TCR: No Good Will Come of This

Fleita Afoot

The weekly radio baseball gabfest known as "Talking Baseball" (ESPN AM 1000, Chicago) hosted by Bruce Levine (and frequently Chet Coppock, in the role of sidekick) is a nice source of Cub information. Of course you have to wade through lengthy questions that often take minutes to unfold. Interviews with management are usually cloaked in generalizations, clichés and unrequited hope.

This saturday's show featured an interview with Cubs Vice President of Player Personnel, Oneri Fleita, as well as some discussion on the management's thinking behind the recent Mark DeRosa for prospects trade.

Fleita was not going to short change us on clichés like  "You've got to play the games" and  "Everybody starts in first place." Still it was good to hear about prospects in the news like Josh Vitters and the 3 newest pitching prospects acquired from Cleveland.

Bruce Levine updated and opined about the state of the Cubs roster changes including keeping the roster flexible as well as the progress on acquiring a sense of left handedness with attitude (feisty Milton Bradley, scrappy Aaron Miles and the even scrappier Mike Fontenot).

He also has an opinion about Jake da Ace, aka he-who-must-not-be-named.

The incredibly wordy play by play after the jump...

Cubs VP of Player Personnel, Oneri Fleita was interviewed on Bruce Levine's Talking Baseball show hosted by Bruce Levine and Chet Coppock (ESPN radio 1000), Saturday 1-3-09.

Chet Coppock: Asks about what hurdles (Felix) Pie has to vault over with his unique set of tools?

Oneri Fleita: I heard you talking about Corey Patterson before. He (Fleita) was a scout in Georga when we signed CPat. Regarding Pie, the toughest thing to do is to get the job done at the major league level. I'm the guy who alway has to be positive, who says they can do it, it's easier to talk about what they can't do. Pie hit over .300 in winter ball, he's starting to show signs of learning the strike zone. Learning to control emotions. Some guys develop sooner than others.  I still think he can get that done.

Bruce Levine: Who will be this years surprises of the guys coming thru the minor league system. This year's Geo Soto or (previous year) Ryan Theriot? Who should Cub fans be watching?

Fleita: We just acquired  Jeff Stevens (recommended by Stan Zielinski), looks like he could surprise us in camp. Not far down the pipe is  (shortstop) Darwin Barney, (1st round draft choice, pitcher) Andrew Cashner could be on a fast track. You mentioned catcher Soto, the kid Wellington Castillo, he can really catch and throw and handles the bat real well and should start at triple-A level. Jim was with me on a trip last year, right place right time, when we signed a kid pitcher from the Dominican Republic, Esmailin Caridad. He spent minor league time in Japan and could come fast. A number of guys are close and we're always looking for a bigger group of guys that are closer,  but spring training always brings a number of surprises.

Coppock: I'm looking at your game right now, not the demise, but the lack of African-American players on the major league level,  the exponential rise of Latin American ballplayers to the bigs,  down the line (6-8 years) will the latin ballplayers compromise 75-80% of the ballplayers?

Fleita: I hope not. A lot of things contribute to that. Baseball is watered down by other sports, golf, soccer. All sports face this issue. For example, my children play hockey, I didn't grow up playing hockey at all. Our scouting director, Tim Wilken is trying to get into the inner cities. (He's) trying to find those players and get them playing baseball.

Levine: When you see guys like Cedeno and Pie's names bandied about as possible guys used in trades, how do you feel knowing you've help raised some of these guys. Part of your job is player development which is used to get players from other teams. Is it difficult to see guys leave the system before they reach their peak?

Fleita: The longer you do this, you'd think it would get easier and you understand this is a business, but you do get emotionally attached. You become a father figure to a lot of these kids. A lot of these kids are a long way from their home and don't have their father nearby. You've got to understand that this is a business and part of the job is to feed the major league club. (Part of the job is) having the guys in the system to help us acquire the players that will help us win. That's what it's all about but it is difficult.

Levine: How fast of a track is Josh Vitters on? Another name that is heard from other teams that want to make a deal with  the Cubs. One of the first names that comes up.

