Playoff Predictions

When no clear answer presents itself, go with the most obvious..

LDS:
Cubs over Dodgers in 4

Phils over Brewers in 3

Angels over Red Sox in 5

Rays over White Sox in 5

LCS

Cubs over Phils in 6

Angels over Rays in 7

World Series

Cubs over Angels in 5

Past the time until first pitch by doing some ball hawking.The playoff roster has been announced as well.

C - Blanco, Soto

INF - Lee, Ward, Fontenot, DeRosa, Theriot, Cedeno, Ramirez

OF - Soriano, Edmonds, Johnson, Fukudome, Pie

SP - Demspter, Zambrano, Harden, Lilly

RP - Wood, Marmol, Samardzija, Cotts, Marshall, Howry, Marquis

With DeRosa limping, the Cubs needed someone who could play the outfield when Lou needs to pinch-hit for Fukudome or the couple dozen other late-inning possibilities. Hopefully the only time we see Bob Howry is if the Cubs are nursing a 13-0 lead after Sutcliffe and the Penguin homer.

Comments

49 is my high in that game btw...

make it 53

Oh my... this going to be addictive.

53 first try, and that's only because I missed 4 in the first inning before I realized how dead on you had to be to catch the thing...

show-off

I got 72 on my first attempt (I assume you're leaving off the last two zero's)

highest you can get is 63?

you must be talking about score, we were using total catches.

It is playoff time--where is the decorative bunting for the TCR website? I demand red, white, and blue bunting!

Howry on the playoff roster is atrocious...As I have said before, let's send him to Mesa with the other guys who didnt make it and have him learn a new grip on that fast ball so that it actually moves a bit...Realistically, I would have been fine with them taking another hitter instead of him.

LDS-
Cubs in 4
Phils in 4
Rays in 4
Angels in 5

LCS
Cubs in 5
Angels in 7

WS
Cubs in 6

He's on the roster and I don't get it.
Same goes for Daryl Lard and Lob Howry.

yuk

You're so clever. You must write these days in advance, right? It's just consistently too good.

Pie is not poison, because he's not there to start. He's there for defensive replacement and, perhaps, running the bases.

Rafael Furcal SS
Russell Martin C
Manny Ramirez LF
Andre Ethier RF
James Loney 1B
Matt Kemp CF
Blake DeWitt 2B
Casey Blake 3B
Derek Lowe P

http://losangeles.dodgers.mlb.com/news/article.jsp...

Predictions:

LDS:
Cubs over Dodgers in 4
Phils over Brewers in 4
Red Sox over Angels in 5
Rays over White Sox in 4

LCS
Cubs over Phils in 5
Red Sox over Rays in 6

World Series
Cubs over Red Sox in 6

Predictions:

LDS:
Cubs over Dodgers in 3
Cubs over Brewers in 3
Cubs over Red Sox in 3
Cubs over White Sox in 3

LCS
Cubs over Cubs in 4
Cubs over Cubs in 4

World Series
Cubs over Cubs in 4

Prediction*:

Dodgers 3 - Cubs 0

* last predictions I made in 2006, I was 0-7 in predicting series winners. Here is to continuing my streak!

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/playoffs2008/columns...

The biggest reason to pick the Dodgers would be their improved, Manny-fied offense, right? Well, what does it tell you that the Cubs outscored the Dodgers over the past two months (275-250) even with Manny Ramirez, and outscored L.A. by 155 runs over the course of the season? One NL executive's description of Manny's supporting offensive cast: "Thin."

We agree. The Cubs' pitching is rested and recharged. The Dodgers need too much to go right. Cubs in four.

LDS
cubs in 4
phils in 4
redsox in 4
w-sux in 5

LCS

red sox in 5
cubs in 6

WS
cubs in 6

hangover on october 30th and sick from work

for Phils/Brewers as well....

Isn't parachat always open? :)

nuh uh...it only appears to always be open. Sure if you click on it now you can get in, but what actually happens is I get a message that someone wants to get in, run down 8 flights of stairs to a wooden lever hidden in the basement of my job and let you guys in. To the reader, it just looks like Java is opening, in reality it's a portal to the other side of the world.

 

So, you're the TCR's Benjamin Linus?

look out for any black smoke if I decide to ban you...

I kinda see myself as the black smoke monster of TCR.

Cubs in 4
Phils in 4
Angels in 5
WSox in 5

Phils in 6
Angels in 7

Angels in 6

I feel dirty.

Cubs 163, Dodgers -4

lets see how the west coast pansies handle 50 degrees, 10+ mph winds and the nastiest crowd they have seen all year. We have a Canadian pitcher (2 actually).

p.s. love lilly in dodger stadium if we need it, his downside is the HR and that park is big. good job lou.

