Cubs Potential Offseason Targets: Rajai Davis

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Let's give credit to Arizona Phil for this suggestion as he pointed out that Rajai Davis qualified for Super Two status and could be available if the A's want to save some money.

Year Age Tm G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ TB GDP HBP
2006 25 PIT 20 17 14 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 3 .143 .250 .214 .464 22 3 0 0
2007 26 TOT 75 219 190 32 53 11 2 1 9 22 6 21 28 .279 .361 .374 .735 92 71 1 4
2007 26 PIT 24 57 48 6 13 2 1 0 2 5 2 7 3 .271 .357 .354 .711 87 17 1 0
2007 26 SFG 51 162 142 26 40 9 1 1 7 17 4 14 25 .282 .363 .380 .743 93 54 0 4
2008 27 TOT 113 226 214 30 52 5 4 3 19 29 6 8 40 .243 .272 .346 .618 68 74 1 1
2008 27 SFG 12 19 18 2 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 6 .056 .105 .056 .161 -56 1 0 0
2008 27 OAK 101 207 196 28 51 5 4 3 19 25 6 7 34 .260 .288 .372 .660 80 73 1 1
2009 28 OAK 125 432 390 65 119 27 5 3 48 41 12 29 70 .305 .360 .423 .784 112 165 12 7
4 Seasons 333 894 808 128 226 44 11 7 76 93 27 60 141 .280 .336 .387 .724 94 313 14 12
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/26/2009.

Blue Jays vs. Athletics

Those numbers sure are nothing to get you excited, at least not as a starter. On the other hand, he could make an interesting replacement for Reed Johnson as a center field platoon for Kosuke Fukudome if Fukudome stays in center. His career splits don't show a huge advantage versus lefties quite like Reed Johnson. Davis has a career .735 OPS against lefties vs .717 against righties, while Johnson has an .841 OPS versus lefties and just .707 versus righties. On the other hand, Davis is a game changer in the field. Fangraphs and BP both rate him highly as does the Fan's Scouting Report. Those defensive numbers helped contribute to WAR and WARP1 numbers near 4 for 2009 combined with his surge in hitting.

Of course, when you're a speed demon with little power and pedestrian walk rate, you know his BABIP numbers are gonna skew on the high side and lo and behold he had a .366 last year which will be tough to repeat.

I'd probably pass on any potential trade in this case if I were the Cubs. I know the Cubs wanted to add speed to their roster next year and that elusive true leadoff man, but getting in on Davis (maybe a Fuld for Davis trade?), wouldn't be much more different than trading for Juan Pierre or signing Joey Gathright. Yeah, if he could repeat his offensive numbers from last year, his defense and baserunning would make him worthwhile, but I have a hard time giving any assurances that he could repeat those numbers. As a possible platoon partner, he's gonna fare better than Fukudome versus lefties, but just because he's hitting from the right side I don't know if he gives you that much more over Sam Fuld or brining back Reed Johnson.

Comments

Joey Gathright...(shudder)

Don't think it's 3/44, but as of 9 this morning, they're officially the Ricketts Cubs: http://www.chicagobreakingsports.com/2009/10/cubs-...

I sincerely hope that Rickett's first official action as CEO is completely non-goat related.

This seems like the prototypical Hendry acquistion.

(Buying at the absolute highest point of a guys value)

Agreed, Dr. Aaron.

Isn't it just worth it to keep Sammy Fuld at the cheap price and see if his bat can get going a little bit?

From the LA Times Angels blog:
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/angels_blog/2009/1...
"Figgins, even with his .086 postseason average, will be highly coveted in the free agent market, probably getting bids as high as $10 million or $11 million a year. The Angels won't go that high."
Will the Cubs go that high?

Good lord I hope not.

You can get Hermida,Hardy and sign 3-4 signability Amatures in July for that kind of money.

Fight the urge Jimmy. Make him fight the urge Mr. Ricketts.

Your still on the JJ Hardy thing? My god man what don't you get about them not trading Hardy to one of their main rivals in the division? Milton Bradley has a better chance of being anoited a Saint than JJ Hardy ever putting on a Cubs uniform.

agreed. I don't see any chance they deal Hardy to us unless it's a "it's so stupid that we can't pass it up type deal". Furthermore, I wouldn't be surprised if the Cubs are waiting on Castro at shortstop and will use Theriot until Castro's ready.

Will the Cubs go that high?

depends how stupid they decide to be this offseason, that would be an epic waste of money

Lou wants a #5 hitter in the worst way; a much higher priority for him than a Figgins-type lead-off guy.

