Cubs 2011 Arizona Instructional League - Final Stats

Here are the final statistics for the Cubs 2011 AZ Instructional League team.


There is no official scorer at AZIL games so the stats are “unofficial.”



POSITION PLAYERS:


JAVIER BAEZ, SS:
R/R
Age 18
2011 DRAFT - 1st round ($2.625M bonus)
Arlington Country Day School - Jacksonville, FL
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.273 AVG
.273 OBP
.364 SLG
6 GAMES
23 PA
22 AB
6 HITS
2 2B
0 3B
0 HR
1 RBI
4 RUNS
0 BB
9 K
1 SH
1 SB (0 CS)
1 PO
DEFENSE: 1 ERROR (E-6)


JEFFREY BAEZ, OF:
R/R
Age 18
2010 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Venezuela ($350K bonus)
Made U. S. debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.219 AVG
.278 OBP
.344 SLG
13 GAMES
36 PA
32 AB
7 HITS
2 2B
1 3B
0 HR
6 RBI
2 RUNS
3 BB
7 K
1 SF
0 SB (1 CS)
DEFENSE:
NO ERRORS
1 OUTFIELD ASSIST


ELIECER BONNE, OF:
R/R
Age 24
2011 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Cuba
Made U. S. debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.200 AVG
.200 OBP
.200 SLG
3 GAMES
5 PA
5 AB
1 HIT
0 2B
0 3B
0 HR
0 RBI
0 RUNS
0 BB
1 K
1 SB (0 CS)
DEFENSE: NO ERRORS


YANIEL CABEZAS, C:
R/R
Age 22
2010 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Cuba ($500K bonus)
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.357 AVG
.419 OBP
.429 SLG
11 GAMES
31 PA
28 AB
10 HITS
2 2B
0 3B
0 HR
3 RBI
5 RUNS
3 BB
2 K
1 GIDP
0 SB (1 CS)
DEFENSE:
NO ERRORS
1-7 CS (14%)
1 PO


JEIMER CANDELARIO, 3B-1B:
B/R
Age 17
2010 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Dominican Republic ($500K bonus)
Made U. S. debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.297 AVG
.361 OBP
.459 SLG
14 GAMES
41 PA
37 AB
11 HITS
4 2B
1 3B
0 HR
5 RBI
7 RUNS
4 BB
5 K
2 GIDP
0 SB
DEFENSE: 3 ERRORS (E-5, E-5, E-5)


ZEKE DeVOSS, 2B-LF-CF:
B/R
Age 21
2011 DRAFT - 3rd round ($500K)
U. of Miami
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.231 AVG
.302 OBP
.231 SLG
11 GAMES
43 PA
39 AB
9 HITS
0 2B
0 3B
0 HR
2 RBI
2 RUNS
3 BB
14 K
1 HBP
2 SB (2 CS)
1 PO
DEFENSE: 4 ERRORS (E4, E4, E4, E4)


SHAWON DUNSTON, Jr, CF-LF-RF:
L/R
Age 18
2011 DRAFT - 11th round ($1.25M “over-slot” bonus)
Valley Christian HS - San Jose, CA
Made pro debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.143 AVG
.163 OBP
.214 SLG
14 GAMES
46 PA
42 AB
6 HITS
0 2B
0 3B
1 HR
4 RBI
3 RUNS
1 BB
6 K
3 SH
0 SB (1 CS)
1 PO
DEFENSE:
1 ERROR (E-8)
2 OUTFIELD ASSISTS


TAIWAN EASTERLING, LF-CF:
R/R
Age 22
2011 DRAFT - 27th Round ($150K “over-slot“ bonus)
Florida State
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.455 AVG
.538 OBP
.727 SLG
4 GAMES
13 PA
11 AB
5 HITS
1 2B
1 3B
0 HR
2 RBI
3 RUNS
1 BB
2 K
1 HBP
1 SB (2 CS)
DEFENSE: 1 OUTFIELD ASSIST


DUSTIN GEIGER, 3B-1B:
R/R
Age 19
2010 DRAFT - 24th round ($150K “over-slot“ bonus)
Merritt Island HS - Brevard County, FL
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.333 AVG
.407 OBP
.458 SLG
9 GAMES
27 PA
24 AB
8 HITS
2 2B
0 3B
1 HR
6 RBI
6 RUNS
0 BB
5 K
3 HBP
1 GIDP
2 SB (1 CS)
DEFENSE: 2 ERRORS (E3, E5)


MICAH GIBBS, C-1B:
B/R
Age 23
2010 DRAFT - 3rd round ($350K bonus)
LSU
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.448 AVG
.541 OBP
.758 SLG
13 GAMES
37 PA
29 AB
13 HITS
2 2B
2 3B
1 HR
8 RBI
7 RUNS
6 BB
4 K
1 HBP
1 SF
0 SB
DEFENSE:
NO ERRORS
3-3 CS (100%)


REGGIE GOLDEN, RF-CF-LF:
R/R
Age 20
2011 DRAFT - 2nd round ($725K bonus)
Wetumpka HS - Wetumpka, AL
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.214 AVG
.267 OBP
.429 SLG
9 GAMES
30 PA
28 AB
6 HITS
3 2B
0 3B
1 HR
8 RBI
7 RUNS
2 BB
9 K
1 GIDP
1 SB (1 CS)
DEFENSE:
1 ERROR (E-9)
1 OUTFIELD ASSIST


DANNY LOCKHART, SS-2B-3B:
L/R
Age 18
2011 DRAFT - 10th round ($395K “over-slot“ bonus)
Hebron Christian Academy - Dacula, GA
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.231 AVG
.326 OBP
.283 SLG
14 GAMES
46 PA
39 AB
9 HITS
2 2B
0 3B
0 HR
3 RBI
6 RUNS
5 BB
7 K
1 HBP
1 SH
0 SB (3 CS)
DEFENSE: 2 ERRORS (E6, E6)


RAFAEL LOPEZ, C-1B:
L/R
Age 24
2011 DRAFT - 16th round
Florida State
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.278 AVG
.435 OBP
.389 SLG
8 GAMES
23 PA
18 AB
5 HITS
2 2B
0 3B
0 HR
3 RBI
3 R
5 BB
0 K
0 SB
DEFENSE:
1 ERROR (E-2)
3-11 CS (27%)
1 PB


MARK MALAVE, C-3B:
B/R
Age 16
2011 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Venezuela ($1.6M bonus)
Made pro debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.143 AVG
.250 OBP
.143 SLG
10 GAMES
24 PA
21 AB
3 HITS
0 2B
0 3B
0 HR
0 RBI
0 R
3 BB
7 K
1 GIDP
0 SB
DEFENSE:
NO ERRORS
1-4 CS (25 %)
1 PB


JUSTIN MARRA, C:
L/R
Age 18
2011 DRAFT - 15th round ($110K “over-slot“ bonus)
Michael Power/St. Joseph SS - Ontario, Canada
Made pro debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.261 AVG
.370 OBP
.304 SLG
11 GAMES
27 PA
23 AB
6 HITS
1 2B
0 3B
0 HR
3 RBI
3 RUNS
4 BB
5 K
1 SB (0 CS)
DEFENSE:
NO ERRORS
0-2 CS (0%)
1 PB


TREY MARTIN, LF-CF:
R/R
Age 18
2011 DRAFT - 13th round ($250K “over-slot“ bonus)
Brookwood HS - Snellville, GA
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.208 AVG
.240 OBP
.250 SLG
9 GAMES
25 PA
24 AB
5 HITS
1 2B
0 3B
0 HR
3 RBI
2 RUNS
1 BB
5 K
2 GIDP
1 SB (0 CS)
DEFENSE: NO ERRORS


