Bobby Tips the Scales for I-Cubs

Thanks to a 33 year-old journeyman who's probably had all he's likely to get of the big leagues, what remains of the Iowa Cubs took another big step toward a division pennant and the PCL playoffs with an 8-5 win over the Memphis Redbirds last night in Des Moines. Jeff Samardzija will take the mound this afternoon and try to toss the clincher.

Iowa broke on top in the first inning for the second night in a row, again courtesy of Jason Dubois who banged a two-run double off of the center field wall to score Jim Adduci and Brad Snyder. Mitch Atkins, who never touched 90 on the radar gun all night, made the lead stand up until Memphis got to him for a three spot in the top of the 4th. Coasting to that point, Atkins was rocked with two outs and nobody on by a tape measure home run, two singles, an error that Marquez Smith played off of his chest and another sharp base hit that plated two runs and put the Redbirds ahead. They added another run in the top of the 6th to lead 4-2 on a run scoring single by Ruben Gotay. Atkins then tried to pick Gotay off and twice came very close, so close on the 2nd attempt that Atkins and the crowd took exception and, forgive me, a Ryno came charging from the Cubs' dugout to argue the point, to no immediate avail.

In the bottom of the frame  Dubois led off and beat out, I swear, an infield hit on a close play at first. He doesn't get many of those. Did he get the nod on the call because of a seed planted by his hall of fame manager in the mind of a young minor league umpire? With Bryan LaHair at the plate and the count 3-1, Sandberg had the ponderous Dubois running. The pitch was ball four but the throw drawn by Dubois sailed into center and he scooted, so to speak, into 3rd. The official scorer originally credited him with a stolen base that was erased in this morning's version of the box score, but the play was reminiscent of the time Ronny Cedeno stole second on a fourth ball and was called out when he overslid the bag; the only time I recall seeing a runner on first thrown out stealing second on the same pitch that walked the batter.

Up came the patient, choosy Scales who worked the count full before sending his 10th homer of the year in his 1,200th professional game over the wall in right-center to put the I-Cubs back in front. A two-run double by Snyder highlighted a three-run seventh that padded the lead and cemented the win that ensures Iowa of no worse than a dead heat for the title in the American North branch of the far-flung PCL. The other run was delivered by a Scales single.

Memphis pitchers walked five hitters, three of whom scored. Atkins and his successors walked no one. Halfway through the four game showdown the first three hitters in the Memphis lineup are a collective 1-23.

Another observation having nothing to do with the outcomes of the games concerns the demise of the good ol' American baseball bat. Last night five of them shattered and Dubois cracked another the old fashioned way. That makes a total of seven compound fractures and one hairline in two nights. Something's rotten, or there are termites, in Louisville...

Comments

and, forgive me...

http://tinyurl.com/3xdlhu2

That makes a total of seven compound fractures and one hairline in two nights.
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Sounds like someone needs to start an orthopedic bat trauma fellowship to fix this.

How long have you been waiting to use that headline?

via CM...

2B Baker, SS Castro, CF Byrd, 3B Ramy, 1B Nady, LF Soriano, RF Colvin, C Soto, P Dempster

also, silva to start tuesday

Samaramadingdong lit up for a 4 spot in first...can you say wide receiver callup in sept for DA BEARS?

Per Muskat tweet...not sure what happened.

CarrieMuskat: Ryne Sandberg ejected in 1st inning Sunday of Iowa Cubs game vs Memphis #Cubs. I-Cubs trail 4-0 after 1st

weird...

why isn't soriano hititng 8th? he hit a HR yesterday. that's usually an automatic bump down in the lineup.

if he gets 2-3 hits today he'll get that coveted 8 slot in the lineup, maybe.

soto's little 1 for 3 day with a walk and RBI is hardly the stuff of #8 hitters compared to a HR by soriano.

4-2 at end of 2nd.

with one out, O Perez walks bags loaded and Matt Camp drives in two with a dooble to right field.

colvin is getting used to playing balls off the wall/ivy.

wonder what his future role is...

nady keeps getting 1st and it seems like there's no end in sight...byrd/soriano own CF/LF...the "fukudome issue" looms...1st might be a FA option at this point (yes, adam dunn blah blah etc whatever)...

i wonder if colvin is still seeing pre-game at 1st...or if fuku is seeing any pre-game at 1st, himself...

"Cardinals manager Tony La Russa has confirmed that Colby Rasmus did ask for a trade earlier this season and also added that the outfielder asked to be traded during his rookie season, as well."

colby rasmus's dad...i mean colby rasmus...no, i mean his dad...is one hell of a helicopter parent. time to let the man join the working world dad...you're not that f'n special you can disrupt a team.

pujols chimes in...which is amazing because the guy barely speaks 10 words in a row to anyone ever (not a dick, just not much of a talker)....

