Fun With Small Sample Sizes
After 10 games, the 2012 Cubs are what we thought they were, a poor offensive team with moments of intriguing starting pitching. Here are some rather meaningless numbers I stumbled across...
Cubs 2012 P/PA - 3.71 (Team Leader: I Stewart 4.19)
Cubs 2011 P/PA - 3.74 (C. Pena 4.13)
Cubs 2012 BB/PA - 0.79 (J. Baker 1.76)
Cubs 2011 BB/PA - 0.71 (C. Pena 1.67)
Cubs 2012 SB/CS - 8/11 for 72.7% success rate (pace of 129/178)
Cubs 2011 SB/CS - 69/92 for 75% success rate
Cubs 2012 Offense - 4 Runs Per Game, 10th in NL
Cubs 2011 Offense - 4.04 R/G, 8th in NL
The Good: Clevenger (1.500 OPS), LaHair (1.119), Castro (.831)
The Okay: DeJesus (.799), Johnson (.779), Stewart (.749)
The Not Okay: Barney (.669), Soriano (.655)
The Awful: Soto (.538), Baker (.448), Mather (.282), Byrd (.212), DeWitt (.191)
Aramis Ramirez: 114/179/171 0 HR, 5 RBI, 5 R
Ian Stewart: 242/342/424 1 HR, 5 RBI, 4 R
Tyler Colvin: 350/381/600 1 HR, 5 RBI, 3 R
Soriano 2012: .313/.343/.313 5.7 BB%, 22.9 K%, .400 BABIP, 43.2 O-Swing% (swings at pitches outside zone), 54.3 O-Contact% (contact on pitches outside of zone when swinging)
Soriano 2011: .244/.289/.469 5.3 BB%, 22.2 K%, .266 BABIP, 43.9 O-Swing%, 60.4 O-Contact%
Cubs 2012 Pitchers: 2.63 K/BB ratio, 1.22 WHIP, 8.08 K/9, 1.022 HR/9
Cubs 2011 Pitchers: 2.11 K/BB, 1.41 WHIP, 7.68 K/9, 1.017 HR/9
Cubs 2012 Run Prevention: 4.80 R/G, 14th in NL
Cubs 2011 Run Prevention: 4.67 R/G, 14th in NL
Cubs 2012 Starters: 4.23 ERA, 9th in NL, 3.73 K/BB, .225 BAA
Cubs 2011 Starters: 4.79 ERA, 16th in NL, 2.12 K/BB, .276 BAA
Cubs 2012 Relievers: 5.47 ERA, 16th in NL, 1.53 K/BB, .250 BAA
Cubs 2011 Relievers: 3.51 ERA, 8th in NL, 2.09 K/BB, .233 BAA
The Good: Russell (0.00 ERA, 4/1 K/BB), Garza (1.23, 14/3), Dolis (1.80, 1/3), Dempster (1.88, 15/6), Samardzija (3.95 13/1)
The Okay: Lopez (4.50, 1/2), Volstad (4.95, 10/2)
The Not Okay:
The Awful: Camp (6.50, 4/0), Castillo (7.36, 5/2), Marmol (8.10, 4/4), Wood (11.57, 4/3), Maholm (13.50, 4/3)
Lester has given up one run or fewer in 11 starts this year. So I'd answer yes. Three of his last four starts were duds, yes. Not worried about him at all. Arrieta is concerning, to be sure. I look it at as, what he was doing was historic, so the regression was bound to happen. He showed in his start against the Mets that he's still capable, and I'd bet on him regaining his form.
marlins getting a.cashner and c.rea from SD
This is not an attack...But In what stat are the Cubs second from last in MLB, in hitting? I don't see this.
How odd the stats:
Cubs 1st in pitching in MLB
2nd to last in hitting.
In May they were 1st in both.
trevor clifton (high-A) could be interesting in a couple seasons...could even become a high/middle rotation guy. he's got a lot of pluses in his pitching except control.
eric leal's (high-A) progression through the minors should be worth watching even if only projects to be an mid/end-rotation starter.
we also gotta keep a long-distance eye on guys like jose paulino (ss-A) and preston morrison (A).
As Johnny Bach used to say when it was time for the MJ Bulls to crank up the defensive pressure: "Release the Dobermans!", and Jordan, Pippen, Rodman and Harper would just suffocate the other team.
I'd love to add Carl Jr. to that group - he's got the stuff.
Historically, the Moneyball guys have been great at identifying productive hitters. Not so much with pitchers.
Wow - Pierce Johnson with an ERA of 8.01 in 42IP!
What a stud prospect! Must be pitching with a pierced johnson.
Looks like Ryan Williams is the only legit prospect there. That is sad...
Well it would seem that's all they need now. "Stropy" can have his moments, but he's been more consistent post-asg.
Take THAT, Cardinals -- you beat Fernandez, we beat Sale.
I really like Lackey as a 6-inning pitcher.
Three amigos? Because the Dominican, the Venezuelan, and the Cuban?
Maybe the three-headed dragon?
Who says Contreras can't frame? Stone cold robbery of Eaton with that called third strike for the first out in the eighth
Three amigos time?
he should hit more of those. that would be an ideal outcome. /moneyballs
Russell with 19 RBI in July so far. Grand Slams help.
...and Familia with back-to-back blown saves. Blows a one-run lead vs. Rockies today, gets his 2nd consecutive loss.
I am OK with the Mets missing the playoffs and suffering crushing losses at home --- just want them to beat St. Louis.
He played with fire twice agains the Cubs -- unfortunately, the Cubs couldn't stop swinging.