2011 Playoff Predictions

First a look at my 2011 preseason predictions:

Red Sox, Twins, A's with Yankees winning Wild Card (Rays in 4th, Tigers in 2nd and Rangers in 3rd)

Phillies, Rockies, Brewers with Braves winning Wild Card (DBacks in 5th, Cardinals in 4th)

So, so not impressive...

AL:

Tigers vs. Yankees, Tigers in 5

My feeling is that whomever wins Game 1 between Sabathia and Verlander wins the series, so I suppose I'm picking Verlander tonight.

Rays vs. Rangers, Rays in 4

I didn't like the Rangers pitching in April, I still don't like it.

NL:

Cardinals vs. Phillies, Phillies in 3

Just because they should...

DBacks vs. Brewers, Brewers in 5

I should probably pick Cardinals vs. DBacks because I presume everyone else is picking Phillies vs. Brewers, but I tried being different at the beginning of the year and that didn't work.

LCS:

Rays vs. Tigers, Tigers in 6

Brewers vs. Phillies, Phillies in 7

World Series:

Tigers vs. Phillies, Phillies in 5

It's the consensus pick, but that top 3 is just fantastic  and Oswalt even on a down year is no shabby #4. And there's no team that even comes close on the pitching side in my opinion like the Giants did last year.

Comments

steps down as Angels GM.

But he was doing such a great job!

RT @d_a_cameron: Conversation between Moreno and Reagins: "Why am I getting fired?" "You traded for Vernon Wells." "Well, that's fair."

already forgotten about that dan harren trade, eh?

shame LA...shame...

@jay_jaffe Jay Jaffe
Tony Reagins: the Adam Dunn '11 of GM seasons

what's the interest in CJ wilson now?

cj wilson would most likely love to play in a warm climate...specifically the south-west.

also, not a lot is said about how vocally hardheaded he is...but he's very demanding. he makes matt garza look meek.

i dunno how much of a hard-on he has for money, though.

remember the words of lance berkman

I'm not saying he's the savior, but wouldn't it be something to be the guy who won the World Series for the first time in forever for the Cubs and the RedSox?

ha...francona press conference...

reporter - "you managed manny ramirez for a number of years..."
francona - *interrupting* "thank you for brightening my day."

it seems tito, theo, and the owners were all on the same page about all this.

tito even gave credit to the club's press release about needing a culture change. he cited that he can't get though to guys like he used to, even guys he could get to in the past. he said theo wanted to give him some time to think about it since the collapse is so fresh. you get the indication that owners/theo could have gone either way with him staying or leaving, but francona made the ultimate choice, himself.

some people may like those ozzie-style or mckeon-style "throw players under the bus" types, but tito is a guy that will forever suck it up for his players.

Rob, you have the Rays getting to the Series, but the Tigers losing to the Phils.

giving myself an out :)

I did mean Tigers.

I think any of the LCS teams I picked could win it all.

I don't care much for the DBacks, Yanks, Rangers or Cardinals winning it.

rooting for my future home state of AZ, myself...thinking DET more likely, though.

i dunno if ARZ can even make it past the brewers...i know i wouldn't be betting my own loot on it.

if the Cubs only had 9 Kelly Shoppach's on their team

3 would forget how to hit, 2 would fight each other and get put on leave, 1 would have a career-ending injury, 1 would have a BABIP of .165, 1 would hit .335 get expensive and be "untradable" due to being the team's best player, and the last one would be kept around because he's a good clubhouse guy.

1 would get gigantism,
1 would get arrested,
1 would be out from radition poisoning,
1 would be out from smoke inhalation from fire rescue,
1 would get lost in the 5th dimension,
1 would be kicked off the team for sideburn malfunction,
and 1 would hit homers on command

can't remember the other two

so much win...

ha...speaking of one-time hot-shot "next GM" talents...

"Matt Kemp's agent Dave Stewart said his client will not talk about a contract extension with the Dodgers once the 2012 season begins."

i forgot he started an agency...at least he's got some good clients. he was at one time a very high end suit after his mlb career...should have been a GM...loves the suit side of the game as much as the game, itself.

from Jayson Stark

To clarify, this would be worst Game 1 SHUTOUT loss since '84 Padres to Cubs.

