Game 129 Thread / Nationals @ Cubs (2 of 3)

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SP *Odalis Perez SP Ryan Dempster

5-9, 4.06, 83 K, 44 BB, 124 IP
14-5, 2.92, 149 K, 64 BB, 163.1 IP




2B #Emilio Bonificio LF Alfonso Soriano
LF *Willie Harris SS Ryan Theriot
3B Ryan Zimmerman 1B Derrek Lee
CF Lastings Milledge 3B Aramis Ramirez
1B Ronnie Belliard CF Reed Johnson
C Jesus Flores 2B Mark DeRosa
RF Austin Kearns C Geovany Soto
SS #Anderson Hernandez RF *Kosuke Fukudome
P *Odalis Perez P Ryan Dempster

Let us never speak of yesterday's game ever again. And damn, this game is early. And what's with all that pounding going outside my window? And why is everyone screaming? Anyone have any aspirin? 

(buries head under his pillow)

A rough but fun night for yours truly and the Angelfan wife drowning out yesterday's losses celebrating her birthday. It's gonna be another rough night if we lose again today.

Comments

Well, if we get into any trouble today, we can just put Gallagher...wait, what? Any pesky red-head sightings?

EIGHT stranded on bases,3 innings.Ramirez wants to win,3run hr.4th inning!Wheres Edmonds? We need more!

Where's Edmonds?
Where he always is when the Cubs face a lefty: On the bench.

I suggested it the other day. Something's gotta give.
Lee is just not right. His swings have been increasingly awkward. Now he's
hurt himself after double-twisting himself up with a particularly bad one.

Unfortunately, Daryl Wide is Lee's replacement at first base, not Micah Hoffpauir.

Cubs underperformers since the All-Star break

Lee .242 .310 .359 .669
Fukudome .217 .298 .311 .609
Wide .136 .231 .409 .640

Well, I don't know who the fuck 'Wide' is but slugging .409 isn't that awful.

Anyway, I endorse DeRosa in the 3 spot - DeRosa for MVP!

Pretty impressive when you consider the fact the Cubs are 22-12 since the break despite 2 of their keyus going into the year in extended slumps.

Goes to show what great pitching and a deep lineup can do for you.

Dude! Your wife's birthday was yesterday? It was my birthday yesterday!

My wife and I also went out and are sick and hungover today.

Sick and hung over after a forgettable Cubs loss? par for the century, i think.

soriano has 9 of his 28 walks this month...with a week left.

heh...

Ryan Dempster shows again the accuracy of that New York Times piece that kept calling him the ace of the staff. Way to go, Ryan.

Lou's postgame comments suggested Fuku's due for a benching tomorrow - probably a little past due for that action. Lou also mentioned that he's not hitting either curves or fastballs and that "in this league, you have to at least be able to do one of those." Amen.

play him vs. the lefty, sit him vs. the righty.

okay...

his swing is similar from both sides, but his power isn't.

dirk hayhurst, 27 year old 8th round pick from 2003...writer of baseball america's "non-prospect blog" thing last year...he's getting his callup to SD after a nice AAA season.

ha.

http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/07p...

4ip 5h 2bb 2k 3er ...and the loss

welcome to the bigs. side note...zito gets win #8.

FYI he didn't get the loss. tied 3-3 well after he left.

oops and thx.

Random stat:
Since the All-star break
Cubs 22-12
Brewers 22-12
Cardinals 19-15

All 3 teams beating the teams they should be beating on a regular basis.

Cubs 6-1 vs. the Brewers and the Cardinals

yup, definitely beating the teams they should be beating.

Carrie Muskat quotes Oneri Fleita regarding Felix Pie's progress in her column today:

Fleita said he also was encouraged by outfielder Felix Pie, who was batting .284 at Iowa with nine homers and 47 RBIs.

"It looks like he's more patient," Fleita said. "The numbers are more consistent."

I dunno, this doesn't look consistent to me. May was truly abysmal. June was mediocre. And after a red-hot July, he's really fallen off. And patient? There's no indication of that at all.

May .169 .239 .338 .577
June .282 .316 .451 .767
July .373 .413 .588 1.001
August .255 .286 .340 .626

Felix's LH vs RH splits are still extreme.

LHP .235 .267 .346 .613
RHP .304 .352 .500 .852

But before you start thinking he could fit into
the CF platoon against right handed pitching
look at his AAA batting splits, starters vs. relievers.

Pie vs starting pitching .213 .269 .348 .617
Pie vs relief pitching .402 .429 .636 1.065

He's feasting on the mop up men. Again not really
what anyone would call consistent hitting, and more
what you might expect from someone plateauing below
expectations. AAAA.