ALBERTO MINEO, C:
L/R
Age 17
2010 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Italy ($225K bonus)
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.500 AVG
.556 OBP
.500 SLG
4 GAMES
9 PA
8 AB
4 HITS
0 2B
0 3B
0 HR
2 RBI
0 R
1 BB
2 K
0 SB
DEFENSE:
NO ERRORS
1-1 CS (100%)
1 PB


CARLOS PENALVER, SS-2B-3B:
R/R
Age 17
2010 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Venezuela ($550K bonus)
Made U. S. debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.158 AVG
.180 OBP
.158 SLG
40 PA
38 AB
6 HITS
0 2B
0 3B
0 HR
4 RBI
3 RUNS
1 BB
7 K
1 SH
2 GIDP
2 SB (1 CS)
DEFENSE: 4 ERRORS (E4, E4, E6, E6)


NEFTALI ROSARIO, C:
R/R
Age 18
2011 DRAFT - 6th round ($150K bonus)
Puerto Rico Baseball Academy
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.107 AVG
.167 OBP
.107 SLG
10 GAMES
30 PA
28 AB
3 HITS
0 2B
0 3B
0 HR
0 RBI
3 RUNS
1 BB
14 K
1 HBP
1 GIDP
1 SB (0 CS)
DEFENSE:
1 ERROR
1-8 CS (13%)
2 PB


GARRETT SCHLECHT, LF-RF:
L/L
Age 18
2011 DRAFT - 9th round ($235K “over-slot“ bonus)
Waterloo HS - Waterloo, IL
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.250 AVG
.455 OBP
.292 SLG
14 GAMES
33 PA
24 AB
6 HITS
1 2B
0 3B
0 HR
1 RBI
5 RUNS
9 BB
9 K
0 SB
DEFENSE:
NO ERRORS
1 OUTFIELD ASSIST


RUBI SILVA, 2B-RF-SS:
L/R
Age 22
2010 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Cuba ($1M bonus)
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.317 AVG
.349 OBP
.366 SLG
12 GAMES
43 PA
41 AB
13 HITS
0 2B
1 3B
0 HR
3 RBI
10 RUNS
2 BB
6 K
3 SB (1 CS)
1 PO
DEFENSE: 1 ERROR (E-4)


DAN VOGELBACH, 1B:
L/R
Age 18
2011 DRAFT - 2nd round ($1.6M bonus)
Bishop Verot HS - Ft. Myers, FL
2011 INSTRUCTS:
.261 AVG
.393 OBP
.413 SLG
16 GAMES
56 PA
46 AB
12 HITS
2 2B
1 3B
1 HR
7 RBI
6 RUNS
10 BB
12 K
2 SB (0 CS)
DEFENSE: 1 ERROR (E-3)


PITCHERS:


JOSE ARIAS, RHP:
Age 20
2010 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Dominican Republic
Made U. S. debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
2.45 ERA
0.82 WHIP
.154 OppBA
5 GAMES (2 GS)
7.1 IP, 4 H, 2 R (2 ER), 2 BB, 12 K, 1 HR


KYLER BURKE, LHP:
Age 23
2006 DRAFT - 1st round (Supplemental) by San Diego Padres
Traded with Rob Bowen to Cubs from SD for Michael Barrett in 2007
Cubs 2009 Minor League Player of the Year (as OF)
Ex-OF - Converted to LHP Spring Training 2011
2011 INSTRUCTS:
2.70 ERA
1.05 WHIP
.182 OppBA
4 GAMES (1 GS)
6.2 IP, 4 H, 2 R (2 ER), 3 BB, 8 K, 1 WP
DEFENSE: 1 ERROR


CHRIS CARPENTER, RHP:
Age 25
2008 DRAFT - 3rd round
Kent State
2011 INSTRUCTS (AFL PREP):
0.00 ERA
2.00 WHIP
.500 OppBA
1 GAME
1.0 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, 1 GIDP


FRANK DEL VALLE, LHP:
Age 22
2011 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Cuba ($800K bonus)
2011 INSTRUCTS:
1.80 ERA
0.70 WHIP
.152 OppBA
6 GAMES
10.0 IP, 5 H, 2 R (2 ER), 2 BB, 14 K, 1 HBP, 1 HR, 1 BALK


IAN DICKSON, RHP:
Age 21
2011 Draft - 35th round ($100K “over-slot” bonus)
Lafayette College
Made pro debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
1.69 ERA
1.50 WHIP
.211 OppBA
4 GAMES (2 GS)
5.1 IP, 4 H, 1 R (1 ER), 4 BB, 4 K, 1 GIDP


DUSTIN FITZGERALD, RHP:
Age 21
2010 DRAFT - 19th round ($110K “over-slot“ bonus)
Hill JC
2011 INSTRUCTS:
4.15 ERA
1.38 WHIP
.290 OppBA
7 GAMES
8.2 IP, 9 H, 4 R (4 ER), 3 BB, 8 K, 1 HR, 1 HBP, 1 GIDP


MARCUS HATLEY, RHP:
Age 23
2006 DRAFT - 39th round (Draft & Follow signed in May 2007)
Palomar JC
2011 INSTRUCTS (AFL PREP):
0.00 ERA
1.00 WHIP
.000 OppBA
1 GAME
1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 K

DAVID HENRIE, RHP:
Age 20
2011 NON-DRAFTED FREE-AGENT - Trinidad State JC
Made pro debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
12.15 ERA
2.40 WHIP
.387 OppBA
5 GAMES (1 GS)
6.2 IP, 12 H, 11 R (9 ER), 4 BB, 5 K, 2 WP, 1 HR
DEFENSE: 1 ERROR


MICHAEL JENSEN, RHP:
Age 20
2011 DRAFT - 26th round ($225K “over-slot“ bonus)
Hartnell JC
2011 INSTRUCTS:
0.00 ERA
1.20 WHIP
.182 OppBA
3 GAMES
3.1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 1 K, 1 HBP, 1 GIDP


LUIS LIRIA, RHP:
Age 21
2007 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Dominican Republic
2011 INSTRUCTS:
0.82 ERA
0.82 WHIP
.121 OppBA
6 GAMES (1 GS)
11.0 IP, 4 H, 1 R (1 ER), 5 BB, 4 K, 2 WP


DILLON MAPLES, RHP
Age 19
2011 DRAFT - 14th round ($2.5M “over-slot” bonus)
Pinecrest HS - Southern Pines, NC
Made pro debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
4.91 ERA
1.91 WHIP
.231 OppBA
3 GAMES (1 GS)
3.2 IP, 3 H, 2 R (2 ER), 4 BB, 2 K, 1 HBP


ANDREW McKIRAHAN, LHP:
Age 21
2011 DRAFT - 21st round
U. of Texas
2011 INSTRUCTS:
4.70 ERA
1.43 WHIP
.290 OppBA
7 GAMES
7.2 IP, 9 H, 4 R (4 ER), 2 BB, 7 K, 1 WP, 2 HR, 1 PO


TREY McNUTT, RHP
Age 22
2009 DRAFT - 32nd round ($115K “over-slot” bonus)
Shelton State CC
2011 INSTRUCTS (AFL PREP):
9.00 ERA
1.50 WHIP
.250 OppBA
1 GAME (1 GS):
2.0 IP, 2 H, 2 R (2 ER), 1 BB, 1 K


TARLANDUS MITCHELL, RHP:
Age 21
2008 DRAFT - 22nd round
Alto HS - Alto, TX
2011 INSTRUCTS:
5.40 ERA
1.80 WHIP
.222 OppBA
5 GAMES
5.0 IP, 4 H, 7 R (3 ER), 5 BB, 5 K, 1 HBP, 4 WP, 1 PO


AMAURY PAULINO, RHP:
Age 21
2009 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Dominican Republic
2011 INSTRUCTS
11.81 ERA
1.88 WHIP
.364 OppBA
5 GAMES (1 GS)
5.1 IP, 8 H, 7 R (7 ER), 2 BB, 7 K, 1 HBP, 1 WP