-----

“If he doesn’t want to be here next year, we need to figure out a way to get him out of here and find somebody that wants to be here and play,” Pujols told Yahoo! Sports before Sunday’s game against the Reds. “That’s a reality.

“That’ll show you right there a young player that doesn’t respect what he’s got,” he added. “He needs to find out the talent and ability that he has and pretty much keep his mouth shut and play the game. Let the organization make those decisions, not himself.”

Pujols seldom talks because the HGH has swollen his tongue. He has a size 8 tongue in a size 4 head.

And former shark, now apparently a blow-fish gives the 2 spot back with a bases loaded single to Gotay

ruben gotay? my god...

Blofish hired by SPECTRE (hendry's master plan to sabotage Sandberg?)

I Cubs get one back, Marquis Smith double and Dubois RBI single

7-3, end 3

colvin...baker...what the hell?

Shark settles down to toss zero's in 4, 5th innings

Bottom 5, Snyder double, Dubois RBI single and LaHair 2 run blast to left...

7-6 Memphis, still no outs

Memphis Redbirds Manager Chris Maloney ejected by 1B umpire Jason Arends.

Again not sure why.

7-7, Adduci steals 2nd and Snyder singles him home with 2 outs. end 6.

Top 7, Shark out, Luke Sommer now pitching...use the force Luke.

damn...hell of a game

ruben tejada (mets) just got his first career homer...bounced back on the field...he JETS to 3rd and slides in...everyone is telling him it's a homer but it takes the 2nd base ump walking toward him with the HR hand sign until he gets up off the ground and actually walks home.

ha.

Muyco gets out of Sommer's 1st &3rd two out jam, then Justin Berg has easy 8th.

Bot 8, still 7-7

soto HR...he'll be batting 9th tomorrow.

Or on the bench.

they're doing the wave at wrigley...INCLUDING THE F'N BLEACHERS...

twice...

death to this season.

bwhahaha! the oldschool bleacher bums got out the "NO WAVE" sheet and are standing in the back of the bleachers holding it. thank you old farts.

They should have crop dusted Wrigley with poison after that fucking wave.

agree about crop dusting...

problem is every regular ticket holder has sold his tickets for less than face value and mostly non baseball fans and new yorkers were at the ballpark, at least I didn't see any beach balls bouncing around in the stands

Jeff Stevens 1-2-3, 9th...

Still 7-7

another castro brainfart...nice one...he was actually tagged out on the seldom-seen "made a move toward 2nd" after going down the line at 1st.

castro lost track of outs evidently...or thought he was out...odd

Stevens get out of 10th, 2 on, 1 out... Double play from the bat of Gotay.

7-7, on to bot 10

uh...from the dugout language it seems k.hill might play 3rd or LF in the top 9th...

...ummm

k.hill playing 3rd...lou pinella approves (lou did this last year for an inning, no balls hit his way).

are quade and lou the same people? they do a lot very similarly.

Maybe Lou's belly got so big because Quadtro was living inside.

http://www.cyberpunkreview.com/images/totalre...

On to bot 11... Cales shutdown top of 11th.

Still, 7-7

2010 cubs pen...best pen or best pen ever?

only 9er for the pen today...neat...let's get that last out before the guys on 1st and 3rd score.

-edit- 7th time through the order with pagan coming up...corners...2 out...16-5

-edit- make that 10er...17-5, men on the corners

-edit- make that 11er...18-5, men on 1st/2nd...marshall coming in

Cales with a solid top 12th.

7-7, on to the bottom 12th.

Gray gets out of top 14 with a double play.

Time to end this puppy

Jeff Gray coughs up a run in the 15th, due/die or it's a big day tomorrow
Edit: 8-7 final, big game tomorrow.

at least some cubs-related team has some drama left...pro club has been dead in the water since early/mid june as far as fans into it...meh...

I saw this over at CCO (thanks Neil!):

Bruce Levine discussed all things Cubs during Talkin' Baseball Saturday morning (ESPN 1000). While the off-season is still two months away from kicking into high gear, Levine changed his stance on the Cubs' payroll for 2011 and mentioned the likelihood of Adam Dunn being in a Cubs' uniform next season ... and beyond.

As for the payroll, Levine thinks the Cubs will operate in 2011 near the same $140+ million mark they did this season. Levine pointed out the Cubs must spend wisely ... then brought up Adam Dunn.

Levine feels Jim Hendry will do all he can do to bring Adam Dunn to the North Side of Chicago to play first base. Levine pointed out how defensively challenged Dunn is but reminded those listening how well he hits at Wrigley Field.

Reality Check

Good hitter at Wrigley?? Over the last four years Dunn has hit .225 at Wrigley Field. His home runs are usually solo shots. The last three years all of them have been and they've accounted for all his RBIs. 5 HR 5 RBI

Next year he'll be 31, over the hill physically, and his terrible play in the field should cement the Cubs defense to the bottom where they are right now.

You'd think that stats guy Ricketty hired would know this stuff but maybe he doesn't talk to Hendry.

