Site for Some Sore Winter Eyes

From "Boys of Spring"...

Naturally, Z is working on his hitting.

There's some more pics of John Grabow, Randy Wells and Sean Marshall as well if you follow the above link.

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Comments

Glad to see he's working on his pitching.

~I know, I'm being a jerk~

Looks like budget constraints are keeping the Cubs from issuing Colvin and Marshall some Cubs practice gear.

No matter how hard he works out or how much he slacks off, he always looks the same.

http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/02/sou...

looks like 2 yrs, no $$ amount yet...

guessing $ 15 mil a year

ESPN is reporting 3/37 for Lincecum.

"Right-hander Tim Lincecum and the San Francisco Giants have settled their arbitration case, with the two-time NL Cy Young winner signing a $23 million, two-year contract ahead of Friday's originally scheduled hearing."

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=4...

Hi Giants Management, here is $10 million dollars.

Warm Regards,

Tim Lincecum and my incomptetent agent.

Not sure its incompetence. Dude is 1st year arbitration eligible and is going to get 23 million for service years 3 and 4.

As a pitcher it would seem more prudent to get all the security you can. Mark Prior was Lincecum 6 or 7 years ago.

there's a ton of award bonuses in there as well and let's not forget he's a Super Two...

him and the Giants still get 2 more chances at this arbitration game if another deal isn't worked out...

not sure where Neal came up with $10M, unless he's absolutely positive Lincecum would have won his case this year.

in the end Lincecum gets paid for next year no matter what and he's logged 225+ the last 2 years and is 25. Some people crave a little security...

1 year $5 million is security for life.

He would have won and got probably $18 next year if healthy, so maybe $8 million - but that doesn't include the bonuses.

how do you know he would have won?

you might have had a feeling, but there's no guarantee.

he ended up with $10M this year plus about a $1M in possible bonuses, about the halfway point.

Because his case was better than Howards'.

a little bit, but that depends on convincing that a pitcher is the equal of a position player. Lincecum also asked for $3M more than Howard and I don't believe salaries have gone up much the last 2 years. Lincecum was 23rd and 18th in MVP voting to Howard's 1st and 5th and ROY awards.

and I'm not even sure they could have compared Lincecum to Howard since they play different positions.

I think the Giants low-balled myself at $8M, but Lincecum overshot at $13M as well. The $10-$11M range was probably more appropriate and that's what he's getting.

No, it's not 100% certain, but I am sure if you survey around (and I bet one of the writers does) the consensus is going to be that Lincecum was going to win. Was places in voting mentioned as a criteria? The guy could simply say "here is the list of guys who won the Cy Young award in their first two full seasons:
Lincecum

Here's a list of the guys who didn't:
(every othe pitcher in the history of the game). Howard had won two of the major awards, he got $10 million three years ago. There are no pitching comps - I am incomprable."

Mark Prior won two Cy Youngs in a row! Who knew?

He was the best pitcher in the NL. Maybe for only 18 months. Similar to Lincecum over the last 24 or so months.

i hope that's not in any specific order because if it is it's loaded with retardation. good info aside from that, though.

Of course it's not in any specific order. Castro would be first on the list if it was. Long live hype.

s.strasburg is #31 on the list...for instance.

fwiw, the actual info in the article is top notch stuff, but the order is a little confusing.

maybe it's cuz strasburg throws an inverted-W therefore his arm is 100% gonna fall off just like john smoltz's waited 20 years to do...wait...

it's not a ceiling prospect list, it's a list of guys that could impact this season.

Strasburg will probably start in the minors.

i know..i still disagree with the ranking, though.

the important part is the info and the stats along with the info is handy.

speaking of arbitration

Corey hart won his somehow for $4.8M

http://twitter.com/Haudricourt/status/9008698790

power pays.

arb guys know very rudimentary stuff about baseball aside from their own personal study. power pays historically.

he had 12 Hr's last year in his platform season and (I believe) it was his second time through which focuses more on that platform season than his career.

that being said I don't know the 4-5 year service time comps for right fielders or OF's...Josh Willingham was apparently one and was at the midpoint of the two offers.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2010/02/corey-h...

there's an obligatory sunglasses joke i'm too sick to make

Hendry interview from WSCR this am (Mulligan & Biggs Show)

http://multimedia.670thescore.com/m/audio/290...

CCO's Hendry extravaganza writeup...looks like it's all Hendry all day.

http://chicagocubsonline.com/archives/2010/02...

MLB Network advertising they're covering 70+ live spring training games starting March 2nd.

MLB Network...where you been all my life?