FELIX PENA, RHP:
Age 21
2009 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Dominican Republic
2011 INSTRUCTS:
6.52 ERA
1.55 WHIP
.325 OppBA
5 GAMES (1 GS)
9.2 IP, 13 H, 7 R (7 ER), 2 BB, 9 K, 1 BALK


STARLING PERALTA, RHP:
Age 20
2008 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Dominican Republic
2011 INSTRUCTS:
2.16 ERA
1.08 WHIP
.207 OppBA
4 GAMES (2 GS)
8.1 IP, 6 H, 2 R (2 ER), 3 BB, 8 K, 1 HR, 3 WP, 2 GIDP
DEFENSE: 1 ERROR


CHRISTOPHER PIETERS, LHP:
Age 17
2011 INTERNATIONAL FREE- AGENT - Curacao ($350K bonus)
Made pro debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
9.64 ERA
2.57 WHIP
.263 OppBA
4 GAMES (1 GS)
4.2 IP, 5 H, 5 R (5 ER), 7 BB, 1 K, 1 HR, 1 WP


AUSTIN REED, RHP:
Age 19
2010 DRAFT - 12th round ($150K “over-slot” bonus)
Rancho Cucamonga HS - Rancho Cucamonga, CA
2011 INSTRUCTS:
0.00 ERA
0.60 WHIP
.138 OppBA
5 GAMES
8.1 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 5 K
DEFENSE: 1 ERROR


JOSE ROSARIO, RHP:
Age 21
2008 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Dominican Republic
2011 INSTRUCTS:
2.25 ERA
1.75 WHIP
.226 OppBA
6 GAMES (1 GS)
8.0 IP, 7 H, 4 R (2 ER), 7 BB, 5 K


ZAC ROSSCUP, LHP:
Age 23
2009 DRAFT - 28th round (by Tampa Bay Rays)
Traded to Cubs from TB in multi-player deal in January 2011
2011 INSTRUCTS:
4.91 ERA
1.64 WHIP
.267 OppBA
3 GAMES (2 GS)
3.2 IP, 4 H, 2 R (2 ER), 2 BB, 5 K, 1 HR, 1 GIDP


ALEXANDER SANTANA, RHP:
Age 17
2010 INTERNATIONAL FREE-AGENT - Dominican Republic
Made U. S. debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
7.94 ERA
1.59 WHIP
.261 OppBA
4 GAMES
5.2 IP, 6 H, 6 R (5 ER), 3 BB, 5 K


TAYLER SCOTT, RHP:
Age 19
2011 DRAFT - 5th round ($280K bonus)
Notre Dame Prep - Scottsdale, AZ
2011 INSTRUCTS:
2.16 ERA
1.20 WHIP
.225 OppBA
5 GAMES
8.1 IP, 7 H, 2 R (2 ER), 3 BB, 6 K, 1 GIDP


MATT SPENCER, LHP:
Age 25
2007 DRAFT - 3rd round (by Philadelphia Phillies)
Traded to Cubs from OAK in multi-player deal in January 2010
Ex-OF - Converted to LHP at 2011 INSTRUCTS
2011 INSTRUCTS:
7.36 ERA
2.18 WHIP
.214 OppBA
3 GAMES
3.2 IP, 3 H, 3 R (3 ER), 5 BB, 4 K, 5 WP


CHARLES THOMAS, RHP:
Age 23
2009 DRAFT - 10th round ($60K bonus)
Edward Waters College
Ex-3B - Converted to RHP at AZL Cubs 2010
2011 INSTRUCTS:
4.05 ERA
1.20 WHIP
.280 OppBA
5 GAMES (1 GS)
6.2 IP, 7 H, 4 R (3 ER), 1 BB, 10 K, 2 WP


SCOTT WEISMANN, RHP:
Age 21
2011 DRAFT - 46th round
Clemson
Made pro debut at Instructs
2011 INSTRUCTS:
2.84 ERA
1.11 WHIP
.227 OppBA
5 GAMES (1 GS)
6.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R (2 ER), 2 BB, 8 K, 1 WP


TONY ZYCH, RHP:
Age 21
2011 DRAFT - 4th round ($400K bonus)
U. of Louisville
2011 INSTRUCTS:
8.10 ERA
1.80 WHIP
.296 OppBA
7 GAMES
6.2 IP, 8 H, 10 R (6 ER), 4 BB, 13 K, 2 HBP, 3 WP

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Comments

http://www.suntimes.com/sports/baseball/cubs/...

Cubs sources with knowledge of the talks between the Cubs and Boston Red Sox don’t expect their haggling over player compensation to keep Epstein from becoming the Cubs’ next general manager.

~snip~

The sense of inevitability cuts a swath from Wrigley to Fenway, where sources say Ben Cherington already has been internally appointed GM and other members of the Red Sox’ front office are in the process of being shuffled and/or promoted according to that and other falling dominoes anticipated with Epstein’s departure.

Give them Rafael Dolis and Marvin Gonzalez and call it a day.

Just curious, did you get a look at Dolis in that Monday game (9/26) in San Diego? I recommend going to mlb.com and checking out Dolis in his only ML outing. He looks pretty talented. The Padres' broadcasters were impressed by his "easy gas" and by one pitch in particular that he threw, a 95-mph sinker.

If Dolis ever puts it together, he could be a great late inning arm, with a power sinker, able to throw a hard 4-seamer. But the secondary pitches, namely, the slider, are so inconsistent right now.

Give them Marla Collins and Porfi Altimoreno.

I'm still on it:

Theo Cub Reporter!

Phil,

I was going to ask for your impressions on a couple of guys, but then I figured, and I am sure others, would love to get your take on just about all of them. I know in the game writeups you've done a few already.

AZ PHIL: Thanks for this. I am wondering, is there one or two pitchers, and one or two postion players that you felt showed outstanding talent? I know it is still rough, but...

This whole Theo thing has reminded me we really don't have a bushel basket of MLB starting pitching prospects - particulrily front end.

Submitted by The E-Man on Tue, 10/18/2011 - 9:17am.
AZ PHIL: Thanks for this. I am wondering, is there one or two pitchers, and one or two postion players that you felt showed outstanding talent? I know it is still rough, but...

This whole Theo thing has reminded me we really don't have a bushel basket of MLB starting pitching prospects - particulrily front end

====================================

E-MAN: Micah Gibbs was at Instructs specifically to work on improving his hitting and his throwing, and there is no question he did that. His bat speed is still a bit sluggish, but he learned to load-up with some elevation in his swing and he got really good results from both sides of the plate. He is also a more patient & relaxed hitter, and that should result in more walks.

What with Luis Flores on the Restricted List while serving out his 50-game PED suspension, Micah Gibbs could get jumped to Tennessee out of Minor League Camp, at least until Flores is ready to return to action sometime in May. Gibbs is already the best receiver in the Cubs system, the pitchers love throwing to him, and he was a "Big Brother" to a lot of the younger kids at Instructs. A great role model for the youngsters.

17-year old switch-hitting 3B-1B Jeimer Candelario is an advanced hitter for his age. He has one of the those classic sweet lefty swings that produces line-drives from line-to line. He is OK RH, too, but it's more of a punch (NOT slap) swing. He has a large frame that could mean he will develop some significant HR power (probably more from the left side) down the line as he fills out and matures. I don't know if he can remain at 3B long-term, though. He might have to move to 1B, LF, or RF at some point.

Candelario loves to talk on the field (he speaks very good English), and I don't think a pitch goes by where you don't hear him shout something to the pitcher or to the other players. Despite being only 17, he seems to fancy himself a coach on the field.

