“My sh_t doesn't work in the playoffs. My job is to get us to the playoffs. What happens after that is f_cking luck.”In Baseball Between The Numbers, the editors of Baseball Prospectus ask the question raised by Beane’s frank self-analysis: Why hasn't the guy’s sh---t worked? To get to the answer, BP identified 26 different measures of team quality—everything from things like regular season won-loss record, late-season W-L record, run differential, and team playoff experience to the more arcane Percent Of Runs Scored On Home Runs and Isolated Power—and after a lot of number-crunching and analysis, they concluded that three factors have “the most fundamental and direct relationship” to playoff success:
|Soriano LF||Hopper CF|
|Kendall C||Keppinger SS|
|Lee 1B||Votto 1B|
|Floyd RF||Phillips 2B|
|Ramirez 3B||Encarnacion 3B|
|DeRosa 2B||Valentin C|
|Jones CF||Coats LF|
|Theriot SS||Ellison RF|
|Zambrano P||Arroyo P|
You can just look in their dugout and it's just like panic mode. Guys are pacing up and down the dugout.
--Florida's Cody Ross, speaking of your Chicago Cubs
|Morgan CF||Soriano LF|
|McLouth LF||DeRosa 2B|
|Sanchez 2B||Lee 1B|
|LaRoche 1B||Ramirez 3B|
|Nady RF||Murton RF|
|Bautista 3B||Soto C|
|Paulino C||Monroe CF|
|Izturis SS||Theriot SS|
|Maholm P||Marquis P|
|N. Hopper CF||A. Soriano LF|
|J. Keppinger SS||R. Theriot SS|
|K. Griffey RF||D. Lee 1B|
|B. Phillips 2B||C. Floyd RF|
|A. Dunn LF||A. Ramirez 3B|
|E. Encarnacion 3B||M. DeRosa 2B|
|J. Votto 1B||J. Jones CF|
|D. Ross C||G. Soto C|
|T. Shearn P||T. Lilly P|
The comparison isn't Chapman replacing Rondon. It's Chapman replacing Richard (hopefully) in the pen. Chapman's better.
I'm with you, Rob. You pretty much summed up how I feel about it.
Been quite the roller-coaster the past two days -- both games, plus the Chapman kerfuffel. How about a couple of nice, comfortable wins before facing Sale? Cubs should definitely wear throwbacks for that game.
The Cubs are stronger defensively than most of the teams they play. In order to capitalize on that, they have to a) put the ball in play and b) run the bases aggressively.
That said, Cabrera has a strong, accurate arm, as witnessed by his 97 outfield assists over 12 seasons--mostly left field but also a lot of center. Bryant is rarely thrown out, but I guess you have to know who's throwing the ball.
On the other hand, Pries won his first start for Iowa, only giving up two HRs in the process. This trade has got some legs yet!
KB now with 0 RBI in his last 10 games and 1 in his last 15, despite having 19 hits in his last 15 games and raising his batting average from .278 to .286 over that span.
Maybe have Zobrist hit 2 and KB hit 4?
Also -- no HR in the last 15 games -- time for a bunch. Starting tomorrow.
Down a run. Fowler on first. Nobody out. KB singles to left, Fowler makes it to third, perfect throw from Cabrera nails KB trying to stretch for 2nd.
So, instead of 1st & 3rd and no out, you have 3rd with one out. It was a perfect throw, but why take the chance with 3-4-5 hitters coming up?
Must be a Cub thing - our lefties can;t get lefties out.
Splitting hairs, but Jake's pitch was poor execution, while KB's play was a poor decision (and the 2nd time he got thrown out trying to stretch in the game). Poor execution happens. Poor decisions are preventable. Speaking of poor decisions -- Baez's steal of 3rd made absolutely no sense.
Didn't Jake cost them the game with a pitch to Frazier?
Missed the play w/Bryant. What happened?
Not a good decision by Bryant in the 9th. That may have cost them the game.
Can we un-do the Montgomery deal? Please?
THAT WAS TURRIBLE.
Who is this Arrieta guy? Can I get the old one back please?
Well, this is, once again, the whole season for the Sox.