Get Excited for Your 70 Win Cubs

The blog "Dodger Sims" ran a bunch of simulations using a variety of player projection forecasts. And what's the prediction for 2012?

to the tune of low to mid 70's win totals.

Baseball Prospectus and their PECOTA projections came up with something in the vicinity of 74-76 wins I believe and 4th place as well. We can probably argue over a win or two here, but at least heading into the season, it's clear the NL Central is the haves (Cardinals, Reds, Brewers) and the have-nots (Cubs, Pirates and Astros) with varying degrees of luck and injuries to determine the final order.

As much as I support Jedstein and what I think their plan is, it will make following the team in 2012 just about as fun as 2010 and 2011 were, which was just slightly above "not at all" for me.

***

Not much else to report in the land of Cubsville, players are slowly filtering into camp and you can catch some photos at "Boys of Spring". Jorge Soler to the Cubs report seemed to jump the gun considerably as now just about everyone but the Marlins seems interested. It'll just come down to how much is someone willing to pay and it very well may turn out that the $27.5M the Cubs reportedly are willing to offer will do the trick.

Finally, Hall of Fame catcher and Cubs killer Gary Carter(112 OPS+ for his career against Cubs and 41 HR's, second only to 45 HR's he hit against Phillies) passed away today from brain cancer. Here's a clip of the final hit of his career that just happened to be off the Cubs and Mike Morgan. Harry Caray and Steve Stone with the call.

Enjoy the holiday weekend....

Comments

Its not just Carpenter - its a PNTBL, too. We do not have another guy that throws 100mph. He's not a kid, but the arrow was pointing up on this guy as our future closer.

To the Red Sox, this is obviously Papplebon II to them.

Ugh.

Levine on Espn

Cubs BoSox settled themselves, no Bud involved
Larry Luchino got his way

Cubs have not sat w garzas agent yet
Theo does not want to give ntc, does not believe in them

kiss Garza goodbye

It probably took a little bit of time because of the lack of precedent. But it certainly wasn't because of any animosity.

"We were actually looking at the people involved on the emails last night and we're all really good friends. This process clearly didn't change that. There was no animosity. It was just a process that took a long time in part because we had a lot of things going on."

Even though the above quote is from Levine's blog. On the radio with Waddle/Silvy, BL implied that the reason it took so long was because Larry Lucchino was being bitter and vengeful and was hell bent on making Theo pay as much as he could extract for leaving the sinking ship based on last season's conclusion in Boston.

I recently read the book, 'Feeding the Monster' (http://sethmnookin.com/feeding-the-monster), which is the Redsox history leading to the Henry/Werner, (Lucchino) purchase through about the 2005 season. The relationship between Lucchino and Theo has been continually strained because Lucchino tends to be paranoid when the Boston press portrays any of his 'team' (Theo) making subtle comments which he continually interpreted as throwing him under the proverbial bus. Of course that was a two way street open to interpretation when Theo felt he didn't deserve flak.

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  • Nice inning from Carl Edwards Jr - two straight quality appearances for a pen that could use it.

    Eric S 11 min 56 sec ago view
  • Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Heyward; Baez, J 2; Bryant.

    The E-Man 32 min 34 sec ago view
  • Arrieta pitches like crap and gets a W, Lester pitches brilliantly and doesn't. Baseball!

    Man, have we been giving up a lot of 2-out runs lately. C'mon Hector -- Eugenio Suarez??? Sheesh.

    billybucks 47 min 38 sec ago view
  • 0-2 HBP = Cubbery

    Eric S 48 min 44 sec ago view
  • FFS!!!

    Shit throw by Szczur...

    Rob G. 55 min 31 sec ago view
  • Nice to have a ROB G. bustin' a move with the posts.

    The E-Man 1 hour 14 min ago view
  • Tony Gold Glove!!!

    Rob G. 1 hour 17 min ago view
  • To have Billy Hamilton break your shut-out with an HR is like Iceland winnng in soccer.

    The E-Man 1 hour 23 min ago view
  • Hamilton - good grief. Does he have Lester's number or what!

    Eric S 1 hour 25 min ago view
  • and there it is...

    time to sweat it out now.

    Rob G. 1 hour 26 min ago view
  • Yeah - I was waiting for someone else to comment first so they could shoulder the blame should cubbery prevail.

    Eric S 1 hour 29 min ago view
  • he'd actually have to get through these last 2 innings in 13 or less pitches to pull off an actual Maddux (CG in less than 100 pitches)...and I probably jinxed the whole game with my comment so I'll shut up now.

    Rob G. 1 hour 32 min ago view
  • An efficient one-hitter through seven innings - seems reasonable to me.

    Quite the contrast from last night

    Eric S 1 hour 34 min ago view
  • It's really quite enjoyable watching Lester dissect the strike zone and a lineup like this...dare I say Maddux-like?

    Rob G. 1 hour 39 min ago view
  • Eloy Jimenez and Jeimer Candelario named to Futures Game...

    See past Cubs' participants here. Let me know if you see a mistake or any other info that may prove useful and I can add it.

    http://wiklifield.thecubreporter.com/Cubs_that_Played_in_Futures_Game

    Rob G. 2 hours 29 min ago view
  • Now pitching for the Cincinnati Reds:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JwbUCI9bEvA

    QuietMan 2 hours 45 min ago view