"Sutcliffe and the Penguin"

Sounds like a 70's cop show

"LDS:
Cubs over Dodgers in 4"

So, everyone thinks Lilly will beat "The Unknown Pitcher" in game 4. But, which game do we lose?

Dempster vs Lowe?
Zambrano vs Billingsley?
Harden vs Kuroda?

one of them?

based on pitching matchups alone, I think the Cubs could lose all 3 of those games....

or win all 3 of those games. But if I went for percentages, chances are probably best the Cubs win 2 of the 3.

Here is my game by game prediction.

1: W (low scoring game that scares the hell out of us all)
2: L (Z sucks)
3: W (game goes to bullpen early, Cubs almost give up lead, but hold it)
4: W (Lowe on 3 days rest, pitches well, but Dodgers offense is bad)

Anyway, let's just get this done in 3, and move on to the fun stuff.

12 of 18 ESPN folk pick the Cubs to win the NL, 6 of 18 pick them to win the WS.

Angels > RSox in 5
Rays > WSox in 3
Cubs > Dodgers in 4
Phils > Brewers in 4

Rays > Angels in 6
Cubs > Phils in 7

Cubs > Rays in 5

Greg Couch doesn't like Alfonso Soriano much...

http://www.suntimes.com/sports/couch/1194579,CST-S...

I'm guessing that some writer noticed that Soriano finished the season in a pretty significant slump and is seeing a good "told you so" opportunity.

Sounds like some of the posters here, actually.

in terms of Soriano's playoff performance last year...can't say I disagree with him. I thought Sori was tight and nervous and it showed, and it set the tempo for the team on offense.

I really do think he is the top key to this series from an offensive stand point. He doesn't do anything, we are in trouble. He has a good series, we should be in great shape.

Here are the three players who need to absolutely need to take at least the first goddamned pitch: Ronnie Cedeno, Soriano, and Felix Pie. Those three remind of Corey -0 and 2 -Patterson. It's going to be cold, so it will probably be small ball that wins the game. Trying to rip one out, is probably not going to work. I hope these games go longer only if we're working the pitch counts. Who wants it more, Cubs?

Not only cold, but lots of wind blowing in from the north (basically straight in from left field). Hopefully a good day to be Ryan Dempster.

What's the over/under on Derek Lee ground ball double plays in the NLDS?

Cubs in 5
Phils in 4
Rays in 4
Angels in 4

Cubs in 7
Angels in 6

Angels in 7 (The billy goat curse is replaced by the Uggla curse.)

Wow... lots of people picking the Angels over the Red Sox...

Rsox not playing with the full deck...

For me, it's because of Beckett's status and the fact that Lowell and Drew are also hurting.

I generally don't like Couch, but aside from the article's snide tone, he has a point about Fonzie. At least try to take some pitches tonight vs. Lowe, don't make it easy on the guy. Sounds like basic advice, but we all know that sometimes Fonzie gets homer - happy up there. OTOH, what do I know? When he gets hot, it doesn't matter what his plate discipline is at the time, he hits everything anyway.

Couch grudgingly admits that Soriano has drawn more walks this season. Actually, his BB/K is much better than last year, .417 (43/103) to .238 (31/130).

He seems much more disciplined to me. He takes a lot of close pitches. I wonder how many of his strikeouts were called-strike-threes compared to last year, but I don't know where to find that.

Soriano got a huge contract specifically for October games this year and the next couple of years. Okay, Sori, you've got the spotlight.

Soriano got a huge contract specifically for October games this year
and the next couple of years. Okay, Sori, you've got the spotlight.

there's one for the VA Phil HOF of comments...

 

You don't get a player "Specifically for October"...you get a player who can get you to October. Then you simply hope they continue what they did in Apr-Sep.

Well, Rich Harden is one who was certainly acquired (at a high cost) for a single season that was not expected to end in the first playoff round. And they didn't care how few innings he pitched along the way--just keep babying him and try to get him to Game 3.

Lilly was their best pitcher in September but won't pitch till after Zambrano and Harden get a turn. Did Zamabrano get them to October more than Lilly did? No, but he's a star, and this is when the stars come out.

Fukudome is in the lineup tonight and batting second, not because they hope he continues to do what he's been doing. He was a star in Japan and in the World Baseball Classic, so you put him in the spotlight and expect him to perform.

Soriano is a high-maintenance guy who may or may not get you to October, but he can carry you for a week or two when a championship is at stake. I think that's why they got him.

Except Harden wasn't aquired for a single season.

You like to be wrong, don't you.

- Harden was not acquired for a single season.
- Fukudome is not playing because he is a "star." He is playing because, as Lou said, he wanted to focus on defense.
- Lilly was not the best pitcher in September. Both Dempster and Harden had better ERA's, though Lilly did have a better WHIP.

Um...source? For the latter sentence, that is.