Take the Rangers... Seems like Sutcliff's HR in that game would make it worse.

And like game one of the 1959 World Series.

I'd also like to see 92,000 fans at a game like they had at the Coliseum for the games they had there in Los Angeles.

Recent comments

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  • That's a hell of a first impression by Montgomery. Brian Cashman having a good laugh on that debut.

    Eric S 7 hours 24 min ago view
  • ...and it's a 3 run homer.

    hey, vogelbomb had a HR on his 1st game with SEA AAA, too!

    crunch 7 hours 44 min ago view
  • montgomery comes on with men on 1st/2nd, 2 out, in the 8th.

    crunch 7 hours 46 min ago view
  • from rotoworld...

    "Tommy Stokke of FanRag Sports reports Chris Sale was sent home from U.S. Cellular Field on Saturday after cutting up throwback jerseys that he did not want to wear.

    crunch 7 hours 53 min ago view
  • I thought the same. It'd be great luck to face these non-contenders after the trade deadline.

    Charlie 9 hours 36 min ago view
  • ...why isn't j.lucroy playing for TEX yet?

    :(

    2r HR on a 12-pitch AB.

    crunch 10 hours 10 min ago view
  • nathan to join the cubs tomorrow.

    crunch 10 hours 44 min ago view
  • Wow in deed.

    Rob Richardson 10 hours 49 min ago view
  • FOX Sports @MLBONFOX
    Chris Sale was scratched from tonight's scheduled start due to a clubhouse incident before the game

    ...wow

    he was sent home by the team, too. the wsox released a press statement and everything. they stated it was non-physical in nature.

    crunch 10 hours 54 min ago view
  • He was scratched from his start today. No reason given.

    Rob Richardson 10 hours 59 min ago view
  • At the start of the season the book was that he was trying to pitch to more contact so he could stay in the game longer and it seems to be working so far. Contact against is 77.5% this year and it was 70.2% the year before. He averaged 6.7 IP/game last year and so far it's 7 IP/game. His actual pitches per game are only down to 106.1/game from 107.2/game last year but if he's able to go a bit farther into games without throwing more pitches and without giving up more runs that is a good thing.

    johann 12 hours 2 min ago view
  • sale's skills and insane value makes it almost too hard to have a market for the guy...he's got 3/38m owed to him over 3 seasons (2 team options). he could easily pull in 30m/yr if he was on the market as a FA.

    he's throwing a bit differently this season, especially with more sliders and less changeups like earlier in his career, but all his stuff still looks great even if the HRs are a little elevated and the Ks are down.

    crunch 13 hours 57 min ago view
  • Torres, Happ, McKinney, Jimenez, and Candelario for Sale. Deal or no deal?

    "The White Sox are reportedly asking for “five top prospects” for Chris Sale, FanRag Sports’ Jon Heyman reports."

    John Beasley 14 hours 10 min ago view
  • Unless he develops 30+ HR power and keeps his walk rate close to his K rate at the MLB level, he's not going to turn into Prince Fielder. And even if he does turn into Prince Fielder, he's gonna have a short prime. His very limited athleticism is likely to also detract some value from his ability to reach base--I don't buy making an out as being preferable to base clogging, but you'd certainly prefer just about any base runner other than Vogelbach, David Ortiz, etc.

    Charlie 14 hours 41 min ago view
  • seeing as arod has played a total of 27.1 innings of D at 1st/3rd and somehow managed a -0.5 dWAR with his 1 error at 1st and an overall positive total zone rating...he might end up even more in the shitter via the characteristics/flaws/whatever of how some sites determine various WAR values. dWAR doesn't directly lead to a WAR value, but the 2 main entities pushing the most popular variations of WAR sometimes lead to some interesting discrepancies in value.

    crunch 14 hours 57 min ago view
  • I have a lot of faith in Baez that he's going to turn into a more consistent, solid player. It looks like it took him about a half season or so of futility at the plate to figure out he was not talented enough to get away with the crazy approach he had. I think his running game will eventually have a more measured aggression.

    Charlie 18 hours 51 min ago view