Cubs Get 16th Pick in Next Year's Draft

Baseball America has the updated draft order for the 2010 MLB draft.

1. Nationals (59-103) 17. Rays (84-78)
2. Pirates (62-99) 18. Mariners (85-77)
3. Orioles (64-98) 19. Tigers/Twins loser (86-77)
4. Royals (65-97) 20. Braves (86-76)
5. Indians (65-97) 21. Tigers/Twins winner (87-76)
6. Diamondbacks (70-92) 22. Rangers (87-75)
7. Mets (70-92) 23. Marlins (87-75)
8. Astros (74-88) 24. Giants (88-74)
9. Padres (75-87) 25. Cardinals (91-71)
10. Athletics (75-87) 26. Rockies (92-70)
11. Blue Jays (75-87) 27. Phillies (93-69)
12. Reds (78-84) 28. Dodgers (95-67)
13. White Sox (79-83) 29. Red Sox (95-67)
14. Brewers (80-82) 30. Angels (97-65)
15. Rangers (for failure to sign Matt Purke) 31. Rays (for failure to sign LeVon Washington)
16. Cubs (83-78) 32. Yankees (103-59)

Thanks to the loss on Sunday, the Cubs first round pick will be protected in case they sign any Type A free agents. The rainout on Thursday helped as well. If they had won that game and tied the Rays at 84-78, the Cubs would have lost the tiebreaker, which is whoever had the worst record the year before and the Cubs finished a half game ahead of the Rays in 2008.

Speaking of free agent compensation, MLB Trade Rumors and Eddie Bajek have posted the final reverse-engineered Elias rankings. It's not official of course, but here is where they have the 4 potential Cub free agents (I'm ignoring Chad Fox).

Kevin Gregg - Type A,  John Grabow - Type A, Rich Harden - Type B, Reed Johnson - None

Of course the Cubs have to offer compensation to reap any benefits from the free agent compensation system and that's pretty doubtful with Kevin Gregg. Chances are they'll just resign John Grabow, but that Type B status for Rich Harden is a bit of a godsend. Other teams are always weary of losing a first or second round pick, but with Type B status, Harden won't cost the signing team anything and the Cubs would get an extra supplemental pick if he signs elsewhere. Now the Cubs just have to offer him arbitration and they'll probably only do that if they're certain he'll sign somewhere else. Considering he's the only starting pitcher with any talent on the free agent market not named John Lackey, I think it's a pretty safe bet he'll at least get a two year offer.

If that scenario does play through, the Cubs would have the 16th pick and a supplemental pick and if the money is there, going after a Type A free agent could very well be in the cards since the Cubs would get back the 2nd round pick they would lose. Better yet, the Cubs should keep all their picks, hopefully gain a couple and save their money on some "signability" kids and continue the process of getting younger and stocking the farm system to replace their suddenly aging major league roster. 

Comments

Miguel Cabrera can really mash...

his wife in the face.

Mrs. Cabrera can confirm he hits for both power and contact.

I pray that those reverse-engineered calculations are right. Harden as a Type B is amazing. I still think he would have gotten at least a 2 year deal if he was a Type A, but now he is much more appealing to other teams, thus (hopefully) increasing the chances that Hendry offers him arbitration. Hendry has made some stupid moves in his tenure, but can he really be dumb enough to not offer Harden arbitration in this situation?

Gregg is gone. Nobody, outside of maybe Hendry himself, would give up a pick, even a 2nd rounder, for Gregg. Grabow will be resigned. It doesn't matter that Reed dropped out of Type B status, as he would have accepted arbitration anyway. He loves it in Chicago. I expect a new 2 year deal for him in the next few months.

12 pitchers, 8 starters, 1 backup catcher, Aaron Miles.

If you sign Reed Johnson what other two (2) players do you keep on your bench?

As of right now it would probably be Fuld and Blanco, but you also have Fox and Hoffpauir in the mix, though Fox is out of options.

EDIT: Oh... and I wouldn't be surprised at all if Miles is not on this team. Actually, I would be surprised if he IS on the Cubs next year.

I'd look to the system to fill the holes.

Blanco/Miles ST battle
Chris Robinson/Steve Clevenger ST battle
Jake Fox 1b/3b/lf/rf/3rd catcher
Sam Fuld cf/5th ofer
Fontenot/Baker

There is your 5 man bench right there. Hopefully someone stops Hendry from getting a 5 million dollar "Veteran Presence" to add to the bench.

Is there a Jake Fox that's going to show up that Lou will play?

And why isn't Koyie coming back?

Koyie is arbitration eligible. I'd figure him to be a non-tender. Easy place to save a million bucks. Probably 50/50 anyhow.

I'm pretty sure they'll need a backup CF/platoon partner for K-Fuk. If they sign a pure CF to replace Bradley and slide Fuku to RF it could be Fox, I guess.
Edit
Fox would be a RF platoon partner, not CF (obviously)

Why are you assuming Miles won't be a starter? I'm counting on him to 'roid up this winter and show up ready to play and have acne by Spring Training.

Hopefully they draft a catcher, because they are getting thin at pitching.

Thank god that season is over. The past many weeks have been dreadful. Last season was disappointing, and this season has been embarrassing. Not sure how much worse 2010 can be but if Teflon Jim is around I am sure he will try to find a way.

I sincerely hope the new owners fire Hendry and get a real GM in here who can lead this organization to the promise land. Hendry is clearly not the man to do so.

I thought the way last season ended was completely debilitating. I didn't watch the playoffs or follow the off season moves very closely. I didn't even want to think about baseball until March. It's because I truly believed they were good enough to go all the way in 08. The three game roll over and die fest was nauseating.

