Cubs Sign a Cuban, But Not That One

The Cubs did sign an acclaimed player out of Cuba, but it's not Yoenis Cespedes or Jorge Soler. Rather 18-year old LHP Gerardo Concepcion. A player Kevin Goldstein called polished for his age, but with the ceiling of a #4/#5 starter and whom Goldstein would put at #6 on his Top 11 Cubs prospect list.  Standing at 6'2", he throws in the upper 80's to 90mph with a curve and a change-up (what's up Ted Lilly?). Considering his age and alleged polish, he should start in Peoria rather than hang back in Arizona and then join Boise or the Arizona Rookie League in June. Enrique Rojas says the deal is for a total of $7M and a major league deal, which means a 40-man roster move would be necessary. ESPN Chicago adds that incentives can take the deal up to around the $8M mark. All this makes the Jeff Samardzija draft deal look good.

The Cubs have also signed Ryan-Rowland Smith to a minor league deal. The 29-year old Aussie pitched in the Astros minor leagues after spending parts of 4 seasons in the majors with the Mariners, but I'll always remember him from this commercial. I presume he'll be added to the non-roster invite list for spring training.

Also, with Edwin Jackson signing with the Nationals, the Cubs at the moment own the #6, #43, #55 and #65 picks in the 2012 draft. Derek Lee and Raul Ibanez are the last two Type B free agents out there and there's no guarantee they'll sign, but if they do, they both rank higher than Carlos Pena in the Elias Rankings, so those last two picks I mentioned could drop to as low as #57 and #67 if I did my math correctly. BA put out an early top 100 prospect list for the 2012 draft for some early obsessing.

Comments

If YOU were the GM, then doing the above with Jackson/Byrd makes sense.

However, Theo has made clear on several occasions that he will not move minor league talent to the big leagues before the braintrust feels they are ready. Under this scenario, I don't mind a useful DeJeezus.

Useful. Well ok....if he's useful, I guess? Just color me not too excited to lock up a "useful" guy to a2 year deal, with an option....useful doesn't mean good. So spend $4.2 million this year and next on a 32 y/o OF putting up .275./350/.420.

Wooooooooo......get the championship banners ready.

The DeJesus deal hinges on 2 things:
1. Whether or not you believe his next two seasons will be roughly his career averages
2. If you believe in the WAR calculations/projections and the cost of a WAR on the open market.

If DeJesus produces at his career averages 284/356/421/776 he will be worth just under 3 WAR. The current price of 1 WAR is about $5MM. So DeJesus will pay for his contract with a single career average year. Translation: It's a pretty fucking good contract for the Cubs.

Please excuse my lack of excitement for signing league average players.
The cost analysis, $$ vs WAR is right...for the $$, if he produces at his career avg...great? He's 32, coming off a season where he had hand injuries. I'm just not going to jump up and down over a guy hitting 10 HR, 60 RBI, and hitting .280/.350/.400....

I'm a long-time DeJesus fan and my exuberance for him is, admittedly, completely strange and unjustified.

http://mobile.boston.com/sports/baseball/reds...

Cafardo's latest:
- Lannan for Bourjos talk
- New red sox front office harder to deal with for other teams
- 8 offers came in for fielder
- prior gonna keep trying, possible workout in march

I was stunned that he's apparently run out of things Cub to bitch about.

I also enjoyed the bit about the Sawks front office, and they said "But it's not BCherington's fault, he's a good dude."

More evidence LLucchino is a moron.

Go Giants!!!

"Charlie Haeger will miss the 2012 season after he "ripped up" his elbow while playing soft-toss this winter, according to the Boston Globe."

a knuckleball pitcher tears his arm up playing soft toss. *golf clap*

Happened to Canseco

I play soft toss after my wife goes to bed. No injuries thus far.

Aka the Silent Towel drill

Aka, the wet towel drill.

BTW, for those following the weirdness, here's a Matt Murton as a Lamassu (winged lion).
http://cubkaiju.blogspot.com/2012/02/lamassu-...

Like the new site, but alas, there's a typo in your opener.

And it took less than an hour for you to bring spam to our beloved TCR...

... Shame.

what spam? where? i love spam! especially on toast w/ strawberry jam and cheese.

Yeah, I didn't really want to spam, that'll be the last one:) I just like using blogger more than flickr. Typos are awesome. I don't like proofreeding.

End of America in 2012? Click on this link for important information on how to protect you and your investments:

http://www.thedailycrux.com/content/9701/End_...

