TCR Free Agent Frenzy 2010

Once again we piggyback on MLB.com's Free Agent Frenzy contest. MLB picks the 15 free agents, you pick the team and then rank them by confidence levels, 15 being the most confident, 1 being the least confident. The submission form is after the jump, otherwise you can follow this link. Be sure to include your name on the bottom and include your email if you want me to contact you directly and don't check the site all the time. The form will not check for duplicate confidence value points, so please check your work (I recommend writing them down first). Entries will be closed on November 23rd at 4pm CST like the official contest OR when the first free agent from the list signs. Whichever comes first. Good luck.

Comments

When are you going to close entries? Last year I submitted too early and was at a disadvantage when a few guys signed/got ready to sign.

I added it to the post, either Nov. 23rd like the official contest or once the first free agent signs, whichever comes first....

-edit- actually if a free agent signs early, presumably with his current team, I'll just eliminate them. If someone already put their picks in and had the correct signing, I'll count it, but otherwise they won't count.

I won the contest. All of mine are right, including the two 3B that I picked for Minnesoty. That's a mistype, but I'm keeping it.

Bay Yankees - Think the Yankees are going to replace Matsui with a RH bat
Bedard Houston - Typical Astros in denial move
Branyan Seattle - Everyone seemed happy last year
Chapman Nationals - In theory could set up a killer rotation with Strasberg and... that other guy they have
Damon Yankees - Move over to DH and bat #1 or #2 like this year - good feeling re-sign
DeRosa Twins - Seems like a Twins type of guy
Dye Oakland - Annual 1-year make good DH guy
Figgins Angels - Feel good resign
Guerrero Angels - Feel good resign
Harden Boston - The Penny/Smoltz deal for 2010
Holliday Boston - Better than Bay for same price
Lackey Dodgers - Looking for a playoff ace
Matsui Seattle - Replace Griffey and make Seattle the go to team for Japananese fans
Tejada Astros - To play 3rd, another denial signing
Valverde Atlanta - Total guess, my 1 point pick... I think.

I've got Bedard going to Philly for that "other starter" they needed to keep up with the spankees. Having said that I strongly considered Houston, I think you're probably dead on.

Don't think the Nats will drop the $$ for Chapman.

I thought I was being creative/original with Lackey to LAD. Oh well.

Valverde was my wild card too, I've got him going to the south side.

I love this crap.

I'm thinking the Dodgers won't be spending big money on free agents this year, but then again they have something crazy like 16 free agents, so I guess they will be spending a lot of money just to have a roster.

Some of these guys it's hard to figure out where they'll go since their agents, mostly Boras, are saying they're worth long term deals at outrageous prices. I don't see most teams signing guys like that. I think some idiot teams give Holliday and probably Lackey and perhaps Bay some big bucks, but the rest of the free agents will be taking shorter deals like last year at reduced prices.

If I were the Cubs I would try and get in on the bargains this time. I know Orlando Hudson dropped off in production and actually got benched at the end of the season, but you can't tell me Fontenot/Miles/Baker is a better combo.

Same thing with Johnny Damon. Unless the Yankees re-sign him, if he ends up looking for a job late and the Cubs haven't filled out the outfield I wouldn't mind him signing to play RF for a year and lead off with Fuku staying in CF.

Johnny Damon doesn't have the arm to play left field anymore.

I'm not sure Johnny Damon has the arm to play 2B anymore.

Bay Giants - If this team could score a few runs they would make a nice postseason push.
Bedard Dodgers - A low budget move.
Branyan Seattle - Seens logical to go back to the place where you had a career year
Chapman Yankees - If he signs: 1)Sabathia 2)Burnett 3)*Lackey 4) Pettite 5) Chapman; the only worry would be figuring out how much ice it takes to keep Dom Parignon at the right temperature for 162.
Damon Yankees - The guy can still hit and run, Cashman can justify throwing money at an aging outfielder.
DeRosa Phillies - Just makes sense for one of the few teams who have money to spend and not many holes.
Dye Angels - A buy low move before spring traning (presumably a one year deal).
Figgins Angels - A good mentor for the young guys (what Garrett Anderson used to be).
Guerrero White Sox - Not a whole lot of power in the lineup and the need for a DH.
Harden Seattle - Seattle's need for pitching is scarey.
Holliday Boston - People say he does not like the AL (that is where the most money will be).
Lackey Yankees - To make the best rotation in baseball (barring some DL stints).
Matsui Yankees - I have no idea where he would play if not the Yankees.
Tejada A's - This should be A's/new team by July 31st.
Valverde Phillies - Plan B.