1B Dan Vogelbach has awesome power (especially for an 18-year old), but he also will take outside pitches the other way and smoke a line-drive into the left-center alley. He is a VERY patient & choosy hitter who is not afraid to hit with two strikes. As a result, he might get called-out on strikes a bit more than the average hitter. A lot of the scouts and rival managers, coaches, and players talk about his "bad body," but he just keeps smiling, brushes it off, and just does his thing. Although he is certainly not fast, he is an aggressive base-runner who will take the extra-base if the opportunity presents itself. He is a special kid. If you told me he was John Kruk's son, I would believe it.

As for the pitchers, LHP (ex-OF) Kyler Burke has made great strides since converting to pitcher at Minor League Camp last March. Of course Burke was an outstanding two-way player (OF-LHP) in HS, and was even rated higher as a pitcher than an outfielder by some scouts going into the 2006 draft, so I guess it should not come as a surprise that he is progresing as well as he is.

Burke throws a mid-90's fastball, a curve, and a change-up, and learned to throw a slider at Instructs. Despite his age (he is 23 going on 24), the sky is the limit for Kyler Burke. As I have mentioned before, Burke is eligible for selection in the December 2011 Rule 5 Draft, and while he probably won't be taken (he hasn't pitched above Boise), the Cubs do need to remember that he is eligible to be an MLB Rule 55 Minor-League Free-Agent (Six-Year Minor League FA) post-2012, and so he could walk away if the Cubs don't add him to the 40-man roster by the 4th day following the conclusion of the 2012 World Series.

22-year old Cuban defector LHP Frank Del Valle had an outstanding Instructs, and looks to be ready to make a big move in 2012. While I suspect he will begin the 2012 season as a rotation starter at Daytona, I certainly would not be surprised if he finished the year at Tennessee.

Del Valle throws a low 90's fastball with movement, a plus-breaking ball, and a change, and he shows tremendous poise on the mound. He also has a nifty pick-off move that keeps base-runners from wanting to run on him.

20-year old 6'4 RHP Jose Arias was the #1 Cubs starter in the DSL in 2011, and he showed why at Instructs. He pounds the strike zone with a 94 MPH fastball and a solid breaking ball, and racks up the punch-outs. Arias was the Starling Peralta of this year's Instructs, and could follow a similar path as Peralta in 2011. (BTW, Peralta looked OK at 2011 Instructs, too, although his control was a bit off).

After struggling at Boise, RHP Austin Reed (who has great stuff but delicate mechanics) got things straightened out and threw 8.1 IP of shutout ball at Instructs. Hopefully he will be able to carry it over to Peoria in 2012.

Among the disappointments at 2011 Instructs, after having a big first game (a two-run single and a solo HR) Shawon Dunston,Jr went into an extended slump that never ended. His big problem is that he is (at present) an EXTREME pull hitter. He needs to use the whole field, but doesn't really seem to understand that. He just tries to pull everything.

C Neftali Rosario had all kinds of trouble both offensively and defensively at Instructs. He seemed to take a giant step backwards from where he was in the AZL. Swing & miss. Swing & miss. Swing & miss. No contact. It's so bad right now that he probably needs to go back to square-one and start all over again. And while his defense was never good, it was even worse at Instructs. His receiving skills are poor, but even his throwing (which was one of his strengths) was pretty bad at Instructs.

Among the pitchers, newly-signed RHP David Henrie (2011 NDFA - Trinidad State JC) made his pro debut and got pounded. So did AZL Cubs RHPs Felix Pena and Amaury Paulino.

5'8 fireballin' RHP Tarlandus Mitchell still can't throw strikes. It looks like it might be getting close to the end of the line for "Smoke" (this was his 4th year in the organization and he hasn't got past Boise). Really nice kid, though

Recently converted LHP (ex-OF) Matt Spencer did a really good impression of "Wild Thing" (from Major League), and 17-year old LHP Christopher Pieters (from Curacao) is definitely not anywhere close to being ready for Prime Time. Pieters looked totally lost on the mound.

yeah, that was awesome.

Ditto. Thank you!

Thanks, AZ Phil. Great stuff.

What do you mean by 'more of a punch' swing on Candelario? As in he hits it harder or is that a mechanic you're describing?

Submitted by The Real Neal on Tue, 10/18/2011 - 12:11pm.
Thanks, AZ Phil. Great stuff.

What do you mean by 'more of a punch' swing on Candelario? As in he hits it harder or is that a mechanic you're describing?

============================

TRN: He swings RH like he does LH, but he doesn't generate the same bat speed or drive the ball RH like he does LH.

Cool thanks. That's an odd one, you'd think he'd get more power from his right side. Maybe he's ambidextrous.

the sabergeeks mostly seem to believe this is a well-done article, I don't have time to read it this morning.

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/ano...

Soto was 11th best at blocking pitches from 2008-2011 and comes out as 9th best defensively in 2011 between blocking pitches, throwing out runners and framing pitches.

my casual observation was he seemed much improved defensively this year.

This seems right to me. From an observation (i.e. not statistical pov) I have always thought that Soto was decent/good at blocking pitches, and he seemed to get a lot better this year at throwing out base runners.

One real glaring oversight in the study is how they handle catcher posiitoning, and the pitchers ability to target those posistions.

If you have a pitcher who throws wild pitch fastballs, let's just call him "Jeff S", and another who hits your glove, let's just call him "Greg M", even if they throw pitches that cross the plate in the same location with the same trajectory, it may wind up a passed ball for the "Jeff S" pitch, because you were setting up inside and he missed the mark by three feet.

It's the same problem that the "zone rating" systems have, when they do not discount for superior scouting/defensive positioning/pitchers executing game plans.

The assumption that all knuckleballs are equally easy to catch, seems a little bit naive to me as well.

I'm still on it:
---
Every March 15th we become: "The-O'Cub Reporter"

No word on Cabezas injury?

Submitted by Cubbygf on Tue, 10/18/2011 - 10:13am.
No word on Cabezas injury?

=================================

CUBBYGF: Yaniel Cabezas was carted off the field towards the end of the last game, but I don't know the extent of his injury (it looked like an ankle or a knee).

trying to bust the system

@SDUNSTONJR shawon dunston jr
Would like it someone could lend me there baseball America user name and password for a second

Simultaneously busting his school system as well (pot calling the kettle black, I know).

lol. Didn't he just get a bonus worth over a million dollars?

claims he misplaced his login in a following tweet and they put out a draft report card today.

30-year deal with Cubs for spring training complex...

Arizona Phil stays employed. :)

says the problem is the Cubs prospects mostly suck and the ones that don't the Cubs want to keep.

http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/...

What's been amusing are reports out of Chicago that Larry Lucchino has been difficult to deal with in this process. Difficult? The Cubs, realizing they have nothing, are trying to hold to that nothing.

"It sounds like the process, from what I've heard second hand, has been quite frustrating on the Red Sox end," said the GM.

The joke will be on Boston, because the good prospects suck too.

Submitted by jacos on Tue, 10/18/2011 - 12:56pm.
The joke will be on Boston, because the good prospects suck too.

==========================

JACOS: Despite what Keith Law says, the scouts I've talked to believe the Cubs have as many big league prospects in their system as any organization. That's why Ricketts was so intent on keeping Fleita and Wilken from walking away after Hendry got fired.

And to say the Cubs best prospects are all future utility infielders, 4th outfielders, and middle-relievers doesn't jibe with what I have seen & heard, either.

But I guess people are going to believe what they are going to believe.

I was joking a bit, but I've seen to many Pattersons, Pies, and no regular every day player outside of Castro and Soto in last ten years.

You mean 23 years

I think the general consensus from the Keith Law types is a lot of depth, not a lot of high upside though.

Who do you think are the position prospects (excluding the recent draft) that will be average regulars or better for at least 5 seasons?

To me B. Jackson, W. Castillo, and Szczur are about it and Castillo and Szczur are sketchy.

Submitted by Rob G. on Tue, 10/18/2011 - 1:21pm.
I think the general consensus from the Keith Law types is a lot of depth, not a lot of high upside though.

