And the 2007 Awards Go To…

Every year I dip my toes into the post-season awards waters. Here's one man's opinion... Manager of the Year NL - Bob Melvin AL - Mike Scioscia This award seems to usually go to the manager of the team that no one had expectations to win before the season started but my vote usually goes to the manager who had to handle the most adversity throughout the year. I figure it's a lot easier to manage when everyone is healthy and the lineup and bullpen choices were decided in spring training. In the NL though, Bob Melvin seems like a slam-dunk. The Dbacks end up leading the NL in wins and take their division despite being outscored by their opponents over the year. The manager deserves some credit for that I say. Clint Hurdle of the Rockies seems to be the only other skipper worth even mentioning. In the AL, I usually just ignore Francona and Torre since both teams are constructed with Monopoly money. I thought the Hargrove/McLaren duo had a good shot to win in Seattle but they faltered big time down the stretch. I'll give my vote to Mike Scioscia of the Angels. While the starting staff stayed mostly healthy besides Bartolo Colon, the Angels got 150+ games out of only two position players, Cabrera and Vlad, yet cruised to a division title. Rookie of the Year NL - Troy Tulowitzki AL - Dustin Pedroia I'll start with the AL on this one and it seems four candidates have been worth mentioning, Pedroia, Brian Bannister, Jeremy Guthrie and Daisuke Matszuka. Trying to compare pitchers with hitters contributions is always a bit difficult, but I'll see what I can do here.
Name VORP Win Shares WPA OPS/ERA+
Dustin Pedroia 35.9 19 0.73 112
Jeremy Guthrie 38.2 13 1.39 125
Brian Bannister 37 13 0.59 121
Dice-K 34.9 12 1.68 108
Pedroia's WARP1 value was 5.3 as well. While Guthrie will likely finish 4th in the voting, he seems the be the only other one worthy of the award besides Pedroia. But take into account Pedroia's offensive and defensive contributions and he would get my vote. The NL Rookie of the Year race though is probably the closest besides the NL MVP and it basically comes down to how much you care to factor in defense. Your nominees are Troy Tulowitzki and Ryan Braun.
Name VORP Win Shares WPA OPS/ERA+ WARP 1
Troy Tulowitzki 57 25 2.87 108 8.5
Ryan Braun 37.8 22 4.09 153 3.9
Offense tends to get the most attention and Braun was a true force with the stick. The problem is he almost gave all of it back with his glove, with The Fielding Bible saying he was a minus 41 third basemen compared to Tulowitzki being the top shortstop in the game this year at a plus 35. I'll be back with my Cy Young and MVP picks later in the week but time to breakdown the rumored Jacque Jones for Omar Infante trade.

Comments

Rob G,

I'm a little confused on your logic for dismissing Guthrie because he's not going to win. Are you picking who should win or who you think will win?

With Jones's 2nd half resurgence it suprises me we cannot find someone to take his contract for a low level prospect. Guess we can just release Infante, though I am sure that's not 'the plan'.

I’m a little confused on your logic for dismissing Guthrie because he’s not going to win. Are you picking who should win or who you think will win?

These are my picks for who I think deserves to win and I pick Pedroia.

I'm not sure how i dismissed Guthrie actually, he'd get my 2nd place vote, but I'll think he'll actually finish 4th in the voting today. Most of what I've read and heard recently only talk about Pedroia, Bannister and Dice-K.

Braun wins the NL, Pedroia the AL

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20071...

128 pts for Braun, 126 for Tulo

maybe Guthrie didn't qualify and I missed it because he didn't even get a vote. He showed up on my rookie pitchers list on BP.

Delmon Young 2nd for no good reason...

Pedroia, Young, Bannister, Dice-K, Willits, Okajima, Fields, Soaria

Braun, Tulo, Pence, Young, Kendrick, Escobar, Loney

Wasn't Corpas a rookie? Probably deserved some votes over the last 3.

Guthrie must have passed the some service time limit although he show up on the rookie lists on BP and ESPN.

shows*

Rob G. — November 12, 2007 @ 2:27 pm
Guthrie must have passed the some service time limit although he show up on the rookie lists on BP and ESPN.

====================

ROB G: ESPN and BP are wrong.

Jeremy Guthrie accrued 51 days of MLB service time with the Indians from Opening Day through August 31st in the years 2004-06, making him ineligible to be 2007 A. L. Rookie of the Year because he exceeded the 45 day limit MLB ST coming into this season (albeit by only by six freakin' days!).

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