Bay Mariners 2
Bedard Red Sox 1
Branyan Mariners 15
Chapman Yankees 10
Damon Yankees 12
DeRosa Phillies 5
Dye Red Sox 11
Figgins Angels 14
Guerrero White Sox 9
Harden Mariners 13
Holliday Mets 4
Lackey Mets 3
Matsui Rays 8
Tejada Athletics 7
Valverde Phillies 6

Bay Boston 14 - they know you can get away with bad defense in LF and get him a lot cheaper than Holliday
Bedard Seattle 4 - I could see him and Harden flipping teams here
Branyan Mariners 10 - seemed to work last year
Chapman Yankees 13 - I see the Yanks going for another lefty
Damon Giants 5 - only Damon rumor I've heard so far
DeRosa Phillies 11 - plenty of suitors, but they have a 3B need
Dye Cardinals 3 - no idea honestly
Figgins Angels 8 - plenty of suitors, but Angels have some $$ to keep him
Guerrero Rangers 9 - always did well in Texas
Harden Red Sox 7 - a good value
Holliday Yankees 15 - Yanks, Mets, Red Sox, Angels seem like the only 4 real options
Lackey Dodgers 12 - Dodgers have some $$ to spend
Matsui White Sox 6 - no idea really, I had Seattle until they signed Griffey
Tejada A's 2 - no idea
Valverde Braves 1 - too many closers out there and not enough big market teams to spend on a closer

I'll be thrilled if I get two correct this year...

Bay - Red Sox 9
Bedard - Dodgers 3
Branyan - Mariners 6
Chapman - Red Sox 13
Damon - Yankees 14
DeRosa - Phillies 8
Dye - Orioles 4
Figgins - Angels 15
Guerrero - Rangers 2
Harden - Mariners 7
Holliday - Mets 5
Lackey - Yankees 10
Matsui - Mariners 1
Tejada - A's 11
Valverde - Phillies 12

15 Dero: Phillies- He is a Penn guy and fills their 3B hole and fits in the loose professional nature of their clubhouse.
14 Matsui: NYY- The Yanks love to keep Yankee Legends around and his game 6 performance solidified that.
13. Bay: BOS- His bad defense can be hid by the monster, Theo covets no-drama players and he fits that.
12: Holliday: LAA- Scoiscia type player with his grit and speed and I get the sense he would like to avoid east coast drama if he can get equal dough out of STL or LAA and the Angels can go tow to tow with the bucks the east coasters can throw around.
11: Chapman: NYY- Yanks seem to want add a big name SP and they have depth finacially and talent wise to give him $$$ and let him develop at AAA if he needs it as some think he does.
10 Figgins: LAA- A Scoiscia fave and if the Phils get Dero, I dont see anyone who will pay him what he wants.
9 Lackey: NYM- Mets will want to make a big splash and by signing Lackey they can claim they beat the Yanks at something.
8 Dye: OAK- Beane loves 1 year reunites
7 Vlad: NYM- After missing out on Bay and Holliday, Mets need a LF and Minaya likes to get the Domican stars.
6 Harden: LAD- Dodgers need an ace but cant pay for one and with his injury issues Harden's a blue light special.
5 Valverde: PHI- The CL market will take forever to develop as the good teams either have one or dont want to pay arm and leg for one and the Phils land him for a steal in Janurary.
4 Damon: STL- After losing out Holliday, the Cards decide if they cant a LF to protect Pujols they will get one who can walk and run to maxmize Pujols RBI chances.
3 Tejada: SF- Miggy liked the bay area and the Giants need a CI bat.
2 Branyan: BAL- Branyan looks like he wants to turn in his 09 campaign into his big payday and the O's are looking for CIs and make alot of odd moves.
1 Bedard: Cubs- Jimbo showed alot of interest in him in the Prior/Tejada talks (I wonder where we would have been if Jimbo pulled the trigger on Prior and Hill for Tejada and Bedard three years ago) and Bedard might be looking for an incenive laden deal Jimbo likes to offer to pitchers

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  • it took you 4 posts to get to this?

    have you checked the batteries in your carbon monoxide detector?

