Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
The rush of major league prospect rankings are about to make their way out and MLB/MILB.com and Jonathon Mayo is the first out of the gate. OF Brett Jackson is the only Cub and is listed as the #46 best prospect in all of baseball. Just traded Cub, Chris Archer, finished one spot below Jackson at #47. You can always view past rankings at Wiklifield, where you can discover such things as Starlin Castro being rated #22 last season. From the video clip on Jackson they had this to say...
"Each tool may not wow you, but he can do a little bit of everything and has the potential to be a 20/20 type player in the future."
In other news, if you care to call it that, the Cubs signed Todd Wellemeyer to an $800K non-guaranteed deal with another $400K in incentives. Hendry must be on a contract quota or something.
Clay Rapada ended up where you'd expect an ex-Cub minor leaguer to end up.
In Bruce Levine's weekly chat, he says the Cubs may add a veteran middle infielder with Orlando Cabrera, Julio Lugo and Chirstian Guzman being named. He calls out the two Jackson's (Brett and Jay) as the most likely call-ups in 2011.
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Comments
Samardzija confident
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 1:07am Permalink
that he'll be somewhere else in 2011
http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?...
kidding around, seems to be working hard this offseason and counting on Mark Riggins to keep him on the team.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 9:48am Permalink
Jeff Samardzija... 2011 savior. Eyeroll.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 9:56am Permalink
Chances that Samardzija starts the season as a SP for the Cubs - None.none %
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 8:44am Permalink
I don't understand the comment, "I'm throwing off the mound already...". Did he have some type of injury I don't remember? Do they not throw off a mound in winter when they initially start throwing? Can someone explain?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 9:15am Permalink
Depends on the pitcher I'm guessing and if they played winter ball. He certainly played catch or long toss, but probably not a lot off the mound. He seemed to be saying that he's already where most pitchers would be a week or so into spring training.
At least that was my take on it.
Keith Law's list
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 11:48am Permalink
http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/insider/news/s...
one of you with access can tell me where the Cubs rank and if he says anything interesting. DO NOT CUT AND PASTE the whole thing.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:52pm Permalink
a little birdy told me they ranked #20th and would be top 10 before the trade. Something about still having the most prospects in the 100-150 range other then the Royals. A lot of average to just above average potential major leaguers at the moment.
-correction- a lot of players that could be above average or better and what he calls high floor players.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:34pm Permalink
if you agree with that assessment, what does that mean for the Cubs?
my take, make some more Matt Garza like trades (or Aramis Ramirez or Derrek Lee if you will), trading away depth for your potential young All-star talent. Instead of overpaying for over 30 guys on the free agent market, target arbitration and near FA players that teams are looking to move. At least you get them younger and at a better point in their career path.
also, if Hendry doesn't trade them all away, the Cubs should be better able to withstand injuries with a constant pipeline of talent that could replace ineffective or injured players.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 5:06pm Permalink
Even if we put the debate on Garza's merit aside, how many more trades like that can we expect to make? The current 25 man roster isn't a championship caliber team. Say we made one more trade like that, picking up Billy Butler for the Jackson twins, Castillo and Dollis, and don't sign Pena - are we now the favorites or even one of the favorites in the NL central?
The team needs a major boost, like adding 10 to 14 WAR. The best way to do that, in my mind is replace the Byrd's, Bakers and Fukudome's with guys who are pre-arb produce at similar levels, and then make one or two astute moves in free agency.
Maybe for 2013 only two of those four guys are average ML starters - but they're doing it for less than a million bucks combined, while we're paying Garza $11 million for maybe one more win. Doing that two or three times, doesn't seem to help the overall problem.
There's also the other issue, that I don't think we get these guys to sign at "hometown discounts"... when they get traded from Pittsburgh or Florida because the team doesn't want to sign them long term - they're going to come to the Cubs with a "time to get paid" mindset.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 5:14pm Permalink
http://www.locksmithsportspicks.com/2010-san-...
http://www.betfirms.com/san-diego-padres-mlb-...
baseball's a funny ass game.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 5:36pm Permalink
Billy Butler? Really? Lol....
