Trying to Read a Waffle Iron

I talked with Cubs Organizational Hitting Instructor Dave Keller today, and he admitted that he was the guy in the tower yelling at Felix Pie (in Spanish) after Pie left the AZL Cubs game on Sunday, but that the conversation had to do with Pie verbally being given the hitting schedule for Monday at Fitch Park (which otherwise was an off day for the AZL Cubs), and that there was no animosity involved in the exchange.

I will say this about Coach Keller. Both Felix Pie and the AZL Cubs (as a team) have apparently responded very well to the hitting guru's presence at Fitch, as the Cubs hitters banged out 21 hits on Sunday and had another big day today, and Pie drilled a double, took a bases loaded walk, and hit a grand slam HR over the CF fence in the AZL Cubs 18-1 victory on Sunday, before returning to Iowa yesterday and going 2-4 with a two-run HR, a walk, and two runs scored in the I-Cubs 10-4 victory over Omaha.      

Maybe Dave Keller should ask for a raise!

But Keller can't coach the pitchers, too, and contrary to some early reports in the "traditional" media that Rich Hill had been showing improvement since arriving at Fitch Park last week (I didn't see any), the fact is nothing appears to have changed (at least so far) as far as getting Hill out of his season-long funk.  

Hill got the start yesterday at Peoria versus the AZL Padres and lasted just 1/3 of an inning before being removed from the game, with the following game log:

HBP, BB, BB, E5-RBI, BB-RBI, and 1B-RBI.

Today, Chris Huseby (who has been struggling to throw strikes since Minor League Camp in March) got the start for the AZL Cubs, and he also lasted just 1/3 of an inning before getting the hook, with the following game log:


That's right. Huseby hit the first three batters of the game (ding, dong, dang). 

But Miguel Sierra came into the game in relief of Huseby with one out and the bases loaded, and immediately induced a DP grounder to end the inning.

The AZL Cubs then unloaded, scoring seven runs against the AZL Mariners, including a mammoth HR over the CF fence by 3B John Contreras, his third dinger of the young AZL season (today was game #9). The Cubs then hung-on for a 7-6 victory. 

box score 

The 21-year old Contreras was born in New Jersey but grew up in the Dominican Republic, and he is the prototypical third-baseman (although he plays 1B, too). He has a heavy lower body and "Popeye" powerful forearms, just perfect for hitting bombs away

Besides Contreras's missile, the other offensive hero today was LF Jericho Jones (2008 20th round pick out of Louisiana Tech), who reached base three times on a single, a double, and a walk, stole a base, and scored two runs.  

Best play of the day was a picture-perfect hit & run pulled off by the Cubs in the bottom of the 1st inning. With one out and the Cubs trailing 1-0, Bryan Jost at bat, and Starlin Castro on 1st base, Castro broke for 2nd. The second-baseman left his position to take the anticipated throw from the catcher, and Jost hammered a single right where the second-baseman had been stationed, sending Castro to 3rd base. Castro would later score on a FC ground out. That HAD to make Dave Keller happy.   

Later that same inning, Nelson Perez absolutely CRUSHED a ball off the CF green metal hitting background 400+ feet from home plate, but was thrown out (albeit just barely) trying to stretch a triple into an inside-the-park home run. He did get an RBI out of it, though.

Today's game marked the pro debut of Cubs 2008 4th round draft pick Matt Cerda (Oceanside HS - Oceanside, CA). The 18-year old Cerda served as the DH and hit lead-off, going 0-2 with two walks before being removed for a pinch-runner in the bottom of the 8th.

Cerda played SS in HS, but the Cubs are moving him to catcher (with his consent). Actually, the young man is being moved BACK to catcher, because he was the starting catcher on the 2001 Oceanside LLWS team that went all the way to Williamsport.

AZL Cubs coach Danny Fatheree is mentoring Cerda in the art of catching. And the youngster couldn't ask for a better teacher.   

In AZL Cubs roster news, 2008 24th round pick RHP David Cales (St. Xavier by way of UIC, the U. of Missouri, and Mt. Carmel HS) has arrived at Fitch Park, and he joined the other pitchers sitting in the grandstand about midway through today's game. I hope David is enjoying the 114 degree heat!

I don't know when Cales will get into a game, but it probably won't be too long because he was pitching for the Eau Claire Express in the Northwoods League (a collegiate "wood bat" league) up until the middle of last week, so his arm should be fairly close to "game ready" right now.

The AZL Cubs are still awaiting the arrival of 21st round pick SS Logan Watkins, who has agreed to a $600K bonus (that's a $500K signing bonus plus $100K in college tuition) to give up his chance to play college baseball at Wichita State. The left-handed hitting Watkins was a star baseball and football player at Goddard HS in Goddard, KS, and it took an offer of "2nd round money" from the Cubs to get him to turn pro. 