Fleita: Vitters is by far our best pure hitter in the organization. I believe if we put him in the Florida State league rather than Peoria, he may flourish and move real fast. Peoria in the spring is like Chicago, it's real cold and difficult on a hitter in the midwest league, early in the season, especially players from California,  Florida, Texas,  or somewhere in Latin America, It's tough to swing the bat and young hitters can lose their confidence. He's the best young hitter in this organization and I think will be a very good mlb player.

Coppock: Bruce and I were projecting 2009 for the Cubs. Last year they knocked down the division with 97 victories. Looking at the division, I look up at Milwaukee and they appear to be a shadow of what they were last year without Sabathia. Strohs, Pittsburgh, Reds aren't going to frighten anybody. Would you make book that you'll win the division with 87-88 wins?

Fleita: I won't make book on anything to be honest with you. You've got to play the games. Everybody starts in first place. There are so many things that come into having a good season and winning 87-97 games. The goal all winter from  Jim (Hendry) and Randy Bush's standpoint was to get a lot of players that have versatility, get left handed hitters, they've done a great job in doing that. When you're a manager in the NL, you want to have as many players with versatility, if you have guys who are switch-hitters  or hit left handed and a nice balance of both, you're got a chance to win a lot of games.

Levine: You've got to feel good about this trade for Mark DeRosa. Not for the fact of trading DeRosa, who was popular with everybody including media, players and front office alike, but the fact that you got 3 really good young arms from Cleveland. Not only can they help solidify whatever minor league spots they are sent to but all three can be projected as mlb pitchers.

Fleita: DeRosa, he obviously contributed to much of the success we had here the last couple of years. We lost a couple of guys like Jose Ceda (trade for Kevin Gregg), Donald Veal (rule 5 draft) and Sean Gallagher (last season trade for Rich Harden). To be able to replenish and to add on to pitching, its so difficult to acquire and develop pitching. To bring in guys like Jeff Stevens who is real close to the major leagues. John Gaub, a left handed reliever, who is now healthy, with good stuff. That's an area in the game that everone is always looking for, left handed  pitching, especially relief pitching. The young kid Chris Archer, the needle is pointing north. He's got a great ceiling. He throws in the mid-90's. He's 20 years old. Those are the kind of guys we can't get enough of. I'm thrilled we've added them to the organization.

 


Here are the highlights from the Cub section of the Talking Baseball radio show. The good news is Chet only asked one question. The bad news is it was 3 hours long on a 2 hour show. Most of the commentary is from Bruce Levine.

Bruce Levine discussed the DeRosa trade:

Premise: Cubs locked into $140M payroll (for 40 man roster)

the budget was at $140M before the DeRosa and Marquis trades...saves $11M. (Marquis trade will be announced Monday or Tuesday)
$2.5M for Miles
$8-9M for Bradley (my take: implying year 1), not so sure it implied $8-9 per yr x 3 yrs (my take: expect some backloading).
DLee has a no trade, can't trade ARam, Fuku, Soriano...locked into your Pitchers.

...this left DeRosa as the tradable player, age 34 on last year of his contract. The only way to get more left handed was to move DeRosa. Not the most ideal situation, as at times he was the most valuable and flexible player on the team. This deal gets the team (organization?) younger, more left handed and gets players to help go after Jake Peavy one more time in January (also implying the salary unloading factor plus young pitching aquisition).

Chet Coppock asks about over-unders in terms of Bradley and Fukudome at bats. Bruce Levine expects 400-500 AB's for Fukudome in a platoon with Reed Johnson. Late in games he expects Joey Gathright will be a late inning defensive replacement with Fukudome moving to RF. Fukudome won't be coming out of games that much because of his defensive skills.

Hendry is giving Lou Piniella a roster with the possibility of 4 starting lefty bats in a game (implying Miles at SS, Fontenot at 2B, Bradley in RF and Fukudome in CF; last year had 3 maximum, including Fontenot at 2B, Fukudome in RF, Edmonds in CF).

Levine thinks Hendry is still going after a #1 pitcher and that's why Jake Peavy is back on the radar. Bruce Levine still thinks there is about an 80% chance of a Peavy deal happening.

Caller Question: Aaron Miles, what kind of defensive player is he? Can he fill in SS and can he hit from both sides of the plate?

