Crystal Ballin' & Spit Ballin' the Cubs 40-man Roster

A look ahead at the Cubs 40-man roster over the next six months:


The Cubs presently have 40-players on their MLB Reserve List ("40-man roster") plus another four players on their MLB 60-day Disabled List (players on 60-day DL do not count against 40-man roster). Players on the 60-day DL must be reinstated to the 40-man roster no later than the 5th day following the conclusion of the 2013 World Series,   

At present the Cubs have eight players (nine if the Cubs buy-out the final season of David DeJesus' contract) who will be be Article XX-B free-agents after the 2013 season.  

Per Article XX-B of the CBA, any player on an MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) who has accrued at least six years of MLB Service Time and who is not signed for the following season automatically becomes a free-agent the day after the conclusion of the World Series. The player's former club retains exclusive negotiating rights with the player for the first five days after the conclusion of the World Series, after-which the player is free to sign a Major League contract (or minor league contract) with any club, including with the player's former club.

CUBS ARTICLE XX-B MLB FREE-AGENTS POST-2013
(last updated 5-6-2013):
Scott Baker, RHP
Shawn Camp, RHP
David DeJesus, OF (club option)
Matt Garza, RHP
Kevin Gregg, RHP
Scott Feldman, RHP
Carlos Marmol, RHP
Dioner Navarro, C
Ryan Sweeney, OF

An Article XX-B MLB free-agent who signs a Major League contract after the conclusion of the exclusive negotiation period that extends through the 5th day following the conclusion of the World Series receives automatic "no trade" rights that extend through June 15th of the following season, even if the player re-signs with his former club. An Article XX-B MLB Free-Agent who receives "no trade" rights this way can waive the right, but if he does, his club can trade the player only for player contracts and/or cash with a maximum aggregate value of $50,000. Note that a player who signs a Major League contract after becoming a free-agent by any other means (Outright Release, Non-Tendered, or Article XX-D or MLB Rule 55 minor league free-agent) does NOT receive automatic "no trade" rights through June 15th.

If an Article XX-B MLB free-agent signs a minor league contract at least 10 days prior to MLB Opening Day, and then is either not released by 12 PM (EDT) on the 5th day prior to MLB Opening Day or added to an MLB Active List (25-man roster) or MLB Disabled List by MLB Opening Day, the player automatically receives a $100,000 retention bonus, and the player can unilaterally opt-out of the minor league contract on June 1st if he has not been added to an MLB Active List (25-man roster) or an MLB Disabled List by that date.

A club receives one compensatory draft pick between the 1st and 2nd rounds in the next First-Year Player Draft (MLB Rule 4 Draft) if an Article XX-B MLB free-agent subject to compensation signs a Major League contract with another MLB club. The MLB club that signs the player forfeits its 1st round selection in the Rule 4 Draft, unless it selects in the Top 10 of the 1st Round, in which case it will forfeit its next-highest pick. Additional draft picks will be forfeited in subsequent rounds if the club signs more than one Article XX-B MLB free-agent who is subject to compensation.

For a club to be eligible to receive compensation, an Article XX-B MLB free-agent must have spent the entire immediately-preceding MLB regular season on that club's MLB Active List (25-man roster) and/or on one or more of the club's inactive lists (7-day, 15-day, and/or 60-day Disabled List, Military List, Bereavement List, et al), the club must offer the player a guaranteed contract for the following season with a salary at least equal to the average salary of the 125 highest-paid MLB players from the previous season (expected to be about $13.5M in 2012), and the contract (known as a "Qualifying Offer") must be tendered no later than the 5th day following the conclusion of the World Series.

If a club extends a "Qualifying Offer" to an Article XX-B MLB Free-Agent subject to compensation, the player has seven days to decide whether to accept or decline the offer. If the player accepts the offer, he is considered "signed" and must be immediately added back to his club's MLB Reserve List (40-man roster). If he declines the offer, the player is free to sign with any MLB club, including his former club. MLB clubs are not permitted to extend a Qualifying Offer to an Article XX-B MLB free-agent if the player has agreed in advance to decline the offer so that the club will obtain a draft pick once the player signs with another club.

If an Article XX-B MLB Free-Agent subject to compensation signs a minor league contract with a new club, or if the free-agent signs a Major League contract with a new club after the MLB Rule 4 Draft, the player's new club does not forfeit a Rule 4 Draft pick, and the player's former club does not receive draft pick compensation. However, MLB clubs are not permitted to sign an Article XX-B MLB Free-Agent who is subject to compensation to a minor league contract just to avoid losing a draft pick.

