Fun With Small Sample Sizes

After 10 games, the 2012 Cubs are what we thought they were, a poor offensive team with moments of intriguing starting pitching. Here are some rather meaningless numbers I stumbled across...

Cubs 2012 P/PA - 3.71 (Team Leader: I Stewart 4.19)

Cubs 2011 P/PA - 3.74 (C. Pena 4.13)

Cubs 2012 BB/PA - 0.79 (J. Baker 1.76)

Cubs 2011 BB/PA - 0.71 (C. Pena 1.67)

Cubs 2012 SB/CS - 8/11 for 72.7% success rate (pace of 129/178)

Cubs 2011 SB/CS - 69/92 for 75% success rate

Cubs 2012 Offense - 4 Runs Per Game, 10th in NL

Cubs 2011 Offense - 4.04 R/G, 8th in NL

 


 

The Good: Clevenger (1.500 OPS), LaHair (1.119), Castro (.831)

The Okay: DeJesus (.799), Johnson (.779), Stewart (.749)

The Not Okay: Barney (.669), Soriano (.655)

The Awful: Soto (.538), Baker (.448), Mather (.282), Byrd (.212), DeWitt (.191)

 


 

Aramis Ramirez: 114/179/171 0 HR, 5 RBI, 5 R

Ian Stewart: 242/342/424 1 HR, 5 RBI, 4 R

Tyler Colvin: 350/381/600 1 HR, 5 RBI, 3 R

 


Soriano 2012: .313/.343/.313 5.7 BB%, 22.9 K%, .400 BABIP, 43.2 O-Swing% (swings at pitches outside zone), 54.3 O-Contact% (contact on pitches outside of zone when swinging)

 

Soriano 2011: .244/.289/.469 5.3 BB%, 22.2 K%, .266 BABIP, 43.9 O-Swing%, 60.4 O-Contact%

 


 

Cubs 2012 Pitchers: 2.63 K/BB ratio, 1.22 WHIP, 8.08 K/9, 1.022 HR/9

Cubs 2011 Pitchers: 2.11 K/BB, 1.41 WHIP, 7.68 K/9, 1.017 HR/9

Cubs 2012 Run Prevention: 4.80 R/G, 14th in NL

Cubs 2011 Run Prevention: 4.67 R/G, 14th in NL

Cubs 2012 Starters: 4.23 ERA, 9th in NL, 3.73 K/BB, .225 BAA

Cubs 2011 Starters: 4.79 ERA, 16th in NL, 2.12 K/BB, .276 BAA

Cubs 2012 Relievers: 5.47 ERA, 16th in NL, 1.53 K/BB, .250 BAA

Cubs 2011 Relievers: 3.51 ERA, 8th in NL, 2.09 K/BB, .233 BAA

 


 

The Good: Russell (0.00 ERA, 4/1 K/BB), Garza (1.23, 14/3), Dolis (1.80, 1/3), Dempster (1.88, 15/6), Samardzija (3.95 13/1)

The Okay: Lopez (4.50, 1/2), Volstad (4.95, 10/2)

The Not Okay:

The Awful: Camp (6.50, 4/0), Castillo (7.36, 5/2), Marmol (8.10, 4/4), Wood (11.57, 4/3), Maholm (13.50, 4/3)

 


Comments

roids work.

Rights fees paid by cable television channels are behind the growth in team values. Aggregate cable television revenue for baseball’s 30 teams has increased to $923 million from $328 million over the past 10 years. And thanks to new television deals inked by teams like the Houston Astros, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and the Texas Rangers that have yet to kick in, as well as the pending deal for the San Diego Padres and a likely new, rich deal that will begin in 2014 for the Los Angeles Dodgers, local television revenue could exceed $1.5 billion in 2015.

~snip~

Both the Chicago Cubs, who rose 14% in value, to $879 million and the Philadelphia Phillies, who increased 19% in value, to $723 million, are expected to enjoy huge increases in local television revenue when their current deals expire. The Cubs contract with WGN, which televises about half the team’s games, ends following the 2014 season and its deal with Comcast SportsNet Chicago expires after 2019.

your 2015 World Champion Cubs!!!!

http://www.forbes.com/sites/mikeozanian/2012/...

Cubs rank 4th in total valuation (don't ask me how they get these numbers), but have the 2nd worse debt/value ratio behind Mets and are 3rd in revenue brought in and operating income.

live sports TV is becoming a gold mine thanks to Tivo and other passive-watching tools.

people like to watch sports live, it's one area where Tivo isn't totally trampling programming.

delivery of a live-action 3 hour+ block of programming that people will watch for all 3 hours rather than watching the next day and skipping through commercials.