Miles is not an everyday SS but he's sure handed, has a decent arm but not a great arm, not alot of range, he can't go in the hole at SS. He's not an everyday SS but good for 15-20 games at SS. He's similar to Theriot defensively. He can hit leftys, a .300 hitter who has come a long way. The lefty element of his switch hitting will be a key. The Cubs didn't have a lefty infielder last year (BL temporarily forgets about Fontenot? but he talks about him shortly).

Not sure that Cedeno, Pie will be on the team, both are out of options. Both will be involved in trade talks in the next 2-3 weeks. Not surprising if they both get moved.

The development of Pie is a disappointment in the Cubs organization. The hitting part has not worked out at the major league level (see the Fleita interview above, regarding more on Pie). Discussed a comparison with regard to Corey Patterson, as a touted prospect from the farm system who was a bust, although CPat got more major league time until it was clear he was a failure.

Caller Question: How does DeRosa's departure affect Fontenot?

BL see's more at bats for Fontenot now that DeRosa isn't here. He showed the capacity to hit well and in the clutch last year. Fontenot will platoon with Miles and backup Theriot at SS at times. Miles will also play at SS so both Fonty/Miles gives LouPa lefty flexibility at SS as well as 2B.

 

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#1 Re: Fleita Foot

It will be interesting to see if Fieta gets his wish and Vitters starts off in Daytona. If he suceeds, that could put his ETA as early as '10.

#2 Re: Fleita Foot

Thanks Cubster! Wow - Impressive staying power with the program. I guess I missed a bunch of detail - so I appreciate your attentiveness filling in all of the blank spaces.

I really got the feeling from BL that Hendry will certainly at least try to go after a pitcher such as Peavy - although Lowe is a "custom fit" for little Wrigley and its crazy weather.

#3 Re: Fleita Foot

Padres ownership change has an agreement in principal.

There was also some comment about Jeff Moorad acquiring the Padres. Levine thought Peavy still wants to come to Chicago because the Padres team will be so bad next year even if the new ownership can reverse the salary scaledown that has occurred because of the current owner's ( John and Becky Moores) divorce issues.

I'm thinking the new ownership will kabosh any notion of trading Peavy and that opportunity is probably gone.

I wonder which will happen officially first, the Cubs ownership change or the Padres. Looks like it will be the Padres.
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Whether that is the path Moorad will pursue is pure conjecture at this point. When asked if it could be assumed his involvement would mean Peavy would be removed from the trade market, Moorad replied, “You should assume nothing of the sort. John and Becky (Moores) remain the primary owners of the Padres. I have no influence at all, nor will I have any influence on any of their personnel decisions.”
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http://www3.signonsandiego.com/stories/2009/jan/02...

#4 Re: Fleita Foot

if the Peavy talks are really dead, maybe Hendry can talk Ricciardi into rebuilding and grab Halladay.

#5 Re: Fleita Afoot

someone earlier was mentioning why the Cardinals would just let Miles go...

http://www.stltoday.com/blogzone/bird-land/bird-la...

The Cubs pursuit of Miles intensified the weekend after Christmas, and the entire deal hinged around the Cubs being able to deal second baseman/super utility fielder Mark DeRosa. When they completed that swap with Cleveland, they made their offer to Miles formal. The Cardinals entered at the 11th hour, and Miles said the offer was both a surprise and a complication. He spent many hours laboring over the decision. Miles said the offer from the Cardinals was a two-year deal and that the difference between it and the Cubs’ offer could have been $1 million. Several sources described the Cardinals’ offer as worth a total of around $4.3 million, or $600,000 less guaranteed than the Cubs’ contract.

basically says Cards and particularly LaRussa wanted him back but didn't want to risk paying arbitration prices...

#6 Re: Fleita Afoot

If hitting at Peoria (Midwest League) is such a negative thing for young hitters from CA, TX, or FL in April (and it very likely is), why don't the Cubs just move their basic "A" affiliate to the warmer climate of the South Atlantic League?

Players move back & forth during the season between Fitch Park (Mesa) or Boise and Peoria, or Peoria and Daytona, not between Peoria and Des Moines or Peoria and Chicago, so replacing Peoria with a team in South Carolina or Georgia would make sense, especially if the cold weather in Peoria in April has a negative affect on the confidence of the young Cubs hitters from California, the Deep South, and Latin America... .

