Fun With Small Sample Sizes

After 10 games, the 2012 Cubs are what we thought they were, a poor offensive team with moments of intriguing starting pitching. Here are some rather meaningless numbers I stumbled across...

Cubs 2012 P/PA - 3.71 (Team Leader: I Stewart 4.19)

Cubs 2011 P/PA - 3.74 (C. Pena 4.13)

Cubs 2012 BB/PA - 0.79 (J. Baker 1.76)

Cubs 2011 BB/PA - 0.71 (C. Pena 1.67)

Cubs 2012 SB/CS - 8/11 for 72.7% success rate (pace of 129/178)

Cubs 2011 SB/CS - 69/92 for 75% success rate

Cubs 2012 Offense - 4 Runs Per Game, 10th in NL

Cubs 2011 Offense - 4.04 R/G, 8th in NL



The Good: Clevenger (1.500 OPS), LaHair (1.119), Castro (.831)

The Okay: DeJesus (.799), Johnson (.779), Stewart (.749)

The Not Okay: Barney (.669), Soriano (.655)

The Awful: Soto (.538), Baker (.448), Mather (.282), Byrd (.212), DeWitt (.191)



Aramis Ramirez: 114/179/171 0 HR, 5 RBI, 5 R

Ian Stewart: 242/342/424 1 HR, 5 RBI, 4 R

Tyler Colvin: 350/381/600 1 HR, 5 RBI, 3 R


Soriano 2012: .313/.343/.313 5.7 BB%, 22.9 K%, .400 BABIP, 43.2 O-Swing% (swings at pitches outside zone), 54.3 O-Contact% (contact on pitches outside of zone when swinging)


Soriano 2011: .244/.289/.469 5.3 BB%, 22.2 K%, .266 BABIP, 43.9 O-Swing%, 60.4 O-Contact%



Cubs 2012 Pitchers: 2.63 K/BB ratio, 1.22 WHIP, 8.08 K/9, 1.022 HR/9

Cubs 2011 Pitchers: 2.11 K/BB, 1.41 WHIP, 7.68 K/9, 1.017 HR/9

Cubs 2012 Run Prevention: 4.80 R/G, 14th in NL

Cubs 2011 Run Prevention: 4.67 R/G, 14th in NL

Cubs 2012 Starters: 4.23 ERA, 9th in NL, 3.73 K/BB, .225 BAA

Cubs 2011 Starters: 4.79 ERA, 16th in NL, 2.12 K/BB, .276 BAA

Cubs 2012 Relievers: 5.47 ERA, 16th in NL, 1.53 K/BB, .250 BAA

Cubs 2011 Relievers: 3.51 ERA, 8th in NL, 2.09 K/BB, .233 BAA



The Good: Russell (0.00 ERA, 4/1 K/BB), Garza (1.23, 14/3), Dolis (1.80, 1/3), Dempster (1.88, 15/6), Samardzija (3.95 13/1)

The Okay: Lopez (4.50, 1/2), Volstad (4.95, 10/2)

The Not Okay:

The Awful: Camp (6.50, 4/0), Castillo (7.36, 5/2), Marmol (8.10, 4/4), Wood (11.57, 4/3), Maholm (13.50, 4/3)



roids work.

Rights fees paid by cable television channels are behind the growth in team values. Aggregate cable television revenue for baseball’s 30 teams has increased to $923 million from $328 million over the past 10 years. And thanks to new television deals inked by teams like the Houston Astros, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and the Texas Rangers that have yet to kick in, as well as the pending deal for the San Diego Padres and a likely new, rich deal that will begin in 2014 for the Los Angeles Dodgers, local television revenue could exceed $1.5 billion in 2015.


Both the Chicago Cubs, who rose 14% in value, to $879 million and the Philadelphia Phillies, who increased 19% in value, to $723 million, are expected to enjoy huge increases in local television revenue when their current deals expire. The Cubs contract with WGN, which televises about half the team’s games, ends following the 2014 season and its deal with Comcast SportsNet Chicago expires after 2019.

your 2015 World Champion Cubs!!!!

Cubs rank 4th in total valuation (don't ask me how they get these numbers), but have the 2nd worse debt/value ratio behind Mets and are 3rd in revenue brought in and operating income.

live sports TV is becoming a gold mine thanks to Tivo and other passive-watching tools.

people like to watch sports live, it's one area where Tivo isn't totally trampling programming.

delivery of a live-action 3 hour+ block of programming that people will watch for all 3 hours rather than watching the next day and skipping through commercials.

