The Cubs dropped their first series of the year losing two of three to Dusty and the Reds. The unfortunate details after the jump.
Why the Cubs Lost: Micah Hoffpauir's glove was the main culprit, costing the Cubs two to three runs. He badly misplayed a flyball by Chris Dickerson into a triple that made the game 1-0. The wind had something to do with it, but a decent RF'er definitely makes the play. Then in the 7th, with runners on 1st and 2nd, he tried to come up throwing on a single by Alex Gonzalez and the ball bounced off his glove making sure two runs score(one may have scored anyway) and Gonzalez made it to third base. A nice play on a suicide squeeze attempt by Zambrano did erase Gonzalez though.
Z pitched well for the most part, but he did throw away a pickoff throw to first base, although it did look like a play Derrek Lee could have made. Wily Taveras made it around to third base on the error and after Z struck out Dickerson, Lou came out to see if Z wanted to walk Joey "Cub-Killer" Votto and set-up the double play with the righty Edwin Encarnacion up next. Z's hubris won out and they brought the infield in and Z got ahead quickly. With Geovany Soto setting up low and outside, Z let one up on the inner half of the plate right at the belt and Votto ripped a double to left-center. The fantastic movement on Z's pitches can be a curse as much an asset at times.
After giving up that second run, the Cubs mounted a rally on a hit and error that put Alfonso Soriano at second base and a Ryan Theriot single up the middle to make it 2-1. The first pitch to Kosukue Fukudome saw Theriot stealing and get this...he was thrown out. A great throw by the catcher right on the bag, but nonetheless, Theriot stealing hasn't been a good idea since 2007.
And the bullpen gave up 3 runs in two innings....so great effort all around.
The Good: The Cubs finally scored a run and Z pitched much better than the boxscore shows, a victim of poor defense for the most part.
Death Pool: Luis Vizcaino surprisingly took the first honor but I still think Neal Cotts leads the way for the next victim. He came in to face Joey Votto and fell behind 3-1, making it 3-2 and then - afraid to walk anyone - left a few pitches down the middle that Votto fouled off and then eventually took out to left center.
Up Next: The Cubs try to find their bats in St. Louis this weekend who just finished off sweeping the Mets.
Comments
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
Ugly coupla games.
Now on to St. Looey, where the Cards just swept the Mets.
Done in by the genius of Dusty again.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
It's over!!!
No chance!!
Bad management!!!
Cats running amok!!
Fan interference!!
Racism!!
Unchecked aggression!!
The Ivey is Brown!!
14th game in season right?
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
Just got back. Honestly, ROB G., the club was just totally "flat", and Harang was on his game (fucking slow, too). No energy, listless.
Fontenot is not an everyday player. Sorry.
Miles really does suck. Bad Hendry!
Theriot is slow - you nailed it.
Soto is molasses.
Hoff is not an OF.
Bradley is a big disappointment. Bad Hendry!
There were baserunners almost every inning. As was the case last night.
What team out there will have winning records with half of the lineup hitting .200 or worse?
Then, there is Neil Cotts...
Re: What team will have a winning record with guys hitting .200
How about the team that just beat us again E-man....
Encarnacion .146
Phillips .184
Hernandez .205
Gonzalez .125
Re: What team will have a winning record with guys hitting ...
Good Point - BUT they do OK with RISP at least in two of three games.
Re: What team will have a winning record with guys hitting ...
Thank you for illustrating how useless batting average is as a statistic.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
OT: A Friend of mine is looking to secure 4 tickets for the Twins/Cubs game for June 13th. If anyone knows who I can have him talk to send me a message. Thanks.
On a semi-related note, this team is starting to remind me of the 2004 edition. Lots of talent not playing to it's potential. This team though has a gaping hole up the middle (as much as I love TheRiot, it's hard to play both the kajun kids when one is struggling), Aaron Miles doesn't inspire confidence, and the bullpen blows.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
http://shop.ebay.com/?_from=R40&_trksid=m38.l1313&...
$100 per for shitty seats if he's interested...
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
"A Friend of mine is looking to secure 4 tickets for the Twins/Cubs game for June 13th."
That is gonna be impossible, unless your friend wants to spend some real money. Probably one of the 2 or 3 most desirable summer games.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
I pretty much told him that any weekend games in the summer are going to be difficult to get, let alone to get 4 of them. I told him stubhub and some other sites, and that normally if you go to the scalpers you can bleacher seats at face value.
Unrelated note: Cubs worth $700 million http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=4090999
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
Dear Cubs, please quit losing games. Daddy's been very angry.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
This drama is already getting on my fucking nerves and it's only late April of his first year.
http://blogs.chicagosports.chicagotribune.com/spor...
I've always been a Hendry supporter, but I really, really hate the 08-09 offseason. DeRosa, Wood, oh how I miss thee.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
What do I win for being the first to call 'bullshit' on Pinhead?
"Nothing has put me over the edge," he replied. "I don't play people unless they're totally healthy. That's been my M.O. throughout my managerial career. With Milton, when he's ready to play, we'll put him out there."
Remind me, who's been the Cubs manager the last two years when Soriano was playing at 85% because of leg woes?
