches. That's a good combination for our offense. What's bad for our offense is guys who don't throw as many strikes.

Only 18 more days until the Soto era begins!

When FOnzie returns, presumably sore-legged, how about:

Theriot 6
Kendall 2
Lee 3
Ram 5
Fonzie 7
Jones 9
DeRosa 4
Pie 8
Z et al 9

When Hill catches, switch put Derosa #2 and Hill #7.

Question regarding waivers (no relevant thread to put this):

Does a no-trade clause effect the waiver process?

If a no-trade clause player gets claimed, can he reject the trade? Can he reject an outright waiver straight to the new team?

well, to win the WC would require playing well enough to leap the braves, phils, rockies and pads, but NOT playing well enough to pass the brewers. lots of constraints there.

Raise your hand if you think the Central this year will be won by a sub .500 team.

There's plenty of time for one of the teams to get on a roll and win 87-88 or so games. Hopefully, it will be the Cubs, but it could be the Brewers. I can't imagine the Cardinals doing it with the state of their pitching - they'd have to play almost .600 ball the rest of the way just to finish above .500. This is a big week - Cubs have to play well at home, as the Brewers are at home, too, and play well there.

bacon — August 14, 2007 @ 7:28 am
Question regarding waivers (no relevant thread to put this):

Does a no-trade clause effect the waiver process?

If a no-trade clause player gets claimed, can he reject the trade? Can he reject an outright waiver straight to the new team?

=========================

BACON: Players have quite a few options when it comes to accepting waiver claims. It doesn't totally rest with the clubs.

For instance, if a player with "no trade" rights (either because it's written in the player's contract, because the player is a 10/5 man, or by virtue of being an Article XX FA with a NT through May 15th) is placed on Trade Waivers, Outright Waivers, Release Waivers, or Optional Waiivers, and is claimed by another club, the PLAYER (depending on the nature of the "no trade") could have the right to reject the waiver claim, in which case the claim is voided and the player's original club must retain or return the player to its 40-man roster... That the player's option.

Likewise, if a player with at least three years of MLB service time is placed on Outright Waivers and clears the waivers without being claimed, the player has the option to either accept the outright assignment to the minors, or refuse the outright assignment to the minors (because he has three years of MLB service time) and be a free-agent either immediately (in which case his contract is immediately terminated) or defer the option to be a FA to the end of the season, or refuse the outright assignment to the minors and be returned to his club's 40-man roster... Again, that's the player's option.

A slightly different option exists for players with less than three years of MLB service time who have been outrighted previously in their career...

If a player with less than three years of MLB service time who has been outrighted previously in his career is placed on Outright Waivers and clears the waivers without being claimed, the player has the option to be a free-agent immediately (in which case his contract is immediately terminated) or defer the option to be a FA to the end of the season, but (unlike a player with at least three years of MLB service time) he does NOT have the option to refuse the outright assignment to the minors and be returned to his club's 40-man roster.

Here's another one...

If a player is placed on $1 Release Waivers and is claimed by another club, even if the player does not have "no trade" rights, the player has five days to decide whether to accept the waiver claim by the new team, or be a FA... So that's another player option involving waiver claims.

Worst Hall of Famer.... I mean oldest living Hall of Famer dies-

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=txobitr...

#12 rynox-
Harang likes to throw a lot of strikes and the Cub’s like to hack a lot of pitches. That’s a good combination for our offense.

i am inclined to agree with you; it sure did not work in the cubs' favor vs. oswalt last week. let's hope the home cooking is the difference this week.

The Cubs are 4-8 for the month and we're talking about playoffs?!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qwq7BYOnDrM

Piggy!

Sources say Pignatiello will be called up from Triple-A Iowa to the parent squad today. Right-handed pitcher Sean Gallagher likely will be sent back to Iowa.

http://www.dailysouthtown.com/sports/509011,1...

Hey AZ Phil, weren't you saying something about the Cubs keeping Patterson up till yesterday and then sending him back to Iowa so as not to burn his option? Or am I wrong on the date?

Pains me to say this cwtp, but all your bickering won't change anything.

Kendall's hitting very well (421/500/526) in the last week and Koyie isn't going anywhere as long as our batshit crazy ace thinks Koyie is the miraculous savior of his season.

Piggy! is a good hitter. Gives Lou another right handed bat off the bench. Go offense!

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