Bryant Close to Signing...Ruins Deadline Drama

UPDATE: Bryant has indeed signed at slot value of $6,708,400, according to Sullivan. That would put the Cubs at $10,743,400 and $186,900 over and would still have $340,925 to play with before having to worry about losing a draft pick.


So a few weeks back, Jon Heyman must have been starved for a story or gets paid by the headline and decided to freak everyone out with some alarming piece about the Cubs and Bryant seemingly miles apart in negotiations. The rest of the sane world realized that this is Scott Boras and he'll wait until the last possible minute and get the most money he can out of the Cubs, but the odds were quite low that it wouldn't get done.

Lo and behold, Heyman is back today saying that the Cubs and Bryant are nearing a "record" deal. The deal isn't done yet and the details are scarce, but earlier reports were Bryant wanting over $6.7M which was the slot value, while the Cubs wanted to pay more in the $6M range. Now the Cubs can go as high as $7,049,325 by my calculations and still stay withing the 5% penalty that would cost them just a tax. Any higher and they start losing draft picks. BUT...they allegedly already signed 24th round pick Tyler Alamo and 12th round Trevor Clifton and both were expected to land deals over $100K which will go against the bonuss cap. An earlier story on Clifton's signing said he wanted 3rd round money and got it (anywhere between $490K to $747K). So it remains to be seen what Bryant will get, but I'm putting the over/under at $6.5M.

As for the "record' portion of the report, I'm not sure what that is in reference to. I believe Stephen Strasburg currently owns the bonus record at $7.5M and it's highly unlikely that the Cubs will top that because that would end up costing them a draft pick next year. Maybe it's a Cubs record that Mark Prior currently holds at $4M (although Soler received a $6M bonus, but he wasn't drafted). Or it's a record for baseball since they installed the cap, which Mark Appel currently owns at $6.35M. Why would the Cubs pay more for Bryant? Well leverage is the key, Appel had less as a college senior unless he wanted to try independent ball route that Luke Hochevar manuevered a few years back into a higher deal. Bryant though, as a college junior, could head back to San Diego and hope he gets picked #1 next year and get whatever #1 slot money is in 2014, which does adjust for inflation.

Comments

Good news.

Bring him up!

/sorry Old and Blue

I second that emotion! Bryce Harper his ass

Glad that's done with. Let's get back to trading winning!

Right now, I'd rather get to trading. While winning is fun to watch, I am much more interested in the 2015+ team being stocked.

I shutter to think what our farm system would (still) look like if Hendry were still here. Nothing is certain, but I'm finally excited about the farm again.

Shutter?

(Sorry -- I love your posts AND you are a fellow Joe -- but I was feeling snarky today)

Haha. I'm extremely under the whether this weak. That's my excuse.

If Hendry was still here, Wrigley would be shuttered soon, from the utter lack of fans. There's some good stuff going on at the lower levels, and hey, even the big league club has a better record than last year's world series winner, so things are looking up a bit. I expect that to change once Soriano's hot streak ends, though.

Soriano and son out on the field early today. Just like Dempster last year...

http://twitter.yfrog.com/o0dswyjj?sa=0

Love this schoolyard stuff when it happens in the pro arena: http://wapc.mlb.com/play/?content_id=28723377&topi...

Only schoolyard about it was the 4th grade mentality of the hitter

Pena's pure joy was pretty schoolyard.

Oh yeah, that was cool.

I just can't stand Swisher

From the twitter box:

Travis Wood's Cutter: Changing Approach, Results
http://www.baseballanalytics.org/baseball-analytic...

4 batters, 4 runs, 0 outs...this cubs game kinda sucks in record time.

-edit- 6 batters, 5 runs...not 5 batters, 5 runs...

either way, it's over now...5 runs in top 1st. neat.

Can Bryant pitch?

And my father then christened him the Sausage Bopper

http://deadspin.com/hey-its-10-years-and-a-day-sin...

Matt Garza, rhp, Cubs: "He's the best pitcher on the marketplace. The stuff is good. But you hear various things about the makeup, and some people just aren't going to be convinced that he can stay healthy."