With the signing of Cales and Watkins, the Cubs have inked 29 of their 51 2008 draft picks, including 24 of their first 27. The only three still unsigned among the Cubs top 27 picks (with August 15th the signing deadline) are 1st round pick RHP Andrew Cashner (TCU), 2nd round pick RHP Aaron Shafer (Wichita State), and 10th round pick RHP Alex Wilson (Texas A&M).

The Cubs will receive compensation picks in next year's Rule 4 Draft if they are unable to sign Cashner and/or Shafer (#20 overall if they don't sign Cashner, and/or #66 overall if the can't sign Shafer).  



Thanks Phil. By the way, the author name is so small, I read "John Contreras" and thought all the way through that he was the writer of the article. I kept thinking, who is this dude and who the hell does he think he is? Then I started picturing an oiled-up wrestling match between him and Phil. Not sure why there was oil involved. Then, upon finishing the article, I looked back at the top and realized Phil wrote it, after all. My mind was again at peace. But maybe an enlarged "submitted by" is in order?

Tyler Colvin was named Southern League player of the week earlier and Rebel Ridling (1b) of Boise named Northwest Player of the Week.

Josh Vitters with a 919 OPS so far in Boise, which is good for only third best on the team behind Ridling and supplemental first rounder Ryan Flaherty (1.061 OPS).

Vitters does have 4 errors already, which leads the team.

rebel ridling and jericho jones?

between them and rocky cherry, now rocky roquet, and buck coats, the cubs have had some great minor league names the last few years.

out here in SF for the week....pretty city, weird ass people, and the park is gorgeous but damn cold. all as expected, all a good trip (no pun intended) and all hoping that dempster can continue the cubs mastery of the NL west.

if ted lilly played in a huge park like this one in SF he would be a perennial cy young candidate.

Top 3 in OPS with a healthy amount of AB's (kind of an arbitray cutoff by me)
Andre Torres .945
Bobby Scales .848
Josh Kroeger .834

Matt Craig 1068
Doug Deeds (acquired in the Craig Monroe trade) 907
Nate Spears (I believe the C-Pat trade) 803

Blake Lalli .878
James Adducci .762
Tony Thomas .732

Marquez Smith .889
Dylan Johnston .797
Jovan Rosa .772

AZ -

Watkins was rated as the #25 prospect in the state of Kansas (per Baseball America). Any idea why the Cubs value him so much to give him that much money? There seems to be a big disconnect between their value of him and the "draft rankings" done by BA. For our sake, I hope their is a story behind this kid.


Cubs Win, I've seen articles on Watkins (in reference to Wichita State, the school he was headed to) that said he was rated as more of a top 5 round prospect but a really difficult sign. Maybe BA just missed on him in terms of potential. Not sure. Here is the link:

"Watkins said professional scouts tell him he could go in the first five rounds or so. He said he will not be an easy player to lure away from college, which could affect his desirability. "Tough signs" with a real commitment to college baseball sometimes drop in the draft. " - quote from link

AZ Phil, I know you compared Starlin Castro to Daytona's Jonathan Mota in the past as more of a utility guy. Is that still true (because he sure seems intriguing when he's doing pretty well at 18 in Mesa and getting so much playing time)?

Hopefully tomorrow's Mesa pitcher (I believe it's Antigua and his 0.00 ERA)can get that all important second out of the first inning...

RAISIN: Thank you for answering Cubs Win's inquiry regarding Logan Watkins. That was excellent.

As for Starlin Castro, I see him as being most comparable (in the Cubs organization, anyway) to Jonathan Mota, but yet not exactly the same. Maybe I should have said that Castro is more like a young Ronny Cedeno (as I remember him), but I would say something like Cedeno-Castro-Mota as far as talent/potential when comparing the three.

Of Castro and Mota, Castro is faster and a better hitter with more power (more like Cedeno), while Mota is a somewhat more consistent defensive player, although Castro should get more consistent with more experience. Both Castro and Mota have the versatility to play 2B-SS-3B.

Long-term I would take Castro over Mota, but I would project both as MLB utility infielders (if they make it that far), with Castro more-likely (of the two) to make it to the big leagues because of his speed and power potential.

Also, AZ Phil, what type of stuff does Jeffry Antigua have? He racks up the groundballs, so I assume his FB has some sort of sink on it. Thanks.

Thanks, AZ Phil. You can never tell with raw, teenage Latin American-born SS in terms of which one will develop the bat to be a big league starter. I do have hope for Hak-Ju Lee, Logan Watkins and Ryan Flaherty giving some nice starting SS depth in the system.

Submitted by Raisin101 on Wed, 07/02/2008 - 5:40pm.

Also, AZ Phil, what type of stuff does Jeffry Antigua have? He racks up the groundballs, so I assume his FB has some sort of sink on it. Thanks.


