The Trade Winds Blow

Undoubtedbly the Cubs wil be selling as the July trade deadline approaches with Matt Garza, Scott Feldman, Kevin Gregg & Nate Schierholtz being the most likely chips on the table. There certainly may be others, but those players make the most sense. Let's take a look at some potential trade partners:


When it comes to starting pitching, a contender is one injury away from being in the market, so I'm sure the list will expand, but here are the most obvious candidates (NH stands for not happening):

1. Baltimore (Starters' ERA: 4.88)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects To Target: Kevin Gausman or Dylan Bundy

More Likely to Get: Jake Arrieta, Mike Wright or Brandon Kline

2. San Francisco Giants (Starters' ERA: 4.50)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Kyle Crick, Chris Stratton or Clayton Blackburn

More Likely to Get: Martin Agosta or Mike Kickham

3. Colorado Rockies (Starters' ERA: 4.41)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Nolan Arenado (NH) or David Dahl

More Likely to Get: Eddie Butler, Tyler Matzek or Tyler Anderson

4. Arizona Diamdonbacks (Starters' ERA: 4.13)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Tyler Skaggs(NH) or Archie Bradley (NH)

More Likely to Get: Adam Eaton, Matt Davidson or Andrew Chafin

5. Oakland Athletics (Starter's ERA 4.11)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Addison Russell or Michael Choice

More Likely to Get: Sonny Gray, Dan Straily or Nolan Sanburn

6. Texas Rangers (Starters' ERA 3.98)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Mike Olt

More Likely to Get: Mike Olt, Cody Buckel, Martin Perez

7. San Diego Padres (Starters' ERA: 4.56)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Jedd Gyorko(NH) or Rymer Liriano

More Likely to Get: Casey Kelly or Robbie Erlin

8. Anaheim Angels (Starters' ERA: 4.49)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Kaleb Cowart

More Likely to Get: Nick Maronde or R.J. Alvarez

The Angels might seem like an odd choice on this list, but they didn't spend all that money to pack it in.  That being said, they'll need a bit of a run heading into the deadline before they start being buyers. The Orioles seem to make the most sense on the list and could easily slot Garza and Feldman in their rotation, Gregg in their bullpen and maybe, just maybe that would be enough to land one of Gausman or Bundy and 3-4 other B/C prospects. Feldman makes a ton of sense for the Rockies if they go shopping (sinkerballers and all in Coors), but who knows how willing they are to move prospects and of what quality. The A's have always been willing to make deals when they feel they're in it, hence their inclusion. I know Adam Eaton might seem like an odd inclusion from the Diamondbacks, but with the emergence of Parra and with Pollock around and Eaton's  injuries, they can probably spare a young outfielder.

Relievers/Closers

1. Detroit Tigers

2. Boston Red Sox

3. Arizona Diamondbacks

4. St. Louis Cardinals

5. Cincinnati Reds

6. Baltimore Orioles

7. Anaheim Angels

The Cards, Reds, Angels and Orioles could have a use for Gregg as a set-up man and I'm sure many other teams could emerge in that role. The other 3 could probably use Gregg as a closer, but how much any team is going to give up in a deal for a guy picked off waivers is beyond my prediction capabilities.

Outfielders

1. Kansas City Royals (OPS by RF'ers: .707)

2. Pittsburgh Pirates (OPS by RF'ers: .664)

3. Oakland A's (OPS by RF'ers: .663)

4. New York Yankees (OPS by RF'ers: .679/ LF: .624)

5. Cincinnati Reds (OPS by LF'ers: .669)

I imagine Dejesus might be shopped around as well once he comes back, but Schierholtz seems to be the best best. Royals are in desparate need of power and a Francouer/Schierholtz platoon would be lethal, but who knows if that's on their radar. The Reds are expecting Ludwick back at LF at some point and seem to be doing well enough without him, so I don't expect a move, but I imagine it's a possibility. The A's were without Reddick that got them to that number and while he's struggled since returning, I'm not sure if they're looking for a minor upgrade on offense, especially considering Reddick's far superior defense.

Comments

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/prospects/watch/y2013/#list=int

international signing period begins on July 2nd, Cubs will be in on some of these names

and this

The Rangers should be very interested in an OF. Their LF production has been horrible. Nelson Cruz could be looking at a PED suspension. And DH Fatso Berkman has been a major disappointment for the past month and a half.

