This is What the Cubs Season Has Been Reduced To...
The St. Louis Cardinals magic number sits at 11 before game play started today. That means there is a slim shot they could be clinching against the Cubs this weekend. And whether they do it this weekend or next week or the last day of the season isn't really a big deal, but I'd rather avoid watching the spectacle and the future highlights. So here's a rundown of what would need to happen this week with the Cubs at Milwaukee for four and Cardinals at Marlins for three.
Cardinals sweep 3 from the Marlins, Cubs get swept by Brewers: Cardinals would need to win 2 of 3 this weekend to clinch
Cardinals sweep 3 from the Marlins, Cubs lose 3 of 4 to Brewers: Cardinals would need sweep to win division or 2 of 3 to clinch tie.
Cardinals sweep 3 from the Marlins, Cubs split versus Brewers: Cardinals would need sweep to win the division.
Cardinals sweep 3 from the Marlins, Cubs take 3 of 4 from Brewers: Cardinals would need sweep to clinch tie for the division.
Cardinals sweep 3 from the Marlins, Cubs sweep or take 3 of 4 from Brewers: Cardinals cannot clinch this weekend.
Cardinals win 2 of 3 from the Marlins, Cubs get swept by Brewers: Cardinals would need sweep to win division or 2 of 3 to clinch tie.
Cardinals win 2 of 3 from the Marlins, Cubs lose 3 of 4 to Brewers: Cardinals would need sweep to win the division.
Cardinals win 2 of 3 from the Marlins, Cubs split with Brewers: Cardinals would need sweep to clinch tie for the division.
Cardinals win 2 of 3 from the Marlins, Cubs take 3 of 4 or sweep Brewers: Cardinals cannot clinch this weekend.
Cardinals win 1 of 3 from the Marlins, Cubs get swept by Brewers: Cardinals would need sweep to win division.
Cardinals win 1 of 3 from the Marlins, Cubs lose 3 of 4 to Brewers: Cardinals would need sweep to clinch tie for the division.
Cardinals win 1 of 3 from the Marlins, Cubs split, take 3 of 4 or sweep Brewers: Cardinals cannot clinch this weekend.
Cardinals get swept by Marlins, Cubs get swept by Brewers: Cardinals would need sweep to clinch tie for the division.
Cardinals get swept by Marlins, Cubs lose 3 of 4, split, take 3 of 4 or sweep Brewers: Cardinals cannot clinch this weekend.
On the fanciful side, if the Cardinals get swept by the Marlins and the Cubs sweep the Brewers and then the Cardinals next weekend, the Cubs would be just three games back in the NL Central.
- Congrats to the Cubs' Minor League players of the year, Kyler Burke and Casey Coleman. 21-year old Burke was acquired in the Michael Barrett trade in 2007 and after a rough start to his Cubs career, put up a .911 OPS season in Peoria with 15 home runs and 43 doubles. 21-year old Coleman helped lead Tennessee to the Southern League playoffs (where they have reached finals) with a 14-6 mark and a 3.68 ERA in 149 IP (84 K/58 BB). I've started compiling a list of the award at Wiklifield and if anyone can fill-in from 2003 and earlier, I'd appreciate it, even if you just drop it in the comments.
- Dempster tries to become the third Cubs starter to 10 wins this season. He'll have Theriot, Fukudome (RF), Lee, Ramirez, Soto, Fox (LF), Baker, Fuld (CF) in the lineup to help him.
"trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."
that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.
crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?
And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.
But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.
early tim tebow stuff rolling in...
ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power
it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.
LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.
Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).
it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.
plus, the kids deserve it.
The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either.
That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy.
Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.
"i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."
This level of discourse is #charming.
I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).
Have a nice day.
what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?
i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.
In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.
Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.
The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.
i have no doubt at all you quit reading at that point. you're very enamored with outcomes without caring what it takes to get there.
the fact it's exploitable, especially without someone to cover the running game for him, as well it's evolution in how people are testing possible exploits is interesting to some people...to me...i'm some people...hurrah.
some people want to check the boxscore to see who won, some want to know how it went down.
I read it as him saying it's not really that much of a concern and that the one time it really cost Lester, vs. K.C., was an anomaly.
if jeff says it, it's cool...when i say it, it's straight from the mouth of hitler.
aside from the lack of jeff touching on the insane leads runners take and lester's inability to throw if he's fielding, this is a lot of what i've said about the issue.
exploitable, needs his own personal catcher to control his shortcomings, relies on his ability to get outs along with his personal catcher keeping runners in check before things become further exploited...
That would be Rice Krispy Treat