Redemption

Carlos Zambrano got the opportunity to redeem his baseball soul thanks to the grace of Touchdown Jesus and the Cubs bullpen works this time in a 4-3 win at Cincinnati.

The Good: Z pitches quite well going 7 innings and giving up 3 runs and a home run against 9 K's, including striking out the side in his last inning. The Cubs offense doesn't strand a runner. After Ryan Theriot breaks up the perfect game to lead off the 4th, he takes second on a wild pitch that bounced in front of catcher Ryan Hanigan. Hanigan throws it away and it bounces into center field and Theriot was going to try third base (and it looked like he would have probably been nailed to me), but ran into shortstop Orlando Cabrera. No interference obstruction was called though despite the protests of Lou and Theriot. That made the count 2-0 on Fukudome and he showed bunt on the next pitch but took it for a strike. Not sure if he was just trying to dupe Harang or was seriously considering a bunt, but he then takes the ensuing curveball deep to right for the first 2 Cubs runs. He almost hit a second one out in his next at-bat. Soriano hit a hanging slider out for run number 3 and Jeff Baker with the clutch pinch-hit home run off Arthur Rhodes. Marmol's slider was biting and the Reds were flailing away for the save.

The Bad: The Cubs didn't leave anyone on-base cause they just managed one walk and 5 hits, 3 of them home runs and Lee got picked off first base. If they did plus/minus ratings like in hockey, Soriano was probably a 0, because the first run by the Reds was thanks to a linedrive with 2 out that Soriano turned the wrong way and then lept and missed by an inch that should have ended the inning. #8 hitter Ryan Hanigan then singled him home despite first base being open and Harang on-deck. Grabow did get through the 8th, but gave up a single to lefty Joey Votto and a rocket to lefty Jay Bruce that Lee made an outstanding leaping stab to rob a hit. A bit worrisome we have another Mike Remliger situation brewing.

Next Up: Tom Gorzelanny makes his 2010 debut against 2009 draftee Mike Leake making his major league debut.

Comments

no-go for Lilly tomorrow

stiff back

http://www.dailyherald.com/story/?id=372300

as we speed towards June

Quicksand jesus!

And I think Mr. Whipple's parachat comment deserves repeating:

Did you hear the good news? Jesus has risen! Well, half way...

Hope I got that right.

That is correct.

I love that image. It's the funniest thing in ages. Well done, sir.

ha...

Theriot should indeed have been given 3rd base, but not for interference. When a fielder gets in the way of a baserunner, that's obstruction. Interference is when a runner gets in the way of a fielder.

Being a youth baseball commissioner means you learn nitpicky details like this.

Glad to see Dr. Zekyll came back instead of the Opening Day Mr. Zyde.

Go Cubs!

It could be a worse bullpen. We don't have George Sherrill.

T. Diamond with the start at Iowa, 5 IP, 5 K, 1 ER, 1 BB
J. Gray 2 scoreless innings
J. Stevens faced 3 batters, gave up 2 BB's and a hit
Schlitter with 2 scoreless innings as well

Offensive explosion in AA with Castro going 3/5, Bibens-Dirx strikes out 6 in 5 innings giving up 2 ER.

Daytona bats wake up a bit in a 7-4 win although B. Jackson is still hitless. Vitter 1/6, LeMaheiu 1/6, Burke 2/6, M. Brenly with a 3-run HR.

Peoria: H. Lee 1/4 with an RBI, Watkins 1/5, pitching gets roughed up in a 6-2 loss.

BRING UP THEM...DEMOTE EVERYONE ELSE...START COLVIN THE REST OF THE WAY OUT...DFA EVERYONE WHO DOESN'T WANT TO GO DOWN...MORE DEFENSIVE PRACTICE DRILLS FOR ALL OUTFIELDERS (AT LEAST 1 MORE HOUR PER DAY)...FIRE LARRY...FIRE RUDY...FIRE LOU...BRING UP SANDBERG...PROMOTE MADDUX...LET'S WIN 100 THE REST OF THE WAY OUT.

YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!

Thank you, Howard Dean.

Gray will be up shortly.

Who is Austin Bibens-Dirkx and why is his name so hard to spell?

if he gets called up in the next year or two, will the Cubs market X-games?

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/B/Aust...

guys I missed

Alberto Cabrera threw 6 shutout innings giving up 2 hits in Daytona, AA Ty Wright went 4/5 with a HR.

http://twitter.com/insidetheivy/status/119745...

http://twitter.com/insidetheivy/status/119746...

I keep forgetting we have Thomas Diamond. Would the Cubs consider him for the bullpen if he continues to show some control at AAA, or are they looking at him exclusively as back end/rotation insurance?