I missed it, if someone mentioned this earlier in the week.

http://www.suntimes.com/news/cityhall/2038887...

Does anyone recall how bad the field was after last years concerts?

more Boys of Spring pictures (including a LaHair moonshot)...does anyone take a picture of Z without a bat?

http://www.boysofspring.com/journal/journal2.php

Good to see Smardijzia spent his off-season getting into world class condition.

for as hard as ninja throws he's all upper-body doing it...the mini-gut don't bother me as much as those pencil legs, honestly.

at least it seems his arm is genetically/physically solid.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball...

Phil Rogers is at it again...

"Starter Ted Lilly could be out until June"

where does he get his material, Dr. Nick Riviera?

http://www.imdb.com/character/ch0045592/quotes

Could be out until June? Sure and Sandberg could be the Cub Manager in June. Pujols could be out with hemorrhoid surgery until June.

Is Phil Rogers really a reporter? Lazy, dumb-ass reporter might be a better description.

I can only hope that Phil Rogers could be out with writer's block until June.

...at least Bruce Levine uses a Hendry quote (who relates his conversation with Cubs trainer Mark O'Neill regarding Lilly):

"I talked to Mark O'Neil [trainer] last week, and he said he is coming along fine," Hendry said. "If he starts April 15 that will be fine. I don't see it being anything unless there is some kind of setback that happens in camp. It was a real minor procedure. In fairness to Ted, we're not going to rush him either. If he's 95 percent on Opening Day then we will wait until he is 100 percent."

http://sports.espn.go.com/chicago/mlb/news/st...

I, the eternal pessimist, also said June.

Why?

Just going on how Cubs report pitchers recovery times from the past, you usually add 6-8 to weeks conservative what they say.

I, the eternal pessimist, also said June.
----
hmmm. Might as well skip 2010 then. Hope next offseason is better.

*shakes fist*

damn you dusty!! he threw 119 pitches in a game in late sept...1 more pitch and he'd be out until at least 2011. at least we have that to take comfort in.

http://infocus.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/09/c...

never saw those pics before...

seems like #13 wasn't so lucky for him

j.moyer, from the philly inquiererererer via ye olde world o roto:

"The way I look at it, why limit myself?," the 47-year-old right-hander said Saturday. "If I would have limited myself at 29, when I was released for the second or third time, I wouldn't be playing. That was what, 18 years ago?"

ha. g'luck.

surprisingly it didn't happen to the Cubs.

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/blog/big_league_s...

vic morrow reference...cold...cold...

"Speaking of which; Hey, Andy MacPhail, Orioles' president of baseball operations: What kind of ship are you running, here?"

Typo,should be spelled MacFail.

/mike murphy'd

The clown nose honk just went off in my head.

In other news, Mike Murphy's show was unbearably obnoxious.

And yes, I miss Mike Murphy.

Ted Williams endorsed, Ignorant to players steroids abuse, and the ever improving Marlon Byrd.

http://www.suntimes.com/sports/baseball/cubs/...

Is it just me or didn't it seem like the Cubs had the best offense they ever had just 2 seasons ago?

Hopefully Rudy will preach patience at the plate.

http://bizofbaseball.com/index.php?option=com...

Cubs have only gone 5 times since its inception in 1974, Brewers just 4 and then Rockies 3.

history courtesy Muskat:
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100...

The Cubs have not gone to arbitration since 1993, and have a 3-2 record overall. In 1980, Bruce Sutter sought $700,000 and the Cubs offered $350,000. Sutter won the case. In 1985, Leon Durham asked for $1.1 million and the Cubs offered $800,000. The Cubs won.

In 1988, Andre Dawson asked for $2 million and the Cubs offered $1.85 million. The arbitrator ruled in favor of the Cubs. In 1990, Shawon Dunston asked for $1.25 million and the team countered at $925,000. Dunston won.

The Cubs won in 1993 when Mark Grace filed for $4.1 million and the team offered $3.1 million.

Hope Dawson got some money for that as well, after the settlement.

for sabermetricians?

http://www.minorleagueball.com/2010/2/15/1311...

anyway, found it relatable...

the comments are brain-hurty...but most comments on articles are.

I love the one where the guy goes on for two paragraphs talking about how superior defenders know how to position themselves. Sammy Sosa is the only MLB player I know who got to position himself in the field, everyone else stands where the bench coach tells him to.

A little blurb by a blog I hadn't heard of on SIERRA and the Cubs.

http://cubsstats.blogspot.com/2010/02/siera-w...

SIERA does look interesting, but I only read the first article. At least BP is actually putting their methods out there for once.