Ok..so you think that this trade would be made? Wouldn't the Jacksons, and Castillo all be rated ahead of Chirinos and Guyer?
I agree that making a series of trades like this is no way to build a team, but the Cubs gave up a good pitching prospect, a SS who is 2-3 years away, and may or my not develop any power/and still be blocked by Castro, a guy who may just have had a career year in AA...at age 24..who hit 70 points above his career average in 1042 PA's, and a 26 year old Catcher converted from the infield..who has 55 at bats in AAA, and was behind Castillo on the depth chart.
Basically, the Cubs gave upa good pitching prospect, and a 19 year old SS with little power, for Matt Garza, a MLB starting pitcher who will turn 27 this season, and is a the very least, a solid #3 start...maybe a #2.
Ok.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 5:51pm Permalink
3rd, 5th, 11th and 12th according to Baseball Prospectus.
1st, 4th, 8th, by AZ Phil's rankings
1st, 4th, and 10th by BA
3rd, 4th, 8th and 15th by John Sicke's rankings.
The Cubs gave up a quarter of their farm system, if you don't like Chirinos. Tyler Colvin was ranked no higher than 13th last year on the lists that had him, and he had less minors' success than any of these guys.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 6:22pm Permalink
Fine Neal...Fine. If Guyer repeats his success, Archer makes the Rays rotation, Chirinos sticks as a backup catcher, and Hak Ju Lee is the starting SS in 2013, it will be a failed trade.
Also possible, Garza pitches well for the Cubs 2011-2013....Archer becomes a bullpen arm for a very deep pitching staff in Tampa Bay...Guyer struggles in AAA, and becomes a tweener...a little power...a little speed, not enough of them to be a starting OF.... Chirinos becomes Crash Davis....touring AA and AAA until he becomes a coach, and Hak-Ju Lee doesn't hit enough to get out of AAA except as a defensive replacement.
Again..I will freaking repeat: as has always been my assertion...I like Garza, I just don't understand the move this season, with so many holes on this team. I did not want to give up Archer, or even Lee. But Chirinos, and Guyer? A little old to get real excited about AA success, but could possibly become a 4th/5th OF type and a backup catcher. Maybe.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:07pm Permalink
Old News?
Jim Callis (of BA) interview by Rays prospects web site:
http://www.raysprospects.com/2011/01/q-with-b...
Yes, that's #1 overall pick Tim Beckham.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:18pm Permalink
tim beckham...wow...pulling out the high bar on the comparisons, there.
he'll be lucky to crack any top-100/200 lists after his 2010 season where he took a step back (or spun wheels, to be nice) with his D and power. at least A ball lee is immune from that because he was traded for garza to a team that's going to win only 20 games this year and paying him $20m to do it.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:38pm Permalink
A player drafted out of college being 24 is not old for AA. Guyer's production was rather stellar and I am not sure why people discount it so significantly...it was really the first year he was truly healthy and he got better as the year went on.
I don't like the trade because I don't like trading prospects with huge upside...Guyer has speed, hit .340+ at a high level and showed at least significant xb hit power if not chance for 20 hrs. Archer has #1 starter potential and Lee has lead-off hitter/40 sb potential.
That said, if we received a star for these players, that would be understandable. I wouldn't complain if we received someone who could make a difference...instead we received someone who appears his ceiling is being a #2. And people here justify it by downgrading the value of our prospects traded, which is just attempts to retain hope.
If the trade was so wise, why did the Rays make the trade? And if you state that it was because they are not in contention, then you are stating we shouldn't have done the trade. If you are stating that they can replace Garza with their own talent and more cheaply, then perhaps we should have looked to deal for a better (or cheaper) player.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:45pm Permalink
guyer is neat, but prospect vs. MLB expectation is what i'm personally dealing with.
for instance...castro is neat, but at the end of the day we got a guy who's upside is production vs. cost. he's a contact hitting low-power guy who should be cheap for 3-4 years. after that...unless the power shows... *shrug*
guyer, if he can stay at CF, is interesting. a team that needs a roaming LF/RF/CF type he's interesting, too.
as a regular he's a guy with doubles power who isn't very exciting at LF or RF unless the team can make up for it elsewhere. he's not going to take walks. he's gonna go up there and swing. he looks like a good #2 or 7/8 hitter as it stands if he can find a place to be a starter.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 12:06pm Permalink
Jeff Samardzija says in the interview that he doesn't know where he will be in 2011.