#29 Re: Fleita Afoot

The SAL is considered the lowest of A leagues, a notch below Midwest. The competition would not be quite as stiff. (On the other hand, the Yankees has many of their best single A prospects in Charleston, SC this year. I got to catch a couple of their games.) I would imagine finances are involved in the decision too. Peoria draws great Cub crowds and offers exposure for the parent club's prospects, which can translate into more interest in the Cubs.
Besides, what the heck, Cub players better learn to hit in the cold weather, I'd think.

#7 Re: Fleita Afoot

If payroll is as tight as they say it is and if Bradley is as guaranteed to come as it seems like he is, I don't see how Peavy's going to fit. There's no room financially for him. I hope I'm wrong.

#8 Re: Fleita Afoot

Peter Gammons weighs in on a Hendry-Bradley meeting as well as Jake-You-Know-Who:

During the GM meetings at Dana Point, Calif., last November, Cubs GM Jim Hendry drove to L.A. and dined with Milton Bradley. Since then, Bradley has been an inevitability for the Cubs, who need his left-handed bat in their righty-heavy lineup, and his fire, passion and productivity (Bradley led the AL in OPS in 2008). Hendry still wants another starting pitcher and hasn't given up on Jake Peavy, but that may be an ownership issue.

http://insider.espn.go.com/espn/blog/index?entryID...

#12 Re: Fleita Afoot

OUCH....clicked on the iink, and read Gammons drooling over Ricky Nolasco.

#9 Re: Fleita Afoot

Well if we sign him don't expect a 1.000 OPS season from him. Hell don't even expect a .900 OPS season from him.

It will be like Derrek Lee putting up a 1.000 OPS season and people expecting that to be the norm. Bradley is going to be in the .820 to .860 range...and be lucky if he can attain that. But that will be a massive disappointment to the Bradley fan boys expecting him to be a dominate bat. Just like Lee has been a massive disappointment since his career year to alot of people.

#11 Re: Fleita Afoot

imo, that's a little harsh.

i dont think anyone expects a 1.000 OPS season (at least seriously) out of a guy who's more of a 25-30HR hitter than a 30-40HR type.

he should be good for some mid-high .300s ob% and some .500+ slugging.

be nice if he stayed healthy.

#10 Re: Fleita Afoot

I'm skeptical on Bradley as well. I don't know if people are forgetting what type of hitters' haven Arlington is. You have to put it up there with Coors.

Bradley's 2008 splits

Home .358/.466/.679/1.145
Away .290/.410/.462/ .872

The OB is impressive but only 6 of his 22 HRs were hit on the road. Milton also put up some mediocre slugging% seasons in LA and OAK .424, .446, .447. The only glimmer of hope is that in his short stint with the 2007 Padres where his numbers were similar to his 2008 TEX season. Granted it was only 77 ABs but he racked an impressive .299/.379/.597/.977 line in Petco Park.

#23 Re: Fleita Afoot

It's a pity the Cubs don't play in a better hitters ballpark (like the one 7th easiest to hit a HR in last year, compared to the Rangers which was 5th). LA, Oak and SD are all pitcher's parks.

For comparison, Abreu hit .279 .354 .418 on the road last year (.241 .330 .394 the year before) and the Cubs RF'rs hit .250 .350 .381 last year.

#33 Re: Fleita Afoot

...and that's only counting HRs. I guess your smarm manual didn't come with info regarding actual runs scored or even extra base hits.

Runs
1. Arlington 1.142 per game
8. Wrigley 1.068 per game

Hits
4. Arlington
9. Wrigley

2B
8. Arlington
18. Wrigley

3B
1. Arlington
24. Wrigley

#34 Re: Fleita Afoot

Uh... you were the one talking about HR's.

Now describe to me how moving to Wrigley will effect Bradley's likelyhood to get a hit, a double or a triple. That 0 triples he had in Arlington is really going to take a hit. Will that turn into -1 triples this year? He also had more doubles and more non-HR hits and walks on the road last season. What he did do better at home is hit Home Runs - and I pointed out that Wrigley was almost as conducive to HR's as Arlington last year. All this could have easily been found in your dipshit manual.

I am all for applying statistics to make an argument, but don't make an argument, then try to find statistics to back it up, particuarly irrelevant or incorrect ones. I'll call you out on it.