Woody and Hoffman had theme music but Thomas Diamond's a natural for the bullpen

dim the house lights:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZSWAkJ3h8E

That'll only work if boozed up bleacher bums can remain reverently silent and Thomas Diamond can somehow throw his warmup pitches in extreme slow motion. Under those conditions, it will be the most affecting theme music of all time.

Maybe after a loss the Cubs can play Samuel Barber's Adagio for Strings over the stadium sound system, too:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6jFbNEcJp1s

Wow, a YouTube standoff. Cubster is the Cub Reporter king of video/photo references but Charlie has just thrown down a challenge! This is excitement!

Personally, after this latest Cubs performance, I'm hoping to become Comfortably Numb.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iRuIqN-CZpY&fe...

By the way, Charlie, thanks for the Adagio for Strings link. Heartbreakingly beautiful music. Perfect for Cubs fans (sigh).

If you liked that, here's something I think you'll really enjoy:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PFZ7326-9k0&fe...

I recommend it as a theme until we blow somebody out for the first time.

Good choice!

the Jewish version of Touchdown Jesus

http://www.bangitout.com/uploads/thumbs/42Tou...

I notice Samardjza is well rested.

Thank you Lou

Would you rather have him on the Bears or Cubs?

http://twitter.com/CarrieMuskat/

Ryan Theriot has strained right calf and may be scratched. He is hitting (right now) in BP. If he can't go, Font will move to SS

(whispering softly: Starlin Castro is hitting .462)

http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats...

Theriot, Fuku, Lee, Ramirez, Byrd, Soriano, Font, Soto, Gorz

vs.

Stubbs, Cabrera, Votto, Phillips, Rolen, Hernandez, Gomes, Dickerson, Leake

THen I would assume same lineup tomorrow (replace Gorz w/Demp obviously) for the opener?

leadoff bb, double, pitch around Lee

what are the odds of scoring with the bases loaded and 0 out?

0% if you're the Cubs.

Ramirez goes out of the zone and pops it up, Byrd misses 2 fastballs and fouls them off and K's on a sinker, Soriano is Soriano.

Soriano leaps for a ball in foul territory...about 3 feet from the wall and misses it.

Gorz still K's Votto though.

I know it's only one inning, but the offense failing to cash in even one run in a situation like that--there is no more ideal situation than bases loaded, no outs, middle of the lineup due up--frustrates me even more than bullpen meltdowns. They'll have to win and score more than 3 or 4 runs today for me to forget that.

Ridiculous.

BUT...what about Rudy Jaramillo!

He is the best batting coach in baseball, right?

Leake vs. Gorz:
89 mph fastball
88 mph fastball
88 mph fastball
88 mph changeup

If your changeup is the same speed as your fastball, you might want to ditch the changeup.

No runs will come of this.

I am of the opinion that A-Ram is hurt. The guy does not look right yet, and did not have much of a spring. We will see, and it is early, but this guy is not the same at the plate.

He's overswinging right now (I think) and he's missing some pitches he shouldn't miss because of that. That doesn't necessarily mean he's not hurt too, of course.

things we've learned early...defense and bullpen might not be overrated.

sigh...

deserving to lose a game...

Where are we at on the Soriano departure countdown?

I think we're down to 5 years left

Shit.

I am floored with the terrific beginning of the starting pitching. The scenario of bullpen blows happened last year when the starters were doing well too. And, they were BETTER!

This year, so far with MAgic Rudy, and a reliever that has two losses in four appearances, it is going to be a long year.

I can see why many picked the Reds 2nd.

The wnidow can be closed soon unless changes are made.

I'm starting a new stat called UZR/5. Soriano is currently -66. Now I remember why I couldn't wait for baseball to end last year.

Where's big lowitski to tell us Soriano is, in fact, a good outfielder?

remarkably, he still has good defensive numbers over a 3-yr span from all the guys he threw out the first 2 years...actually it's heavily swayed by his first year with being just above average in 2008

I just can't buy that. Is it reasonable to cite Soriano as evidence that the defensive metrics need a lot more tuning?

well sure they do, but it's a 3-yr average.

Using UZR/150, he's 22.4/5.2/-15.9 and Plus/Minues he's 16/5/-4.

That puts him 12th over 3 year in UZR/150 for all outfielders (and 3rd for LF'ers behind Crawford and Holliday). 15th in +/- for all OF'ers and still 3rd for LF'ers behind the same two.

I'm not citing them as perfection, but guys can have career years defensively like they do offensively. It's not measuring talent as much as what happened and Soriano did eliminate a lot of runners with his arm and made less errors and not as many screw-ups those first 2 years.

I think what's most alarming is that the more he plays LF, the worse he seems to get at it. I know he's had leg problems and all that, but it really seems like he has a serious mental block about catching fly balls, and the more he drops the more it affects him.

