“My sh_t doesn't work in the playoffs. My job is to get us to the playoffs. What happens after that is f_cking luck.”In Baseball Between The Numbers, the editors of Baseball Prospectus ask the question raised by Beane’s frank self-analysis: Why hasn't the guy’s sh---t worked? To get to the answer, BP identified 26 different measures of team quality—everything from things like regular season won-loss record, late-season W-L record, run differential, and team playoff experience to the more arcane Percent Of Runs Scored On Home Runs and Isolated Power—and after a lot of number-crunching and analysis, they concluded that three factors have “the most fundamental and direct relationship” to playoff success:
|Soriano LF||Hopper CF|
|Kendall C||Keppinger SS|
|Lee 1B||Votto 1B|
|Floyd RF||Phillips 2B|
|Ramirez 3B||Encarnacion 3B|
|DeRosa 2B||Valentin C|
|Jones CF||Coats LF|
|Theriot SS||Ellison RF|
|Zambrano P||Arroyo P|
You can just look in their dugout and it's just like panic mode. Guys are pacing up and down the dugout.
--Florida's Cody Ross, speaking of your Chicago Cubs
|Morgan CF||Soriano LF|
|McLouth LF||DeRosa 2B|
|Sanchez 2B||Lee 1B|
|LaRoche 1B||Ramirez 3B|
|Nady RF||Murton RF|
|Bautista 3B||Soto C|
|Paulino C||Monroe CF|
|Izturis SS||Theriot SS|
|Maholm P||Marquis P|
|N. Hopper CF||A. Soriano LF|
|J. Keppinger SS||R. Theriot SS|
|K. Griffey RF||D. Lee 1B|
|B. Phillips 2B||C. Floyd RF|
|A. Dunn LF||A. Ramirez 3B|
|E. Encarnacion 3B||M. DeRosa 2B|
|J. Votto 1B||J. Jones CF|
|D. Ross C||G. Soto C|
|T. Shearn P||T. Lilly P|
bored...looking at stats for the hell of it...
felix pena (26yo) moving to the pen in AAA is looking like an insanely good fit so far in a smallish sample size
13ip 4h 3bb 20K
remembering back to spring training he was regularly hitting mid-90s (though he didn't have a good spring stats-wise). as a starter in the minors he usually worked low-90s.
this could be an arm worth keeping an eye on even if he's only a 1-inning guy who was "demoted" to the pen to start the year.
Phil, historically this front office has been patient with their prep pitchers keeping their IP low and moving them one level at a time. I know I'm getting ahead of myself, and you may not be able to formulate an opinion on this, but you've seen a lot of pitchers over the years, so...
also, after tonight's loss, STL is 13-14.
also also, the wsox are 19-8.
Win tomorrow, and the Cubs would have a 6-game lead. On May 4.
Fully agree on Addy -- hope he is our SS for a long time. I'm just surprised he has 4 errors already -- the last 2 on routine plays.
Guess how many Carlos Correa has?
I would still rather have Russell, right now, than any shortstop the team has had in many years. The future is bright enough to wear shades.
EDIT: Gonzo WOULD have been my favorite, 'cepting a certain error of a double-play ball...
Hi Phil, made it home tonight safely. Looks like Cease is getting better each outing. I see Crow did ok today too. I will be reading your write_ups everyday. Great seeing you while there!
tomorrow's game is a 12:35pm EST game for some ungodly stupid reason...then it's back to wrigley field for a night game on the 5th.
The best part of tonight's game was 6 different players with RBIs. Truly a lineup that doesn't give up top to bottom.
excubs [email protected]_NEWS
Jake Arrieta first Cub to go 6-0 in first six starts since Three Finger Brown in 1908.
Russell now with 4 errors -- that's a big (unpleasant) surprise.
Throwing error to 2nd on a possible double play ball.
Can someone tell me what happened on Russell's error?
BILLY BUCKS: As things stand right now, Dylan Cease will be in the Eugene starting rotation when the NWL season begins play in June, and if he peforms well there he could perhaps move up to South Bend toward the end of the minor league season or for the MWL playoffs (if South Bend qualifies).