I understand that's how most people do it, but I actually prefer TiVo for sports for the opposite reason. I can watch a Bears game in 70 minutes, and if I time it right, I'm usually catching up to real-time right around when Cutler's throwing the game-ending pick.

LeMahieu enjoying Colorado Springs; 326/373/435 with a HR
Marshall: 3.1 IP, 1 SV, 2.70 ERA, 4 K, 2 BB, 1.8 WHIP
Cashner: 6.2 IP, 2.70 ERA, 6 K, 7 BB, 1.5 WHIP
Flaherty: 0/3 with 3 K's and 1 R
M. Gonzalez: 250/280/333 in 25 PA, 2 K, 1 BB
Colvin's #'s are in the post.

Byrd dives for a ball, looked a bit unnecessary, but regardless, a nice play. If he was on his feet, it's a double play.

Recent comments

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  • So I think tomorrow will be the most important test of how far we can go. We can win it all with two pitchers since Arietta has shown he can carry over his success to the post season. If Lester can be dominant also then I think we can go far no matter how Hendricks or Hammel do.


    And in terms of pitching just went through to see how we could maximize Lester and Arietta and came up with this (Lester would be going on 4 days rest three times and Arietta twice):

  • i still can't believe that crawford contract (7/142). all that loot and years for a LF'r who's entire hitting game revolves around his legs and line-drive power. those triples that raised his value are deceptive as hell to his true power, but it helped him get paid.

    there's also pause about a guy who's ob% is almost totally driven by hits rather than walks. BOS got lucky unloading that crap deal.

  • I think the Cubs take Berry and Soler off playoff roster and add Hammel & Ramirez. Believe Maddon will find Denorfia & Jackson defense too hard to lose.

  • Unbeleivable Dodgers:
    I just noticed the Dodger's payroll today. It is just absurd. $300,000,000+!!
    Here is where just some of there money is for 2015:

    Some "Highlights"
    Carl Crawford $20MM
    Brandon McCarthy $17MM
    Bronson Arroyo $3.5MM
    Darwin B $2.2MM
    Dan Haren $10MM
    Matt Kemp $18MM
    Brian Wilson $10MM
    Ryan Webb $2.2MM
    Dee Gordon $2.5MM

  • O & B: I like the one-game Wild Card heart attack game, but I'd actually like to see a best two-out-of-three LDS played in the home parks of the two division winners with the best records, and then the LCS as a best two-out-of-three in the home park of the division winner left standing with the best record, and then let's get to the World Series already. 

  • I...don't know. If chanting would help the Cubs beat the Cardinals in the next series or ultimately the World Series I think I'd be ok with it lol. I'm not supportive of saying insulting things to opposing fans or throwing things but loud noise and chanting seems appropriate to me.

    I also grew up in France though and that kind of thing is par for the course at soccer and rugby matches and I love it. I find crowds too passive here.

  • Er, they won the first one. My bad. Carry on.

  • With last night's win in Pittsburgh, the Cubs have tied the Pirates with 98 wins, and are only 2-1/2 games behind the Cardinals. No reason why the Cubs can't finish the post-season with the best winning percentage in baseball (regular season & post-season combined). 

  • BOB: I doubt very much that Matt Szczur will be on the Cubs LDS roster.

    If he wasn't on the Wild Card roster (when the Cubs went with 15 position players), he won't be on the LDS roster (when the Cubs will go with 13 or 14 position players).

    As it is, at least one of the three RH hitting outfielders who were on the Cubs WC roster (Denorfia, Jackson, and Soler) could get bumped off the LDS roster (probably Soler).

  • I want my baseball team to win by playing better baseball. I don't want umps, fields, or fans to have anything to do with it.

  • Just with the chanting thing it worked to rattle Cueto last year where he dropped a ball and gave up a HR next pitch so you can't really hate on the fans for trying it again in this important of a game.

    Arietta though.

  • I felt the same way, too, but...

    I was very disappointed with Pittsburgh fans. At Wrigley a few weeks ago, they were very obnoxious guests, the cockiness on Twitter, and what's the deal with chanting Arrieta's name during the game? Very bush league. Add that up with Rodriguez's poor sportsmanship and you quickly have a team that you don't mind beating 4-0 in a do or die game.

  • Absolutely-It was tense. And when the Pirates couldn't push any runs across, you could see the frustration boil over.

  • I meant December.