Game #35 Preview: Marlins (16-17) @ Cubs (14-20)

Losers of seven of their last eight games and four in a row, the Cubs try to salvage the finale of the three-game series with the Marlins.

From my office window, I see lots of clouds, fog, and in the alley behind Mr. Beef, a couple guys who look like they're ready to start throwing punches. Forecast says there's a 70% chance of rain by 3pm. I foresee a nearly 100% probability that I'll be disgusted by the second inning.

Pitchers: Chris Volstad (3-2, 4.12) vs. Carlos Silva (3-0, 3.50)

Volstad has racked up four ND's against the Cubs but has pitched pretty well each time out. Silva, making his sixth start as a Cub, got rocked pretty hard last Friday in Cincinnati, though he was the beneficiary of that offensive explosion on Starlin Castro's debut night and collected a victory for his five-inning, ten-hit, four-run effort. Also noteworthy (?): Silva mentioned having shoulder discomfort following the game. Perhaps all of those pins that Carlos Zambrano has been sticking in his Carlos Silva voodoo doll are finally taking hold.

Good history: Silva is new meat to most of the Florida hitters, but against Volstad, Mike Fontenot is 4/11 with a home run and The Man Who Used To Be Aramis Ramirez (not in today's starting lineup) is 4/8 with a HR. 

Bad history: Kosuke Fukudome has gone 1/10 against Volstad, while Alfonso Soriano is 0/9 with 4 K's and Derrek Lee, who stroked a pair of doubles last night, is 2/11 with 4 K's.

Lineups:

As mentioned, A-Ram, down to .159 after last night's oh-fer, is sitting, with Jeff Baker, hitting just .220 himself, starting at third. Also, Castro is hitting in the second spot in place of Theriot, who is resting with "a tight hammy, not considered serious" according to Wittenmyer.

Fish: Coghlan 7, Sanchez 3, H. Ramirez 7, Cantu 5, Uggla 4, Paulino 2, Ross 8, Carroll 9, Volstad 1.

Cubs: Fukudome 9, Castro 6, Byrd 8, Lee 3, Soto 2, Soriano 7, Fontenot 4, Baker 5, Silva 1.

Comments

Well, at least they removed one gaping black hole from the middle of the lineup...

Juan Cruz no longer an option. Injured.

https://twitter.com/Buster_ESPN/status/138582...

"I foresee a nearly 100% probability that I'll be disgusted by the second inning"

Lol

I made my kid's cereal today and when I poured in the milk I saw Tyler Colvin's picture on the carton.

hahah

Crunch - your buddy jakester just popped up in the comments of the last thread...

i'm not getting into that.

i've already lost my ass to that guy in a past internet lawsuit.

http://i35.tinypic.com/f1iof4.jpg

according to my records he hasn't cashed his internet lawsuit check yet so that makes me kinda nervous about our past settlement.

Nice, one. At least this lineup give me a small bit of confidence that Lou is alive. For a while I thought maybe Trammel was rolling him around like Uncle Bernie.

for Corey patterson...

that's the 2nd prospect on Mike C's awesome list of prospect from other teams that has been sent down.

Oh, I'm guessing the Achilles surgery he had last September has something to do with it. He didn't see much action in ST.

Marlon Byrd is the tits.

I'd love Marlon to death if he do something about his throws to the plate tailing so far off line. They were tailing far right this spring and the Dback announcers predicted that the league would run without fear against his arm.

So, it doesn't count that he threw someone out at home in the last few games?

yeah!

Carlos The Stopper Silva back to his old tricks. I guess he's going to win the Cy Young on a list place team. He's the new Steve Carlton.

i'm pretty sure he spent the offseason looking for desolate dirt road crossroad intersections seeking the devil in order to inquire about a possible deal.

Those helicopter rentals aren't cheap, so the ridiculous deal he signed with Seattle really helped a lot.

The Marlins announcers were schticking it up over Silva's contract. It's okay for us to kid about it, but he's 4-0, so they can get bent.

hahaha

I expect Mount Z is about to erupt.

Can't be having much fun.

Cubs win! Cubs win!

Meh.

5 games til .500 !!

castro back in the 8 hole friday according to lou...

theriot has a tight hamstring...held out for cold weather...

going 2-4 for will get you that demotion every time.

pulled in the 8th to put in another righty against John Baker.

ouch.

ronnie woo is making sure people realize he still exists by screaming over the part of the park where the post-game media room is...after a few minutes of it...