Well, since he is out of minor league options, he can't be optioned to the minors, and since he has "no trade" rights, he can't be traded or placed on Outright Waivers without waiving the NTC in advance.
So if Samardzija does not waive his NTC, the only way the Cubs can remove him from the 25-man roster in 2011 is by Outright Release, and then the Cubs would be on the hook for The Shark's $2.8M salary (minus the prorated portion of the MLB minimum salary should he sign a major league contract with another MLB club). The Cubs will be able to change all of this after the 2011 season, however. The Cubs hold a $3M club option for 2012 that they are almost certain to decline (it could have been a mutual option if Samardzija was eligible for salary arbitration post-2011, but he won't have enough MLB service time to be eligible).
Once the Cubs decline their 2012 club option, Samardzija reverts to being an "auto renewal" player without "no trade" rights, and the Cubs can either auto-renew him and sign him for 2012 with a maximum 20% pay cut from 2011 (meaning he would get no less than $2.24M if he is automatically renewed), or they can outright him to the minors (and it's unlikely that he would get claimed, because the claiming club would be stuck with paying Samardzija at least $2.24M in 2012), or he could get non-tendered on 12/2, which would have the effect of making Samardzija a free-agent, although the Cubs would be able to re-sign him to a major league or minor league contract without worrying about the 20% cut rule.
So in a way, you could say Samardzija is a "Super Rule 5 Player" in 2011, because not only can't the Cubs option him to the minors, they can't even outright him unless he gives his approval (waives his NTC) in advance.
Samardzija really has the Cubs by the balls.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:20pm Permalink
>>Samardzija really has the Cubs by the balls.<<
I don't get this statement. Based on your explanation, the Shark has the Cubs on the hook for $2.8MM this year, but that's it. If they release him, that's all they owe. And if he signs a major league contract elsewhere, they get $400K of that money back. If he isn't good enough to make the Cubs middle relief corps, then what's wrong with cutting him if the cost is only $2.4MM? Heck, some teams release guys that are owed three or four times that money.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 8:56pm Permalink
Submitted by Jim Hickmans Bat on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:20pm.
>>Samardzija really has the Cubs by the balls.<<
I don't get this statement. Based on your explanation, the Shark has the Cubs on the hook for $2.8MM this year, but that's it. If they release him, that's all they owe. And if he signs a major league contract elsewhere, they get $400K of that money back. If he isn't good enough to make the Cubs middle relief corps, then what's wrong with cutting him if the cost is only $2.4MM? Heck, some teams release guys that are owed three or four times that money.
=============================================
JIM H: Of course the Cubs could release Samardzija and eat $2.4M if he signs a major league deal with another club (or somewhere close to $2.8M if he signs a minor league deal elsewhere), and the Cubs have certainly eaten larger contracts in the past. But because of the money he's making and his NTC, Samardzija has a lot more Spring Training "roster leverage" than most players with his level of experience and MLB service time, more than the typical Rule 5 player (like David Patton in 2009 for instance).
The Cubs might ultimately decide to release The Shark, but I highly doubt they would do so coming out of Spring Training, even if he gets crushed in Cactus League outings. Or he might surprise a lot of people and turn out to be really good. He did pitch fairly well out of the Cubs bullpen when he first got called up in 2008, and new Cubs pitching coach Mark Riggins thinks that's how he will be used in 2011. And you don't have to be Carlos Marmol to be the 12th man on the staff.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 8:58pm Permalink
it helps that the guy is so damn reasonable and professional, imo.
i was a little worried after he signed given his entourage he brought to wrigley and early bar stories, but the guy seems to be giving it all even if the numbers show suck-a-tude.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 9:02pm Permalink
to be the 12th man on the staff
---
it's almost gotta be better than the David Patton experience.