COMMENT: The Cubs will probably actively shop all nine of these players prior to the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline, and probably even until the August 31 deadline for post-season eligibility. That doesn't mean all of them will get traded, though. (Shawn Camp was having a really nice year as a middle-reliever last season and was going to be a free-agent after the season but he didn't get traded). BTW, if the Cubs do not get what they consider to be satisfactory offers for Matt Garza and/or Scott Feldman, they could retain both of them and extend Qualifying Offers to both pitchers after the World Series and (worse case) pick up a draft pick. It's not like they HAVE to trade either of them.  

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There are presently nine Cubs players who are signed beyond this season. Last year Paul Maholm was signed beyond the 2013 seasn, but he was traded anyway, so being signed beyond 2013 does not make a player less-likely to be traded. In fact, it might make the player even more attactive than a player eligible to be a free-agent after the season, because the player's new club would retain control over the player beyond just this season.   

CUBS SIGNED TO MAJOR LEAGUE CONTRACTS BEYOND 2013:

+ Has "No Trade" rights

+ Alfonso Soriano,OF ($18M in 2014, then FA post-2014)
Edwin Jackson, RHP ($11M salary each season  2014-16, then FA post-2016 - NOTE: 100% of signing bonus was paid up front)
David DeJesus, OF ($6.5M club option for 2014 and FA post-2014, or $1.5M post-2013 buy-out and FA post-2013)
Starlin Castro, SS($5M in 2014, $6M in 2015, $7M in 2016, $9M in 2017, $10M in 2018, $11M in 2019, and $16M club option for 2020, with $2M additional in both 2019 and 2020 if Top 5 MVP twice 2013-19) 
Carlos Villanueva, RHP (5M in 2014, then FA)
Kyuji Fujikawa, RHP ($4M salary in 2014 plus $2M in performance bonuses based upon GF, and $5.5M vesting option plus $500K in performance bonuses in 2015, or $5.5M club option for 2015 or $500K buy-out post-2014)
Scott Hairston, OF ($2.5M salary in 2014 plus $1.25M in performance bonuses, then FA post-2014)
Jorge Soler, OF ($2M each in 2014-15, $3M in each in 2016-17, and $4M each in 2018-20, and player option to opt out if eligible for salary arbitration)
Anthony Rizzo, 1B ($1.75M salary and $1.25M second-installment of signing bonus in 2014, $5M each in 2015-16, $7M each in 2017-18, $11M in 2019, and $14.5M each in 2020-21 with $2M club option buy-out for each season 2020-21, and 2019-21 salaries increase by $1M per season if one MVP or two Top 5 MVP 2013-19, and player may void 2021 club option with Top 2 finish in MVP 2013-19 or if traded)
OTHER (OUTRIGHTED PLAYERS): LHP Gerardo Concepcion $500K each in 2014-15 and $1M in 2016 (all remaining salary to be paid at time of termination if released)

COMMENT: The Cubs will probably continue to try and trade Soriano (although he has a 100% "no trade" right in his contract), and as he gets closer to free-agency, it probably will be easier to do it. Carlos Villanueva and Scott Hairston will also likely be shopped by the Cubs, even though they are signed through the 2014 season. Edwin Jackson might be available, too, although he is signed for three more seasons and is only 29 years old.  

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An unsigned player under club control who has accrued at least three but less than six years of MLB Service Time is automatically eligible for salary arbitration. Also, any unsigned player with at least two years but less than three years of MLB Service Time who accrued at least 86 days of MLB Service Time the previous season can qualify for salary arbitration as a so-called "Super Two" if the player is among the top 22% in MLB Service Time of players in that group.

CUBS ELIGIBLE FOR SALARY-ARBITRATION POST-2013
(last updated 6-11-2013):
Darwin Barney, INF - FA post-2016
Julio Borbon, OF (will very likely qualify as a "Super Two") - FA post-2017
Cody Ransom, INF - FA post-2014
Henry Rodriguez, RHP - FA post-2016
James Russell, LHP - FA post-2015
Jeff Samardzija, RHP - FA post-2015
Nate Schierholtz, OF - FA post-2014
Luis Valbuena, INF - FA post-2016
Travis Wood, LHP - FA post-2016

If a club and a player eligible for salary arbitration cannot agree on a contract, the player can request the Major League Baseball Players Association (MLBPA) to file for salary arbitration. The MLBPA is responsible for delivering all requests for salary arbitration to the MLB Labor Relations Department (MLB LRD) on the Tuesday immediately prior to the third Friday in January. Once salary arbitration has been requested, the player submits his desired salary to the MLBPA and the club submits its salary offer to the MLB LRD, and the MLBPA and MLB LRD exchange the two figures on the third Friday in January. The MLBPA and MLB LRD then schedule hearings with a three-person arbitration panel, and the hearings are held on various dates during the first three weeks of February.

