TCR: No Good Will Come of This

TCR Friday Notes

A little under the weather and mourning the end of the Bears season, so some brief notes to hold you over for the weekend.

-  To add fuel to my "they better offer Rich Harden arbitration" fire, the Seattle Times suggest the Mariners have some interest in Rich Harden as I imagine a few teams will.

- Our pal Alex Eisenberg at Baseball Intellect has a new premium article scouting left-handed pitcher James Paxton (drafted by the Blue Jays in the supplemental round in the 2009 draft). The video in the game is against LSU and there's three at-bats of D.J. LeMaheiu which he does a little breakdown of. 

- Congrats to Carlos Zambrano on his third Silver Slugger award. I know Z gets a lot of heat for his Babe Ruth like swings and not worrying enough about his pitching, but I suggest if you have a problem with that you should go follow an AL team. Players like Carlos Zambrano is what makes the National League more fun.

- On the Curtis Granderson rumor front, MLBTR has a link up saying the Angels and Tigers have been talking...Granderson would presumably patrol left field.

- And now the greatest 4:30 minutes you'll watch this weekend, hat tip to Big League Stew for the find.

Enjoy the weekend!

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#1 Re: TCR Friday Notes

watched this when you first linked to it, Rob.... Absolutely hilarious, love it

#2 Re: TCR Friday Notes

cco has a nice page with you tube videos of cubs minor leaguers including Castro, Castillo, Vitters, etc.

http://chicagocubsonline.com/archives/2009/11/cubs...

#3 Re: TCR Friday Notes

nice collection.

also, damn...jose iglesias (BOS) puts on a nonchalant slick fielding display in his field work with s.castro...it's almost like he's bored to be there.

#4 More on Granderson

http://www.chicagobreakingsports.com/2009/11/angel...

A source close to the Cubs said today that general manager Jim Hendry is "absolutely'' interested in offering a prospect-heavy package of players if Dombrowski decides to trade the Illinois-Chicago product. Offers have not been exchanged and the source said any potential talks could extend through the winter meetings Dec. 7-10 in Indianapolis.

#5 Re: More on Granderson

Baseball
America's Jim Callis thinks Cubs have inventory to do a Curtis
Granderson trade w/Hak-Ju Lee, not Starlin Castro, as the SS dealt.

http://twitter.com/ChiTribRogers/statuses/5686671520

#22 Re: More on Granderson

Noooooooooooo!

#6 Re: TCR Friday Notes

damn...eric gagne ready to come back as a SP for 2010 via Yahoo Sports, Tim Brown.

#8 Re: TCR Friday Notes

MLBTR says 102.2 innings pitched in 17 starts last year with a 4.65 ERA, don't think that means he'll be an SP for sure in 2010, Brown's reaching there. They link to the original report as well.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2009/11/eric-gagne-w...

http://diamondleung.tumblr.com/post/243021587/eric...

#7 Re: TCR Friday Notes

the M's just gave jack wilson a 2yr/10m contract.

why exactly did they feel the need to replace GMs if they're going to do crap like this?

#9 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Jack Wilson has been worth, on average, just under $8M a year since 2002. 2/$10 isn't unreasonable.

#10 Re: TCR Friday Notes

i am just a severe jack wilson hater...i mean, i understand wanting a guy who can play nice defense, but the guy is neifi perez with a starting job and a dozen more walks a year.

#11 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Hell, Jim Hendry will be paying almost twice that for Grabow(a loogy) and Aaron Miles.

If Jack Wilson was a lefty who knows what we would be offering him right now. (NTC?Player options?personal hitting coaches?)

#12 Re: TCR Friday Notes

grabes isnt a loogie...he's an inning guy. he's actually got an out pitch vs. righties and everything.

#32 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Is $8 per year his Fangraphs number? Those are absolutely off the wall. It's like they do massive amounts of narcotics and make up numbers. Fangraphs claims Mark Teixera was worth $421 million last season. The only guy who believes that is Scott Boros.

#36 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Fangraphs claims Mark Teixera was worth $421 million last season.

Or $23M, which sounds pretty accurate to me.

#13 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Curtis Granderson is exactly the type of speed/power combo player Jim Hendry and Gary Hughes love. If he is available, I believe Hendry will go after him, even if it costs the Cubs Starlin Castro, Andrew Cashner or Jay Jackson, and a third pre-arb auto-renewal guy (like maybe U. of Michigan alum Jake Fox?).

Granderson is signed through 2012 with a 2013 club option, but he only gets $5.5M next season, which would probably be a million or two less than what Marlon Byrd or Mike Cameron would want per year. Then when Granderson's salary increases to $8.25M in 2011 and to $10M in 2012, the Cubs will have contracts coming off the books that would offset the Granderson salary increases at that time.

Also, with Mike Fontenot having been designated as an arbitration-eligible "Super Two" (thanks to the Twins optioning Glen Perkins to AAA on September 2nd), I think it's now fairly likely that Fontenot will get non-tendered on 12/12, and as a result, I believe it's also more likely now that Matt Camp (who is presently tied for 2nd in doubles and tied for 4th in SB in the Mexican Pacific League) will be added to the Cubs 40-man roster at the end of next week. Camp is primarily a 2B-CF, but he has the IF-OF versatility and pinch-running/base-stealing skills that Fontenot lacks, although Camp does not have Fontenot's occasional power.

And as I mentioned on a previous thread a couple of days ago, Milton Bradley to TB for Pat Burrell (with the Cubs & Rays splitting Bradley's 2011 $12M salary) and then Burrell to the Mets for Luis Castillo would be a three-way deal that would help all three teams jettison unwanted flotsam, while adding a player who would (at least marginally) help fill a perceived need and/or (in the case of the Mets) open up 2B for Orlando Hudson.