Heckler
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 12:17pm Permalink
gets a cease and desist letter from the Lingerie Football League
the response
http://www.theheckler.com/2011/01/26/an-open-...
the original article
http://www.theheckler.com/2011/01/25/lingerie...
Re: Heckler
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:44pm Permalink
That's funny.
In the Dear-God-It's-True-Poke-My-Eyes-Out news dept the Lingerie League announced it's new expansion team....Green Bay.
http://host.madison.com/sports/amateur/articl...
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:11pm Permalink
Speaking of prospect lists... you know who I can't find on a top 100? Matt Garza.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:32pm Permalink
Stir it up TRN!!!! WHOOOOO!!!!...Lol...
Re: Garza
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:37pm Permalink
especially when he's wrong
#21 in 2007 by BA and #13 by BP, also #2 pitcher by Sickels
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospect...
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php...
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2008/1/13/1817...
consensus #1 Twins prospect heading into 2007, drafted in 2005, pitched 50 innings in 2006 for the Twins, big surprise as he was the 25th pick in the draft and considered a bit of a reach there.
BP write-up on him
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php...
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:40pm Permalink
I wasn't wrong.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:42pm Permalink
mistaken? poorly researched? Fox-news'd?
however you care to put it...
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:50pm Permalink
I don't care if Garza was, or wasn't on a top 100 prospect list (which he was)
I am happy to have a proven 2/3 starter, who is only 27, and under club control for a couple more seasons.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:41pm Permalink
Giving up a potential future star(s) is good when you increase the chances of a champsionship now beyond negligble. We didn't do that with the Garza acquisition.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 8:22pm Permalink
What star(s) did we give up?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:50pm Permalink
The Real Neal really Jay Cutler'd that up.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:53pm Permalink
I just said I couldn't find him. I suppose you think Sarah Palin shot that representative too.
So we have a guy who wasn't on anyone's list to a All-Star prospect, who then settled is a #2-3 starter. I guess he's a good example on why you should never trust the prospect evaluators.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 2:58pm Permalink
I suppose you were trying to make a point that Garza wasn't that highly thought of as a prospect as some of us have mentioned.
I just think Sarah Palin is a fame-whoring moron.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:05pm Permalink
Even calling her a fame-whoring moron makes her more relevant than she should be. We shouldn't even be talking about her...
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:24pm Permalink
I happen to believe she's a symptom, not the disease.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:16pm Permalink
get over it.
the cubs are paying a 12m pitcher 6m this year and they gave up some old dudes they have replicas of as well as a AA pitcher who can't find the plate.
chris archer is neat, but he's doing nothing right now to help the cubs.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 4:47pm Permalink
I am just trying to see how many different times I can get you to write out that 83 wins seasons are a valid goal of "130 million payroll" ML organizations. Trust me, I'll stop as soon as I cease to find you amusing.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 4:51pm Permalink
well it's a shame we only have garza for one year, he's 38 years old, and your spreadsheet has finished the season for 2011 already.
2010 STL wants their NL Central championship recount, too.
also, your gigantic penis shames me. it's very very large. i am humble.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 6:09pm Permalink
Funny how all the teams with the MBA's running them are in the playoffs and have the best organizations.
Keep running with that "it's all a coin flip" theory on success, like I say, it's amusing to no end.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:45pm Permalink
We paid more than Texas for Garza. Texas, in case you didn't see, actually is contending for a championship. We are not.
Perhaps Garza is good, but we overpaid for him and we aren't winning a championship.
With all due respect, you are not looking at this trade in any perspective of where the Cubs currently stand. And somehow, because a minor league pitcher doesn't have great control, he isn't a good prospect? Sometimes that is true and sometimes they are Randy Johnson. Teams close to a championship should trade potential #1s with control issues for #2-3 starters to help them. Teams competing for 4th place should'nt make this trade -- if they should, then why did the Rays do the trade?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:51pm Permalink
garza is here for 3 years. he's a 200ip sub-4.00 era, sub-1.30 whip starter who is making 1/2 his worth in 2011.
i am totally looking at his value.
i also don't see the big deal about lee or guyer given what they project to do. chin was/is expendable given the cubs system.
archer...though he's got all the power in the world in his arm, has both command and control issues. he's not polished or mlb-ready. he has a work ethic, but he's also got a ways to go.
the cubs should get what they're expecting out of garza and in 2011 they're getting it at a nice discount.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 8:20pm Permalink
Lee's a good field, no hit SS until he proves otherwise. Those guys a are a dime a dozen.