The club's offer must be at least the MLB minimum salary and, in most cases, must be at least 80% of the player's previous year's salary and at least 70% of the player's salary from two seasons back. However, if the player received a raise in excess of 50% by a salary arbitration panel the previous season, a 20% maximum salary reduction from the previous season and a 30% maximum salary reduction from two seasons back does not apply, and the club only has to offer at least the MLB minimum salary.

After arbitration has been requested, the player and the club can continue to negotiate back & forth, and the player can withdraw from the process any time up until the hearing. And in fact this frequently happens, as the player and the club will often agree to just "split the difference" (something the panel cannot do). If the matter does go to a hearing, the arbitration panel must choose either the club's offer or the player's figure.

Win or lose, the player is awarded a standard one-year MLB contract with no "minor league split" salary or incentive/performance bonuses. Also, the contract is not guaranteed, so if the player is released during Spring Training, the club would only owe the player 30 days or 45 days salary as termination pay, depending on when the player is released. (A player on an MLB 40-man roster receives 100% of what remains of his salary if he is released during the regular season).

COMMENT: Players eligible for salary arbitration are the guys who usually get non-tendered on December 2nd. Clubs will often try and sign the player to a club-friendly contract (sometimes even a minor league contract) after being non-tendered, and that could be the case for Borbon and H. Rodriguez.  Because of his age (he's 37), Ransom will probably be dropped from the roster even before contracts are tendered (or he could even be traded), although even if he is dropped from the 40 the Cubs might try and re-sign him to a 2014 minor league contract with an NRI to Spring Training.

Samardzija, T. Wood, Barney, and Russell won't be non-tendered and they might even get multi-year contract extension offers during the off-season. Schierholtz and Valbuena won't be non-tendered either, but they also probably won't get multi-year extensions. So while both of them have done nice jobs for the Cubs and likely have a spot waiting for them on the Cubs 2014 25-man roster, Schierholtz and/or Valbuena could get traded if the Cubs get a decent offer. 
  
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An unsigned player under club control who does not yet qualify for salary arbitration ultimately has to either accept the club's offer or just not play.

A club (usually the Assistant GM) will negotiate with the player up to a point, but if the club and the player cannot agree on a deal by the first week of March, the club has the right to unilaterally dictate the player's salary and/or renew the player's contract (albeit for an amount not less than the MLB minimum salary, and not less than 80% of the player's previous season's salary and not less than 70% of the player's salary from two season's back). These players are the ones who have a "minor league split" salary in their contract, which the player is paid if he is sent to the minors. The "minor league split" salary must be at least 60% of the player's salary from the previous season.

CUBS PLAYERS PRE-ARBITRATION/AUTO-RENEWAL POST-2013
Alberto Cabrera, RHP
Welington Castillo, C  
Steve Clevenger, C-IF
Rafael Dolis, RHP
Brett Jackson, OF
Junior Lake, IF-OF
Trey McNutt, RHP
Blake Parker, RHP
Zach Putnam, RHP
Brooks Raley, LHP
Hector Rondon, RHP    
Chris Rusin, LHP
Dave Sappelt, OF
Matt Szczur, OF
Christian Villanueva, 3B
Josh Vitters, 3B-1B
Arodys Vizcaino, RHP
Logan Watkins, 2B  

NOTE: 2014 MLB minimum salary is $500K for players on 25-man roster or MLB DL, and minor split minimum for players on Optional Assignment to minors is $80K (or $40K for players on 40-man roster for first time)

COMMENT: Sappelt and Putnam are the two players on this list who are likely to get outrighted after the season. Everybody else will probably get another year to show what they can do, although the Cubs would probably like to move Vitters, but without giving him away.

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Players on a 40-man roster who have accrued at least five years of MLB Service Time cannot be optioned to the minors without their permission.  

PLAYERS ON 40-MAN ROSTER WITH LESS THAN FIVE YEARS OF MLB SERVICE TIME THRU 2013 WHO WILL BE OUT OF MINOR LEAGUE OPTIONS IN 2014:
Julio Borbon
Alberto Cabrera
Welington Castillo 
Rafael Dolis
Henry Rodriguez
Jeff Samardzija 
Luis Valbuena
Travis Wood


Also, although they will not be out of minor league options in 2014, Optional Assignment Waivers would have to be secured before Darwin Barney Starlin Castroi, and/or James Russell can be optioned to the minors in 2014.  