#35 Re: Fleita Afoot

Also, Bradley would be moving from the AL to the NL, and at the risk of offending those who are into the league rivalry, would also be facing inferior pitching. There are a lot of good pitchers in the NL, but as of right now the quality of American League talent is superior.
Factor in the knee injury that carried into 2007 and it's virtually impossible to project numbers for the guy if he's a Cub.

#36 Re: Fleita Afoot

Sorry about the dipshit comment. I think 'smarmy' was a bit overboard (and misused) for a little light sarcasm.

#80 Re: Fleita Afoot

HRs were just one of the factors I originally opined. Notice OBP and OPS, those account for hits, 2B, 3B as I mentioned above so those figures I mentioned are certainly relevant. Smarm is pretty much in most of your posts as sarcasm implies some semblance of humor. If you don't understand the word "smarm", you can study a Rich Eisen broadcast.

#92 Re: Fleita Afoot

Are you obtuse or just stupid?

The difference in his home and road splits were the home runs. 10 hits, 40 extra bases, 10 HR's. I could do the actual math for you, but it would be good for you to exercise your brain.

Sarcasm is " Saying something that is opposite of what is intended to be meant.

Smarm is "Falsely earnest, smug, or ingratiating."

Clue is "What DB is without."

#13 Re: Fleita Afoot

As Levine discussed on last week's show, the instability of when new ownership - and what ownership - takes over the club, is really hampering some of what Hendry's moves have been this off-season.

It sucks for us as fans. Timing is everything.

I keep having fantasies of an owner taking over the club (such as the Rickets family), and in their press conference states unequivically, "I, as the new owner, will be taking losing PERSONALLY on the North Side, and will truly do whatever I can to bring a consistently winning product to the field. The days of the 'Lovable Losers' is over. There is nothing lovable about losing, and I am not going to be a part of it!"

But, of course, I fantasize about Playboy of the Month Centerfolds, too...

#15 Re: Fleita Afoot

Ah.....for those paying attention...back to back Division titles, 3 playoffs in 6 years (plus one near miss), 97 wins last year, spending big bucks for big-name managers, a very competitive payroll and very demanding fans...I think we can safely say the "lovable loser" thing has been gone for a while.

#19 Re: Fleita Afoot

when you work with a 140m payroll you lose the right to bitch about things, imo. hehe...

...well, besides how it's spent.

in this era 10m can buy you solid mid-level+ talent and 20m can buy you some top shelf talent.

spending 50-60m more than your peers is a hell of a "26th man"

#14 Re: Fleita Afoot

Will Milton Bradley be Chicago's next Dennis Rodman or Brian Cox?

Also -- to me, the DeRosa and Wood moves seem to indicate the "new" Cubs mindset. Made with winning in mind (rightly or wrongly), even though they seem a little heartless.

#16 Re: Fleita Afoot

and don't forget this little Gammons drool-ism from the above link:

"Geovany Soto wasn't just the rookie of the year, he changed the Cubs"

#30 Re: Fleita Afoot

There's truth to that statement. Soto's offensive contributions hid a few failures in the middle of the lineup before Ramirez got hot, and he performed well batting 4th or batting 8th. He knew the strike zone, for the most part he was as intelligent a hitter as the Cubs had. Adding a hitter like to the list of the guys the pitcher needs to worry about is bigger than it might seem.

#17 Re: Fleita Afoot

according to a comment by Jon Heyman on the mlb network hot stove show tonight:

Derek Lowe rejected the Mets 3/36.

Wants $16M per year (3/48, gotta do better than Jason Schmidt!)

Supposed other suitors are: Red Sox, Phils, Braves and that ubiquitous Boras Mystery team.

#18 Re: Fleita Afoot

Outstanding job, Cubster. (I noticed you omitted Coppock's denture clicks in your transcript.)

#20 Re: Fleita Afoot

I called Miles scrappy, but whoa ...he's got cojones of steel.

http://www.suntimes.com/sports/baseball/cubs/13604...

a Carol Slezak article in this sunday sun-times:

Spring Training 2000 as an Astro prospect...

"The masked gunman had Aaron Miles in a headlock and pressed a semiautomatic against the back of his head..."

#21 Re: Fleita Afoot

damn.

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