In Which We Get to Mock My Other Fantasy Draft
I have no delusions that any of you care about my fantasy baseball teams, but the amount of time I put on this site allows me these occasional self-indulgent posts.
So TCR founder and all-around good guy Christian Ruzich invited me to join his auction league and I accepted because...what the hell? I played a few roto leagues before and always hated them, but the auction style was new to me, might as well try it. Here are the pertinent league rules:
* 24-man roster (C C 1B 2B 3B SS CR MI OF OF OF OF OF UT + 10 pitchers) * 5x5: OBP, HR, RBI, R, SB-CS // W, ERA, K, SV, WHIP * Auction with keepers - $270 auction budget * Drafted players get a two-year contract, with option for a 3rd year at salary +10
This was the team I was inheriting and the keeper rule is between 5-10 players and at least $40 of salary, otherwise it comes out of your auction day draft.
Players are listed with name, team, contract, salary, and position eligibility. Contract statuses: 2 = 2nd year, eligible for an option in 2012 at salary + $10 2N = 2nd year, not eligible for an option O = option year J Castro HOU 2 5 C J LuCroy MIL 2N 1 C B Allen ARI 2 1 1/O R Weeks MIL 2 20 2 P Sandoval SFG 2 27 3 E Cabrera SDP 2 21 S C Johnson HOU 2N 1 3 J Bruce CIN O 36 O L Morrison FLA 2 6 O C Young ARI 2 15 O R Gload PHI 2N 1 1 M DeRosa SF 2 16 2/O S Pearce PIT 2 1 1 J Bay NYM 2 28 O T Gwynn LAD 2N 5 O E Velez LAD 2 2 O J Hanrahan WAS 2N 2 P J Happ HOU O 17 P J Johnson FLA O 27 P J Karstens PIT 2N 0 P R Lopez ATL 2N 5 P E Mujica FLA 2N 0 P S Olsen PIT 2N 1 P B Zito SFG O 11 P J Ely LAD 2N 8 P B Lincoln PIT 2N 11 P
I used the Baseball Prospectus fantasy rankings and recommended dollar values as a guide through the process. Bruce and Sandoval were two I wanted to keep but they seemed too expensive. I was right about Bruce (went for $24), not so much on Sandoval(went for $26).
- Rickie Weeks (2B) $20 - BP had him at $18
- Chris Johnson(CI) $11 - could care less abot him, but BP had him at $14, so seemed like value. I'm already regretting it.
- Logan Morrison (OF) $6 - seems to be somewhat of a forgotten prospect this year, well until he started lighting it up in April. $6 was too much of a bargain for an OF with a regular job.
- Chris Young(OF) $15 - power and speed and a $23 suggested value
- J. Johnson(P) $27 - one of my favorite pitchers
- Hanrahan(P) $12 - seemed like what closers were worth
That's $91, leaving me $179 to fill 18 spots. I decided I'd like to go about $180 on hitters and $90 on pitchers. I'd like to say I had a strategy beyond that, but as you'll see, I did not.
To the draft in the order I got them:
- Hanley Ramirez (SS) $42 - I made some runs at Votto, Halladay Cliff Lee , Soto and McCann before this and BP had him at $37. He ended up being the 2nd most expensive player to go in the draft behind Pujols at $43 (Votto was third at $41). I figure it's harder to find a shortstop.
- Chipper Jones(3B) $22 - Meh, BP had him at $13 and by this point their one league value for players was generally being outbid by $8-$10. I was hoping to keep it under $18, but alas let the auction get the best of me. Ian Stewart just went for $16 and I wasn't sure any other good third basemen were left. I should have kept bidding up Stewart, but for some reason I thought Stewart's injury was more serious. Then of course Stewart seems to be fighting for playing time under Tracy, so maybe this will work out still.
- Starlin Castro(MI) $22 - BP had him at $19, so I was willing to go up to $25 here. I get him for two years with a third year option at $10 more, so seemed like good value.
- Alfonso Soriano(OF) $15 - If he can steal a few bases this year, he still has 20 home run pop. Marlon Byrd went for $17 the pick after, so I felt much better after that.
- Stephen Strasburg(P) $7 - That means $7 next year and $17 the
following year. I also made a run at Johan Santana but my budget was dwindling by that point and more worried about Santana's shoulder surgery then Strasburg's TJ surgery.
- Javier Vazquez(P) $13 - Well I know he'll be pitching in a friendly park at least, so far he's been pretty terrible.
- Matt Garza(P) $8 - That seemed like a steal to me with most #2/#3 starters going over $10. It was around this point that I had calculated how much I could afford on each pitcher and hitter and was looking to not spend too abundantly over that average.
- Todd Helton(1B) $5 - one of the last first basemen left and they were
all going for over $10. At the very least he'll help my OBP.
- Kerry Wood(P) $3 - high K's and next in line for saves as most of the closers were gone by then.
- Aaron Harang(P) $6 - like my other league, looking for the Petco bounce back.
- Domonic Brown(OF) $7 - I'm not sure when he'll be back and if he'll play much this year with the Phillies, but seemed like a good shot beyond this season.