I don't think they'd be in on Soriano. But they should be very interested in Schierholtz. And moderately interested in DeJesus or even Sweeney.

Not that you're wrong, but they're turning Profar into a LF'er - at least for this season.

I was aware of that. Bright bright future ahead of him. But the bat doesn't seem ready yet.

Gammons rumoring a Garza to Padres deal involving Reymond Fuentes and 2 others.

https://twitter.com/pgammo/status/349272908448800770

Also Nolasco to Giants.

Fuentes was part of the Gonzalez deal (along with Rizzo and C. Kelly). 22 years old in AA, putting up .891 OPS this year (.705 for his career though)...1st round (28th overall) in 2009.

Getting the band back together.

Fuentes scouting report

http://www.scoutingbook.com/players/p2605

fast dude, cousin of Carlos Beltran, great defense...not much power, needs to improve plate discipline.

If they could get Kelly(out for year with TJ surgery) and Fuentes, I'd be pretty stoked...send Padres most of cash to cover Garza's deal.

The deal would need to include this guy too.

http://www.scoutingbook.com/players/p3440

just for the name...

...hope he has a lot of Turk Wendell's quirks.

Marwin Gonzalez optioned to Triple A by the Astros btw.

NY Daily News and all, but apparently Nationals are looking for starting pitching as well...add them to the list.

http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/baseballinsider/2013/06/trade-deadline-...

Top 20 list

http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/12/27/3809440/washington-nationals-t...

L. Giolito, AJ Cole, M. Skoles...

Jim [email protected]
#Cubs sign 8th-rder Sam Wilson for $130k. Lamar (Colo.) CC LHP, also OF, 6-1/205, 88-91 to 93, SL has promise too.

30K under slot.

That leaves Garner as the only top 10 pick without his bonus being reported and then whatever Bryant gets...plus whatever over $100K 12th round pick Clifton is allegedly getting.

I believe the 24th round pick, Alamo, is also receiving a decent bonus.

at the moment, BA has them at $212,400 over their slot money, but they can go up to $527,825 before they lose a draft pick, so still some wiggle room.

if Bryant just gets slot money, he'll get more than Appel ($6.7M vs $6.35M), although I would be very surprised if that happens. I think he takes just a little less than Appel.

more on draft values

Hannemann's $1M would put him in the mid-2nd round between #55 and $56, Skulina's $800K would put him in the the competitive balance 2nd round between picks #69 and #70. The $170K that 9th round pick Burks got is mid-7th round money (between #214 and #215).

TOR's 11 game win streak ends...at the end of tonight's loss they've gone from last place to...umm...last place.

looks like the cubs might have a line on the garza + feldman replacements

"Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro indicated Monday that Carlos Zambrano is unlikely to be promoted before July 1, when he can exercise the opt-out clause in his contract."

/cringe
/lulz

possible AAA replacements include chris "89mph fastball lefty" rusin and...ummm...no one else.

i'm a bit surprised they haven't moved k.hendricks up to AAA (the dude acquired from TEX as part of the dumpster trade) to challenge him more...but it's not like he doesn't belong in AA or he's mastering it. they might not want to rush his development.

either way, if both go, vanillawafers will most likely move back into the rotation and when we get s.baker back in the last week of september that should help.

evidently the school closings and budget cuts in illinois along with the recent NSA spying has driven the population of chicago into the streets to protest

http://cdn.tribtv.com/wgntv/live/breakingnews.html

j/k...it's the douchebag parade because of hockey.

clark is on lockdown.

The mayor is sending the bill for extra police protection to the Cubs.

Paul Bonyenne [email protected]

Thousands flock to Wrigleyville's Clark Street to celebrate Cubs taking 2 of 3 from Astros.

---

Beachwood Reporter [email protected]

Occupy Wrigleyville issuing its demands: More beer, more Dave Matthews Band, more khaki, more bros, more entitlement . . . or else.

phil rogers on NBC shoving bros in the street getting in his live shot...lulz.

Congrats Hawks!!
Young homegrown talent wins second cup, please rub off onto the Cubs.

That was FUCKING awesome!

Couldn't have happened to a better city either...eff Boston.

Bears camp starts July 25th...one month of Cubs/White Sox for the city to be bored with.

Who are the White Sox?