#14 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Dr. Phil,

If you were running things, would you offer Castro in a Granderson swap?

Would you offer arbitration to Harden and Grabow?

Would you pick up comp draft picks if they happened to be easily available?

Thanks in advace

Aaron B

#20 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Matt Camp--ugh. He's a .271 minor-league hitter with zero power and Fontenot-type speed. He's doing a nice job hitting leadoff for Mexicali, but last night he stole his 9th base and was caught stealing for the 5th time. A guy like that will be discouraged from running in the majors. Piniella doesn't like guys who lack pop and don't steal bases, even if they have so-called speed. See Felix Pie.

I much prefer Robinson Chirinos, who seems to have figured it out, hitting-wise, at the age of 25. Chirinos is playing in Venezuela, where he is out-hitting his teammate Dopirak, who was just added to Toronto's 40-man. (Chirinos: .365/.423/.730/1.153. Dopirak: .283/.381/.496/.876.)

Chirinos is turning into a power hitter: 6 HRs in 63 at bats. He's the guy who hit two grand slams in a game last year. Historically, he's a middle infielder, although they turned him into a catcher in 2008, probably because he doesn't have middle-infielder speed and he wasn't hitting the ball with authority. He is now. A guy who can catch and play second and third and hit could be more useful than Matt Camp.

#24 Re: TCR Friday Notes

I'd be interested to hear what AZ Phil has to say about Chirinos. His A-ball and winter league number pops, but he has yet to impress at AA and hasn't sniffed AAA.

Seems like the main difference between him and Camp is that Camp has put in a little time at AAA (without impressing offensively), can play CF, and has a little speed.

Chirinos hasn't played any AAA but has similar numbers at AA to what Camp does (in fewer PAs), has more recent pop, less speed, and plays C but not outfield.

According to AZ Phil's Rule V list, Matt Camp appears to be Rule V eligible and Chirinos does not, which means Chirinos has a little more time to season in the minors and become a more complete bench player (meaning probably experiencing some offensive success at at least the AA level, perhaps some at the AAA level as well).

#15 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Submitted by Dr. aaron b on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 11:19pm.
Dr. Phil,

If you were running things, would you offer Castro in a Granderson swap?

Would you offer arbitration to Harden and Grabow?

Would you pick up comp draft picks if they happened to be easily available?

Thanks in advace

Aaron B

=================================

AARON B: I would offer Castro in a deal for Granderson, and I would offer arb to both Harden and Grabow.

The Cubs have other SS prospects besides Castro (although Castro is the best one), and I doubt VERY much that Harden would accept arbitration if it was offered, and offering arb to Harden would not keep another club from signing him.

With Grabow, offering him arb would probably keep other clubs from wanting to sign him (because signing him isn't worth losing a 1st or 2nd round pick), so he would probably accept the arbitration offer, and then (if necessary) I would gladly go to arbitration with Grabow, because a one-year deal (even slightly inflated) is better than a two or three year deal with easily attained performance incentives.

#16 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Even though Grabow is a LOOGY?

#17 Re: TCR Friday Notes

the only issue grabes has vs. righties is building to changeup out pitch vs. righties before throwing too much wild stuff.

fastball, slider, change...fastball is 93+mph, slider is lights-out vs. lefties, and the change is good at fooling righties.

he's got the pitches when his control is there. he's not a loog...

#18 Re: TCR Friday Notes

You're mistaken. Here's a quote: "Hell, Jim Hendry will be paying almost twice that for Grabow(a loogy) and Aaron Miles." Next thing your going to tell me is that 2.5 + 3.5 >< 2*5.

#19 Re: TCR Friday Notes

yeah, i didn't even want to put my fingerprints on that one...

#21 For your consideration:

SABREMETRICS 101

Introduction to Sabremetrics by Michael Jong

http://fanhuddle.com/statistics/2009/10/01/intro-t...

#23 Crawford wants out?

From Mike Silva's blog, via Rotoworld:

Carl Crawford is reportedly "livid" the Rays picked up his $10 million option on his original four-year deal signed in 2005 and wants out of Tampa Bay.
The report is from Mike Silva's NY Baseball Digest, which is a fine New York baseball blog, but take it with a grain of salt. Says Silva's source: "He had a handshake agreement with management that they would renegotiate the contract instead of picking up the option and they went ahead and did it anyway. He’s pissed beyond belief." It's highly unlikely Crawford is moved during the offseason, but he'd be prime trade bait if the Rays fall out of the race early. We have trouble believing this report, because Crawford agreed to the option. Why include the option if there was an agreement to rip it up? Additionally, he didn't seem to have a problem with the 2009 option being picked up. Crawford is widely expected to command at last $15 million annually once he hits the open market.

I agree it sounds a little fishy, but hey Tampa, if there is trouble, we'd love to help....

#25 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Brewers didn't want Doumit or Capps for Hardy, asked for Maholm or Duke, says the Robothal.

http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/10357594

#26 Re: TCR Friday Notes

I'm all for Hendry making moves to better this team, but why get excited with the first girl to ask you to prom, when your trying to get lucky! If Hendry is willing to give up a boat load of really good prospect why not try to get the most value you can. Don't just settle for the ugly girl. This team needs so tweaking and I think Wilkins has done a good job in making the minor league system better than the previous regimes.

#27 Re: TCR Friday Notes

Is Granderson the "ugly girl" in this scenario?

#28 Re: TCR Friday Notes

I think Hendry is the ugly girl, but if he makes Castro or Lee available, his dance card will be full at the winter meetings.

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