His problems go far far far beyond patience. Against big-league pitchers he can't afford to be patient because he has to start his swing before he can recognize the pitch. A more compact swing would net him less power but give him better pitch reaction. Any word on if he's shortened up his absurd swing?

He'll be a minor leaguer until he figures out he's not a home run hitter and not being a home run hitter isn't really all that terrible. Everyone knows he has speed, he should use it in his offensive game.

Despite all the protests and assurances against, that sounds a lot like one Donald Corey Patterson.

woops, double post.

I mentioned in chat that you can get the mlb.com audio and video feeds to play in any player you like. This is the latest thread, so I'll post it here.

I use this at work where I have a laptop with Linux installed, a Firefox browser, and I use the VLC audio player that comes with the installation. I don't use the video feed with this player, because I'm at work, and because VLC doesn't seem to be able to handle the video quality. I'll demonstrate using these items, but you should be able to use other tools that can do the same things. You might be using a Mac with a different player, for example.

The key thing to remember is that the mlb audio/video uses a URL to get your stream, and it contains the location of the stream plus your encrypted authentication info. As long as you can get this URL, you can then swipe it in your chosen audio/video player. The URL is only good for a short time, about a minute I think, so you have to be fast once you get the URL for the stream.

Here's how to do it:

Open a Firefox browser, and install the Firebug plugin. You can get it here. Firebug prints out all of your browser activity, including what URLs you go to. Install the plugin and restart Firefox.

Enable Firebug by choosing Tools -> Firebug and making sure the "Disable Firebug" item is unchecked.

Navigate to the mlb site and select the audio/video item you want to listen to (e.g., "WGN" under the radio selections).

A new window opens with a login form for you to log into your account to listen to the stream.

Right click the frame that contains the login form and select "Inspect Element". You'll get the Firebug window in the lower half of the browser window. Select the "Console" tab.

Log into your account.

In the console, you'll get a line like: mURL:http://web.servicebureau.net/conf/meta?averylongst...

The URL you want begins after "mURL:". The rest is the URL you need to obtain your audio/video stream (i.e. http://web.servicebureau.net etc.). Swipe that into your player. In VLC, it's done by selecting File -> Open Network Stream...

It may take you a few attempts at first to get it to work right because you might spend some time trying to find that URL in the console, figure out how to copy it, the URL might run off the end of the console because the font's too big, and so on. If you don't login successfully with that URL, you'll have to close your browser and try again, because mlb.com issues cookies that are good for as long as your browser is open, and the URL contains your authentication info. By closing and reopening your browser, you'll end up with a new valid stream URL when you log in.

I hope this is useful information.

thanks for the tip...I'll have to try it.

25 for the playoffs and 29 for the division.

I thought we all agreed no mentioning of magic numbers until it's down to... zero?

discussing the magic number is not a jinx. It's merely a count of the games the cubs need to win to go to the playoffs. by no means does is imply that they have won anything. in fact it's quite the opposite.

but it's MAGIC, chad. MAGIC! There's gotta be something to that.

What's the Cubs' gay witchcraft number?

1-900-GAY-CHAD

Pie needs to work on his strikeout to BB ratio, which has never been good his entire career. Without dramatic improvements in those area's he will be a career minor leaguer or "gasp" a career track like Corey Patterson.

And the main reason he has those poor ratio's is he still can't hit breaking pitches.

Recent comments

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  • If it was 2006 Hendry would be there w a Bible and a contract
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/77...

    jacos 2 hours 6 min ago view
  • he subscribes to my twitter, he's beyond TCR. #yolo #swag

    crunch 2 hours 44 min ago view
  • Whoops. Maddon must have been reading TCR (for his daily crunch) and got confused.

    CTSteve 2 hours 46 min ago view
  • kuhl is a righty, not a lefty.

    i think maddon might think kuhl is a lefty, too. i wonder what the reasoning is for baez leading off vs a rightie.

    crunch 3 hours 27 min ago view
  • "trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."

    that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.

    crunch 4 hours 14 min ago view
  • crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?

    And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.

    But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.

    big_lowitzki 5 hours 19 min ago view
  • early tim tebow stuff rolling in...

    ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power

    it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.

    crunch 6 hours 4 min ago view
  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 7 hours 51 min ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 7 hours 52 min ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 7 hours 59 min ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 8 hours 35 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 36 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 38 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 8 hours 42 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 8 hours 42 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 8 hours 46 min ago view