I understand that's how most people do it, but I actually prefer TiVo for sports for the opposite reason. I can watch a Bears game in 70 minutes, and if I time it right, I'm usually catching up to real-time right around when Cutler's throwing the game-ending pick.

LeMahieu enjoying Colorado Springs; 326/373/435 with a HR
Marshall: 3.1 IP, 1 SV, 2.70 ERA, 4 K, 2 BB, 1.8 WHIP
Cashner: 6.2 IP, 2.70 ERA, 6 K, 7 BB, 1.5 WHIP
Flaherty: 0/3 with 3 K's and 1 R
M. Gonzalez: 250/280/333 in 25 PA, 2 K, 1 BB
Colvin's #'s are in the post.

Byrd dives for a ball, looked a bit unnecessary, but regardless, a nice play. If he was on his feet, it's a double play.

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  • I don't hate Coghlan as a PHer but he's leading off today which is as bad as Austin Jackson doing so last year. He doesn't even have the speed.

    johann 10 min 15 sec ago view
  • TLS has options. He will be up again in Sept, and maybe earlier.

    Rob Richardson 20 min 57 sec ago view
  • Very odd -- TLS .308/.419 in July (in 26 AB). Strange move for a team struggling to score runs. Hard to imagine Coghlan doing better than that. Maybe they like Coghlan better as a PH?

    billybucks 31 min 22 sec ago view
  • Sorry to nitpick -- but the first game wasn't a save.

    billybucks 46 min 6 sec ago view
  • Wow La Stella sent to Iowa and Coghlan brought up. I'm not a huge Stella fan but he has been hitting lately and is to me better than Coghlan. Neither are good defensively but I guess Coghlan can play the outfield allowing Bryant to stay at 3rd more where he's better.

    johann 47 min 35 sec ago view
  • Not 2nd to last but Cubs are definitely bottom of the pack in the 2nd half in oWAR and wRC+. #1 in dWAR though which is certainly a good sign for the playoffs.

    johann 52 min 40 sec ago view
  • I was going to say that you wouldn't want Heyward to achieve Soriano's OBP--.317 with the Cubs--but now I see that he's already done that. Pitchers have lost their fear of him.

    Oh, well, at least Chapman seems to be as good as advertised.

    VirginiaPhil 1 hour 1 min ago view
  • Thanks to E-man and Quiet Man for the link on Chapman in a previous post. It's funny because I never really noticed Chapman's delivery until I saw him doing it in a blue uniform. Two saves in a Cubs uniform already. I hope they don't need him today, despite that smooth delivery.

    Old and Blue 1 hour 3 min ago view
  • Cubs are middle of the pack in average, 5th in OPS, 2nd in walks, 4th in runs scored in MLB. Their runs scored ranks 17th in the MLB in July.

    Boston, leading everything, continues to rake in July.

    Old and Blue 1 hour 5 min ago view
  • Lester has given up one run or fewer in 11 starts this year. So I'd answer yes. Three of his last four starts were duds, yes. Not worried about him at all. Arrieta is concerning, to be sure. I look it at as, what he was doing was historic, so the regression was bound to happen. He showed in his start against the Mets that he's still capable, and I'd bet on him regaining his form.

    Tito 2 hours 2 min ago view
  • marlins getting a.cashner and c.rea from SD

    crunch 2 hours 8 min ago view
  • This is not an attack...But In what stat are the Cubs second from last in MLB, in hitting? I don't see this.

    Dusty Baylor 3 hours 15 min ago view
  • How odd the stats:

    Cubs 1st in pitching in MLB

    2nd to last in hitting.

    In May they were 1st in both.

    The E-Man 3 hours 31 min ago view
  • trevor clifton (high-A) could be interesting in a couple seasons...could even become a high/middle rotation guy. he's got a lot of pluses in his pitching except control.

    eric leal's (high-A) progression through the minors should be worth watching even if only projects to be an mid/end-rotation starter.

    we also gotta keep a long-distance eye on guys like jose paulino (ss-A) and preston morrison (A).

    crunch 12 hours 10 min ago view
  • As Johnny Bach used to say when it was time for the MJ Bulls to crank up the defensive pressure: "Release the Dobermans!", and Jordan, Pippen, Rodman and Harper would just suffocate the other team.

    I'd love to add Carl Jr. to that group - he's got the stuff.

    billybucks 12 hours 30 min ago view
  • Historically, the Moneyball guys have been great at identifying productive hitters. Not so much with pitchers.

    billybucks 12 hours 31 min ago view