RAISIN: Jeffry Antigua throws a two seamer, a curve and change. He has good command of all three pitches and appears to be more polished than the other Cubs Latin pitchers making their AZL debut, especially considering he just turned 18 last week. 

When Antigua has had problems it's when he gets mad and overthrows his fastball or when he hangs a curve. But he generally throws strikes.

Jeffry Antigua, Miguel Sierra, and Julio Pena are the three best Latin starting pitcher prospects with the AZL Cubs, and Rogelio Carmona is the best Latin relief prospect. There is no Jose Ceda, Robert Hernandez, or Alberto Cabrera at AZL Cubs this year.

But presuming they can stay healthy, Antigua, Sierra, Pena, and Carmona should move up the ladder to Boise or Peoria next year.

AZ Phil, I noticed (finally), some Cub prospects showing us something. What do you think of these guys:

DUMAS GARCIA: Promoted to AAA after raking in AA. Two weeks ago we were asking "Who is this guy?", and now he is close to ML-ready?
WELLINGTON CASTILLO: The line on him was "good glove, no hit". Now he is hitting. Fluke, or the next Geo Soto?
JOSE CEDA: Maybe the Cubs know what they are doing. He goes from so-so as a starter working on pitches, to Marmol-esque at AA on promotion. On paper, starting to look ML-Ready.

Also, what is the 411 on Marquez Smith? Having a great year, but a little old to be at Peoria.

Thanks for the report on Antigua. Sounds promising...I was going to mention that he sounded advanced/polished like Robert Hernandez did at 18 but I guess he's not that far along. Does Antigua throw hard?

As always, thanks for the fantastic reports.

Raisin, are you the same Raisin who frequents the minor league forum over at NSBB?

The one and the same, 10man.

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  • Lackey finishes with a 3.35 ERA. Currently good for 13th in the NL. Not bad for a guy signed to be a #3 starter in a 15-team league.

    He is also 6th in WHIP. Pretty amazing: Cubs have the #2, #3, #5 and #6 starters in WHIP.

    billybucks 27 min 48 sec ago view
  • Completely meaningless game, but Pena striking out Sean the Turd to with the bases loaded was very fun.

    Other than one bad game in SD, Pena has been very good. Even with that game, 9.0 IP, 13 K, 0.89 WHIP.

    billybucks 31 min 58 sec ago view
  • 101 wins...most since 1910 (104).

    neat. ...or sad. pick one. pick both. 'murica.

    crunch 47 min 46 sec ago view
  • Just looked up Grimm's stats -- after a great run, he gave up 2 runs vs. MIL then didn't pitch for 10 days. Don't remember why?

    billybucks 50 min 33 sec ago view
  • Sean Rodriguez's helmet looks like it's taking a dump

    jacos 54 min 29 sec ago view
  • Grimm not doing himself any favors lately re: making the playoff squad. Seems to have lost the feel for his curveball.

    billybucks 59 min 2 sec ago view
  • j.grimm is literally worse than hitler.

    felix pena, your turn.

    crunch 1 hour 44 sec ago view
  • it's been a while since joe's over-managed a's gotta feel good for him to be back in the saddle making people's scorecards look like their pens blew up.

    crunch 1 hour 46 min ago view
  • Fuck a bench spot on the playoff roster, Coghlan is competing to bat cleanup.

    John Beasley 4 hours 2 min ago view
  • barely any...especially for an evening game. place looks 1/2 full at best to start the game.

    crunch 4 hours 24 min ago view
  • Listening on the radio. Are there any fans in the stands at all?

    Brick 4 hours 33 min ago view
  • "An MRI taken Monday on the right side of Jorge Soler showed no major damage."

    crunch 5 hours 34 min ago view
  • rare air though if he can keep it under 2. Sounds like Maddon already made up his mind though and Hendricks seems like the sort that would want to earn it. Guessing he gets a quick hook if he's still under 2 after 5 innings.

    Fwiw, he can give up 1 ER in 5 innings (or more) and still be under 2. If he gives up 2 ER, he would need throw 9 IP to keep it under 2. 1 ER in 4 IP would give him an ERA of exactly 2.

    In terms of WAR, it's still Scherzer by a lot (6.4), then Cueto (5.6), Lester (5.5), Kershaw (5.5), Roark (5.4), and then Hendricks (5.1)

    Rob G. 6 hours 48 min ago view
  • Boring lineup tonight in terms of guys trying to reach milestones -- no KB (40 HR), Addy (100 RBI) or JHey (can he keep it going?), and Lackey isn't really going for anything, plus the team has already reached 100 wins. I get the "rest" thing, although they will have 4 days off after Sunday, but....bleh.

    billybucks 7 hours 32 min ago view
  • Agree -- I think you want to keep him on a regular schedule.

    billybucks 7 hours 52 min ago view
  • Ramos torn ACL

    jacos 8 hours 20 min ago view