Who do you think are the position prospects (excluding the recent draft) that will be average regulars or better for at least 5 seasons?

To me B. Jackson, W. Castillo, and Szczur are about it and Castillo and Szczur are sketchy.

===========================================

ROB G: I think Brett Jackson will be a 20/20/20 lead-off hitter and a plus-defender in CF (or LF).

Jae-Hon Ha should be an everyday player (probably in RF, although it could be CF if B-Jax plays LF), with 15-20 HR power as he matures (he played at AA at age 20 in 2011), consistent 30+ doubles, and Gold Glove defense with lots of OF assists. (He needs to stop trying to steal bases, though).

Welington Castillo should a front-line MLB catcher with 20+ HR power and a high CS %.

Josh Vitters will be an everyday player in the big leagues, although probably not at 3B (it now looks more-likely 1B, although it could eventually be a corner-OF).

D. J. LeMahieu should be a starting infielder (could be at 2B or 3B) in the big leagues and should be a consistent .300+ hitter with lots of doubles.

Ryan Flaherty should be a platoon corner man (1B-3B-LF-RF) with 20+ HR power.

I think Junior Lake could get regular playing time if he can start to make better contact. Whether it will be at SS or 3B is yet to be determined, but right now I think it would probably be 3B. Nobody in the minor leagues has a stronger arm than Junior Lake.

Matt Szcur should be an everyday CF or LF.

As far as the pitchers are concerned, Trey McNutt has front-end of the rotation stuff. So did Rob Whitenack before he went down with TJS. We'll have to see how he comes back in 2013.

There are a number of middle-of-the-rotation candidates from Daytona to Iowa (Del Valle, Rhee, Antigua, Searle, Raley, Rusin, Cabera, Struck, and J. Jackson).

Aaron Kurcz could be an MLB set-up an or closer, and Jeff Beliveau has the stuff to be a #1 lefty in the pen.

(I just blew my Cubs 2012 Top 15 Prospects List in one comment!)

(I just blew my Cubs 2012 Top 15 Prospects List in one comment!)

heh

Front line catcher to me is top 5 in the majors (Mauer, McCann, Molina, Montero, Avila in 2011) Castillo seems at best to be he'll be a solid regular.

I could see Ha maturing into your projections I suppose.

I'll respectfully disagree on LeMahieu, even if he earns a starting gig over a few years, I think he'll be serviceable, not necessarily good.

I'm still somewhat hopeful of Vitters and I like Flaherty's skillset, so here's to hoping.

By front-line catcher, I only meant a starting (#1) catcher, not a Blanco/K. Hill type back-up.

well that's where the opinions diverge I presume...

just being good enough to start on some teams is not necessarily all that special. There's a lot of bad players in the majors that are starting.

It doesn't mean they don't have their uses, but none of those position players besides B. Jackson and maybe Szczur seem to be all that coveted by other teams at the moment.

As for the pitching, well no one has anything to good to say about the Cubs pitchers at this moment besides McNutt's upside. If Whitenack didn't get injured, he'd probably be getting plenty of press. Hopefully some of them improve, but McNutt and Cashner are the only top of the rotation prospects right now. Although I'd say depth on the pitching end is more important than the position player end.

Agreed. This isn't a bad system. It's simply a system where the talent is too far away from the majors right now, and I imagine what Cafardo doesn't say in that blog post is that the Red Sox don't want to take a lottery ticket gamble. They want to try and find some certainty. The upper levels are definitely a bit thin, and a lot of the lower level talent will definitely struggle to work their way up, but both sides are using their local media to put their spin on it.

"This isn't a bad system. It's simply a system where the talent is too far away from the majors right now..."

I love that comment! hahaha!!

well, the point i was trying to make is that there are folks that seem to think the system is devoid of raw talent and ability. This is as healthy a system as I can recall since the early 2000's, if not better, in terms of overall raw talent, but the issue is that, with system rankings, they are often, rightfully so, weighted towards upper level talent, and most of the Cubs raw talent is in the lower levels.

That said, for once, we have a solid crop of upside talent both in terms of arms and in terms of positional talent. Furthermore, unlike past years, there's actually some raw power talent that's fairly intriguing. A lot of them will peter out, but for along time, we had fringe blue chip guys at best (the Pie's of the world).

I hope you're right toons, but this is a quote from Wilken 3 years back...

// "A lot of our depth and talent is at the ‘A’ level. I understand it’s not punch you in the face talent, but I think there’s a fair amount of major leaguers that once they mature, they’re (critics like Baseball Prospectus) going to say they had some pretty good players.

I say let’s check this thing out three years from now." //

You mean, like Starlin Castro?

Not a Wilken draft pick.

But at that time wasn't he just talking about the system and what was in it at the low levels, not just his draft picks?

I guess I'm just wondering if the value of a guy who's supposed to turn the organization around is higher than any two players they might give up for him.

And let's say this happened a couple of years ago, and the Cubs did give up Castro to get him and the organization was better for it, wouldn't that be worth it?

Sure, if you're assumption "and the organization was better for it" is true.

Wilken didn't even know who Starlin Castro was at the time.

Here is Wilken raving about Castro in October 2008, exactly three years ago.

Soto.....Castro.......Mark Grace

What are the last 3 position players developed by the Chicago Cubs, Alex.

Correct!

Casey McGhee, Sam Fuld, Corey Patterson, Tony Campana, World Series Bound Ryan Theriot, Ross Gload, Mike Fontenot, Darwin Barney (Theriot-heavy), Tyler Colvin.

These are all position players that have recently played in the MLB and brought up by the Cubs.

The goal of the GM is to get two things accomplished (of course taking for granted putting a winner on the field):
1. Graduating players, even if they are not .300 hitters, and GG candidates, to the MLB
2. Polishing prospects to be usegul in trades.

PERIOD.

I know we would all love to have a team of home-grown All-Stars, but this is what we got so far. Lots of guys who will have useful careers, at the highest level of baseball - but not the best players.

Certainly, the hope is with new management the team will be able to get more impact players that are home-grown (like Castro), and fewer average players. Every GM wants a Fielder or Pujols, but this Cubs organization has not had their share of these types of prospects b/c management sought to buy them, and fill-in with the average guys. Unfortunately, the money was not wisely spent for the most part with either Hendry or McFail.

respectfully disagree on #1

How could you read that article and not realize that was just about the first time Wilken had seen the kid play?

Here's a clue,
June 2009 When it comes to what he needs to work on at instructional league camp and in future months, Wilken thinks he only needs to refine some of the little things.

"Other than just concentrating on the little things that he'll need, there's not a real big hole in his game anywhere for me," he said.

Looks like Wilken had no idea Castro's defense was problematic.

And then Wilken was asked, "Are there any players right now that you think are on the fast track to the major leagues?"

TW: "Everything’s been pretty steady here and I don’t know if there’s one player that’s going to be on the fast track."

So maybe TW missed Starlin Castro on the Cubs fast track as he flew by at 200 mph.

In the same Cafardo (Globe) piece:

"Couldn't Theo have picked the Texas Rangers or the Tampa Bay Rays?" quipped one American League general manager. "It's got to be difficult to make a deal given the pool of players you want is so limited."

I could turn that around and say I wish there was a team on the other side of the table that knew how to locate talent. Tampa Bay, for example, who, after the Cubs declined to give up the equivalent of Archer and Lee, would dig deeper and find the equivalent of Chirinos, Guyer and Fuld--and then, just to underline the point, would swipe the equivalent of Canzler as a minor-league free agent and turn him into IL player of the year.

Boston's double-A team, in Portland ME, was 59 and 83. The high-A team, in Salem VA, was 64-75. The AAA team was 20 games over .500 but I looked at their roster and none of the younger players (born '87 or later) did much hitting with the possible exception of a first baseman, Lars Anderson, who hit .265 with 14 homers.

