Cubs vs. Brewers Series Preview

Cubs (2-1; 1st in NL Central) vs. Brewers (1-2; 4th in NL Central) at Miller Park

Head-to-head Record
First meeting in 2009. Cubs won 9 of 16 games between the teams in 2008.

Pitching matchups
Friday, 3:05pm
Rich Harden (0-0) vs. Braden Looper (0-0)

Saturday, 6:05pm
Carlos Zambrano (1-0, 1.50) vs. David Bush (0-0, 18.00)

Sunday, 7:05pm
Ryan Dempster (0-0, 3.00) vs. Jeff Suppan (0-1, 13.50)

Hot

Cubs
Hard to say anyone is "hot" after just three games, but the big bats came out in Houston after a couple of lackluster games. Ryan Theriot (5/9, .556) and Aramis Ramirez (6/14, .429 with team-high 5 RBI) are off to good starts and hit safely in all three games in Houston. Kosuke Fukudome (4 hits Wednesday night), Mike Fontenot (5/13, .385), and Alfonso Soriano (5/15, .333, 2 HR) have also contributed. Zambrano had an outstanding, highly controlled start in the opener, yielding just one run in 6+ innings.

Brewers
Milwaukee opened on the road in San Francisco, where Mike Cameron went 4-for-7 with 6 BB and a homer. Ryan Braun, 4-for-12 including a pair of doubles, was the only other Brewer regular who did much hitting. Yovanni Gallardo, not pitching in this series, homered against Randy Johnson on Wednesday, the first time Johnson has ever been touched for a home run by an opposing pitcher.

Not So Hot

Cubs
Milton Bradley is hitless in 9 AB so far, though he has drawn a team-high 4 BB. Derrek Lee was 1-for-6 Wednesday night with 3 K's and is hitting just .154 (2-for-13).

Brewers
Against the Giants, Weeks,Fielder, Hart, Hardy, and Kendall went a combined 7-for-57 with 17 K's.

Other notes: The series opener matches the sometimes brilliant and generally brittle Harden against the former Cardinal, Looper, whose Brewer Spring Training debut was delayed until late March by a muscle pull; when he pitched, he didn't pitch well...In case you forgot, the last time the teams met was on the final weekend of the '08 season, when the Brewers took two of three from the Cubs to clinch the NL Wild Card...This series will mark the first matchup between the two teams since former, WGN extra guy in the radio booth, Cory Provus, left 'GN to start calling Brewers games. I thought Provus did a nice job in Chicago, but since he bailed out on us, he is officially dead to me.

 

Comments

No hits and no runs in 1st? I'll still take it. They made Looper throw 24 pitches—that's nice to see in the first.

Harden hitting 93-94 with regularity in the first.
Should put some doubts to rest.

Just catching up on my pre-game notes from Len & Bob. Harden scheduled to throw between 90-95 pitches. Four pitches into the third inning, he has thrown 38 pitches.

Not a bad first hit.

Heh - Harden has struck out everyone in the Brewers' lineup except the pitcher.

Koyie Hill!

Who saw that coming?

Hill-Pauir!!!!

Koy E. Hill

How many pitchers is Lou going to use today?

Unfortunately Aaron Miles was already used as a pinch hitter.

Gregg is not instilling confidence in his new closer role.

I kept looking for his "out" pitch. It never surfaced, except when he pounded it into the ground against no-name.

Theriot is not instilling confidence in his defense.

Awful, awful baseball on that last play.

Little league play that was so bad I'd probably come out of the stands and beat the crap out of the kid who did it.

Not only did he f up that play, but he also cost the Cubs a run in the first, and he blew the pop-up later in the game.

And all around great example of Theriot's poor defense.

Why? What happened? I only saw the small highlight on gameday (blocked out for Brewers games in Wisconsin). Looked like he went deep in the hole, fielded cleanly, and threw home right away. Better throw would have got him.

I'm just getting worried about Gregg, so far his outings have looked like this:

Game 1: Single, Single, Sac Fly, Flyout, Groundout

Game 2: Flyout, Intentional Walk, Walk-off RBI Single

Game 4: K, Groundout, Walk, Double, Wild Pitch, Walk, Walk-off RBI fielder's choice.

He didn't go deep in the hole. He had an tailor-made double play ball, but instead tried to make an ill-advised off-balanced throw to the plate. And he couldn't even make a decent throw.

If he goes to second on that ball, its a double play and the inning is over, and we get extra baseball.

Yeah I just saw it on ESPN, should have turned two. You could see Ramirez throw is hands up in the air like "wtf?"