For those curious about it, it's essentially FIP or xFIP with these supposed corrections.

As a result, SIERA accomplishes the following:

1. Allows for the fact that a high ground-ball rate is more useful to pitchers who walk more batters, due to the potential that double plays wipe away runners.
2. Allows for the fact that a low fly-ball rate (and therefore, a low HR rate) is less useful to pitchers who strike out a lot of batters (e.g. Johan Santana's FIP tends to be higher than his ERA because the former treats all HR the same, even though Santana’s skill set portends this bombs allowed will usually be solo shots).
3. Allows for the fact that adding strikeouts is more useful when you don't strike out many guys to begin with, since more runners get stranded.
4. Allows for the fact that adding ground balls is more useful when you already allow a lot of ground balls because there are frequently runners on first.
5. Corrects for the fact that QERA used GB/BIP instead of GB/PA (e.g. Joel Pineiro is all contact, so increasing his ground-ball rate means more ground balls than if Oliver Perez had done it, given he's not a high contact guy).
6. Corrects for the fact that FIP and xFIP use IP as a denominator which means that luck on balls in play changes one's FIP.

speaking of Sickels rant :)

I don't get #3 or #4 to be honest

W/R/T #3, my understanding of it is that it's just a way of saying the marginal value of a strikeout decreases as a pitcher's strikeout rate increases.

I'm trying to wrap my head around #4. After thinking about it for a few moments I think it might be easier to describe what the hell is going on in Lost.

I think what #4 means is that under the theory that groundballs are more likely to be hits than flyballs, groundball pitchers are more likely to have runners on base when pitching, so subsequent groundballs are more useful since they are more likely to be able to induce double plays. The logic seems to be a bit circular, but that's possibly because I'm either not getting it or not explaining it correctly :)

3. I think is just saying that the difference between say 4 and 5 strikeouts per 9 will give more benefit than say 9 to 10. Say your HR adjusted WHIP is 1.5. So in an average inning you have one and a half baserunners. If you record all your outs via groundball and flyball, you're going to give up more 'productive outs'. If you get all your outs via strikeout, you don't care how many guys are on base, because they're not going anywhere without a hit (or a forced in walk). I think that's what it's illustrating.

4. Groundballs tend to be singles and maybe doubles. Flyballs which go for hits are rarely singles.

they just came early to get out of the cold...

Sosa never had that issue.

Plus he needed the extra time to complete his steroid cycle.

http://www.mesomorphosis.com/articles/pharmac...

...Randy Wells, Jeff Samardzija, Sean Marshall, Jeff Stevens, Tom Gorzelanny, Michael Parisi, David Patton, Jeff Gray, John Gaub and Vince Perkins. Gorzelanny is one of many who said he decided to report early just to get out of the snow up north...

Snow, my Aunt Fannie. Looks to me like Gorzellany, and the rest of those cats, know how much room there is in the rotation. Good for them for getting in early.

Snow, my Aunt Fannie.
---
Wasn't that Darryl Strawberry and Doc Gooden's excuse for being late to spring training.

You bet your sweet bippy.

Nice. : )

I just read that the A's are talking a one year deal with Gabe Gross. If so, it looks like ex Cubs Eric Patterson, Jake Fox and Aaron Miles could be fighting it out for the last seat on the Oakland bench.

Wasn't Miles traded from the A's to the Reds?

Yes.

Off topic:

I was at a friend's house today while he was cleaning out a storage cabinet with old baseball memorabilia in it. He found a box of Slammin' Sammy Flakes, commemorating his 66 home run season. I had to read the fine print, and it said "Free Toy Syringe in Every Box!"

I didn't remember that on there before:)

Natch.

Why this stuff showed up today, I dunno. It all happened two weeks ago. The A's dumped Taveras, shipped Miles and signed Gross. Fox must be safe. So that leaves Patterson who I believe must be put on waivers before he can be sent back to the minors.

Cubs should jump all over EPatt.

2nd base/CF leadoff possiblility. Much cheaper than Baker,Theriot or Fontenot going forward.

I agree, and he's got more upside.

But I wonder whose job the Cubs would have to give him in order to keep him on the active MLB roster. Probably Fontenot's, right? And then Fontenot would be released or traded? Which leaves the Cubs with Jeff Baker or EPatt (whose defense I at 2nd is still suspect, right?). It's a risk I'd be willing to take. I suppose giving Hoffpauir the shaft would be an option as well.

Fontentot is shitty defensively just like Epatt is. Both are lefthanded. Difference is that Epatt is 55% cheaper. 4 years younger. Has a much higher ceiling. Can play the Outfield as well.

