2011 Playoff Predictions

First a look at my 2011 preseason predictions:

Red Sox, Twins, A's with Yankees winning Wild Card (Rays in 4th, Tigers in 2nd and Rangers in 3rd)

Phillies, Rockies, Brewers with Braves winning Wild Card (DBacks in 5th, Cardinals in 4th)

So, so not impressive...

AL:

Tigers vs. Yankees, Tigers in 5

My feeling is that whomever wins Game 1 between Sabathia and Verlander wins the series, so I suppose I'm picking Verlander tonight.

Rays vs. Rangers, Rays in 4

I didn't like the Rangers pitching in April, I still don't like it.

NL:

Cardinals vs. Phillies, Phillies in 3

Just because they should...

DBacks vs. Brewers, Brewers in 5

I should probably pick Cardinals vs. DBacks because I presume everyone else is picking Phillies vs. Brewers, but I tried being different at the beginning of the year and that didn't work.

LCS:

Rays vs. Tigers, Tigers in 6

Brewers vs. Phillies, Phillies in 7

World Series:

Tigers vs. Phillies, Phillies in 5

It's the consensus pick, but that top 3 is just fantastic  and Oswalt even on a down year is no shabby #4. And there's no team that even comes close on the pitching side in my opinion like the Giants did last year.

Comments

steps down as Angels GM.

But he was doing such a great job!

RT @d_a_cameron: Conversation between Moreno and Reagins: "Why am I getting fired?" "You traded for Vernon Wells." "Well, that's fair."

already forgotten about that dan harren trade, eh?

shame LA...shame...

@jay_jaffe Jay Jaffe
Tony Reagins: the Adam Dunn '11 of GM seasons

what's the interest in CJ wilson now?

cj wilson would most likely love to play in a warm climate...specifically the south-west.

also, not a lot is said about how vocally hardheaded he is...but he's very demanding. he makes matt garza look meek.

i dunno how much of a hard-on he has for money, though.

remember the words of lance berkman

I'm not saying he's the savior, but wouldn't it be something to be the guy who won the World Series for the first time in forever for the Cubs and the RedSox?

ha...francona press conference...

reporter - "you managed manny ramirez for a number of years..."
francona - *interrupting* "thank you for brightening my day."

it seems tito, theo, and the owners were all on the same page about all this.

tito even gave credit to the club's press release about needing a culture change. he cited that he can't get though to guys like he used to, even guys he could get to in the past. he said theo wanted to give him some time to think about it since the collapse is so fresh. you get the indication that owners/theo could have gone either way with him staying or leaving, but francona made the ultimate choice, himself.

some people may like those ozzie-style or mckeon-style "throw players under the bus" types, but tito is a guy that will forever suck it up for his players.

Rob, you have the Rays getting to the Series, but the Tigers losing to the Phils.

giving myself an out :)

I did mean Tigers.

I think any of the LCS teams I picked could win it all.

I don't care much for the DBacks, Yanks, Rangers or Cardinals winning it.

rooting for my future home state of AZ, myself...thinking DET more likely, though.

i dunno if ARZ can even make it past the brewers...i know i wouldn't be betting my own loot on it.

if the Cubs only had 9 Kelly Shoppach's on their team

3 would forget how to hit, 2 would fight each other and get put on leave, 1 would have a career-ending injury, 1 would have a BABIP of .165, 1 would hit .335 get expensive and be "untradable" due to being the team's best player, and the last one would be kept around because he's a good clubhouse guy.

1 would get gigantism,
1 would get arrested,
1 would be out from radition poisoning,
1 would be out from smoke inhalation from fire rescue,
1 would get lost in the 5th dimension,
1 would be kicked off the team for sideburn malfunction,
and 1 would hit homers on command

can't remember the other two

so much win...

ha...speaking of one-time hot-shot "next GM" talents...

"Matt Kemp's agent Dave Stewart said his client will not talk about a contract extension with the Dodgers once the 2012 season begins."

i forgot he started an agency...at least he's got some good clients. he was at one time a very high end suit after his mlb career...should have been a GM...loves the suit side of the game as much as the game, itself.

from Jayson Stark

To clarify, this would be worst Game 1 SHUTOUT loss since '84 Padres to Cubs.