ESPN guy also said Soriano misplayed the double, froze instead of going back right away. Which begs the question we already asked earlier this year, why is Gathright replacing the best defending outfielder we have in late innings?

I don't agree with this line of thinking, but I'm guessing that Gathright came in for Fukudome instead of Soriano for two reasons:

1. Lou is more concerned about Soriano's ego than Fukudome's.

2. Lou was hoping for extra innings and didn't want to downgrade from Soriano's bat to Gathright's (the downgrade from Fukudome to Gathright being less noticeable).

I could be completely wrong, but that's my guess.

I agree with #1, but Gathright's ego has to be even a lesser concern for Lou, so if Lou is worried about extra innings, why even bring Gathright in at all? Save him. He doesn't really improve the D that much over Fukudome.

We talked about this in parachat after it happened.

I'm not 100% certain that they turn the double play, but they certainly have a much better shot at it than gunning down the run at the plate. I'd also rather lose trying to turn it on Braun than getting Weeks at the plate from that deep.

The question I have is - why does he even try that when they're already at double play depth? You're at double play depth for a reason - turn it!

Well this game was less than satisfying.

I didn't see the first 7 innings or so but it sounded like Harden looked okay. I'd be interested in opinions from the rest of yuz.

I only saw him pitch his last two innings, and listened on the radio for the first four, but from what I saw and heard, he was great. He was hitting mid-90's with his fastball, and great command, and was overall pretty dominating.

Cool. Good to know. Harden is one of those guys I never see. I just kept missing him last year and not quite enough time to watch the replayed games. Saw him in Mesa and his fastball had no movement but it was spring training so I wasn't shocked.

GOD DAMN YOU DUSTY

It always kinda bugged me that Dusty would be so stoic while losing. I liked it when Lou got pissed after Gregg lost control of that pitch to the scrub. I don't remember his name. If I was a pitcher I'd never walk a guy, and then, sure enough, Gregg served up a fat fastball to Weeks. He'll need to learn how to pitch for Lou pretty damn quick.

Gregg coulda gotten a coupla calls from the ump, too. I didn't see much of the game but from what I saw the ump had a worse game than Gregg -- although he was right about Theriot's throw. Not even close.

did you like it when, with a full bench and 1 out with men on the corners he sent a singles hitting groundball hitter up?

lou got pissed, that ruled. shows me he cares.

When you get to be my age you don't give a shit about small manager stuff. They ALWAYS screw up.

For me, it's more about how does the team play. Their fundamentals could still be better, but they were awful under Dusty.

That said, if you have HoffPower in the bench you always bring him in, matchups be damned. The dude rakes.

Things that sucked about this game:

-Theriot awful in the field. Drops a short fly to left after calling Soriano off to try and make a catch with his back to home plate and drops the ball, and throws home in the 9th on a double play ball that would have ended the inning tied.

-Lou torching through the bullpen..but Cotts, Marshall, and Heilman all failed in their roles, not to mention Gregg who will not make anyone forget Kerry Wood by the early returns.

-Did I mention Gregg looks like a crap closer?

-We pull Marmol out of the game so Miles can pinch hit with one out and runners on the corners, only so he can hit into a DP? If you are not going to squeeze, why the hell isn't Hoffpair hitting? This is the second time this season Miles pinch hit ahead of Hoffpair...what is the point of that? I thought Hoff was your new pinch hit guy and he is 1 for 2 in that role???!!

There is no way I should be this frustrated this early in the season...help me out here.

"There is no way I should be this frustrated this early in the season...help me out here."

There's a game tomorrow?

Agreed on all points. What is bothering me is that this team will clearly win a lot of games and likely make the postseason. But so far they look like the same old Cubs in close games. The 9th in game one was way too exciting, game two was lost in extras, game 4 lost in the 9th. They need to develop that killer instinct or attain that level of confidence that championship teams have. Right now, they don't have it, but it's early.

Thanks....a fistful of medication and your posts have had a calming effect. On the plus side...

-Harden looks like the best 4th starter in the league

-Fonte, Theriot, and Fukadome are still hitting

-Bradley finally got one on the board

-K. Hill with some surprising offense

-Marmol is one of the best relievers in pressure situations

K hill actually took some nice cuts in Spring training while I was there. I thought I noticed it last year, too. Not sure where the bad rap comes from. Maybe he has lousy stats -- I haven't checked. But catchers can come on late as hitters -- witness one Hank White, who has definitely improved over the last two years. They're students of the game and ...blah blah

If you're right about that and they make the post season, I'd worry more about D Lee than some of the other stuff, which will work itself out overall. It's true that they didn't have a killer instinct but Bradley may help with that if he doesn't implode into a gelatinous pile of broken tendons.