Then there's always Jose Iglesias, the Cuban shortstop who I think cost them $8 million and who, two years ago, lost the shortstop position with the Solar Sox to Starlin Castro. He was only 21 at AAA this year, but then, he didn't hit much, either (.235/.285/.269). But I'm sure they think he's great.

Theo better keep Wilken and Fleita around.

well that was the best laugh I had all day...

Who the hell is going to find and develop our Middle relievers, Utility infielders and 4th outfielders if those guys leave?

Padres gm jed hoyer is being considered for hire by the cubs/epstein. If hoyer goes to chicago, josh byrnes would be sd gm

~snip~

Hoyer may stay in sd. But sources say cubs interest real. Cubs also looking at byrnes/mcleod from sd. Story on http://si.com soon

Hoyer as GM with Theo as President of Baseball Operations? Can't imagine Hoyer taking a demotion...unless it's a higher paid demotion.

That's going against the grain of the generally agreed on policy, isn't it? How many prospects are we going to trade so that we can get some prospects?

is there really a difference between that set-up and having a GM/Assistant GM besides the titles on the business cards?

I have no idea what the plan is of course, but if it costs the Cubs more prospects than I imagine they'll go another direction. Padres might be more willing than Red Sox to just go for cash.

Who really knows?

Just keep Randy Bush as interim GM for another year.

well if they intend to win the #1 draft pick, sure.

I can picture Todd Ricketts, and Bush giving the finger to Luccesi during conference calls. I suppose that is a possibility, but then no guarantee that Epstein will be available/want to still come to Chi.

Besides, do you really want a GM who learned at the teat of Jim Hendry? And, More than likely helped with some of Hendry's mismanagement (particularly of some of the time sensitive deadline matters involving minor league players you have alluded to over the last couple years. Casey McGhee for example).

Submitted by The E-Man on Tue, 10/18/2011 - 12:36pm.
I can picture Todd Ricketts, and Bush giving the finger to Luccesi during conference calls. I suppose that is a possibility, but then no guarantee that Epstein will be available/want to still come to Chi.

Besides, do you really want a GM who learned at the teat of Jim Hendry? And, More than likely helped with some of Hendry's mismanagement (particularly of some of the time sensitive deadline matters involving minor league players you have alluded to over the last couple years. Casey McGhee for example).

=========================================

E-MAN: I would give Bush a payroll budget and tell him he can sign free-agents, but only to one-year contracts. That wouldn't mess things up too much for the next GM. (Actually it might have been a good way to handle Hendry when he was there, too).

As far as making mistakes with the 40-man roster, do I need to mention that it was Josh Byrnes who left Dan Uggla unprotected & available for selection in the Rule 5 Draft?

He was a 25 year old repeating AA, though! You should throw out every other piece of information you have on him and focus solely on that.

Submitted by The Real Neal on Tue, 10/18/2011 - 1:03pm.
He was a 25 year old repeating AA, though! You should throw out every other piece of information you have on him and focus solely on that.

=======================================

REAL NEAL: You shouldn't throw out any piece of information. To focus solely on a player's age and whether he is repeating a particlular level or not is just plain foolish.

By you're way of thinking, Ryan Flaherty must not be a prospect because he was a 25-year old repeating AA in 2011, and yet I would bet he would get taken in the upcoming Rule 5 Draft if the Cubs don't add him to the 40-man roster by 11/20.

Obviously Josh Byrnes and the Diamondbacks misjudged Dan Uggla's potential, but the Marlins scouts sure didn't.

I was being facetious, but I think it's good for certain commentators to hear the same thing from another source.

It's good that we got rid of one cronism GM to be replaced by a GM with a different set of cronies, eh?

Why are these front office jobs not filled like 98% jobs in the US, anyway?

After all this bullshit, Theo better be worth the hassle if he does actually finally land here. I'm getting the impression that Theo is the only GM candidate the Cubs have as an option. How is it that no matter who runs this team, the Cubs look like complete idiots?

Theo is the reason for the season.

article on it at SI.com

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/basebal...

holy tampering charges though if anyone has talked to him yet about it.

from Padres beat writer

I doubt #Padres Moorad would hold up #Cubs if they wanted Hoyer and it led to Byrnes becoming SD's GM. Byrnes is like a son to Moorad.

Cubs 3:1 odds to sign Fielder according to Bodog.

5/1 Wash, Tor, Balt and Sea; 11/2: Mil; 7/1: Tex; 15/2 St. Louis.

seems Dodgers and Giants should be somewhere in there.

Yeah, if the Nats are the Giants should be.

Even if it's the "right" thing to do I would assume the Cardinals fans would burn down the stadium if they let Albert go and replace him with Fielder. Re-signing Berkman now was genius, though.

Source: Red Sox holding ground on compensation from Cubs for Theo Epstein. Still hopeful of resolution before WS

According to Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com, the Marlins have denied the Orioles permission to interview vice president of player personnel and assistant general manager Dan Jennings for their general manager vacancy.

Like other prospects, Brett Jackson has to take a lot of crap around these pages, but the lowest blow was Mike Wellman saying that he wasn't six feet, two inches tall.

Here is a picture of Jackson side-by-side with Jeff Beliveau, who is listed as 6'1.

Is Jackson standing on a base? Or is Beliveau's height also inflated?

Looks like Beliveau might have been somewhere between 6-0 and 6-1 six years ago. Thanks for the link. Much obliged.

it's amazing how many inches a person can gain and pounds they can lose by signing a pro contract.

thorough rundown of Cubs and ex-Cubs in winter leagues

http://iowa.cubs.milb.com/news/article.jsp?ym...

Brandon Sing still trying...

What?????

From that article: Pitchers Robert Coello (2011) and Jerome Williams (2005-06) are teammates with LaHair.

I had no idea he was around still. And I read a lot of the comments here.

wow, you missed September.

he pitched for the angels and rather well.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/w...

44 IP, 4-0, 3.68 ERA, 28 K, 15 BB, 6 HR

well more lucky than good, but the Angels were desperate, Red Sox would have killed for that in September

Damn you American League for me never paying attention to you!!!

LOL

http://mlb.sbnation.com/2011/10/18/2498980/th...

little bit on his relationship with Lucchino and the city...

@PWSullivan names Chris Carpenter or Trey Mcnutt as potential players Cubs could deal for Theo

hell no and hell no...especially carpenter.

trying to win "The Sam Fuld AFL Hype Award"

4th HR, 9th SB today...

1/4 overall, 2 R, 2 K, 1 BB, 2 RBI

LeMahieu 1/3, 3 RBI, 1 2B, 2 BB, 1 K

Hatley pitched, he probably shouldn't have

1 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 1 HR ... ERA up to 17.05

Lake might just be playing himself right onto somebody's 40-man roster. But only for spring training and the first month of the season, if it isn't the Cubs that add him to their 40.

Submitted by Charlie on Tue, 10/18/2011 - 7:25pm.
Lake might just be playing himself right onto somebody's 40-man roster. But only for spring training and the first month of the season, if it isn't the Cubs that add him to their 40.

====================================

CHARLIE: No question Junior Lake is playing himself onto the Cubs 40-man roster.

He is now a virtual-lock to get added.

Ugh.

I share your feelings a bit, TRN, but I feel a little silly complaining that a guy with a very high ceiling is finally performing well. Lake is definitely a guy that could be an impact player if he finds even the slightest kind of plate discipline.

All I have to say is that I hope Epstein is going to look at .392 BABIP in Daytona, .298 wOBA in AA and realize that losing him is a risk worth taking, despite a nice 44 at bats in the AFL.

Bryce Harper is hitting .200 in the AFL, maybe we can trade Lake for him.

I guess it comes down to the cost of adding him to the 40 (in terms of other players they'd have to leave off) vs. the risk of losing him permanently in the Rule V draft, which I agree seems fairly low--if selected, it's hard to picture him sticking for very long unless a team like the Pirates just stashes him at all costs because they believe in his upside.