Oh Roooobbb... ^^^^

Chicago Cubs @Cubs
Cardenas hit .314 with 28 doubles, 4 triples, 5 HR, 70 R and 51 RBI in 127 Triple-A games last year while fielding at 2B, SS, 3B and LF.

Chicago Cubs @Cubs
#Cubs claimed IF Adrian Cardenas off waivers from the #Athletics. In a corresponding move, IF Blake DeWitt was designated for assignment.

Former 1st round pick of the Phillies.

Bats left, which makes him a younger, cheaper version of DeWitt.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/play...

yawn. Puts baseball cap over eyes, goes back to sleep.

So comforting to know that Jim Hendry got a pile of useless shit, and the Cubs gained not a single decent prospect out of Ted Lilly.

Fuck you Hendry.

BTW, how many former/current 1st round draft picks does this make for the Cubs?

They add one by getting rid of another one, so whatever the number is, it stays the same.

too bad they didn't give Hendry more time and money.

now instead of getting something in return for dewitt the cubs can give him away for free when someone claims him. brilliance shared all around.

is dewitt a seattle M yet?

maybe there's enough interest to get a low-A ball guy with control issues if teams decide to trade before letting a lower team claim him. =p

I'm not quite as ho-hum as you are about this. DeWitt was one of the Cub players I actively disliked. Only one big bum left on the active roster, and we have all of spring training to trade/release. Weakest link, etc.

Addition by subtraction.

I never really disliked him, but I think he kinda sucks. He never lived up to his billing as a hitter. Even his best stretches scored his a 99 OPS+. He's not a good enough defender to play 2B, which is the only place his bat could justify him. His defense at 3B is supposed to be better, but he's not really a defensive asset anywhere. Just a bunch of unfulfilled potential that really gets frustrating to watch. I can't fucking believe that he couldn't beat out Barney after he cooled off partway through last season. Maybe that's all on Quade, though

he's too slow for 3rd.

people taking moving a guy to 3rd like it's nothing.

imo, a guy used to playing SS or 2nd doesn't mean they can shift to 3rd like 1st. it's very very very fast at 3rd and you get 1/2 your horizontal range taken away. your "view" goes from right-left wide to short-left/short-right and more of a vertical focus. it's claustrophobic as hell to some guys...not comfortable. you have less space to cover, but everything is faster and more reaction-based rather than smooth-mechanic-based.

that said, i don't find his 2nd base D bad...i wouldn't mind seeing him start if his bat was a bit more stable. he's got 30 double - 15 HR power in the bat, but it's inconsistent.

Among recent Cub prospects, Cardenas reminds me of Marwin Gonzalez, with a better bat and a lesser glove. (Gonzalez mainly has played shortstop, Cardenas second.)

To the question, why did the Cubs expose Gonzalez in the Rule 5 draft, Cardenas is the answer: another team will expose somebody just as good.

Can Cardenas challenge Barney at second? It's doubtful, since Barney is also a very serviceable SS behind Castro.

Cardenas/Baker platoon, Barney is your reserve utility IF. Problem solved.

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  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 49 min 32 sec ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 50 min 22 sec ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 57 min 3 sec ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 1 hour 33 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 1 hour 33 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 1 hour 36 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 1 hour 39 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 1 hour 40 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 1 hour 44 min ago view
  • i have no doubt at all you quit reading at that point. you're very enamored with outcomes without caring what it takes to get there.

    the fact it's exploitable, especially without someone to cover the running game for him, as well it's evolution in how people are testing possible exploits is interesting to some people...to me...i'm some people...hurrah.

    some people want to check the boxscore to see who won, some want to know how it went down.

    crunch 1 hour 57 min ago view
  • I read it as him saying it's not really that much of a concern and that the one time it really cost Lester, vs. K.C., was an anomaly.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 2 hours 2 min ago view
  • if jeff says it, it's cool...when i say it, it's straight from the mouth of hitler.

    aside from the lack of jeff touching on the insane leads runners take and lester's inability to throw if he's fielding, this is a lot of what i've said about the issue.

    exploitable, needs his own personal catcher to control his shortcomings, relies on his ability to get outs along with his personal catcher keeping runners in check before things become further exploited...

    crunch 2 hours 4 min ago view
  • That would be Rice Krispy Treat

    The E-Man 3 hours 23 min ago view
  • "Crunch's cousin"

    Butterfinger or Baby Ruth?

    VirginiaPhil 3 hours 37 min ago view
  • I saw the first three innings and the last three, so I didn't see Arrieta get hit. His stuff looked nasty at first...what happened? Any insight from anyone who watched?

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 3 hours 49 min ago view
  • That question came from CRUNCH's cousin.

    The E-Man 3 hours 52 min ago view