Not that I don't like the decision, it's probably the right one based on his loafing last night, but players don't like it when you stare them in the face and lie, then go to the press and lie to them and Milton probably likes it less than most.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
Are you guys believers yet about Cincy? I predicted long ago that they would shock everyone and make a run at the wildcard.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
It is tough to be a believer in a team when the manager is going to cost them 10-12 games a year. :)
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
When Dusty came to the Cubs as a manger he was 11 games over his expected pythagorean wins.
In his four years with the Cubs he was 7 under.
If you want to use that as a barometer of managerial skill, then he got us into the playoffs in '03 and cost us a spot in '04.
He's 4 over so far with the Reds.
However, I think a lot of us hard-core Dusty haters would say that given his rosters, the teams pretty consistently under achieved when it comes to run differential, so even if he has a knack of over-performing his pythagorean record (outside of Chicago), that is probably better explained by him turning 7-4 vicories into 6-5 victories than any managing acumen.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
If Vinny Del Negro can get a team to the playoffs, anyone can. That team has alot of young talent and if it matures this year they will be in the race for a playoff spot, especially if the Mets and Phils continue to play at a millquetoast level. It is only game 14 guys, so I would not get to wound up. Do you really think the AL playoffs will include Toronto and Seattle? We are only 2 games down in the division and a half game out of the Wild Card. I dont think we can really draw conclussions about worrisome trends until atleast game 35, which is roughly about a fifth of the season and we are still 21 games from that point.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
They've got a solid rotation, now that Harang is good again, a decent lineup despite having no leadoff hitter and a good closer. I'd say they are the 2nd best team in the division. I didn't bother to point it out earlier, because I know you all want to read my predictions about as much as you want to read Manny's recaps.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
I don't think the Reds lineup is good at all, but the rotation is pretty solid with a lot of upside. I think I had Cubs, Cards, Reds, Brewers, Astros, Pirates before the year started. I haven't seen anything to change my mind quite yet, except that Ludwick might not have been a fluke, making the Cards a little bit better. Of course I didn't think Carpenter would go down for 2 months either.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
I really don't like the Cards' defense. The Wellemeyers and Lhose' of the world are not going to look as good as they have in the past with that team playing behind them. Their best offense has got 5 inferior defenders (Glaus, Duncan, Ankiel, Schumaker and Ludwick). I think we're being fooled now by their hot starts with the bats. I'll eat a pretty big shoe if the Cardinals continue to have a .380 OBP and score 6 runs per game.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
well, I doubt they'll keep up .380 OBP and 6 runs per game or whatever they're averaging, but they were 4th in runs scored last year and I think could be even better this year.
the pitching/defense is definitely the weak link, but they were in it for most of last year and the Brewers have taken a big step back. And I don't think the Reds have taken that big a leap forward.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
Remember that last year they were in it despite having a run differential hovering around even. Their luck just evened out. New GM doesn't understand the synergistic effect of good defenders like old GM did. I'd guess that they will be in the 75 to 84 win range, assuming no Pujols injury. I would put the Reds maybe 2 games better than that, assuming their rotation and good hitters stay in there.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
remember they didn't have Chris Carpenter at all or Adam Wainwright (for the most part) last year either. Cards were +31 on July and August 1st in run differential (ahead of Brewers), and +46 on Sept 1st(brewers finally passed them) and finished at +54. Facts are indeed a bitch.
I think they're the 2nd or possibly best team in the division if everything falls apart for the Cubs.
It's just my prediction, pointless to argue now anyway. We'll see in October.
-edit- I guess Wainwright had 20 starts last year, thought he missed more time...not that it really changes anything.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
Numbers from where?
What I can quickly find:
1st half: 23 runs above even .552 winning percentage.
(Cubs for reference 106 runs above even and won 4 more games. So they turned 83 runs more than their opponents into 4 more wins. This should have been 8-9 more wins).
2nd half: 31 runs above even .500 winning percentage.
On the season Runs/Runs Allowed Pythogorean 86 wins. For the real season they had 86 wins. 7th grade math, assuming you're in Pre-algebra at that point tells you that they overacheived during the first half, which is most of the season. 'Hovering around even' is symantics' but when the team your chasing is scoring more than a run a game over their opponents, and you're scoring about .25 a game above yours, I'd call that hovering.
Division, it's a bitch.
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
it's semantics....
so for 40% of the season they underachieved and ended right at their
run differential which is 10 games over .500 and you think they were pretty much a .500 team....
Re: Cubs Lose First Series of the Year
At the end of the season they weren't in competition with the Cubs. When they had the Cubs in hailing distance, it was at the same time they were significantly outperforming their expected wins. When that evened out - they finished way back - in 4th place as a matter of fact.
Re: Cincy has a decent lineup
You're talking about one of the worst scoring teams in major league baseball. We just lost 2/3 at home to a team that can't hit a lick.
In the NL only San Francisco is worse.
Re: Cincy has a decent lineup
You're right. The Reds can't score runs and Toronto is going to break the major league record for runs scored.
Good catch.
Cincy has a pathetic lineup
Given the gaping holes in their offense,nobody, except maybe you, foresees the Reds being a run-scoring machine this year. So far they have NOT disppointed.
Nope, their hopes ride on pitching, defense and Dustbag Magic.
Re: Cincy has a pathetic lineup
You know you're smart when you read "a decent lineup" and turn that into "a run scoring machine".
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