On the other hand, we carried Blake DeWitt on the ML roster all year. How much more harmful could it be to an organization to carry a high ceiling minor leaguer?

I have this fantasy that the new GM will not value either of these players particuarly much.

At this point, a reasonable hope for Lake would be a utility infielder with some speed and power but onbase skills that are too poor to give him a full time position... but to me he's going to need two years in the minors to reach that potential.

negatives
5.5% BB rate
23.8% K rate

positives
great arm, was 21 in AA.

at least with Szczur, you can see a team using him as a pinch-runner, occasional defensive replacement as a Rule V, Lake's best best would be a pinch-runner.

Szczur had a 2.7% walk rate as a 22 year old in High A ball.

Fun Fact

those 182 PA's trump everything.

That 7% rate in Low A ball was also incredibly impressive.

it wasn't bad, 7% walk rate I believe is around the major league average, I think he's at 6% for his brief minor league career.

What is impressive is a 10% K rate though and his speed, defense and age. 10% K rate means being a legit .300 hitter is a good possibility and then a 6-7% BB rate keeps him in the .340-.350 OBP range.

Not that I think he's some 100% thing, but not ready to write him off either.

He might be useful eventually. Though I'm much less hopeful about it than most.

What I see when a guy has really low BB and K rates is a guy who likely swings at the first pitch near the zone. Not a confident hitter. We saw the same thing from Josh Vitters and Neifi Perez.

Yeah, that Nomar Garciparra and Aramis Ramirez couldn't hit for shit. Probably a lack of confidence.

Say you have two hitters, one of whom tends to hit what he swings at and one of whom doesn't as well. They both get 3-1 strikes. Hitter A, hits the ball. Hitter B, misses the ball.

Which hitter is more likely to get a walk?

What I see when a guy has really low BB and K rates is a guy who likely swings at the first pitch near the zone.

so much wrong with that statement

must be tough going through life spending so much time talking about something you hate so much.

"Lake would be a utility infielder with some speed"

That's a slight understatement. Lake has stolen 28 bases in 30 attempts at Tennessee and Mesa. Unlike many players who have high success rates, Lake is not selective about when he runs. If he's on first with second base open, he runs.

(Lake had a triple today in his first at-bat. Vitters is back in the lineup.)

"trying to win The Sam Fuld AFL Hype Award"

One slight difference: Fuld was a month shy of 26 when he won the award. Lake is 21-1/2, three days younger than Castro.

Awesome stuff as always, AZ Phil! I'm just curious as to what your impressions were of Henrie and Dickson? Both pretty tall righties making their debuts.

Submitted by Koyies Bansaw on Tue, 10/18/2011 - 5:50pm.
Awesome stuff as always, AZ Phil! I'm just curious as to what your impressions were of Henrie and Dickson? Both pretty tall righties making their debuts.

==================================

K-BANSAW: They're both 6'5.

David Henrie was terrible at Instructs. Like I said previously, it was as if he was throwing BP out there.

Ian Dickson has a decent upper 80's fastball that moves (I think it might be a cutter) and a solid curve, but he had his left knee wrapped with a big old ice bag after every outing, so apparently it is still causing him problems. (He suffered a torn ACL in 2010 and missed the entire 2011 season).

http://espn.go.com/blog/boston/red-sox/post/_...

One surprising name that has surfaced, according to the source, is Jonathan Gilula, who would not come from the baseball side but is the executive vice president of business affairs. Gilula, who has been in MLB for 14 seasons and with the Red Sox for nine, played a major role in the renovations, remodeling and expansion of Fenway Park, and with the Cubs looking to do the same with Wrigley Field, Epstein might invite Gilula to join him in Chicago.

~snip~

According to the same source, while there is still some uncertainty what title Epstein will have in Chicago, there is credence to reports that Epstein would become president and hire a general manager rather than hold dual titles.

that makes the Jed Hoyer rumor make a little more sense.

keith olberman (a huge baseball fan and STL hater (personal run-ins with larussa)) reluctantly picks STL to win...

ha.

he's also one of the world's biggest baseball card nerds, btw. loves card shows...

Wittenmyer wrote a couple of hours ago that "despite reports that former first-round pick Josh Vitters is in the same class [as Jackson and Szczur--i.e., off the table], there is at least a divide among team evaluators on whether Vitters should be allowed to go to Boston, according to one source."

I assume by team evaluators he means people in the Cub organization.

It's good to see a Chicago beat writer with an actual source inside the Cubs for a change. If the Cubs are seriously considering giving up Vitters, that might explain why he has been out of the Mesa lineup since Friday when he went 4 for 5 to raise his average to .405.

almost go-time...this time tomorrow i expect a 100+ post thread on theo and what it took to get him.

hope this doesn't drag into the WS, anyway...and mega-hope it doesn't "cost" too much...even if they throw in an extra suit in the deal.

also, ken rosenthall is tacking onto the whole "might not be GM, but just overlord-style president of baseball operations"

cubs front office will run like nothing else in baseball if everything works out as described...we'll have a president who's not a president because there's a sub-president doing president things and a GM weakened (or co-strengthened) by a president who's going to do GM things along with the guy who's actually called the GM.

theo...hybrid mega-suit.

http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/theo-epste...

Epstein is actively looking to hire a GM, a move that would enable him to serve the Cubs as president of baseball operations, according to major league sources.

The change in job description would qualify as a promotion for Epstein. It also would allow him to be less involved in the day-to-day grind that wears down many GMs.

I would think "actively looking" would look a lot like tampering, so I hope that's not true.

http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/...

The Red Sox were pushing hard for a resolution to the Theo Epstein compensation issue last night, hoping to get a deal done with the Cubs before the start of the World Series tonight in St. Louis, but it appears the negotiations will continue this week.

~snip~

“We need to get on with our business,’’ said the Sox official. “And I would think the Cubs would as well. We feel Theo Epstein has a value and we’re going to get that value.’’

If his value was so great, they should have denied the Cubs' permission to speak to him. They had that right and failed to exercise it.

Holy both sides of your mouth, Sox-man.

The quote was supposed to read, "We're holding out until the Cubs cave to our unrealistic demands, or whenever we can steal as much of the spotlight as possible, whichever comes first."

On a related note, a source 'close' to Commissioner Bud Selig was quoted as saying, "Bud's afraid the ratings for a Texas-St Louis Series are going to tank, so he 'suggested' a waiver for the Cubs and Sox to announce right in the middle of it all."

MLB already got paid regardless of ratings, Fox is probably more worried about it.

On the other hand, since the advent of the DVR, major live sporting events are far better at delivering advertising than television shows. You have an attentive audience that won't zip through the commercials. So even if the ratings aren't particularly great, they probably get a lot more per spot than they do for their better shows.

I don't have a DVR- you can skip the commercials for regular shows, but not for sporting events?

you can if your record the sporting event as opposed to watching it live. But the majority of folks will watch it live and not switch channels that much(particularly major sporting events) as compared to a standard primetime show where you zip right through the commercials and try to save 15 minutes of your life on an hourlong show.

it's one of the reasons, it's also a known demographic audience which advertisers love.

I see, thanks.

The funniest deal is when CBS advertises their Monday night lineup during the Sunday games...speaking of not knowing your demographic.

I don't know, football actually has a slightly wider demographic. And never underestimate middle America's taste for blandness as evidenced by shitty CBS shows with no originality doing well.

although I do watch How I Met Your Mother

I've watched the last two bears games on DVR - started around half time, and caught up by early/mid 4th quarter. I gotta' say that it s was pretty nice to watch it that quickly, and not miss a play.

That's how I watch at least half of their games each year. Love it.

I do the same thing. Though my delays are usually from pausing the game to make a drink or grab a beer.