Really no downside that I can see?

Submitted by Dr. aaron b on Tue, 02/16/2010 - 12:32pm.
Fontentot is shitty defensively just like Epatt is. Both are lefthanded. Difference is that Epatt is 55% cheaper. 4 years younger. Has a much higher ceiling. Can play the Outfield as well.

Really no downside that I can see?

=======================================

DR AARON B: Thanks to the Cubs optioning him to the minors for disciplinary reasons on 9-3-2007, Eric Patterson is out of options a year earlier than he should have been.

E-Pat had a nice little run with the A's in 31 games in 2009 (287/373/394, playing 2B-LF-CF-RF) after hitting 307/376/494 with 29 doubles, 11 triples, 12 HR, and 43 SB (6 CS) in 110 games at AAA Sacramento while playing all over the place (2B-3B-1B-LF-CF), and is projected as the A's IF-OF super-sub in 2010. And being out of options certainly should help solidify his chances of making the A's Opening Day 25-man roster.

While he is definitely an "offense-first" type of utility guy, I suspect the Cubs would seriously consider taking Patterson back if given the chance. He would be a good "25th man" on an N. L. club, with the ability to PH and PR in addition to having the versatility needed to play a number of different positions (albeit none of them well).

BTW, despite what was reported at mlbtraderumors, both Eric Patterson AND Jake Fox are out of minor league options.

fontenot's D is better than epat's D...which should say enough.

epat's footwork at 2nd is abysmal. who wants him for 2nd? seriously... technically, bj upton "can" play SS.

I'd like to get Dr. AZ Phil's opine on this matter. He has seen Epatt's work at 2nd more than anyone else has.

His rate and fielding %'s don't look terrible.

Submitted by Dr. aaron b on Tue, 02/16/2010 - 2:36pm.
I'd like to get Dr. AZ Phil's opine on this matter. He has seen Epatt's work at 2nd more than anyone else has.

His rate and fielding %'s don't look terrible.

==================================

DR AARON B: Eric Patterson has plus-range and an above-average arm for a second-baseman, is capable of making spectacular plays, and he's a good flyhawk. He has a lot of the physical attributes you usually see in a young shortstop.

On the negative side, he has difficulty turning double plays (rhythm & footwork problems) and he has Steve Sax Disease (the closer he gets to 1st base, the more-erratic the throw). He plays 2nd base like a bull in a china shop. No finesse. He's like a guy who keeps stepping on his girlfriend's feet when they're dancing. He's a two-guard playing the point.

I saw Eric Patterson as a prototypical CF or LF when he was coming up through the Cubs system, but the Cubs didn't try him in the outfield until mid-way through his third season in the organization. I know E-Pat prefers to play 2nd base, and sometimes a player's "comfort zone" in the field matters more than aptitude because it helps the player perform at his best at the plate. The more he hits, the better chance he has to play 2B. But he is a liability in the field.

What is your opinion of Fontenot's defense?

Submitted by Dr. aaron b on Wed, 02/17/2010 - 9:29am.
What is your opinion of Fontenot's defense

=============================

DR AARON B: When Mike Fontenot was acquired by the Cubs, he was very stiff and had a lot trouble turning the DP (very much like E-Pat), and he had (and still has) minimal range going to his right.

While he doesn't bring a "Gold Glove" to the field, over time Fontenot has made himself into an average defensive second-baseman, capable of making most all the routine plays. He's not versatile enough to be a true utility player, though, so either he plays 2B (in a platoon if not every day) or he goes back to AAA. And he has to hit, too. His just average defense & speed won't carry him if he doesn't hit.

On the other hand, Eric Patterson does have the athleticism to be a utility player. He is below-average defensively no matter where he plays, but his combination of bat/speed/occasional power can help a manager overlook some of his defensive shortcomings, as long as he keeps hitting and continues to show patience at the plate.

I believe Patterson has a much brighter future than does Fontenot. I wouldn't be surprised if by 2011 Fontenot is playing 2B somewhere in AAA while E-Pat is on an MLB roster.

Thanks for the info Phil.

I thought his defense at 3rd was pretty solid last year, and think he could get by as a emergency replacement at SS or a corner outfield spot. He certainly needs to hit better than he did last year, though. I think he's the guy who suffered the most from Aram's injury ... well other than Aram. He had to play a newish position, and then he tried to pick up the offensive slack and didn't handle it well.

I get the feeling, the Cubs are done with the Pattersons.

if only he could play 2nd worth a damn.

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