Seems hihgly unlikely that they could jam both Figgins and a true #5 hitter into a $140 million budget.

where do you think Soriano is gonna bat?

Don't you think its dependent on our new hitting coach's success?

so I guess maybe he'll bat 6th...

finding a good defensive center fielder with the power you want to bat 5th isn't gonna happen I'm guessing. Maybe they'll find one a RFer by sheer luck, and keep Fukudome in CF, but I have my serious doubts...

Not a lot of available CFs that can hit fifth. Cameron could certainly be had on a one-year stopgap deal. Damon would be a stretch both at the 5-hole and in center at this point. DeJesus maybe could be had for the right prospect package. Crawford hasn't played a lot of center but could probably cut it out there, but that'd cost a ton of prospects. So would Carlos Beltran, though there was talk the Mets want to move either him or Reyes so they can buy some pitching.

So would Carlos Beltran, though there was talk the Mets want to move either him or Reyes so they can buy some pitching.

I certainly wouldn't count on Beltran getting moved.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2009/10/carlos-beltr...

fun note if you follow the link in that article, says RSox offered Youk and Shoppach for Beltran to Royals but they went for Buck and Teahan instead.

Pittsburgh has the notoriety because of the losing streak, and almost single-handedly because of Dave Littlefield, but there's a fine argument to be made that KC was the worst team of the decade.

if our main slugger keeps batting 1st this team has more issues than the guy batting leadoff.

Recent comments

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  • trevor clifton (high-A) could be interesting in a couple seasons...could even become a high/middle rotation guy. he's got a lot of pluses in his pitching except control.

    eric leal's (high-A) progression through the minors should be worth watching even if only projects to be an mid/end-rotation starter.

    we also gotta keep a long-distance eye on guys like jose paulino (ss-A) and preston morrison (A).

    crunch 2 hours 39 min ago view
  • As Johnny Bach used to say when it was time for the MJ Bulls to crank up the defensive pressure: "Release the Dobermans!", and Jordan, Pippen, Rodman and Harper would just suffocate the other team.

    I'd love to add Carl Jr. to that group - he's got the stuff.

    billybucks 2 hours 59 min ago view
  • Historically, the Moneyball guys have been great at identifying productive hitters. Not so much with pitchers.

    billybucks 3 hours 33 sec ago view
  • Wow - Pierce Johnson with an ERA of 8.01 in 42IP!

    What a stud prospect! Must be pitching with a pierced johnson.

    Looks like Ryan Williams is the only legit prospect there. That is sad...

    The E-Man 3 hours 2 min ago view
  • Well it would seem that's all they need now. "Stropy" can have his moments, but he's been more consistent post-asg.

    The E-Man 3 hours 11 min ago view
  • Take THAT, Cardinals -- you beat Fernandez, we beat Sale.

    I really like Lackey as a 6-inning pitcher.

    billybucks 3 hours 38 min ago view
  • Three amigos? Because the Dominican, the Venezuelan, and the Cuban?

    Maybe the three-headed dragon?

    John Beasley 3 hours 54 min ago view
  • Who says Contreras can't frame? Stone cold robbery of Eaton with that called third strike for the first out in the eighth

    Eric S 4 hours 25 min ago view
  • Three amigos time?

    7-8-9th

    jacos 4 hours 40 min ago view
  • he should hit more of those. that would be an ideal outcome. /moneyballs

    crunch 8 hours 56 min ago view
  • Russell with 19 RBI in July so far. Grand Slams help.

    billybucks 9 hours 37 min ago view
  • ...and Familia with back-to-back blown saves. Blows a one-run lead vs. Rockies today, gets his 2nd consecutive loss.

    I am OK with the Mets missing the playoffs and suffering crushing losses at home --- just want them to beat St. Louis.

    He played with fire twice agains the Cubs -- unfortunately, the Cubs couldn't stop swinging.

    billybucks 9 hours 41 min ago view
  • How about Kyle Farnsworth? I know he was consistently upper 90s.

    videographer 11 hours 36 min ago view
  • If he puts up Soriano numbers I will be ecstatic

    jacos 13 hours 23 min ago view
  • I think Javy is learning--but he's learning to make contact, not learning to lay off pitches out of the zone. A quick glance at his plate discipline numbers on Fangraphs shows that his contact rate is up, especially his contact rate out of the zone, but his swing rate is up too, especially his swing rate out of the zone.

    Charlie 13 hours 58 min ago view
  • I definitely saw ballpark radar guns go up to 102 on Kerry Wood back when he was still a starter, but who knows how accurate they were.

    Charlie 14 hours 11 min ago view