2011 Playoff Predictions

First a look at my 2011 preseason predictions:

Red Sox, Twins, A's with Yankees winning Wild Card (Rays in 4th, Tigers in 2nd and Rangers in 3rd)

Phillies, Rockies, Brewers with Braves winning Wild Card (DBacks in 5th, Cardinals in 4th)

So, so not impressive...

AL:

Tigers vs. Yankees, Tigers in 5

My feeling is that whomever wins Game 1 between Sabathia and Verlander wins the series, so I suppose I'm picking Verlander tonight.

Rays vs. Rangers, Rays in 4

I didn't like the Rangers pitching in April, I still don't like it.

NL:

Cardinals vs. Phillies, Phillies in 3

Just because they should...

DBacks vs. Brewers, Brewers in 5

I should probably pick Cardinals vs. DBacks because I presume everyone else is picking Phillies vs. Brewers, but I tried being different at the beginning of the year and that didn't work.

LCS:

Rays vs. Tigers, Tigers in 6

Brewers vs. Phillies, Phillies in 7

World Series:

Tigers vs. Phillies, Phillies in 5

It's the consensus pick, but that top 3 is just fantastic  and Oswalt even on a down year is no shabby #4. And there's no team that even comes close on the pitching side in my opinion like the Giants did last year.

Comments

steps down as Angels GM.

But he was doing such a great job!

RT @d_a_cameron: Conversation between Moreno and Reagins: "Why am I getting fired?" "You traded for Vernon Wells." "Well, that's fair."

already forgotten about that dan harren trade, eh?

shame LA...shame...

@jay_jaffe Jay Jaffe
Tony Reagins: the Adam Dunn '11 of GM seasons

what's the interest in CJ wilson now?

cj wilson would most likely love to play in a warm climate...specifically the south-west.

also, not a lot is said about how vocally hardheaded he is...but he's very demanding. he makes matt garza look meek.

i dunno how much of a hard-on he has for money, though.

remember the words of lance berkman

I'm not saying he's the savior, but wouldn't it be something to be the guy who won the World Series for the first time in forever for the Cubs and the RedSox?

ha...francona press conference...

reporter - "you managed manny ramirez for a number of years..."
francona - *interrupting* "thank you for brightening my day."

it seems tito, theo, and the owners were all on the same page about all this.

tito even gave credit to the club's press release about needing a culture change. he cited that he can't get though to guys like he used to, even guys he could get to in the past. he said theo wanted to give him some time to think about it since the collapse is so fresh. you get the indication that owners/theo could have gone either way with him staying or leaving, but francona made the ultimate choice, himself.

some people may like those ozzie-style or mckeon-style "throw players under the bus" types, but tito is a guy that will forever suck it up for his players.

Rob, you have the Rays getting to the Series, but the Tigers losing to the Phils.

giving myself an out :)

I did mean Tigers.

I think any of the LCS teams I picked could win it all.

I don't care much for the DBacks, Yanks, Rangers or Cardinals winning it.

rooting for my future home state of AZ, myself...thinking DET more likely, though.

i dunno if ARZ can even make it past the brewers...i know i wouldn't be betting my own loot on it.

if the Cubs only had 9 Kelly Shoppach's on their team

3 would forget how to hit, 2 would fight each other and get put on leave, 1 would have a career-ending injury, 1 would have a BABIP of .165, 1 would hit .335 get expensive and be "untradable" due to being the team's best player, and the last one would be kept around because he's a good clubhouse guy.

1 would get gigantism,
1 would get arrested,
1 would be out from radition poisoning,
1 would be out from smoke inhalation from fire rescue,
1 would get lost in the 5th dimension,
1 would be kicked off the team for sideburn malfunction,
and 1 would hit homers on command

can't remember the other two

so much win...

ha...speaking of one-time hot-shot "next GM" talents...

"Matt Kemp's agent Dave Stewart said his client will not talk about a contract extension with the Dodgers once the 2012 season begins."

i forgot he started an agency...at least he's got some good clients. he was at one time a very high end suit after his mlb career...should have been a GM...loves the suit side of the game as much as the game, itself.

from Jayson Stark

To clarify, this would be worst Game 1 SHUTOUT loss since '84 Padres to Cubs.

Take the Rangers... Seems like Sutcliff's HR in that game would make it worse.

And like game one of the 1959 World Series.

I'd also like to see 92,000 fans at a game like they had at the Coliseum for the games they had there in Los Angeles.

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  • I love winning! It's, like, better than losing?

    billybucks 10 hours 11 min ago view
  • LOLLYGAGGERS!

    Dusty Baylor 11 hours 35 min ago view
  • You lollygag the ball around the infield. You lollygag your way down to first. You lollygag in and out of the dugout. You know what that makes you? Larry!

    Jackstraw 14 hours 19 min ago view
  • Its too bad Warren didnt get to pitch. He would have saved us.

    The E-Man 14 hours 36 min ago view
  • Whoa -- that Contreras play in the 8th looked too much like a "Schwarber" -- nearly crashed into the wall going full speed, with Heyward doing the same.

    New rule: if you are a catcher playing LF, and find yourself sprinting after a fly ball in the gap -- stop, let the CF go after it and get ready to play it off the wall.

    billybucks 14 hours 48 min ago view
  • Cubs have no spark and no life. Pretty boring to watch these days.

    billybucks 16 hours 21 min ago view
  • I thought trips to Miami were supposed to be fun. This one sucked.

    The bottom half of the bullpen now turns close games into blowout losses. Not good.

    Once Fowler went to the DL, the team went into the tank. Wonder if he'll get any love this offseason? Probably not.

    billybucks 16 hours 25 min ago view
  • 6IP, 2ER. The last one scored because of another botched Zobrist DP turn.

    And now, a bad throw by KB. Sloppy.

    billybucks 17 hours 7 min ago view
  • What is it with Hammel always starting well and sucking after a couple months?

    The E-Man 18 hours 40 min ago view
  • Ahhh...sad. Lke a few of you here, I saw him play during the '69-'71 seasons. He was the "hot Zobrist" for the club in August/September of '69 while everyone else was fizzling out...

    The E-Man 19 hours 20 min ago view
  • I predict: "They will play hard and if they give the same effort every day, they'll win a lot of games."

    The E-Man 19 hours 23 min ago view
  • OK, boys -- find a way to win today.

    billybucks 20 hours 16 min ago view
  • There's some BA is missing too, here's all signing bonus BA doesn't have some:

    -6 Hockin $241,000 (slot price), 7 Cruz $75,000 (saved $110,00), 8 Ridlings $120,000 (saved $53,800), 9 Robinson $30,000 (saved $132,300), so far the Cubs have saved an extra $297,100

    cubbies.4ever 22 hours 7 min ago view
  • per Muscat...
    Zobrist (2B), Hayward (CF), Bryant (3B), Rizzo, Contreras (LF), Montero, Russell, Coghlan (RF), Hammel

    Cubster 22 hours 15 min ago view
  • Also -- despite losing 6 of their last 10, the Cubs picked up a game on both STL and PIT during that period. Weird, given that they swept PIT and were swept by STL.

    billybucks 22 hours 16 min ago view
  • Also, I'd like to know if there are numbers to back up my suspicion that there are a lot more fast starts than late June romps. This seems like a time where everybody not named Willson Contreras is looking a little tired and/or banged up a bit.

    For once, the Cubs got off to a fast start. Seems like I've been waiting for that for 50 years.Everybody is really gunning for this team, too. It's their playoffs.

    Old and Blue 23 hours 41 min ago view