TCR Free Agent Frenzy 2010

Once again we piggyback on MLB.com's Free Agent Frenzy contest. MLB picks the 15 free agents, you pick the team and then rank them by confidence levels, 15 being the most confident, 1 being the least confident. The submission form is after the jump, otherwise you can follow this link. Be sure to include your name on the bottom and include your email if you want me to contact you directly and don't check the site all the time. The form will not check for duplicate confidence value points, so please check your work (I recommend writing them down first). Entries will be closed on November 23rd at 4pm CST like the official contest OR when the first free agent from the list signs. Whichever comes first. Good luck.

Comments

When are you going to close entries? Last year I submitted too early and was at a disadvantage when a few guys signed/got ready to sign.

I added it to the post, either Nov. 23rd like the official contest or once the first free agent signs, whichever comes first....

-edit- actually if a free agent signs early, presumably with his current team, I'll just eliminate them. If someone already put their picks in and had the correct signing, I'll count it, but otherwise they won't count.

I won the contest. All of mine are right, including the two 3B that I picked for Minnesoty. That's a mistype, but I'm keeping it.

Bay Yankees - Think the Yankees are going to replace Matsui with a RH bat
Bedard Houston - Typical Astros in denial move
Branyan Seattle - Everyone seemed happy last year
Chapman Nationals - In theory could set up a killer rotation with Strasberg and... that other guy they have
Damon Yankees - Move over to DH and bat #1 or #2 like this year - good feeling re-sign
DeRosa Twins - Seems like a Twins type of guy
Dye Oakland - Annual 1-year make good DH guy
Figgins Angels - Feel good resign
Guerrero Angels - Feel good resign
Harden Boston - The Penny/Smoltz deal for 2010
Holliday Boston - Better than Bay for same price
Lackey Dodgers - Looking for a playoff ace
Matsui Seattle - Replace Griffey and make Seattle the go to team for Japananese fans
Tejada Astros - To play 3rd, another denial signing
Valverde Atlanta - Total guess, my 1 point pick... I think.

I've got Bedard going to Philly for that "other starter" they needed to keep up with the spankees. Having said that I strongly considered Houston, I think you're probably dead on.

Don't think the Nats will drop the $$ for Chapman.

I thought I was being creative/original with Lackey to LAD. Oh well.

Valverde was my wild card too, I've got him going to the south side.

I love this crap.

I'm thinking the Dodgers won't be spending big money on free agents this year, but then again they have something crazy like 16 free agents, so I guess they will be spending a lot of money just to have a roster.

Some of these guys it's hard to figure out where they'll go since their agents, mostly Boras, are saying they're worth long term deals at outrageous prices. I don't see most teams signing guys like that. I think some idiot teams give Holliday and probably Lackey and perhaps Bay some big bucks, but the rest of the free agents will be taking shorter deals like last year at reduced prices.

If I were the Cubs I would try and get in on the bargains this time. I know Orlando Hudson dropped off in production and actually got benched at the end of the season, but you can't tell me Fontenot/Miles/Baker is a better combo.

Same thing with Johnny Damon. Unless the Yankees re-sign him, if he ends up looking for a job late and the Cubs haven't filled out the outfield I wouldn't mind him signing to play RF for a year and lead off with Fuku staying in CF.

Johnny Damon doesn't have the arm to play left field anymore.

I'm not sure Johnny Damon has the arm to play 2B anymore.

Bay Giants - If this team could score a few runs they would make a nice postseason push.
Bedard Dodgers - A low budget move.
Branyan Seattle - Seens logical to go back to the place where you had a career year
Chapman Yankees - If he signs: 1)Sabathia 2)Burnett 3)*Lackey 4) Pettite 5) Chapman; the only worry would be figuring out how much ice it takes to keep Dom Parignon at the right temperature for 162.
Damon Yankees - The guy can still hit and run, Cashman can justify throwing money at an aging outfielder.
DeRosa Phillies - Just makes sense for one of the few teams who have money to spend and not many holes.
Dye Angels - A buy low move before spring traning (presumably a one year deal).
Figgins Angels - A good mentor for the young guys (what Garrett Anderson used to be).
Guerrero White Sox - Not a whole lot of power in the lineup and the need for a DH.
Harden Seattle - Seattle's need for pitching is scarey.
Holliday Boston - People say he does not like the AL (that is where the most money will be).
Lackey Yankees - To make the best rotation in baseball (barring some DL stints).
Matsui Yankees - I have no idea where he would play if not the Yankees.
Tejada A's - This should be A's/new team by July 31st.
Valverde Phillies - Plan B.