I'm at work and, once again, am really happy to be able to watch the game online. And, once again, screw you MLB.

still don't have the order...

http://blogs.suntimes.com/cubs/

Japan is watching Fuke (now more than ever). Maybe this atmosphere will revive him...or maybe he'll choke (now more than ever).

Late to party, but:

Red Sox lose to Angels in 4

White sox lose to Rays in 3

Angels beat Rays in 7

Cubs beat Dodgers in 3

Phillies beat Brewers in 3

Cubs beat Phillies in 6

Cubs beat Angels in 7

Recent comments

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  • FYI: Here's a good link explaining the differences in pitching WAR between Fangraphs and Basebell Reference.

    http://www.crawfishboxes.com/2012/8/28/3273844/which-war-works-best-pitc...

    Rob G. 13 min 33 sec ago view
  • ERA is just FIP with defense and luck. That being said if Hendricks gets his ERA under 2.00, he may have a legit shot.

    That all being said I was looking at Fangraphs WAR and I should have been looking at Basebell Reference WAR because more voters use that. My bad and happy to admit my mistake unlike some people around here that shall not be named (just kidding CRUNCH, CRUNCH, CRUNCH!)

    Rob G. 16 min 45 sec ago view
  • Yes. That is something up with which we will not put.

    fullykräusened 1 hour 26 min ago view
  • Right, then. Moving forward lets focus on simple declarative sentences, subject-verb agreement, and watch out for punctuation. Avoid prepositions at the end of sentences.

    Jackstraw 2 hours 3 min ago view
  • I love sabremetrics and think FIP and WAR can definitely predict future success. For the Cy though which is an award for current success I do think ERA and WHIP have a place. Also while Hendricks doesn't have the strikeouts he does have the highest soft hit contact and second lowest hard hit contact which does a lot to take fielding skill out of it.

    To me if the ERA is close FIP and WAR should be used but right now its not. That said I agree with you Hendricks won't get it.

    johann 2 hours 15 min ago view
  • Can't get soft just because we have a big lead!

    billybucks 3 hours 19 min ago view
  • kershaw will be lucky to put in 160+ip. even though it projects to be an awesome 160+ip it's going to be extremely difficult for him to do much with that. he's still got minor league rehab game(s) to go through and he's only stretched out to 2ip with his last simulated rehab...it may take another couple weeks before he returns.

    the numbers are awesome, but he's lost the equivalent of a good chunk of a top-tier pen arm's season in innings of work compared to the rest of the lot.

    crunch 3 hours 30 min ago view
  • Kershaw, Fernandez and Syndergaard are your current leaders and all will be pitching meaningful games down the stretch that could make or break them. Hendricks will not be and his saber-numbers aren't anywhere close to those 3 and he'd split votes with Arrieta and Lester whom all are basically neck-and-neck for  WAR and FIP. If Kershaw pitches like just okay Kershaw in September he deserves to win in a landslide. Voters are pretty much saber-inclined now so it would take a crazy shutout streak or something for Hendricks to jump in the picture.

    Rob G. 11 hours 59 min ago view
  • AZ PHIL: With starters the likes of Edwin Jackson, even Chris Rusin or Michael Bowden could look good on their staff. At best, he is a #5-6. But as always, LH are at a premium.

    The E-Man 13 hours 29 min ago view
  • Sure we would all want consistency. He is not even 24, has played 5 (!) positions this year. Can you imagine what is in his head? He was only a part-time player at 2 spots last year. And THEN think about hitting?? Cut him some slack...You sure are picky lately. First wishing #6 NL RBI guy Russell have a better average, and now an "unncessarily fancy pick". Geez tough crowd!

    The E-Man 13 hours 33 min ago view
  • it's going to be hard to take down scherzer.

    kershaw is supposedly coming back soon, though he'll probably need a good amount of deep innings to match up with scherzer...probably too late at this point. tanner roark, bumgarner, and hendricks are probably going to steal some votes along with kershaw.

    crunch 14 hours 1 min ago view
  • I absolutely love Javy's game, and I love the way Maddon changed the perception of him as a ballplayer, but I really wish he would just make the routine plays routinely. On the ground ball in the 9th, he made an unnecessarily fancy pick. He made the play, but tried the same thing last night and made an error.

    billybucks 14 hours 23 min ago view
  • How many wins does Kyle need for serious Cy Young consideration? Would 17 be enough if he leads the league in ERA? My goodness, what a season -- makes a Dartmouth alum proud.

    billybucks 14 hours 25 min ago view
  • jacos 14 hours 28 min ago view
  • hendricks WHIP drops to 0.98 over 159 innings after throwing 7ip 3h 1bb 4k, 0r/er

    ERA down to 2.09 on the season.

    crazy good.

    crunch 14 hours 50 min ago view
  • I am pretty well fed up with the majority of home plate umps. Just terrible inconsistencies.

    The E-Man 14 hours 53 min ago view