From Jon Heyman:

Third baseman Ian Stewart and the Cubs are on the verge of working out an arrangement for Stewart to leave the organization, people familiar with the situation said. This comes two weeks after he expressed frustration with his situation via a couple of revealing tweets.

The resolution allowing him to move to another organization is expected to come within a couple of days...

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/jon-heyman/22515...

Any bets on Hayman's source being Stewart and his agent Larry Reynolds - thinking they can just walk away and get paid.

Nice list. I won't remember any of it - but nice list anyway.

Whatever prospects the Cubs acquire, I only have one suggestion once they do. Bring em up!!!

Marmol DFA'd, Stewart released.

huzzah!!!

Bogusevic called up.

Holy shit. Didn't see that coming

Any chance Marmol accepts the assignment, and how much of Stewart's salary do they still need to pay?

Marmol gets paid regardless, he'll take his money and will most likely eventually sign with a team at the league minimum which will be subtracted from what the Cubs owe. I don't see why he'd entertain any ideas of pitching in Iowa...if he's willing to go to the minors, he'll find a contender.

Sounds like Stewart's taking a settlement to get his release, so probably just some of what he was still owed.

And they already saved a bit of cash with the 10-game suspension.

These types of moves have to be good signals to the minor league system at least.

Didn't realize Bogusevic was a former first rounder. As a pitcher. Kind of like, the Bizarro world's Brooks Kieschnick.

BOB: Carlos Marmol was Designated for Assignment so he hasn't been assigned yet. He actually has minor league options remaining, but because ha has accrued more than five years of MLB Service Time he would have to give his permission in advance before he could be optioned to the minors. However, because he was replaced on the 40-man roster by another player (Brian Bogusevic), the Optional Assignment option is off the table.

A player who is Designated for Assignment during Spring Training or the MLB regular season can be returned to the 40-man roster and be optioned to the minors AS LONG AS the player was not replaced on the 40-man roster by another player after being DFA'd. NOTE: A player being ootioned to the mninors after being Designated for Assignment will usually only happen if Optional Assignment Waivers are required before the player can be optioned to the minors and the player's slot on the 40 is needed for another player, because it takes two days to get a player through waivers). 

He could be outrighted to the minors, but again (because he has more than five years of MLB Service Time) he would have t9o give his permission in advance before thart can happen, and there is no reason for him to that. 

So the only two choices will be trade or release, and since the other 29 clubs know that he MUST be released if he isn't traded within ten days, there is no reason to give up a player to get him. And if he is signed after being released, the Cubs are on the hook for what remains of Marmol's 2013 salary (about $5M) minus the pro-rated MLB minimum salary (about $250K this time of year) that his new club must pay IF he signs a major league conttract.


But if Marmol endx up signing a minor lerague contract, his new club could pay him as little as $10,000 or so, with the Cubs on the hook for the balance, at least unltil Marmol is added ro an MLB 40-man roster and has to be paid at least the MLB minimum salary (with the Cubs on the hook for the balaqnce).


In the case of Ian Stewart, he still is owed about $1M  in 2013 salary, and the Cubs must pay that, unless he signs with anothger club, and then (like Marmol) the new club only has to pay him the minor league minimum (about $10,000) until he is added to an MLB 40-man roster, when the new club would have to pay Stewart the pro-rated MLB minumum salary (with the Cubs on thed hook for the balance), presuming he ever gets added tro an MLB 40-man roster prior to the conclusion of the 2013 season. 

Where is the news that Stewart was released? Don't see it anywhere?

Thanks.

One thing I like about this new regime, they aren't afraid of cutting losses.

Nomar!!!

Shawn Camp is a fuckin' survivor, man.

cockroaches, twinkies, Jamie Moyer, Neifi Perez and Shawn Camp....

Twinkies resent being on that list. They are delicious.

delicious and remarkably durable...

Twinkies and cockroaches. Connecting the dots...See Wall•E

http://www.balanceintheforce.com/wp-content/upload...

I saw something in the nets the other day about someone who left a burger and fries out at room temp for three years. McDonalds, Wendy's, and BK. Not a speck of mold after 3 years. That shit nasty.

The Cubs left Neifi Perez in the starting line up for a couple of years and that was nasty too.