Archer wasn't a top prospect only a year ago. Maybe he has a nice career, but unless Garza gets hurt, we should get something like a low 3.-- era and 3 years of 14-15 wins or better.
Guyer is a question mark.
Chironos is a question mark.
3 years of good pitching from Garza will be hard to make the Cubs a "loser" or "overpaid" on this deal. Unless Archer becomes a bonafide all-star starting pitcher for many years, it was a good deal.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 8:28pm Permalink
Or you could be the astros and give Wandy Rodriquez a 3/33 extension.
WHat??
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 8:35pm Permalink
to me it's a decent deal, but HOU screwed themselves (imo) only offering him 8m in arb when wandy submitted 10m.
now they're paying him 11m a year for the next 3...pretty much 12m a year for the 2 years they're "buying out" after this arb period.
hope his legs hold up...actually, no i dont. =p
they got him age 32-34 now.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:36am Permalink
$10 million, and $11 million - that's probably a little less than we'll be paying for Garza's final two years. Seems fine to me.
I think it's probably his name, but he's one of baseball's underrated players.
Houston's top four rotation guys are going to be pretty tough.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:50am Permalink
TRN- Who would you rather have Wandy or Garza?
Just asking.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:57am Permalink
Garza right now. If their service clocks were the same, Wandy.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 2:55pm Permalink
Doh. I respectfully disagree.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 3:38pm Permalink
Yeah, I can understand that point of view. I'm not a really big Garza fan, and neither are the hard core stat heads. Wandy's a lefty that pitches in a park that gives RH hitters a huge advantage, and does pretty well.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 8:36pm Permalink
Just out of curiosity, what makes a good hitting shortstop in your mind?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 8:44pm Permalink
i know it's not directed at me, but hitting a few more doubles or more than 1hr in 551ab would be a good start.
he can hit...but the value of his hitting (at the A ball level) seems to be getting on 1st base at this point.
the guy out ob%'d his slugging last year.
he's still got growing to do. he's not worthless even if he ends up a low-power SS as long as he can keep hitting singles and his D tightens up.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 6:31am Permalink
You know you're the guy who defends Juan Pierre as a leadoff hitter, right?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 3:08pm Permalink
would you please go change your diapers...or at least quit sticking your head in them when they're full.
you keep making these shit-comparison links that have nothing to do with anything. if you think lee is capable of 200+ hits and 50-70sb on the mlb level then i want to buy some weed from you.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 3:35pm Permalink
At least you can keep the it's 1986 crowd company.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 3:40pm Permalink
swing and a miss.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 4:01pm Permalink
A SS has to hit more than 1 hr a year, period. They don't have to be juicers and hit 30 hr's, but these single hitting SS's are everywhere. Every team has a bunch of those guys in the minors. Maybe not with Lee's talent, but until Lee turns that potential into production, he's still just a singles hitting SS. I'll trade a guy like that for a proven, productive, and mind you, cheap, young, and team controlled starting pitcher every day of the year.
And as for Archer, if he has to be moved to the bullpen (as some of these scouts/analysts are suggesting), even if he becomes a very good closer, that's still a no-brainer trade. SP's who give you 200 quality ip's are worth more than elite closers. How many teams have you seen win the world series or make it deep in the playoffs with average SP? Not many. How many make it deep with an average closer? A ton.
Unless Lee and Archer both become proven, big time players, and not one year wonder's, the Cubs should be the winners in this trade easy.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 4:55pm Permalink
Ozzie Smith slugged .328 over 19 seasons. Vizquel slugged .354 over 22 seasons. Lee slugged .351 last year.
Vizquel committed 25 errors, mostly in AA, at age 21, the earliest season BR has defensive records for.