Take the Rangers... Seems like Sutcliff's HR in that game would make it worse.

And like game one of the 1959 World Series.

I'd also like to see 92,000 fans at a game like they had at the Coliseum for the games they had there in Los Angeles.

Recent comments

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  • They've mentioned Henry Rodriguez (2013), Chris Carpenter, and Andrew Cashner as Cubs who have gone 100+. They said Rodriguez was tops at 100.8. Who knows before 2008?

    QuietMan 20 min 46 sec ago view
  • Regarding Heyward--

    He'll play regardless of what he does, just like Soriano played for seven years before they finally ditched him.

    What can they do? All I can think of is they can keep hiring and firing hitting coaches until they find one who can get him to stop hitting balls with the handle of the bat.

    (All those broken bats added to his paycheck is just a bit much.)

    VirginiaPhil 21 min 24 sec ago view
  • Lester will probably be all right.

    I think Arrieta might have added too much muscle preparing for that butt-naked ESPN photo shoot. Pitchers are supposed to be loose, not muscled up.

    Seriously.

    VirginiaPhil 27 min 51 sec ago view
  • I have basically written off Heyward for this year -- if you are working on major swing changes in late July, you are going to struggle. Hopefully, he can be more productive at the plate next year. It will be interesting to see what they do with him if the Cardinals keep winning and close the gap. Heyward is dead last in the NL in slugging and in the bottom 5 in OPS -- yet still has a positive WAR. Hunh.

    billybucks 31 min 23 sec ago view
  • Has anybody in a Cub uniform ever thrown a ball 103 before?

    VirginiaPhil 34 min 59 sec ago view
  • He certainly looks better, no doubt, and is a different player than what we saw when he first came up. Full credit to him for changing his approach and saving his career.

    But he has zero walks in 35AB since the break, and 10 in 251 AB all year. He does seem to be able to hit some pitches out of the zone, but, a guy with his pop should be drawing more walks. However, it's easy to forget he is still only 23, and probably trying to make an impact to prove he should be an everyday player.

    billybucks 43 min 55 sec ago view
  • The usual suspects, Molina and Wong. Gyorko drew a walk with two outs, none on. I recall us (particularly Szczur and Bryant) swinging at everything Familia threw.

    VirginiaPhil 45 min 47 sec ago view
  • Yup. Thanks Q

    The E-Man 51 min 33 sec ago view
  • QuietMan 59 min 31 sec ago view
  • I for one hope that Sosa comes back soon.

    Rob Richardson 1 hour 18 min ago view
  • O/B interesting you should mention that. Google ESPN Science Aroldis Chapman and you'll be treated to how his mechanics and delivery are possibly historic. It's the 120% of his body stretch plus the torque. They compare him to the Unit and NRyan.

    The E-Man 1 hour 57 min ago view
  • Amazing how much lower the production gets when Bryant runs into a mini-cold streak. He doesn't stay cold for long. If just one of Zobrist or, gulp, Heyward, gets hot, they oughta have one more really nice winning streak in them. Having a closer that you have absolute confidence in can't hurt.

    Old and Blue 2 hours 41 min ago view
  • I hope they hold onto Jimenez. Outfield depth is questionable, especially with McKinney, who struggled this year but still, gone.

    Old and Blue 2 hours 52 min ago view
  • You don't think he's improved? He looks completely different out there than he did when he first came up. The last I checked his K rate was in the low 20% range - 22-23 or so. When he came up it was 40%+.

    To me, what is scary about him if I'm the other guy is that he IS learning the strike zone. This guy could easily be the MVP someday.

    Old and Blue 2 hours 53 min ago view
  • So, playing .500 for the rest of the year puts them at 91 wins. You would think there is enough talent to do a little better than that, right?

    The E-Man 3 hours 12 min ago view
  • First team to 60 wins! Onward to 70, 80, 90 and 100!

    billybucks 11 hours 42 min ago view