Cubs roster: All OF, all the time...Count em (7, 6 active) Bogusevich, Soriano, DeJesus(DL), Schierholtz, Hairston, Borbon, Sweeney

Reminds me of the somber days of 2005 where we had 6-8 Quasi-Second Basemen: Neifi Perez, Todd Walker, Jose Macias, Enrique Wilson, Ronnie Cedeno, Mike Fontenot, Ryan Theriot and Nomar Garciaparra

http://www.baseball-almanac.com/teamstats/roster.p...

Recent comments

Subscribe to Recent comments
The first 600 characters of the last 16 comments, click "View" to see rest of comment.
  • AZ Phil, has Nathan showed up in Mesa yet? Thanks.

    Hagsag 1 hour 8 min ago view
  • Eickhoff looks like a good young pitcher. Lets steal him!

    Hagsag 1 hour 9 min ago view
  • Manny Rondon faced 13 batters ... and got 10 to K. Not a bad day's work.

    Eric S 10 hours 50 min ago view
  • With several other Cubs hitters bailing out on curves today I think overall it wasn't being seen well. It for sure looked silly but a good breaking pitch coming at you and then breaking down isn't the easiest thing to see and has made many hitters look silly. Also Soler should have more walks this year but for quite a few called strikes that were actual balls and even the called strike he bailed on was borderline.

    johann 13 hours 48 min ago view
  • it's not like we're talking about a guy who's never had issues with pitch selection and seeing the ball over here. we're talking about a guy who has some rather legendary swing-and-misses at breaking stuff who's been exploited low. going forward it's worth paying attention to seeing if he can be exploited inside, too. he seriously bailed out of the box on a called strike. sure it was a good curve, but he obviously didn't see that well at all.

    crunch 14 hours 32 sec ago view
  • It would seem like he is figuring it out now and it's really coming together. Really happy for him. Joe was really protecting him from the 3rd time through the order, but as you allude to, he is earning trust to go deeper.

    Wondering if has potential to become a #3 pitcher? His current stats certainly support it.

    The E-Man 14 hours 9 min ago view
  • That doesn't count b/c CRUNCH didn't see it on his 60" HDTV 5 times in replay.

    I have seen many players "bail out" when the ball looked like it was gonna hit them.

    Especially with the advent of the splitter and pitchers that can really get the ball to dance. Marmol, Sutter, Pedro Martinez, Curt Schilling, Derek Lowe, Smoltz, Arrietta...

    These guys have made the best bail out only for the ball to come over the plate and be called a strike.

    No shame in that. The same way players whiff hard enough to cause them to drill a hole in the ground from spinning.

    The E-Man 14 hours 14 min ago view
  • a 60" TV with slow-motion replay and multiple looks on that replay helps...a lot...

    it's one thing to shy away like he did the 2nd time, it's another to bail out of the box on a called strike. that happened in the 1st one he pulled away from. he misjudged that one by a foot or so...

    crunch 14 hours 33 min ago view
  • Good Hendricks sure is fun to watch. He was hitting all his corners today and the Phillies couldn't do anything with his changeup.

    johann 15 hours 9 min ago view
  • Bryant and I believe Zobrist both did that too.

    johann 15 hours 26 min ago view
  • Soler BB acumen and plate awareness is excellent. Not unusual for even the best players to react as if they were about to hit them, "even though they weren't that close" from your vantage point sitting on your deck, or wherever.

    The E-Man 15 hours 28 min ago view
  • soler vs inside breaking balls is scary.

    he's had 2 inside curve balls today where he reacted as if they were about to hit him even though they weren't that close...one he bailed out of the box on, it was a called strike.

    crunch 15 hours 46 min ago view
  • j.urias optioned back to AAA...guess we wont be seeing him in the LAD series.

    crunch 15 hours 53 min ago view
  • so is him actually getting 2 hits in a game (2 doubles!)...first time he's even been on base 2 times in a game since 9 games ago on his 3/4, 1bb day.

    im ready for him to at least look like a 2-slot hitter since he's gonna be slotted there no matter what he does.

    crunch 16 hours 49 min ago view
  • That Heyward move to avoid Bryant's ball hit at him was a thing of beauty too.

    johann 17 hours 7 min ago view
  • 9 pitches in and this game already rules.

    HR, double...bryant's turn (who came out to a Kris Kross song for some horrible, horrible reason).

    ...2 run inning...zoobrest hitting streak at 14.

    crunch 17 hours 11 min ago view