I just wish there was some built in mechanism to give you time to make a drink or use the washroom during these football games.

Hardly the intended purpose of commercials, but a perfectly good use of that time.

that's a 2007 chart

http://www.sportsbusinessdaily.com/Daily/Issu...

in 2010, spots were going for $450K for the World Series

average cost in primetime in 2010 was $110K for a 30-second spot with Fox having the highest average at $200 (mostly due to American Idol which last I saw was up to $467K per spot). Spots are more in the $25K to $100K for standard primetime shows.

also there's the extra benefit that Fox uses it promote their own shows (or usually just one show) heavily while having a very attentive audience.

So the consensus here is that Theo isn't worth two of our better prospects? Are any of the Cubs' prospects considered "can't miss"?

Just speaking for myself, I wouldn't say that he either is or isn't. But the process has become obnoxious to even hear about. I can only imagine what it's like to have deal with it for real.

The truth is that Theo isn't the only legit contender out there, and the Cubs should be actively interviewing other candidates, if nothing else to deal with this perceived leverage crap. EDIT: Although, I guess that's a problem since they've already offered Theo the job.

I think Rob G is basically right, the deal will end up getting done.

I'd be OK with letting McNutt and a lower level guy go. I'd prefer we don't, but it's not not the end of the world if we do.

I'd also be OK with Hahn and giving up nothing... the only problem now is that every team is going to want compensation.

I'd deal any 2 ML guys not from the 2011 draft for him. Only Bjax sounds like a legitimate MLB starter. Everyone else is hype without production.

*production is defined as isolated OBP.

Legitimate MLB starter

There are no Cub prospects that are "can't miss" prospects.

Of course, Epstein is not a "can't miss" GM, any more than Jockety was.

Buster
Perception BOS's leverage in Theo matter increased by holding up Cubs' business is funny. As if Theo not making CHC plans.

Cafardo
Spoke to Red Sox official this morning who doesn't feel much will get done on Theo comp today either.

Kim Ng getting an interview for Angels GM job.

The question I'd like answered...

Is Theo Epstein advising the Cubs on how to handle the negotiations with Boston?

link in comment #80 says Bush and Cherington with Ricketts and Lucchino looking over their shoulders.

allegedly Theo is not involved.

another article earlier said Epstein was still reporting to work everyday and apparently calling Josh Byrnes and Jed Hoyer :)

Ok, that may be the funniest thing BOlney has ever said

apparently not injured according to Muskat, was playing 1B only because regular 1b-men was injured and he was filling in. He's suppose to be an extra OF, and will play sparingly.

http://espn.go.com/chicago/mlb/story/_/id/712...

Who the fuck is Jud Hoyer?? (not only IN the article, but the headline too. Stay classy...)

While compensation has been a sticking point in the Epstein negotiations, it's not expected to play as big a role with the Padres because of the strong relationship between Cubs chairman Tom Ricketts and Padres vice chairman/CEO Jeff Moorad, according to numerous major league sources.

~snip~

The hiring of Epstein and Hoyer would make sense from a baseball-business point of view. The Cubs have had among the smallest baseball staffs in the game for the last two decades. This move would bring them up to the level of most teams that employee three to four top baseball executives. At one point, Epstein had three assistant GMs in Boston.

the Cubs will be pulled out of the Dark Ages kicking and screaming.

I just hope Theo has enough high school and college buddies to fill the ranks.

honest question, are they HS and college buddies or people he met while working for Padres and Red Sox?

I don't know. We didn't know about some of Hendry's buds until years later, though. They got MLB baseball jobs, at some point, most of them were probably friends with someone.

Muskat quoting Peter Gammons interview from Boston radio, Gammons isn't a fan of the Cubs farm system...

“This thing with the Cubs, they don’t actually have anyone negotiating that actually has been in development, so they don’t know the players the Red Sox talk about,” Gammons said. “They have the CEO of business, and the assistant general mnager, who wasn’t actually involved in the farm system. So, it’s been a difficult negotiation. And frankly, I think everyone involved knows the Cubs are a bottom-three farm system. Trey McNutt would be Red Sox prospect [No.] 25. For the Cubs to act like they’re giving up the next Billy Williams is kind of absurd."

http://muskat.mlblogs.com/

never change Boston media

the Cubs system isn't that great at the moment, but neither is the Red Sox and they certainly aren't swimming in pitching prospects.

Clearly Gammons is of two minds about the Cubs system--or maybe he's just lost his marbles.

Earlier this year he wrote about the Garza trade--

"So by the beginning of this week, the Rays' trade partners for a potential Garza deal had been narrowed down to the Rangers and Cubs, who own two of the deepest farm systems in the game."

And more

"This deal speaks volumes about the job general manager Jim Hendry and scouting director Tim Wilken have done building back the Cubs system,..."

or like most reporters, repeats what his sources tell him as his own opinions.

or the Cubs gave up too much for Garza

Ohhh, nice find.

Gammons homer-ism has actually gotten WORSE over the years.

coincidentally, fangraphs puts out an article saying McNutt would probably be the Red Sox highest ceiling prospect in the upper levels

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/cubs...

actually lots of good stuff in there about McNutt including video

Wow, I used to respect Gammons some years ago, but Fuck You.

Frankly, though, if Bos thinks all we have is shit, then maybe they'll just give up

Just laid 10 on Pujols to win WS MVP at 5/1.

Should I feel dirty?

Only if you haven't covered that with a bet he'll sign with the Cubs this winter.

No way STL lets him walk after this season. It might have been possible before this postseason happened. No way he leaves now.

Still time for him to crap his pants in the WS.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball...

Epstein, friends say, does not like to be surrounded by people who agree with him all the time.

just most of the time :)

When will the hostage negotiation team arrive at Red Sox headquarters?

FREE THEO

Theo Epstein to #Cubs compensation talks were progressing well as of this morning, source says. #RedSox

whatever that means...

Callis says Cubs system closer to middle of pack and Goldstein "respectfully disagrees" with Gammons regarding McNutt not being in the top #20 for Red Sox and also says Red Sox system not so hot right now.

Levine reporting that two league sources confirm that Hoyer may be on his way to Chicago. It would be a lateral move or worse, but nobody seems to be contesting that Hoyer would be under Epstein. Levine also discusses the friendship between T. Ricketts and J. Moorad.

How will Boston's poker hand look if Hoyer shows up in Chicago in the next few days (or weeks) as the new GM?

It may have nothing to do with a poker hand. It could be the Cubs and Boston have cut a deal, and Hoyer is on his way now that they have. It could also be that none of this speculation means a damn thing until something is made official.

I don't see the end game here for Boston? Are they wanting Theo to go back to Boston?

Honestly, I think the owners are just being petulant brats. Remember, these are the same guys who are trashing Francona, who managed their team to two world series wins. Francona may have lost his team, or whatever, but to trash him the way they have shows a lot of immaturity. These guys seem like big babies to me. As someone noted earlier, they had a chance to refuse to let the Cubs negotiate with Theo. They didn't take that opportunity, and now that Theo has made his intentions clear, they're holding their breath like a couple of little kids who don't get their way in the crib.

This.

Which hitter is more likely to get a walk?
---
Hitter B (misses the ball), because C. B. Bucknor was behind the plate and he ruled the batter checked his swing and sez ball-four, which was confirmed by Joe West at first. Take yer base.

http://tinyurl.com/6fermrx

Keith Law from the AFL

Like it's his first time on a baseball field. RT @johnbcoleman: @keithlaw How is Junior Lake looking today?

That Keith Law is such a cockboy.

LOL. Can we officially agree that Keith Law has something against Cubs prospects now?

you don't think he says that about other team's prospects? and that there's equal bias by Cubs fans who only notice what he says about their prospects?

I presume he was talking about his defense, not sure what specifically.

that being said, not that I care that much for him, he just seems like a douchebag to everyone, not just Cubs prospects.

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