What's with only looking at batting average? Who does that?

Adam Dunn, for his career, is hitting .282/.410/.651 - 1.061, with 25 home runs, at Wrigley.

As for the arbitrary cut-off of the last four years, he has a line of .225/.368/.592, or an OPS of .960.

Yea - that sucks.

Why look at batting average? Maybe because Hendry and Levine claim Dunn hits well at Wrigley. They're talking hitting not walking. HITTING.

On the other hand, what IS the point of looking at his OBP or OPS in a small sample size like this? They're inflated by the Cubs penchant for issuing him bases on balls, not the park. Wrigley Field doesn't walk him.

The last two years at Wrigley, Dunn is 6/24 .250 with an OBP around .300 . He has hit 1 double, two home runs and has 2 RBI.
Good?

And as I pointed out, he has 5 HR and 5 RBI at Wrigley the last three years. In other words, the last time he drove in a baserunner at Wrigley was 2007!!

So here's Dunn's OBI at Wrigley:

2010 0%
2009 0%
2008 0%

If I ever accomplish anything with this blog, it will be making this stat more widely accepted and known. The best in the league will be in the low 20's and anything in the 15-17% range is acceptable to good and just like BABIP or many of the rate stats out there, it does fluxuate widely from year to year, but the power hitters who can put the ball in play will tend to be more consistent from year-to-year.

are you making a point other than a how-to on manipulating small sample sizes?

but yes, Dunn is not a particularly strong hitter when it comes into driving runners already on base, although slightly better the last couple of years. I'm not sure the point of just mentioning Wrigley Field is...if some retard associated with the Cubs is using that as a sell point, they should be gagged with a Jeff Blauser jersey.

I'm not 100% against signing him myself, maybe 50-50, just depends on the contract and what else the Cubs plan to put around him.

I like, know, and understant OBI. But that wasn't what we were talking about.

You claim that batting average is relevant. Stick with that one - it will take you far.

I also notice that you conveniently ignore Dunn's slugging at Wrigley. Do tell how BA is more important than SLUG.

OK, if Dunn is such a horrible fit. What would Navigator do to fix this offense?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/spl...

Dunn's hit 8 HR's at Wrigley over the last 4 years with 10 RBI's. Over the last 3 years, he's had 5 HR with 5 RBI's and of course 2 of those years he only made one trip to Wrigley with the Nats.

282/410/651 for his career at Wrigley with 25 HR's

of course he doesn't get the Cubs pitching to face.

FWIW, Cubs pitching has been pretty good over the course of Dunn's career.

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  • kuhl is a righty, not a lefty.

    i think maddon might think kuhl is a lefty, too. i wonder what the reasoning is for baez leading off vs a rightie.

    crunch 38 min 30 sec ago view
  • "trout's one of the best, and at this point should probably win over donaldson (and should have more MVPs in the past, too), but the defensive aspect of valuing WAR still needs more tweaking...imo."

    that's from my 1st post. there's no suck involved in that. maybe with a few less posts about bullshit that point would have jumped out more.

    crunch 1 hour 25 min ago view
  • crunch - you do know that, taking defense out of the equation, Trout has led the AL in wRC+ each of those years, right?

    And, if you want to complain about position adjustment (which would be serious #crunchsplaining), he's been in the top 3 in the AL in WC (not park/league/position adjusted). And the only players ahead of him (if there were any players ahead of him) in any of those years have been DHs or 1B that play lousy defense.

    But sure - Trout sucks (or at least isn't as good as WAR says). Because it factors in defense and position.

    big_lowitzki 2 hours 30 min ago view
  • early tim tebow stuff rolling in...

    ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power

    it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.

    crunch 3 hours 15 min ago view
  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 5 hours 2 min ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 5 hours 3 min ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 5 hours 10 min ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 5 hours 46 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 5 hours 47 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 5 hours 49 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 5 hours 53 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 5 hours 53 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 5 hours 57 min ago view
  • i have no doubt at all you quit reading at that point. you're very enamored with outcomes without caring what it takes to get there.

    the fact it's exploitable, especially without someone to cover the running game for him, as well it's evolution in how people are testing possible exploits is interesting to some people...to me...i'm some people...hurrah.

    some people want to check the boxscore to see who won, some want to know how it went down.

    crunch 6 hours 10 min ago view
  • I read it as him saying it's not really that much of a concern and that the one time it really cost Lester, vs. K.C., was an anomaly.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 6 hours 15 min ago view
  • if jeff says it, it's cool...when i say it, it's straight from the mouth of hitler.

    aside from the lack of jeff touching on the insane leads runners take and lester's inability to throw if he's fielding, this is a lot of what i've said about the issue.

    exploitable, needs his own personal catcher to control his shortcomings, relies on his ability to get outs along with his personal catcher keeping runners in check before things become further exploited...

    crunch 6 hours 17 min ago view