This year I had pretty much come to grips with the fact that they weren't going to do anything back when they went a week seemingly unable to score a run. Good teams simply don't do that. But it was sure nice of Milton Bradley to get on base.

Manny -- Your special brand of sunshine and lollipops is always appreciated :-)

I know you really hate Hendry, but it's hard for me to hate the guy that has built Cubs teams that have had three consecutive winning seasons (2007-09) as well as the first Cubs teams in 100 years to go to the post-season in back-to-back years (2007-08).

Hendry's last off-season was not brilliant by any means, but he still gave Piniella a team that, had they stayed healthy and played even to their career averages, could have contended.

has Ted Williams' frozen head writing their LDS preview...

http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/10175638/The-Ki...

it's fantastic.

Ricketts purchase of the Cubs unanimously approved by MLB owners, per ESPN 1000.

AP is also reporting the sale is approved.

CHICAGO (AP) -- Major League baseball owners have unanimously approved the sale of the Chicago Cubs from Tribune Co. to the Ricketts family.
The vote was made during a conference call Tuesday.
Tom Ricketts, who has headed the sale for his family, could take day-to-day control of the Cubs by the end of the month.
Commissioner Bud Selig says the Ricketts family will be" great owners and custodians of the Chicago Cubs."

At least we finished ahead of the Cardinals in ONE category this year.

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  • sale's skills and insane value makes it almost too hard to have a market for the guy...he's got 3/38m owed to him over 3 seasons (2 team options). he could easily pull in 30m/yr if he was on the market as a FA.

    he's throwing a bit differently this season, especially with more sliders and less changeups like earlier in his career, but all his stuff still looks great even if the HRs are a little elevated and the Ks are down.

    crunch 38 min 39 sec ago view
  • Torres, Happ, McKinney, Jimenez, and Candelario for Sale. Deal or no deal?

    "The White Sox are reportedly asking for “five top prospects” for Chris Sale, FanRag Sports’ Jon Heyman reports."

    John Beasley 51 min 57 sec ago view
  • Unless he develops 30+ HR power and keeps his walk rate close to his K rate at the MLB level, he's not going to turn into Prince Fielder. And even if he does turn into Prince Fielder, he's gonna have a short prime. His very limited athleticism is likely to also detract some value from his ability to reach base--I don't buy making an out as being preferable to base clogging, but you'd certainly prefer just about any base runner other than Vogelbach, David Ortiz, etc.

    Charlie 1 hour 22 min ago view
  • seeing as arod has played a total of 27.1 innings of D at 1st/3rd and somehow managed a -0.5 dWAR with his 1 error at 1st and an overall positive total zone rating...he might end up even more in the shitter via the characteristics/flaws/whatever of how some sites determine various WAR values. dWAR doesn't directly lead to a WAR value, but the 2 main entities pushing the most popular variations of WAR sometimes lead to some interesting discrepancies in value.

    crunch 1 hour 38 min ago view
  • I have a lot of faith in Baez that he's going to turn into a more consistent, solid player. It looks like it took him about a half season or so of futility at the plate to figure out he was not talented enough to get away with the crazy approach he had. I think his running game will eventually have a more measured aggression.

    Charlie 5 hours 32 min ago view
  • I hope the D and bullpen show up. Cubs haven't had much luck against Davies, and he's been going well lately. A little uncomfortable with the Cards only 6.5 back--feels like they're right on our tails compared to the 11 game lead I've grown accustomed to.

    Charlie 5 hours 36 min ago view
  • Cardinals, stop that. Right now.

    billybucks 6 hours 30 min ago view
  • In a year or two, a lot of fans are going to point at trading him as a mistake. He'll probably be slashing something like 280/400/480 for Seattle at the time. Of course, by WAR, he'll still be worth less than 3, since we're talking zero defensive value.

    John Beasley 7 hours 33 min ago view
  • vogelbomb debut for tacoma (AAA SEA)... 3-3, 1bb, 1 HR, 1 double...DH'd.

    while he mostly played 1st considerably more than DH for AAA CHC, DJ Peterson is probably going to see most of the time at 1st for AAA SEA.

    crunch 15 hours 59 min ago view
  • Carl Jr.! Very nice!

    Baez with another "WTF?" play trying a delayed steal with a runner on 3rd and one out.. Remarkable talent, needs to make better decisions.

    billybucks 16 hours 57 min ago view
  • m.montgomery up in the pen with a man on 2nd, 2 out, and rondon 20 pitches into the inning.

    ...and rondon ends it 22 pitches in with a popout to RF.

    crunch 17 hours 6 min ago view
  • I gotta say with the crappy defense the Brewers have displayed outside of Fowler I'm pretty disappointed the offense hasn't shown more and Rizzo seems to be very swing happy lately. That said my god am I happy Madden has finally given Carl Edwards a chance after multiple times up with nothing. I don't think he could handle a starting role with his body frame but his stuff plays so well in a relief role and he seems to be able to handle high stress situations very well.

    johann 18 hours 10 min ago view
  • 2nd at bat. Fowler is good for the Cubs run differential.

    Cubster 19 hours 46 min ago view
  • welcome back fowler.

    crunch 20 hours 12 min ago view
  • More slow news...

    http://chicago.cbslocal.com/2016/07/22/cubs-albert...

    Did Davey Martinez have to bring the shotgun?

    http://www.madcoversite.com/mad104printid.jpg

    Cubster 20 hours 34 min ago view
  • glad to see almora going to AAA to get work.

    .265/.291/.422 through 86PA...2hr, 7 doubles.

    i don't expect too much of an improvement when he's taking over CF next year, but the team doesn't really need him right now as much as they need him to get regular work (imo).

    crunch 22 hours 31 min ago view