COMMENT:
Alberto Cabrera and Rafael Dolis will be out of options in 2014, so the Cubs will want to get a good reading on both pitchers (especially Cabrera) through the rest of this season and at Spring Training 2014. The Cubs will not be able to option either pitcher to Iowa in 2014, so they will go into the 2014 season not much different than a Rule 5 pick. If Dolis' forearm injury is serious enough to require surgery, he would probably get outrighted or non-tendered post-2013.

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CUBS MINOR LEAGUE FREE-AGENTS POSt-2013

LAST UPDATED: 6-14-2013

ARTICLE XX-D CUBS MINOR LEAGUE FREE-AGENTS POST-2013:
Michael Bowden, RHP
Brent Lillibridge, IF-OF
Ian Stewart, 3B
Hisanori Takahashi, LHP
NOTE: Article XX-D players can elect free-agency beginning on day after conclusion of MLB regular season through October 15th, unless player is added back to an MLB 40-man roster prior to conclusion of MLB regular season 

MLB RULE 55 CUBS MINOR LEAGUE FREE-AGENTS POST-2013:

NOTE: A minor league player eligible to be a free-agent per MLB Rule 55 is automatically declared a free-agent at 5 PM on the 5th day followeing the conclusion of the World Series, unless the player is added to an MLB 40-man roster prior to the deadline

SIX-YEAR MINOR LEAGUE FREE-AGENT
:
Jeffry Antigua, LHP
Brian Bogusevic, OF
J. C. Boscan, C
Kyler Burke, LHP
Alex Burnett, RHP
Yeiper Castillo, RHP
Jaye Chapman, RHP
Johermyn Chavez, OF
Dayan Diaz, RHP
Eduardo Figueroa, RHP
Marcus Hatley, RHP
Marcos Mateo, RHP
Edwin Maysonet, INF
Darnell McDonald, OF
Jose Morales, C-IF
Guillermo Moscoso, RHP
Jonathon Mota, INF
Donnie Murphy, INF
Brad Nelson, 1B
Eduardo Sanchez, RHP
Larry Suarez, RHP
Tim Torres, IF-OF
Casey Weathers, RHP
Ty Wright, OF

SECOND-CONTRACT MINOR LEAGUE FREE-AGENT
Michael de la Cruz, RHP (previously released by TEX)
Carlos Figueroa, INF (previously released by CHC)
Humberto Garcia, INF (previously released by CHW)
Nate Maldonado, C (previously released by CHC)
Yomar Pacheco, RHP (previously released by PIT)
Brohiglyn Rivero, RHP (previously released by TB)
Orbandy Rodriguez, RHP (previously released by AZ)
Roberto Vahlis, C (previously released by TOR)

COMMENT: Some of the older players presently at Iowa who are eligible to be minor league free-agents post-2013 will be called-up to Chicago in July and August to fill roster slots after players are traded, but most of the ones who do get called up will likely get outrighted or released after the season. Among the less-advanced minor leaguers eligible to be free-agents, only LHP (ex-OF) Kyler Burke would appear to have long-term value. I would expect Burke to be added to the 40-man roster prior to the deadline (5 PM on the 5th day following the conclusion of the World Series), although the Cubs might want him to pitch in the AFL first. The Cubs might want to re-sign some of their minor league free-agents to 2014 minor league contracts, but even if the Cubs invite him to return, it would be entirely up to the player whether to return to the Cubs organization in 2014. The only way to guarantee that a minor league FA will remain under club control is to add the player to the MLB 40-man roster prior to the deadline (5 PM ET on the 5th day following the conclusion of the World Series).  

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MLB RULE 5 DRAFT:

NOTE: A minor league player eligible for selection in the MLB Rule 5 Draft is not eligible for selection if he is added to an MLB 40-man roster by November 20th.  