Smith was a perennial all star, a hall of famer, a magician. No one is comparing Lee to Smith; but there's no reason Lee couldn't become a perennial GG like Omar Vizquel, maybe a little better hitter, maybe not as good a glove--who knows?
The reason I'm not crying about trading Lee is that I don't think he could have taken SS away from Castro. But they might have waited a couple of years and gotten more for him.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 5:43pm Permalink
Ok. good point on Ozzie Smith. Of course...he also came up in 1977. It was a little different then, yes?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 4:59pm Permalink
Ozzie Smith never plays for you. Jose Reyes doesn't play for you. That's cool and all, but most people realize that Tim Raines was a better ball player than Jeffrey Leonard. It's not 2001 anymore, it's possible that you can contribute significantly with defense, getting on base and speed.
"Every team has a bunch of those guys in the minors." Yes, every team has a bunch of Hak-Ju Lee's in the minors.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 5:24pm Permalink
Not arguing against Hak-Ju Lee, but...
Jose Reyes doesn't play for you.
This is an odd one. Jose Reyes does have some pop.. not a lot, but definitely has some power, and every season has "hit more than 1 hr a year."
Reyes is hardly the example of a singles hitting SS. He has a career .434 SLUG, which, while not great, is also not a singles hitter.
He had a .422 minor league SLUG (compared to .375 from Lee).
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 5:26pm Permalink
Not arguing about Lee, as he intrigues me, but ...
Jose Reyes doesn't play for you.
This one is odd.
Reyes had a .422 SLUG in the minors to Lee's .375.
He is hardly an example of a singles hitter, having a career SLUG of .434, which isn't anything special, but isn't Juan Pierre or Ozzie Smith either.
Tim Raines is actually pretty odd as well, for the same reasons.
Paul Noce never said that a SS (or any position) had to be a slugger.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 5:44pm Permalink
Oh..I thought you meant Reyes doesn't play because he's hurt a lot?
(ducks)
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 6:25pm Permalink
Well, Lee hasn't graduated yet, but it was an example of a guy who was never expected to hit 10 or 15 HR's a year, who was still considered a great prospect, essentially because of his speed and defense.
Noce says that a shorstop has to hit somewhere between 1 and 29 HR's a year. My point is that in 2010, and most likely 2013 when you may expect to see Lee in the majors, you don't need to hit 15 HR's or whatever he's expecting, if you do every other facet of the game exceedingly well.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 3:20pm Permalink
cuz they have the milb player of the year waiting to take garza's place @ mlb minimum salary?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 7:33am Permalink
Castro hit 3 HR's last year....is that good enough? He was essentially a singles hitting SS. 139 hits....100 of them singles.
But i really am not worried about his offense. It's his defense that troubles me and saying ohhhh Derek Jeter made 50 errors blah blah doesn't comfort me.
In the long run i like Lee over Castro as a better overall MLB player. But i still love that we got Garza.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 8:17am Permalink
Castro: .300/.347/.408 at age 20. 31 doubles, 5 triples...in the MAJOR LEAGUES.
Lee: .282/.354/.351 22 doubles, 4 triples, 1 HR. at Class A Peoria.
There might be a bit of difference in the caliber of pitching in the majors, compared to the Midwest League.
Oh..and Jeter did make 22 errors his rookie season.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 8:38am Permalink
Lee probably has had about 30% of the plate appearances in his life that Castro has. They're disimilar players on different paths to the major leagues with different hitting philosphies. When Lee hits a fly ball, he consideres it a mistake.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 9:11am Permalink
Ok....Castro had more at bats. He is in the major leagues, right now. Lee may need 1-3 more years. We have a starting SS right now, who needs to continue to improve his defense, and pitch recognition-like most 20-yr olds in baseball, but had a very solid rookie season. Lee may, or may not make it. He's a long ways away.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 9:27am Permalink
Sure... but that isn't really what we are talking about, is it? We all know that Lee is a ways away. That isn't the question.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 9:35am Permalink
Ok. Castro had more extra base hits, in the majors, than Lee did....in A ball. They are on different paths...they are different players. Ok.