- Jonathan LucRoy (C) $4 - broken finger shouldn't linger and in a good lineup with a little home run pwer
- Bill Hall(2B, 3B, OF) $7 - Plays a bunch of spots and hopefully some home runs with the Crawford boxes.
- Humberto Quintero (C) $3 - Having to carry 2 catcher spots is 'effin brutal.
- Sergio Romo (P) $1 - siphon off some saves until Brian Wilson is back, which happened sooner than I hoped and he didn't get any.
- Russell Branyan (UT) $5 - a few garbage home runs and I don't think Juan Miranda is all that secure with the first base job.
- Andrew Cashner (P) $5 - not a lot of folks had money left and at the least the upside is high and hopefully the K's. A good keeper option for next year even if the injury lingers.
- Mike Adams (P) $1 - could be next in line for saves if Bell gets hurt and tons of strikeouts.
There's a $100 free agent budget to work with during the season and a $330 in-season salary cap to try and make things interesting. My final roster with a * indicating disabled list and I'll have to find someone on the waiver wire.
LuCroy*, Quintero, Helton, Weeks, H. Ramirez, C. Jones, Castro (MI), C. Johnson (CI), Morrison, C. Young, Soriano, B. Hall, D. Brown*, R. Branyan (UT).
J. Johnson, J. Vazquez, M. Garza, A. Harang, A. Cashner, S. Strasburg*, J. Hanrahan, S. Romo, M. Adams, K. Wood
As you can see, my pitching staff is a hot mess. I don't really have enough closers for saves and not enough good starters for wins. My K's and WHIP should be alright. Remarkably I am in second place right now without Hanley doing anything.
Some players I had proposed or made strong runs at:
- R. Halladay - went for $36
- B. McCann - went for $23
- Geovany Soto - went for $18
- Cliff Lee - went for $33
- Joey Votto (nominated by me) - went for $41
- Chris Iannatta - went for $17
- Pablo Sandoval (nominated by me) - went for $26
- Zack Greinke - went for $29
- Carlos Pena - went for $25
- Tommy Hanson - went for $23
- Lance Berkman (nominated by me) - $16
- Yovani Gallardo (nominated by me) - $23
- Jay Bruce - $24
- Chris Carpenter (nominated by me) - $24
- Ubaldo Jimenez - $21
- Brad Hawpe (nominated by me) - went for $12
- Ryan Franklin went for $13
- Leo Nunez - went for $13
- Francisco Cordero - went for $16
- Adam LaRoche - went for $16
- Kosuke Fukudome (nominated by me) -$7
- Todd Helton ((nominated by me) - and got him for $5
- Sean Burnett (nominated by me) - $4 (I should have kept bidding on him)
- Quintero, Romo, Branyan and Adams were all also nominated by me and I won the bids.
trevor clifton (high-A) could be interesting in a couple seasons...could even become a high/middle rotation guy. he's got a lot of pluses in his pitching except control.
eric leal's (high-A) progression through the minors should be worth watching even if only projects to be an mid/end-rotation starter.
we also gotta keep a long-distance eye on guys like jose paulino (ss-A) and preston morrison (A).
As Johnny Bach used to say when it was time for the MJ Bulls to crank up the defensive pressure: "Release the Dobermans!", and Jordan, Pippen, Rodman and Harper would just suffocate the other team.
I'd love to add Carl Jr. to that group - he's got the stuff.
Historically, the Moneyball guys have been great at identifying productive hitters. Not so much with pitchers.
Wow - Pierce Johnson with an ERA of 8.01 in 42IP!
What a stud prospect! Must be pitching with a pierced johnson.
Looks like Ryan Williams is the only legit prospect there. That is sad...
Well it would seem that's all they need now. "Stropy" can have his moments, but he's been more consistent post-asg.
Take THAT, Cardinals -- you beat Fernandez, we beat Sale.
I really like Lackey as a 6-inning pitcher.
Three amigos? Because the Dominican, the Venezuelan, and the Cuban?
Maybe the three-headed dragon?
Who says Contreras can't frame? Stone cold robbery of Eaton with that called third strike for the first out in the eighth
Three amigos time?
he should hit more of those. that would be an ideal outcome. /moneyballs
Russell with 19 RBI in July so far. Grand Slams help.
...and Familia with back-to-back blown saves. Blows a one-run lead vs. Rockies today, gets his 2nd consecutive loss.
I am OK with the Mets missing the playoffs and suffering crushing losses at home --- just want them to beat St. Louis.
He played with fire twice agains the Cubs -- unfortunately, the Cubs couldn't stop swinging.
How about Kyle Farnsworth? I know he was consistently upper 90s.
If he puts up Soriano numbers I will be ecstatic
I think Javy is learning--but he's learning to make contact, not learning to lay off pitches out of the zone. A quick glance at his plate discipline numbers on Fangraphs shows that his contact rate is up, especially his contact rate out of the zone, but his swing rate is up too, especially his swing rate out of the zone.
I definitely saw ballpark radar guns go up to 102 on Kerry Wood back when he was still a starter, but who knows how accurate they were.