Bay Mariners 2
Bedard Red Sox 1
Branyan Mariners 15
Chapman Yankees 10
Damon Yankees 12
DeRosa Phillies 5
Dye Red Sox 11
Figgins Angels 14
Guerrero White Sox 9
Harden Mariners 13
Holliday Mets 4
Lackey Mets 3
Matsui Rays 8
Tejada Athletics 7
Valverde Phillies 6

Bay Boston 14 - they know you can get away with bad defense in LF and get him a lot cheaper than Holliday
Bedard Seattle 4 - I could see him and Harden flipping teams here
Branyan Mariners 10 - seemed to work last year
Chapman Yankees 13 - I see the Yanks going for another lefty
Damon Giants 5 - only Damon rumor I've heard so far
DeRosa Phillies 11 - plenty of suitors, but they have a 3B need
Dye Cardinals 3 - no idea honestly
Figgins Angels 8 - plenty of suitors, but Angels have some $$ to keep him
Guerrero Rangers 9 - always did well in Texas
Harden Red Sox 7 - a good value
Holliday Yankees 15 - Yanks, Mets, Red Sox, Angels seem like the only 4 real options
Lackey Dodgers 12 - Dodgers have some $$ to spend
Matsui White Sox 6 - no idea really, I had Seattle until they signed Griffey
Tejada A's 2 - no idea
Valverde Braves 1 - too many closers out there and not enough big market teams to spend on a closer

I'll be thrilled if I get two correct this year...

Bay - Red Sox 9
Bedard - Dodgers 3
Branyan - Mariners 6
Chapman - Red Sox 13
Damon - Yankees 14
DeRosa - Phillies 8
Dye - Orioles 4
Figgins - Angels 15
Guerrero - Rangers 2
Harden - Mariners 7
Holliday - Mets 5
Lackey - Yankees 10
Matsui - Mariners 1
Tejada - A's 11
Valverde - Phillies 12

15 Dero: Phillies- He is a Penn guy and fills their 3B hole and fits in the loose professional nature of their clubhouse.
14 Matsui: NYY- The Yanks love to keep Yankee Legends around and his game 6 performance solidified that.
13. Bay: BOS- His bad defense can be hid by the monster, Theo covets no-drama players and he fits that.
12: Holliday: LAA- Scoiscia type player with his grit and speed and I get the sense he would like to avoid east coast drama if he can get equal dough out of STL or LAA and the Angels can go tow to tow with the bucks the east coasters can throw around.
11: Chapman: NYY- Yanks seem to want add a big name SP and they have depth finacially and talent wise to give him $$$ and let him develop at AAA if he needs it as some think he does.
10 Figgins: LAA- A Scoiscia fave and if the Phils get Dero, I dont see anyone who will pay him what he wants.
9 Lackey: NYM- Mets will want to make a big splash and by signing Lackey they can claim they beat the Yanks at something.
8 Dye: OAK- Beane loves 1 year reunites
7 Vlad: NYM- After missing out on Bay and Holliday, Mets need a LF and Minaya likes to get the Domican stars.
6 Harden: LAD- Dodgers need an ace but cant pay for one and with his injury issues Harden's a blue light special.
5 Valverde: PHI- The CL market will take forever to develop as the good teams either have one or dont want to pay arm and leg for one and the Phils land him for a steal in Janurary.
4 Damon: STL- After losing out Holliday, the Cards decide if they cant a LF to protect Pujols they will get one who can walk and run to maxmize Pujols RBI chances.
3 Tejada: SF- Miggy liked the bay area and the Giants need a CI bat.
2 Branyan: BAL- Branyan looks like he wants to turn in his 09 campaign into his big payday and the O's are looking for CIs and make alot of odd moves.
1 Bedard: Cubs- Jimbo showed alot of interest in him in the Prior/Tejada talks (I wonder where we would have been if Jimbo pulled the trigger on Prior and Hill for Tejada and Bedard three years ago) and Bedard might be looking for an incenive laden deal Jimbo likes to offer to pitchers

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  • If it was 2006 Hendry would be there w a Bible and a contract
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/77...

    jacos 1 hour 41 min ago view
  • he subscribes to my twitter, he's beyond TCR. #yolo #swag

    crunch 2 hours 19 min ago view
  • Whoops. Maddon must have been reading TCR (for his daily crunch) and got confused.

    CTSteve 2 hours 21 min ago view
  • kuhl is a righty, not a lefty.

    i think maddon might think kuhl is a lefty, too. i wonder what the reasoning is for baez leading off vs a rightie.

    crunch 3 hours 2 min ago view
  • "trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."

    that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.

    crunch 3 hours 49 min ago view
  • crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?

    And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.

    But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.

    big_lowitzki 4 hours 54 min ago view
  • early tim tebow stuff rolling in...

    ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power

    it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.

    crunch 5 hours 39 min ago view
  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 7 hours 26 min ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 7 hours 27 min ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 7 hours 34 min ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 8 hours 10 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 11 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 13 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 8 hours 17 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 17 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 8 hours 21 min ago view