Castro is a bird in hand, Lee 2 in the bush.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 8:39am Permalink
But Jeter was tagging base runners at MLB level in grade school.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 4:31pm Permalink
he plays baseball, too?
i thought he sold deodorant.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:16pm Permalink
I thought we agreed in the past, no politics on TCR? It always gets ugly and it accomplishes nothing. Lord knows there are enough political blogs for such things.
piazza bacne shot down
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:40pm Permalink
by dermatologists
http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/01/26/...
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 4:48pm Permalink
baseball writers have more pretend medical doctors than any other sport around.
hell, we have a guy who makes the rounds in print and on TV as a medical expert who's credentials are "my dad is a doctor."
Cash to Angels
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:41pm Permalink
http://mlbbuzz.yardbarker.com/blog/mlbbuzz/so...
$5M this year did go to Angels for Wells
Vlad vs. Manny
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 3:42pm Permalink
Manny signed for 1/2M, Vlad wanted 2/16M and is now down to 1/8M that still no one wants to pay.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 5:05pm Permalink
If I need a DH in 2011, I like Vlad at 1/8 better than Manny at 1/2, assuming I've got an extra $6MM lying around.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 5:14pm Permalink
I'd take Manny at first base for us over Pena at $10, except for the psyche blow it would probably deal Castro.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 5:16pm Permalink
I've got an extra $6MM lying around.
well that's the key, they got Damon and Manny for the then going rate of Vlad.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 6:00pm Permalink
Cubs license plates
http://www.chicagobreakingsports.com/2011/01/...
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 6:53pm Permalink
Cub license plates. As if it's not embarrassing enough to be a fan of our favorite team you can now pay the failing state of Illinois for the chance to let the tailgater behind you on the Kennedy know too.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:42pm Permalink
And now... a dancing mascot.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:50pm Permalink
How ironic. White Sox fans making Cubs' license plates in prison.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 7:52pm Permalink
ooooooooooooooooh snap.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 10:05pm Permalink
Rotoworld's assessment of...got everything in there but "and he's ugly too"
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 10:06pm Permalink
Aaron Miles
I want a NRI too.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Wed, 01/26/2011 - 11:01pm Permalink
Do not speak the name.
Law's Top 100
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 1:49pm Permalink
http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/insider/column...
someone let me know if any Cubs are on there, would like to update wiklifield.
and top 10 by organization
http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/insider/column...
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 1:51pm Permalink
one player not on that list, Brett Jackson
http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/blog?name=law_...
apparently he's #101
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 2:06pm Permalink
No one from the Cubs made the top 100 list, but in his "just missed" list, the Cubs have four players: B. Jackson, Vitters, Carpenter, and J. Jackson. Hope that helps
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 2:07pm Permalink
thanks, any of the traded guys make the top #100?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 2:24pm Permalink
I should have been more careful when I read the list. Trey McNutt is actually #66. If you want to be heartbroken, Archer is 40, and HJ Lee is 49.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 2:35pm Permalink
One more thing, his list goes (1-10) McNutt, BJ, CC, Vitters, JJ, Simpson, R. Lopez, Brooks Raley, Golden, and finally Szczur.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 2:45pm Permalink
Keith Law likes them, the trade is a failure!!!
thanks. Lee that high is surprising, he didn't have him in his Top 100 or just missed list last year.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 3:44pm Permalink
Sort of weird that he even makes the list, isn't BA still affiliated with ESPN? Really his list is a good illustration of what happens if you try to cover everything in baseball.
I was looking at some of those BA top 100's (looking for Garza) and I couldn't find one top 10 where all the guys "made it".
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 4:01pm Permalink
neal vs. garza and the world, day 4.
personally...if archer had more control and command over his stuff rather than just stuff i'd be a bit upset, too.
as it is i'm not too upset. you're basing a lot of it on the cubs not needing garza now or any time in the future because you see them as a lost cause in the immediate future.
i don't really see the big deal about archer and though lee is nice, he's far from being a sure thing. hell, people are already speculating on archer perhaps being closing material.
money saved is nice, but this is a 120-140m club...it's not SD or KC.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 4:38pm Permalink
In someone unrelated news, Season 2 of Archer premiers tonight. I'm totally stoked.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 4:41pm Permalink
about f'n time...hj benjamin is the funny.