CUBS ELIGIBLE FOR MLB RULE 5 DRAFT POST-2013
(last updated 6-16-2013):
Arismendy Alcantara, INF
Gioskar Amaya, INF
Frank Batista, RHP
Xavier Batista, OF
Dallas Beeler, RHP
Justin Bour, 1B
Sergio Burruel, C
Esmailin Caridad, RHP
Marcelo Carreno, RHP
Lendy Castillo, RHP
Javier Castro, RHP
Zach Cates, RHP
Hunter Cervenka, LHP
Pin-Chieh Chen, OF
Casey Coleman, RHP
Gerardo Concepcion, LHP
Willson Contreras, C
Wes Darvill, INF
Antonio Encarnacion, RHP
Luis Flores, C
Anthony Giansanti, OF
Enyel Gonzalez, RHP
Carlos Gutierrez, RHP
Jae-Hoon Ha, OF
Marco Hernandez, INF
Eric Jokisch, LHP
Austin Kirk, LHP
Luis Liria, RHP
Matt Loosen, RHP
Jeff Lorick, LHP
Eric Martinez, RHP
A. J. Morris, RHP
Chad Noble, C
Juan Carlos Paniagua, RHP (see NOTE)
Loiger Padron, RHP
Amaury Paulino, RHP
Felix Pena, RHP
Starling Peralta, RHP
Dae-Eun Rhee, RHP
Kevin Rhoderick, RHP
Greg Rohan, INF
Jose Rosario, RHP
Zac Rosscup, LHP
Victor Salazar, RHP
Brian Schlitter, RHP
Ryan Searle, RHP
Elliot Soto, INF,
Nick Struck, RHP
Luis Villalba, LHP
Yao-Lin Wang, RHP
Oliver Zapata, OF
NOTE: Juan Carlos Paniagua signed his first contract with the Arizona Diamondbacks as "Juan Callado" on 5-8-2009 and pitched for the DSL Diamondbacks in the Dominican Summer League in 2009-10, but the contract was "pending" for almost two years and was never officially approved by MLB. The contract was eventually rejected by MLB due to "fraudulent paperwork" and Paniagua (Callado) was suspended for one year and then was declared a free-agent. He signed with the New York Yankees in March 2011 but then was suspended again and that contract was rejected, too, because his birth certificate could not be verified. Paniagua was cleared by MLB in 2012 and he signed with the Cubs on 7-9-2012. Therefore, Paniagua could be eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft for the first time in December 2013, since 2009 was his "first season" on the field, and he was 18 on the June 5th immediately preceding the signing of his first contract, or he might not be eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft for the first time until December 2015 if 2012 is considered Paniagua's "first season" for Rule 5 eligibility purposes. (MLB must make ruling prior to November 20th).

COMMENT: SS Arismendy Alcantara is a virtual lock to be added to the 40-man roster by the 11/20 deadline (he has emerged as a Cubs Top 10 Prospect), and OF Jae-Hoon Ha and LHRP Zac Rosscup are two others on the list who will probably get added (although both might have to first prove themselves in the AFL). I don't think there are any others who will get added to the 40 this time around.  

 

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Comments

Juan Carlos Paniagua has pitched in one game this season for the Cubs Dominican Summer League team. Who knows when his visa issues will be resolved. If ever.

thanks obama.

...typical whitesox fan.

Wavin' Wendall Sandberg....

Delmon Young becomes the 10th Phillie thrown out at home this year. Only Diamondbacks (11) have had more outs at home.

Sandberg never made sense as a base coach because he was best going from third to second.

Groan

Z (AAA, PHI) tonight..

7ip 5h 1bb 6k, 0r

...according to a news/blog blurb about his last start he's not even hitting 90mph (at least that night), but he might be up in the bigs soon...especially with pettibone sucking hard in the rotation for PHI

ninja going into the 9th, 104 pitches.

3 96mph fastballs in a row to start the 9th...followed by an 84mph off speed pitch for the ground out.

...and 2 singles later (men on 1st/2nd) he's done after 115 pitches. almost...

lololol...interference by robinson on a crappy slide going for castro (well off the bag getting ready to toss to 1st after stepping on 2nd) rather than bag forces a double play.

k.gregg gave up a 1 run single...got the "weird" double play...cubs win. STL fans are pissing themselves in rage.

it was a fair call, fwiw...robinson was no where near the bag on the slide.

Would they have gotten the DP anyway?

Also, while I tend to be a pretty big supporter of pitch counts, I can definitely see why they kept ninja in so long with our bullpen and Gregg pitching so much.

the DP would have most likely been turned...castro had a decent amount of time and was in good position to throw.

robinson's take-out slide was a bit silly...he was way off the bag.

Hitters swing at more bad pitches as the season goes on, and a group of scientists at Vanderbilt University believe it's because they're not sleeping long enough or well enough. http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-triangle/post/_/...

"But whatever players put into their bodies today to fight fatigue, it no longer includes amphetamines — or at least it doesn't unless those players want to risk getting slapped with a stiff suspension."

hahahahahhaha...oh my...my sides...phew, good one.

