And the 2007 Awards Go To…

Every year I dip my toes into the post-season awards waters. Here's one man's opinion... Manager of the Year NL - Bob Melvin AL - Mike Scioscia This award seems to usually go to the manager of the team that no one had expectations to win before the season started but my vote usually goes to the manager who had to handle the most adversity throughout the year. I figure it's a lot easier to manage when everyone is healthy and the lineup and bullpen choices were decided in spring training. In the NL though, Bob Melvin seems like a slam-dunk. The Dbacks end up leading the NL in wins and take their division despite being outscored by their opponents over the year. The manager deserves some credit for that I say. Clint Hurdle of the Rockies seems to be the only other skipper worth even mentioning. In the AL, I usually just ignore Francona and Torre since both teams are constructed with Monopoly money. I thought the Hargrove/McLaren duo had a good shot to win in Seattle but they faltered big time down the stretch. I'll give my vote to Mike Scioscia of the Angels. While the starting staff stayed mostly healthy besides Bartolo Colon, the Angels got 150+ games out of only two position players, Cabrera and Vlad, yet cruised to a division title. Rookie of the Year NL - Troy Tulowitzki AL - Dustin Pedroia I'll start with the AL on this one and it seems four candidates have been worth mentioning, Pedroia, Brian Bannister, Jeremy Guthrie and Daisuke Matszuka. Trying to compare pitchers with hitters contributions is always a bit difficult, but I'll see what I can do here.
Name VORP Win Shares WPA OPS/ERA+
Dustin Pedroia 35.9 19 0.73 112
Jeremy Guthrie 38.2 13 1.39 125
Brian Bannister 37 13 0.59 121
Dice-K 34.9 12 1.68 108
Pedroia's WARP1 value was 5.3 as well. While Guthrie will likely finish 4th in the voting, he seems the be the only other one worthy of the award besides Pedroia. But take into account Pedroia's offensive and defensive contributions and he would get my vote. The NL Rookie of the Year race though is probably the closest besides the NL MVP and it basically comes down to how much you care to factor in defense. Your nominees are Troy Tulowitzki and Ryan Braun.
Name VORP Win Shares WPA OPS/ERA+ WARP 1
Troy Tulowitzki 57 25 2.87 108 8.5
Ryan Braun 37.8 22 4.09 153 3.9
Offense tends to get the most attention and Braun was a true force with the stick. The problem is he almost gave all of it back with his glove, with The Fielding Bible saying he was a minus 41 third basemen compared to Tulowitzki being the top shortstop in the game this year at a plus 35. I'll be back with my Cy Young and MVP picks later in the week but time to breakdown the rumored Jacque Jones for Omar Infante trade.

Comments

Rob G,

I'm a little confused on your logic for dismissing Guthrie because he's not going to win. Are you picking who should win or who you think will win?

With Jones's 2nd half resurgence it suprises me we cannot find someone to take his contract for a low level prospect. Guess we can just release Infante, though I am sure that's not 'the plan'.

I’m a little confused on your logic for dismissing Guthrie because he’s not going to win. Are you picking who should win or who you think will win?

These are my picks for who I think deserves to win and I pick Pedroia.

I'm not sure how i dismissed Guthrie actually, he'd get my 2nd place vote, but I'll think he'll actually finish 4th in the voting today. Most of what I've read and heard recently only talk about Pedroia, Bannister and Dice-K.

Braun wins the NL, Pedroia the AL

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20071...

128 pts for Braun, 126 for Tulo

maybe Guthrie didn't qualify and I missed it because he didn't even get a vote. He showed up on my rookie pitchers list on BP.

Delmon Young 2nd for no good reason...

Pedroia, Young, Bannister, Dice-K, Willits, Okajima, Fields, Soaria

Braun, Tulo, Pence, Young, Kendrick, Escobar, Loney

Wasn't Corpas a rookie? Probably deserved some votes over the last 3.

Guthrie must have passed the some service time limit although he show up on the rookie lists on BP and ESPN.

shows*

Rob G. — November 12, 2007 @ 2:27 pm
Guthrie must have passed the some service time limit although he show up on the rookie lists on BP and ESPN.

====================

ROB G: ESPN and BP are wrong.

Jeremy Guthrie accrued 51 days of MLB service time with the Indians from Opening Day through August 31st in the years 2004-06, making him ineligible to be 2007 A. L. Rookie of the Year because he exceeded the 45 day limit MLB ST coming into this season (albeit by only by six freakin' days!).

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  • Lackey finishes with a 3.35 ERA. Currently good for 13th in the NL. Not bad for a guy signed to be a #3 starter in a 15-team league.

    He is also 6th in WHIP. Pretty amazing: Cubs have the #2, #3, #5 and #6 starters in WHIP.

    billybucks 1 hour 11 min ago view
  • Completely meaningless game, but Pena striking out Sean the Turd to with the bases loaded was very fun.

    Other than one bad game in SD, Pena has been very good. Even with that game, 9.0 IP, 13 K, 0.89 WHIP.

    billybucks 1 hour 15 min ago view
  • 101 wins...most since 1910 (104).

    neat. ...or sad. pick one. pick both. 'murica.

    crunch 1 hour 31 min ago view
  • Just looked up Grimm's stats -- after a great run, he gave up 2 runs vs. MIL then didn't pitch for 10 days. Don't remember why?

    billybucks 1 hour 33 min ago view
  • Sean Rodriguez's helmet looks like it's taking a dump

    jacos 1 hour 37 min ago view
  • Grimm not doing himself any favors lately re: making the playoff squad. Seems to have lost the feel for his curveball.

    billybucks 1 hour 42 min ago view
  • j.grimm is literally worse than hitler.

    felix pena, your turn.

    crunch 1 hour 44 min ago view
  • it's been a while since joe's over-managed a game...it's gotta feel good for him to be back in the saddle making people's scorecards look like their pens blew up.

    crunch 2 hours 30 min ago view
  • Fuck a bench spot on the playoff roster, Coghlan is competing to bat cleanup.

    John Beasley 4 hours 46 min ago view
  • barely any...especially for an evening game. place looks 1/2 full at best to start the game.

    crunch 5 hours 8 min ago view
  • Listening on the radio. Are there any fans in the stands at all?

    Brick 5 hours 17 min ago view
  • "An MRI taken Monday on the right side of Jorge Soler showed no major damage."

    crunch 6 hours 18 min ago view
  • rare air though if he can keep it under 2. Sounds like Maddon already made up his mind though and Hendricks seems like the sort that would want to earn it. Guessing he gets a quick hook if he's still under 2 after 5 innings.

    Fwiw, he can give up 1 ER in 5 innings (or more) and still be under 2. If he gives up 2 ER, he would need throw 9 IP to keep it under 2. 1 ER in 4 IP would give him an ERA of exactly 2.

    In terms of WAR, it's still Scherzer by a lot (6.4), then Cueto (5.6), Lester (5.5), Kershaw (5.5), Roark (5.4), and then Hendricks (5.1)

    Rob G. 7 hours 32 min ago view
  • Boring lineup tonight in terms of guys trying to reach milestones -- no KB (40 HR), Addy (100 RBI) or JHey (can he keep it going?), and Lackey isn't really going for anything, plus the team has already reached 100 wins. I get the "rest" thing, although they will have 4 days off after Sunday, but....bleh.

    billybucks 8 hours 16 min ago view
  • Agree -- I think you want to keep him on a regular schedule.

    billybucks 8 hours 35 min ago view
  • Ramos torn ACL

    jacos 9 hours 3 min ago view