If there are runners on first and second and outfielder drops fly ball and throws to third for force out, is that considered an assist?

yes, could be an error and an assist depending on the nature of the drop.

you get credit for basehits that should sometimes be errors or bloops that someone should have been caught, not sure why folks get up in arms over anomalies in defensive stats.

and I'm not saying that UZR or +/- are perfect or anything, but if you use 3-yr averages (which is about 1-yr worth of hitting sample size), you start to get a decent picture with them. In Soriano's case you can clearly see the decline that matches what's happening on the field.

Thanks Rob.

Is there a way to tell how many "assists" Soriano got with the drop/error?

not that I know of...

he still got the out though, so not sure if there's any difference other than aesthetically. I'm guessing he gets some extra credit for an outfield assist over just making the play, but I don't know the mathematics behind it.

fwiw, +/- is now on Fangraphs pages.

I never said that. I said that his first year as a Cub the defensive metrics showed him to be a good left fielder. I also said, very clearly, that he had gotten worse. But I notice that you conveniently left that out.

You said one more than one occasion, usually after someone complained about his defense, that stats showed he was a good OF.

I haven't followed whether you said he has gotten worse. It was an error of omission, not comission. And it was meant in jest anyway.

Tito, I remember specific conversations, with you, about this. I said very clearly that the stats showed that he was a good lf (not OF - two different things) in his first year. And that is still true. And it is true that I have said he has gotten worse.

Be honest, Big. I've been reading your comments for a long time, and you don't say things like, "the defensive metrics showed him to be a good left fielder," for the simple reason that when you have metrics to back you up, you state the thing as a fact. How could the metrics be wrong?

"He was a good fielder in '07"--that's more your style, isn't it?

I state the fact, and then say why, showing the facts.

But whatever. The stats showed Soriano to be one of the better LFers in the league for his first year as a Cub. And I still agree with the stats. He was decent, if not good, that first year. He struggled at some things, but he overall he was a decent/good LFer that first year.

And Soriano has looked really, really awful since then, and the defensive metrics (last I looked) appear to be reflecting that over the last year or so.

Soriano needs transplant surgery...both legs and a new glove hand

brain

In searching for a replay of Soriano's error today (I did not watch the game), I Googled "Soriano's Error".

I received 2,890,000 results.

Try it!

he jogged to the ball, not like he was camped under it, but he had plenty of time to get himself in position to catch it glove-arm-out on the jog...it popped into his mitt and bounced out of the webbing.

he was expecting something a bit more routine judging by how he approached it.

no hop, btw. =p

http://cincinnati.reds.mlb.com/video/play.jsp...

MLB.com URL's are lame but look at the videos below for Gomes reaches base on Soriano error

Thanks. WOW - Brennaman really drives home the pathetic point even more...

So, did anyone pick Gomes would outhit Byrd?

Ouch... the truth hurts.

In the strange but true category: Moving Soriano to second makes the Cubs a better defensive team. Plus it gives a lineup slot to Rollin' Colvin.

in this category, is Soriano at 2b equal to Fontenot at 2b defensively?

No, I assume he'd be as bad as always, but that still saves us runs over what he's doing in left. I think he needs a sports psychologist.

Not as much better as moving him to the bench. Or Taiwan.

I didn't see a lot of spring training, so I didn't notice this until today. But when I saw Tracy up to bat today I had to do a double take because I thought it was Aaron Miles. Yuck.

Miles was more versatile, he could make outs from both sides of the plate

Miles always caused a case of blinding rage for me. Just the fact that he was allowed to play major league baseball annoyed me.

haha!! Good one Cubster!

this version of Adagio for Strings works better for Baker/Fonty...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r3U7QJ6pN1I&fe...

progressive trance is a plague upon humanity...and so is dubstep while i'm picking on stuff...

Recent comments

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  • If it was 2006 Hendry would be there w a Bible and a contract
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/77...

    jacos 2 hours 29 min ago view
  • he subscribes to my twitter, he's beyond TCR. #yolo #swag

    crunch 3 hours 7 min ago view
  • Whoops. Maddon must have been reading TCR (for his daily crunch) and got confused.

    CTSteve 3 hours 9 min ago view
  • kuhl is a righty, not a lefty.

    i think maddon might think kuhl is a lefty, too. i wonder what the reasoning is for baez leading off vs a rightie.

    crunch 3 hours 50 min ago view
  • "trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."

    that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.

    crunch 4 hours 38 min ago view
  • crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?

    And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.

    But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.

    big_lowitzki 5 hours 42 min ago view
  • early tim tebow stuff rolling in...

    ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power

    it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.

    crunch 6 hours 28 min ago view
  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 8 hours 14 min ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 8 hours 15 min ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 8 hours 22 min ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 8 hours 58 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 59 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 9 hours 2 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 9 hours 5 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 9 hours 5 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 9 hours 10 min ago view