    #droppingknowledge #savinglives

    crunch 14 min 14 sec ago view
  • Fwiw, Billy Hamilton's actual WAR numbers that relate to the ones that I posted for Mike Trout are:

    • 2014: 2.5
    • 2015: 1.0
    • 2016: 2.6

    But by all means #crunchsplain on the stupidity of WAR while exaggerating your points. I can't wait to read more.

    Rob G. 19 min 32 sec ago view
  • jacos 19 min 41 sec ago view
  • *stroking intensifies*

    crunch 23 min 10 sec ago view
  • #crunchsplaining

    Thanks for the awesome give and take today and for the 535 words you spilled filling in all the gaps that I woefully neglected. We're all a little wiser and better for it. I look forward to your play-by-play summary later in the comments.

    Rob G. 29 min 39 sec ago view
  • it was about a post comparing players based on WAR...and comparing WAR values of a CF to a slew of other players...a post that you made...and i made a comment...that talked about D weighting of WAR...and comparinging WAR values of a CF to a slew of other players...etc etc...

    hell, we didn't even get in deep. i didn't even involve UZR or FIP versions and their strengths/weaknesses...or position mandated "handicapping" in points...etc.

    let's not talk about that...cool, fine, awesome. context sucks. san dimas highschool football rules.

    *shrug*

    crunch 37 min 34 sec ago view
  • Ha

    jacos 53 min 12 sec ago view
  • Thanks for shining a light on this very important topic and steering it away from the frivolity that was the awesomenes of Mike Trout, but moreso on the foolishness of WAR as a metric to judge the value of center fielders. We're all a little wiser now and your contributions are invaluable to this community and to America's pastime. God Bless!

    Rob G. 1 hour 15 min ago view
  • so...what's chan-yong lim up to these days?

    http://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/1088746-korean-le...

    oh...

    crunch 2 hours 40 min ago view
  • yes, those hamilton WAR numbers are very reasonable. i'm on your side now based on that biting commentary and reasoning of why he's a 3.5-ish WAR player over a 600 PA season.

    those numbers are obviously well deserved and worthy of no scrutiny...none at all. no issue.

    CF D is rarer than a jon lester pickoff at 2nd...totally irreplaceable...no way in hell there's good D, low/no-hitting CF's in anyone's system that could do what hamilton is doing. guys like this don't exist...you get like, 2-3 at any given time in history.

    crunch 3 hours 15 sec ago view
  • Please do not discuss War here. I think the Cub Reporter should be politics free.

    But yes, whether you support War or Peace...Mike Trout is ridiculously consistent and good.

    blockhead25 5 hours 18 min ago view
  • ^^^#WARTruther

    Rob G. 5 hours 30 min ago view
  • "According to FOX Sports' Jon Morosi, Tim Tebow's baseball workout Tuesday in Los Angeles will be attended by scouts from "roughly half" of the 30 major league teams."

    "One scout told ESPN.com last week that Tebow's swing is so long it might "take out the front row." That's not a good thing."

    crunch 8 hours 1 min ago view
  • MyrtleBeachPelicans [email protected]

    The #MBpelicans and @Cubs have extended their PDC through 2020!
    ----
    Carolina League getting 2 new teams too.

    QuietMan 8 hours 20 min ago view
  • CF WAR is ridiculous...billy hamilton is pulling a 3.0 WAR somehow...and managed a 2.0 WAR last year (even though he missed a month of the season)...and a 3.7 WAR in 2014.

    yeah, a lot depends on how one is doing relative to others at a given position, but WAR is common used (right or wrong) as a blanket comparing all kinds of players.

    trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo.

    crunch 8 hours 26 min ago view
  • Rob G. 8 hours 59 min ago view