Hmmm...

almost 9% of MLB players have ADHD/mental-health exemptions for amphetamine use (well more than the population average at large)...and the amount who use stimulants not on the banned list bumps that up quite considerably...from the ones who pound redbull to the ones taking the newest GMC stimulant(s) that hasn't appeared on the ban list (yet).

stimulants and baseball is the way it's done...from those who like to get pumped up before a game to those that are trying to deal with 200+ days of travel.

it's an issue that's well engrained into the highschool and college ranks, too (adderall, especially). i'd like to see it go away...it's like chewing tobacco at this point...it's become a cultural ritual that's part of the game whether someone "needs" it or not.

it came from an era of getting that edge after so much travel and needing to be "on"...over the past couple of decades it's gone from that to also include being "on" no matter the external circumstances, it's just gameday, and a part of training/workouts.

Cubs can build on that foundation of Sweeney and Ransom.

A+

The Cubs should extend Marmol now while he's in his little slump.

(Ducks)

Have they changed the meaning of extend again? Kids these days, just when I've gotten used to bad meaning good.

Somebody e-mailed me to ask why Gerardo Concepcion is eligible for selection in the December 2013 Rule 5 Draft if he signed his first contract in March 2012. 

Concepcion is eligible because any player who has been outrighted previously in his career is eligible for selection in all subsequent Rule 5 Drafts, even if he otherwise would not be eligible. So because Concepcion originally signed a Major League contract (March 2012) and then was outrighted to Kane County (December 2012), he is eligible for selection in all subsequent Rule 5 Drafts (unless and until he is added back to an MLB 40-man roster).  

BTW, any MLB club that selects Concepcion in the December 2013 Rule 5 Draft would be stuck with paying the $2M that will remain on his contract 2014-16, so it's very unlikely that he would get selected, even if he was healthy. (He was supposedly diagnosed with mono a year ago and was at Instructs last October and threw in a couple of intrasquad games there, but he has not pitched this season).  

"The Houston Astros say they have signed right-handed pitcher Mark Appel of Stanford, the No. 1 overall pick in the draft earlier this month.

Terms were not disclosed Wednesday ahead of a news conference with Appel."

http://espn.go.com/mlb/draft/2013/story/_/id/94038...

Holy overpay Batman.

Jim Callis‏@jimcallisBA
#Cubs, 3rd-rder Jacob Hannemann agree on $1 million. Brigham Young OF/cornerback, VG speed, also bat, power & CF skills. #mlbdraft

damn...that's about 400-500K more than most people in round 3 have signed for so far.

it's pretty much early/mid 2nd round loot...and 100K less than the cubs very early 2nd round pick Z-nasty.

they also signed their 4th round pick for $800K...which is about 300-400K more than expected.

here's a tracker btw,

http://www.baseballamerica.com/draftdb/2013xteam.p...

it's $263,800 over slot ($736,200), they paid $261,900 under slot for Zastryzny, doesn't seem that crazy since he had some leverage. So far 4th rounder Skulina is the biggest overslot at $323K, although if 12th rounder Clifton did get "3rd round money", he'll probably net the biggest difference.

Bryant is probably going to come in under $6M, so Cubs should save there as well.

Also, the Cubs I'm sure will gladly pay the 75% tax if they go over by 5% or less, so it's more like $11,084,325 in bonus money. They're currently $241K over according to the confirmed signings by BA. What I have going on the left sidebar is a little looser on the restrictions.

 

I thought the Hannemann bonus was high because of comments his father made right after the draft about what he'd be signing for. More like slot. Which was higher than most thought because they had him ranked lower on draft boards.

The guy is already 22 with minimal baseball experience. I'll be rooting for him to turn into the next Ellsbury (without the injuries). But...

Bonus amount has been added.

Jim Callis‏@jimcallisBA
#Cubs pay Trey Masek $357,400. Talent bargain in 5th rd. Texas Tech RHP, 89-93 to 95, shows some sharp curves, VG in Cape Cod Lg. #mlbdraft

"Cubs manager Dale Sveum said Wednesday that he expects David DeJesus (shoulder) to miss about a month."

Gordon Wittenmyer‏@GDubCub
Sveum says Cubs likely to get bench back to full strength for weekend Houston series, get pen back to 7 guys. Clev or Sappy are possible.

COL is going to option j.francis to AAA...roy oswalt, welcome back to the bigs.

COL is going to option j.francis to AAA
Beat the Streak players everywhere groan. There's always Pelfrey.

welly with his 9th walk on the season...8th since may 23rd. ...still waiting on his 1st xbase hit of the month (9 singles).

also, cubs tie bottom 2nd on a play at the plate that rizzo would have been out by a mile on if y.molina didn't drop the ball.

At certain points Welly has shown the ability to do everything (except run well) - contact, power, eye, throwing, blocking balls. Hopefully one day soon the entire package clicks in a Yadieresque manner.

it took YM two seasons of 400+ plate appearances to get his average up over .250 (and his OBP over .300). I'm hoping he learn how to frame pitches better over that time frame too.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/moliny...