D Lee got under a pitch really bad today that he would have driven out of the park on a line drive during his one good year with us. Small sample size, but a trend worth watching.

I hope Lou starts easing Hoffpower into more at bats at 1B if that continues, and takes the same attitude with Lee as he has with Kfuk. Although I don't know what our infielders will do if that happens. I guess they'll have to aim at the first baseman's mitt. Which will be really weird for them.

There is some good news today:

A 22-year-old man was charged with three murder counts and drunken driving Friday in the crash that killed Los Angeles Angels rookie pitcher Nick Adenhart and two others.

I enjoy a nip or three, but I NEVER drive. Which is why I'm old (being a Cubs fan for all these years is why I'm blue).

Recent comments

Subscribe to Recent comments
The first 600 characters of the last 16 comments, click "View" to see rest of comment.
  • I think the Cub Reporter should be politics free.
    ---
    Build Bridges. Don't anyone dare pull out a trump card.

    Cubster 7 min 25 sec ago view
  • The Cub offense is in on the con.

    1-for-10 so far w/RISP.

    billybucks 11 min 52 sec ago view
  • swing and a miss.

    i'm gonna like...go stand over there. *points*

    crunch 12 min 31 sec ago view
  • This is all a long con by Arrieta to lull playoff opponents.

    Rob G. 16 min 14 sec ago view
  • the factual correction on your mistakes on your post that I barely bothered to read the first time because it had nothing to do with anything I wanted to talk about is indeed a sign of my degenerative brain condition. I appreciate the safety tip and will be looking into with extreme urgency now.

    Rob G. 38 min 58 sec ago view
  • it took you 4 posts to get to this?

    have you checked the batteries in your carbon monoxide detector?

    #droppingknowledge #savinglives

    crunch 1 hour 3 min ago view
  • Fwiw, Billy Hamilton's actual WAR numbers that relate to the ones that I posted for Mike Trout are:

    • 2014: 2.5
    • 2015: 1.0
    • 2016: 2.6

    But by all means #crunchsplain on the stupidity of WAR while exaggerating your points. I can't wait to read more.

    Rob G. 1 hour 8 min ago view
  • jacos 1 hour 9 min ago view
  • *stroking intensifies*

    crunch 1 hour 12 min ago view
  • #crunchsplaining

    Thanks for the awesome give and take today and for the 535 words you spilled filling in all the gaps that I woefully neglected. We're all a little wiser and better for it. I look forward to your play-by-play summary later in the comments.

    Rob G. 1 hour 19 min ago view
  • it was about a post comparing players based on WAR...and comparing WAR values of a CF to a slew of other players...a post that you made...and i made a comment...that talked about D weighting of WAR...and comparinging WAR values of a CF to a slew of other players...etc etc...

    hell, we didn't even get in deep. i didn't even involve UZR or FIP versions and their strengths/weaknesses...or position mandated "handicapping" in points...etc.

    let's not talk about that...cool, fine, awesome. context sucks. san dimas highschool football rules.

    *shrug*

    crunch 1 hour 26 min ago view
  • Ha

    jacos 1 hour 42 min ago view
  • Thanks for shining a light on this very important topic and steering it away from the frivolity that was the awesomenes of Mike Trout, but moreso on the foolishness of WAR as a metric to judge the value of center fielders. We're all a little wiser now and your contributions are invaluable to this community and to America's pastime. God Bless!

    Rob G. 2 hours 5 min ago view
  • so...what's chan-yong lim up to these days?

    http://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/1088746-korean-le...

    oh...

    crunch 3 hours 29 min ago view
  • yes, those hamilton WAR numbers are very reasonable. i'm on your side now based on that biting commentary and reasoning of why he's a 3.5-ish WAR player over a 600 PA season.

    those numbers are obviously well deserved and worthy of no scrutiny...none at all. no issue.

    CF D is rarer than a jon lester pickoff at 2nd...totally irreplaceable...no way in hell there's good D, low/no-hitting CF's in anyone's system that could do what hamilton is doing. guys like this don't exist...you get like, 2-3 at any given time in history.

    crunch 3 hours 49 min ago view
  • Please do not discuss War here. I think the Cub Reporter should be politics free.

    But yes, whether you support War or Peace...Mike Trout is ridiculously consistent and good.

    blockhead25 6 hours 8 min ago view