Fun With Small Sample Sizes

After 10 games, the 2012 Cubs are what we thought they were, a poor offensive team with moments of intriguing starting pitching. Here are some rather meaningless numbers I stumbled across...

Cubs 2012 P/PA - 3.71 (Team Leader: I Stewart 4.19)

Cubs 2011 P/PA - 3.74 (C. Pena 4.13)

Cubs 2012 BB/PA - 0.79 (J. Baker 1.76)

Cubs 2011 BB/PA - 0.71 (C. Pena 1.67)

Cubs 2012 SB/CS - 8/11 for 72.7% success rate (pace of 129/178)

Cubs 2011 SB/CS - 69/92 for 75% success rate

Cubs 2012 Offense - 4 Runs Per Game, 10th in NL

Cubs 2011 Offense - 4.04 R/G, 8th in NL

 


 

The Good: Clevenger (1.500 OPS), LaHair (1.119), Castro (.831)

The Okay: DeJesus (.799), Johnson (.779), Stewart (.749)

The Not Okay: Barney (.669), Soriano (.655)

The Awful: Soto (.538), Baker (.448), Mather (.282), Byrd (.212), DeWitt (.191)

 


 

Aramis Ramirez: 114/179/171 0 HR, 5 RBI, 5 R

Ian Stewart: 242/342/424 1 HR, 5 RBI, 4 R

Tyler Colvin: 350/381/600 1 HR, 5 RBI, 3 R

 


Soriano 2012: .313/.343/.313 5.7 BB%, 22.9 K%, .400 BABIP, 43.2 O-Swing% (swings at pitches outside zone), 54.3 O-Contact% (contact on pitches outside of zone when swinging)

 

Soriano 2011: .244/.289/.469 5.3 BB%, 22.2 K%, .266 BABIP, 43.9 O-Swing%, 60.4 O-Contact%

 


 

Cubs 2012 Pitchers: 2.63 K/BB ratio, 1.22 WHIP, 8.08 K/9, 1.022 HR/9

Cubs 2011 Pitchers: 2.11 K/BB, 1.41 WHIP, 7.68 K/9, 1.017 HR/9

Cubs 2012 Run Prevention: 4.80 R/G, 14th in NL

Cubs 2011 Run Prevention: 4.67 R/G, 14th in NL

Cubs 2012 Starters: 4.23 ERA, 9th in NL, 3.73 K/BB, .225 BAA

Cubs 2011 Starters: 4.79 ERA, 16th in NL, 2.12 K/BB, .276 BAA

Cubs 2012 Relievers: 5.47 ERA, 16th in NL, 1.53 K/BB, .250 BAA

Cubs 2011 Relievers: 3.51 ERA, 8th in NL, 2.09 K/BB, .233 BAA

 


 

The Good: Russell (0.00 ERA, 4/1 K/BB), Garza (1.23, 14/3), Dolis (1.80, 1/3), Dempster (1.88, 15/6), Samardzija (3.95 13/1)

The Okay: Lopez (4.50, 1/2), Volstad (4.95, 10/2)

The Not Okay:

The Awful: Camp (6.50, 4/0), Castillo (7.36, 5/2), Marmol (8.10, 4/4), Wood (11.57, 4/3), Maholm (13.50, 4/3)

 


Comments

roids work.

Rights fees paid by cable television channels are behind the growth in team values. Aggregate cable television revenue for baseball’s 30 teams has increased to $923 million from $328 million over the past 10 years. And thanks to new television deals inked by teams like the Houston Astros, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and the Texas Rangers that have yet to kick in, as well as the pending deal for the San Diego Padres and a likely new, rich deal that will begin in 2014 for the Los Angeles Dodgers, local television revenue could exceed $1.5 billion in 2015.

~snip~

Both the Chicago Cubs, who rose 14% in value, to $879 million and the Philadelphia Phillies, who increased 19% in value, to $723 million, are expected to enjoy huge increases in local television revenue when their current deals expire. The Cubs contract with WGN, which televises about half the team’s games, ends following the 2014 season and its deal with Comcast SportsNet Chicago expires after 2019.

your 2015 World Champion Cubs!!!!

http://www.forbes.com/sites/mikeozanian/2012/...

Cubs rank 4th in total valuation (don't ask me how they get these numbers), but have the 2nd worse debt/value ratio behind Mets and are 3rd in revenue brought in and operating income.

live sports TV is becoming a gold mine thanks to Tivo and other passive-watching tools.

people like to watch sports live, it's one area where Tivo isn't totally trampling programming.

delivery of a live-action 3 hour+ block of programming that people will watch for all 3 hours rather than watching the next day and skipping through commercials.

I understand that's how most people do it, but I actually prefer TiVo for sports for the opposite reason. I can watch a Bears game in 70 minutes, and if I time it right, I'm usually catching up to real-time right around when Cutler's throwing the game-ending pick.

LeMahieu enjoying Colorado Springs; 326/373/435 with a HR
Marshall: 3.1 IP, 1 SV, 2.70 ERA, 4 K, 2 BB, 1.8 WHIP
Cashner: 6.2 IP, 2.70 ERA, 6 K, 7 BB, 1.5 WHIP
Flaherty: 0/3 with 3 K's and 1 R
M. Gonzalez: 250/280/333 in 25 PA, 2 K, 1 BB
Colvin's #'s are in the post.

Byrd dives for a ball, looked a bit unnecessary, but regardless, a nice play. If he was on his feet, it's a double play.

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  • early tim tebow stuff rolling in...

    ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power

    it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.

    crunch 8 min 31 sec ago view
  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 1 hour 55 min ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 1 hour 56 min ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 2 hours 2 min ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 2 hours 39 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 2 hours 39 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 2 hours 42 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 2 hours 45 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 2 hours 46 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 2 hours 50 min ago view
  • i have no doubt at all you quit reading at that point. you're very enamored with outcomes without caring what it takes to get there.

    the fact it's exploitable, especially without someone to cover the running game for him, as well it's evolution in how people are testing possible exploits is interesting to some people...to me...i'm some people...hurrah.

    some people want to check the boxscore to see who won, some want to know how it went down.

    crunch 3 hours 3 min ago view
  • I read it as him saying it's not really that much of a concern and that the one time it really cost Lester, vs. K.C., was an anomaly.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 3 hours 8 min ago view
  • if jeff says it, it's cool...when i say it, it's straight from the mouth of hitler.

    aside from the lack of jeff touching on the insane leads runners take and lester's inability to throw if he's fielding, this is a lot of what i've said about the issue.

    exploitable, needs his own personal catcher to control his shortcomings, relies on his ability to get outs along with his personal catcher keeping runners in check before things become further exploited...

    crunch 3 hours 10 min ago view
  • That would be Rice Krispy Treat

    The E-Man 4 hours 29 min ago view
  • "Crunch's cousin"

    Butterfinger or Baby Ruth?

    VirginiaPhil 4 hours 43 min ago view
  • I saw the first three innings and the last three, so I didn't see Arrieta get hit. His stuff looked nasty at first...what happened? Any insight from anyone who watched?

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 4 hours 55 min ago view