Setting those hopes a bit high, I think. I'd be happy if he managed to take a few more walks and collect some extra base hits from time to time.

alright cubs...having e.jackson + vanillawafers fail in the same outing...in the same inning...isn't good for fan morale.

the 6th inning sucks.

Well, no thanks to Darwin Barney either on his should-have-been-ruled-an-error throw to incomplete a double play. It turned the Molina AB scenario into bonus runs.

Keith Law chat

Re: Bryant signing

I believe he'll end up with the highest bonus in the draft, that the Cubs knew going in roughly what it would cost, and that there is absolutely no chance he plays in Chicago this year.

Re: Hannemann and how soon before we see Baez, Soler, Almora, Arismendy, Rizzo and Bryant altogether in the lineup

[Hannemann] is not advanced. You're probably looking at 2016 before you get all of those guys in the lineup, and that's assuming zero attrition.

rizzo + castro in june...121ab .149avg

6 doubles, 0 triples, 0 HR.

awesome.

rizzo is at least taking walks. castro isn't. if dusty wasn't the manager he wouldn't be hitting 2nd (lulz, sigh, whatever). castro hasn't hit a HR since april 30th...ugg.

castro 0-2 (rizzo, 0-2). castro up with bases loaded, cubs down by 1 in top 5th...let's see how this goes.

...foul out...0-3. neat.

Sveum is doing a fine job helping the young core develop.

How can that be? They're all in A/AA.

/mostly sarcasm font/

Ha ha good point. In that same vein, looks like more are on the way...

http://insider.espn.go.com/blog/buster-olney/post?...

I don't have a subscription, but MLBTR has a summary.

bullpen desparation watch!!!

Tigers and Red Sox should be calling for Gregg soon. Imagine Cardinals, Reds and Orioles could look at him for a set-up gig as well.

Bullpen suicide watch will officially begin when a fringe contender trades for Marmol or Shawn Camp.

Crain and Thorton from Sox will go first.

Tigers DFA Jose Valverde.

h.rondon...keeping alive the long tradition of really crap-tier cubs rule5 picks.

h.rod hit 100-101mph 8 times in the 7th.

he didn't hit it once last time out in his debut.

he threw nothing but fastballs for all 10 of his pitches...3 ground outs.

On Geraldo Concepcion:

Bruce Miles‏@BruceMiles2112
Back problems. Won't pitch until instructional league in fall

Anyone else looking at title of new Brad Pitt movie think it was a biographical movie about Carlos Zambrano?

where's our old pal 10man with his photoshops?

"Carrie Muskat ‏@CarrieMuskat
Note to folks who keep asking for start time: If I knew, I'd post it. Nothing yet."

lulz

...also, d.barney is hitting leadoff today.

4:35

http://m.mlb.com/news/article/2013062151336354/

Muskat update on Soler, PJohnson, Vitters, Conception

Buster Olney‏@Buster_ESPN
Have heard this from rival evaluators: The Cubs have started the process of exchanging names with other teams on some of their players.

Buster Olney‏@Buster_ESPN
Total speculation: Nate Schierholtz would be an excellent fit for the Royals.

Buster Olney‏@Buster_ESPN
Also, about Schierholtz: Remember that PIT GM Neal Huntington and Cubs' Theo/Jed have made multiple trades in the past. A fit there, too.

Fangraphs weighs in: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/nate-schierholtz-is...

d.barney hits leadoff...

2-2 so far.

BRILLIANT!

make that 3-3 via a hanging curve for a HR.

single, double, HR.

1st rizzo HR since may 18th.

Baseball America Prospect Hot Sheet:

Or in this case Not Hot

• Brett Jackson, cf, Cubs: With the outfield prospects the Cubs have coming behind him, Jackson, 24, would be well served to make a move on a big league job sooner than later. Instead, he’s hitting .217 and striking out in roughly a third of his at-bats for Triple-A Iowa. His misery this week included 14 strikeouts as part of a 2-for-25 (.080) showing.

http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/prospect-hot...

Hot Sheet Chat:

Who has the best farm system now, after the draft?
Matt Eddy: I don’t know the answer to your question, but I know which organization’s hitting talent I feel the most confident in, and that would be the Cubs with 3B Kris Bryant, SS Javier Baez, CF Albert Almora and RF Jorge Soler. They also have a nice second wave with guys like 1B Dan Vogelbach and 3B Jeimer Candelario. Many organizations have more balance (and thus deserve higher rankings) because of pitching depth, but pitchers are volatile, and this group of hitting assets is fairly stable.