"have you ever met ronnie woo-woo?" - reporter
"who?" - silva
*reporter laughter*

http://www.jeff-samardzija.com/bio.asp

Wow... I can't believe he has his own website... I needed that. Strongly recommended if you need a chuckle...

That flaming ball looks like it is going to end up a high and well of the plate for a ball, so the website looks pretty accurate to me.

bwhaha.

LOL!

Wow, click on the HOME link. The flash animation is totally over the top and obnoxious.

http://www.jeff-samardzija.com/merchandise.asp#

I have the two-sport poster of him shirtless on the ceiling above my bed.

Except Bo was good.

Wow, I really just can't get enough of this website. I'm scrolling through the photo gallery wondering what sort of filter is used for deciding on the images. First there's a glorious picture of him running with the football with his fingers are firmly wrapped around the facemask of a defender...but then, there's, what looks like one of Tim's cartoons, which is slamming Someninja's shortlived baseball career. Either he's got a great sense of humor or they're slapping every photo google finds onto the website.

Jack of all trades, master of none.

if you don't in this age and you're a high end pick or player...your agent sucks.

Jim Palmer on Corey Patterson being called up: "it gives them a guy who can bat leadoff".

what????????????

One out bottom of the 9th, Ludwick on first, Cards down by 8. Pujols doubles against the wall and Ludwick busts his ass to come around and score, the crucial 2nd run... more importantly getting Pujols a worthless RBI.

he's got to get his RBI's somehow, he pretty much gets the Bonds treatment now with runners on.

/bitter owner of Pujols this year in fantasy ball

The funny thing about the Bonds treatment is that it's self-fufilling. If the umpires would call the strike zone correctly, then pitchers wouldn't be afraid to pitch to these guys. The fact that they get a shoebox sized strike zone makes the pitchers say "screw it, I'll just walk him".

Cant we all just enjoy a rare cubs win and a day off for
Aramis Ramirez to work with his well known batting coach.

This from today's Tribune web article on today's game:

"The Cubs still have room for much progress."

That's some quality word putting togethering.

...and also news to me.

only 5 games to .500!

saw that Cashner and Vitters are doing well after their promotions...

from the Baseball America daily list/prospects report...

CHC AAA Cashner, Andrew
6 5 1 1 1 6 1.50 W (1-0); First start at Triple-A goes just as well

CHC AA Vitters, Josh 3B
4 1 2 0 .462 2 2B (3); Promotion to Double-A hasn't slow him one bit

Glad I'm not DeRosa's doc...

A brutally honest Mark DeRosa said Tuesday that the left wrist surgery he underwent last year was a "total failure" and will remain out of the Giants' lineup for at least a couple of days to determine his next course of action.

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100...

When DeRosa's surgeon was asked to comment he only said
"HIII! Everybody!!!"

They should go back and forth in the press debating just who is the actual failure. That'd be fun.

my money is on Dr. Kremcheck

Recent comments

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  • he subscribes to my twitter, he's beyond TCR. #yolo #swag

    crunch 15 min 53 sec ago view
  • Whoops. Maddon must have been reading TCR (for his daily crunch) and got confused.

    CTSteve 18 min 20 sec ago view
  • kuhl is a righty, not a lefty.

    i think maddon might think kuhl is a lefty, too. i wonder what the reasoning is for baez leading off vs a rightie.

    crunch 59 min 17 sec ago view
  • "trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."

    that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.

    crunch 1 hour 46 min ago view
  • crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?

    And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.

    But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.

    big_lowitzki 2 hours 51 min ago view
  • early tim tebow stuff rolling in...

    ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power

    it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.

    crunch 3 hours 36 min ago view
  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 5 hours 23 min ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 5 hours 24 min ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 5 hours 30 min ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 6 hours 7 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 6 hours 7 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 6 hours 10 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 6 hours 13 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 6 hours 14 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 6 hours 18 min ago view
  • i have no doubt at all you quit reading at that point. you're very enamored with outcomes without caring what it takes to get there.

    the fact it's exploitable, especially without someone to cover the running game for him, as well it's evolution in how people are testing possible exploits is interesting to some people...to me...i'm some people...hurrah.

    some people want to check the boxscore to see who won, some want to know how it went down.

    crunch 6 hours 30 min ago view