"home movies" (him as coach mcgirk) was the funny, too.
been meaning to catch "bob's burgers"
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 4:57pm Permalink
Hah, I really liked Home Movies.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 4:46pm Permalink
Amazing how you could reply to a post that had nothing to do with Garza and Archer and spend 100 words comparing Garza to Archer... this after implying that I have a drug problem.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 4:48pm Permalink
yeah, amazing things happen every day. brb, looking for garza.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 5:46pm Permalink
BWWAAHAAAAHAAA!!!!!
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 3:42pm Permalink
b.looper and a.ojeda minor league contracts
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 5:12pm Permalink
Plus they signed a couple of Cubans. An OF and a C. You can find it at the rumor site.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 7:29pm Permalink
Excuse if 3/44, but here is a link to BA's brief writeup on the two Cubans
http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/prospects...
Alas, neither one is named Aroldis Chapman
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 5:15pm Permalink
Yeah, there's a list of non-rostered invitees at cubs.com.
Adduci invited over Campana. The two Tonies (Campana and Thomas) headed for Iowa, I guess.
M. Smith invited.
Young-uns invited: McNutt, both Jacksons, Carpenter (still young at 25?), Vitters.
Otherwise, a lot of flotsam and jetsam. (Maybe that's not fair to Clevenger.)
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 5:57pm Permalink
wait for it...
wait for it...
FREE BOBBY SCALES!!!!
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 6:28pm Permalink
Bunch of effing haters. :)
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 8:38pm Permalink
f'reals.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 6:29pm Permalink
Hey, we've got both Adduci and Wellemeyer now. We won that trade!
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 6:15pm Permalink
Phil would know this best, but I thought I read Augie wants to get into coaching. Since the Cubs need an organizational SS at Iowa anyway, maybe this gives him a chance to make the transition from playing to coaching with the organization he likely is most familiar with.
Iowa would seem to have plenty of available pitchers for 2011, so not sure what the point is for messing with Looper, unless the Cubs want him to do a Wellemeyer and compete for a middle relief job. Guh.
Jim Hendry sure does have a fetish for veteran, marginal "fringe-y" players, doesn't he?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 8:41pm Permalink
The bottom end of most bullpens are made up of marginal, fringy players.
Should he have signed Lee away from the Phillies and made him the last member of the pen?
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:32pm Permalink
If it keeps Berg off the team - I am all for it.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Thu, 01/27/2011 - 6:51pm Permalink
Augie! Augie!
Augie is Nick Punto without the piranha teeth.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 12:12am Permalink
Sickels
Archer v. McNutt
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/1/25/1952...
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 8:33am Permalink
I got an "ugh" from the last sentence of the article. From my totally unscientific review of who did the best job projecting Cubs prospects the last few years, Sickles seemed like he was the most accurate. FWIW he rated McNutt with a B+ over Archer's B in his list this year.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 9:07am Permalink
Brian Wilson is nuttier than circus elephant shit-
http://thebiglead.com/index.php/2011/01/28/br...
And is awesome!!
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 10:12am Permalink
Oh my god, lol. Thanks for that, Jacos.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 10:23am Permalink
Somebody is a Will Ferrell fan.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 10:26am Permalink
that's it! I couldn't put my finger on it.
Ron Burgundy.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 12:15pm Permalink
please trade for him Cubs...
- Lopez being thoroughly unprepared for it I think was the best part
- MLB2k11 ad is awesome too, love the 80's cellphone he's talking on
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 1:22pm Permalink
George Lopez is terrible. He's so unfunny I am genuinely embarrassed for him when I see his show.
Re: Brett Jackson Makes A List and Other Cubs Minutiae
on Fri, 01/28/2011 - 2:18pm Permalink
..but what about the wacky faces he makes before and after deliverying a joke? Oh, man, when he sticks out his tongue, you just know it's funny!