How much longer until Brett Jackson goes from Not Hot to not a prospect?
Matt Eddy: The early returns are not promising, but I’d let Cubs CF Brett Jackson work through his issues with his new swing at Triple-A Iowa before passing final judgment. The Cubs have had some success in this department, having worked some remedial magic with Anthony Rizzo previously.

Thanks for the chat. With SS leagues getting started, are there any players we should pay special attention to?
Matt Eddy: In addition to Rosario, Lin and Margot from the previous answer, I’d also nominate Boise RHP Paul Blackburn (Cubs) and Missoula C Styker Trahan (D-backs). We’ll actually have an entire post about this next week, highlighting one short-season leagues prospect to watch for each organization.

http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/prospect-hot...

"I’d let Cubs CF Brett Jackson work through his issues with his new swing at Triple-A Iowa before passing final judgment."

he hasn't had a single hot streak all season...except for a few games in may which didn't even include any HRs.

it's been horrible from the start and not getting any better.

sucks...decent D, decent arm, above-average speed, some pop...relies on contact, but not good at making contact...and not getting any better as the season goes on.

I can see why people have a hard time letting go of him. He just looks like a baseball player out there. Even at the plate. It's just that he misses the damn ball with that pretty swing. I still wonder if they've checked his vision. I can't imagine they haven't, but he just misses the ball completely. I read an article on Miguel Cabrera - they said he can pick up the spinning seams on a fastball from pretty much the point the pitcher releases his pitch, his vision is so uncannily acute. I think Jackson see this big, fuzzy thing coming his way and tries his damnedest to hit it, and just can't find it.

Tim Wilken is reminding me more and more of Clint Easwood in "Trouble with the Curve". His Hendry picks in the first round with the Cubs just fucking blow. Not drafting Matt Weiters alone was a huge fuck-up. I am glad TheoCorp., relegated him back to where he can't harm anyone with picks like Hayden Simpson anymore.

Yeah, but they keep him around in the back in case his hot daughter stumbles into the next Matt Weiters.

Yeah, but they keep him around in the back in case his hot daughter stumbles into the next Matt Weiters.

BTW, Weiters line this year: .233 .288 .404 .692, so he's doing a bit of the Castro Dance.

Samardzija, Barney, Donaldson, Cashner, Russell seem to be the best so far

Baez looking good, but a long way to go.

Vitters vs. Wieters probably came down to money, at least that's the rumor, Wilken probably didn't get to make the final call on that one.

Simpson was obviously the real big fuck-up.

Here's the full list of players drafted that at least reached the majors.

Colvin, Samardzija, B. Parker, S. Clevenger, Vitters, Donaldson, Guyer, Barney, J. Russell, Cashner, Flaherty, C. Carpenter, J. Harrison, T. Campana, C. Coleman, J. Beliveau, B. Jackson, LeMahieu, Rusin, Raley

A. Wilson as well, but after being redrafted by Boston, and E. Hamren with Padres after being released by Cubs.

brent littlebridges to NYY for PTBN/cash.

also, NYY signed c.patterson to minor league deal.

garza pulled in the 9th after walking the altuve leading off...

8ip 4h 2bb 8k, 1r/er

That's ok, Garza, just keep pitching that way a few more times.

Thanks.

And only one wild throw into the Astros bullpen.

gregg gets it done.

june 21...cubs win their 30th game.

And the "Is that the last Garza start for the Cubs?" Watch is now officially underway.

anyone have a list of 18-20 year old dominican Rookie and A ballers on teams looking to trade for SP?

If all they can get for a Garza is an A-ball prospect or two, I imagine TheoJed will take the supplemental draft pick. I'm still hoping they manage to get one prospect who is closer to the majors--a good AA kid or solid AAA guy with a future in the majors.

yeah, that above is just jokes...garza's worth a legit prospect or 2.

I'm feeling fragile. The trade talk might be the only part of the season I get to enjoy, especially as Castro becomes Cesar Izturis.

...and we'll probably get to re-live this joy next season, too.

...and i hope i'm wrong about that.

Buster Olney‏@Buster_ESPN
Matt Garza had his second straight strong outing today; http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/28528/matt-garza … Orioles among the teams taking a look, says NL source.

eduardo rodriguez come on over...

i imagine it would take more than that, but he would most likely be the key to the deal. middle rotation lefty type that's a couple of years away from tasting the bigs.

aside from bundy/gausman...which BAL probably don't want to shift...he's about all that's worth mentioning in the system that the cubs have a need for...unless they have an interest in jonathan schoop to play 2nd (most likely valued more highly by BAL than e.rod).

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