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/danny-knobler/22...

Anyone have any thoughts on Garza's make up that would give teams pause? There was some stuff in TB a few years ago, but I thought that was old news.

garza's never going to live down his makeup/coachability issues it seems...especially for a guy that seems to know what he's doing and is willing to adjust.

he's not like many ball players...he's not going to go out and party with them. he wakes up in the morning hours before many players are hitting the snooze button for the first time.

he will put his family before the team 10 times out of 10 (which is probably why the cubs won't retain him unless they're willing to pay him top dollar), but he shows up ready to work, in shape to work...and unlike more than a few of his peers, excels at day games.

Hey crunch, I've heard this from you before and you seem pretty confident about it. I'm just curious where you go this info about Garza being an early riser and not a drinker. (The day/night splits are obviously available to all of us.)

i'm not saying he doesn't drink...but he's been long known as a guy who clears out of the clubhouse and back to the hotel room or back home to the family when the game and post-game stuff is over. his early-rising and early-to-the-park work ethic is a long known thing.

i guess it's one of those things that happens when you have your first kid while still in highschool (technically just after graduation), keep having kids, and you're not a deadbeat dad (married the girl, had 2 more kids). he is extremely family-centric. family comes first. when he went to college, his girlfriend (now wife) and the kid followed him there...he's never been absent from the whole family process.

it's not like he never goes out with the team or hangs out with them...he does...just not a whole lot.

he had a rep in min/tb of being a bit hardheaded with being coached, but he's had plenty of instances (from college, especially as a freshman, all through the minors and the bigs) where he obviously has done something to change his approach and turning it into a positive when negative results were being achieved.

Sometimes when you are the hard working one amongst a bunch of lazy asses, you get a bad rep. I learned this as a 20 something in an apathetic work place where the bare minimum was the norm.

I've heard some people don't like his rah rah bullshit too.....kinda like Nick Swisher, but not THAT annoying.

Totally deleted!

Deleted!

Double post, dildos.

That's what happens to asshats like you who are way over hyper and trying to do too much. Triple posts! By god, man, take a valium!

I kid.

Dunno how baseballs evaluate make-up, but putting your family first sounds to me like a guy with his priorities straight.

it's probably a combo of his "family over everything" mixed with min/tb incidents of him being hard to coach...but it's not that level of "hard to coach" trevor bauer resides in (aka, trevor bauer knows what trevor bauer needs to do and the rest of you can deal with it or gtfo).

i honestly believe he'd sign with the marlins if they gave him the most money/years at this point...just out of a family financial security issue rather than caring about who can get him a ring. that said, that is just speculation...

Well, who's on "Scouts Corner"? If it's scouts from other teams in baseball that are in the market for adding players, part of their job description at this time of year seems to be to water down the value of known commodities on the trading block. I know I would not want my guys heaping extravagant praise on Garza this time of year. "The guy's a stud. Teams will be giving up their very best prospects for him. Maybe even three of them."

...and tonight we learn why a 100mph fastball isn't a shortcut to awesome.

0ip 3h 2bb 0k, 2r/2er

H. Rodriguez DFA watch begins...

Maybe Rodriguez sucks, but the guy had only pitched 1 inning in the last 16 days. It's tough for any pitcher to be effective with that kind of inactivity. Sveum's bullpen management is terrible.

Jeff Garland...drunk as all get out in the booth. That's quility television.

I've reached my lifetime Jeff Garland quota.

The over/under on his heart attack has to be less than 3 years.

valbuena playing LF subbing for soriano...k.bryant callup and soriano trade imminent.

"Cubs general manager Jed Hoyer said that the club has discussed bringing back Scott Baker for next season."

well, he's earned it...wait...

Why not, double down!

interesting note by Rosenthal on MLB Network on the potential Biogenesis suspensions (and in this article)

http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/biogenesis-ped-scandal-possible-suspe...

the suspensions wouldn't fall under failed PED rules, but "just cause"

suspensions would be announced with number of games and then players could appeal and keep playing. Appeals could take weeks or months. In PED cases, the suspensions are laid out depending on how often a player violated and appeals can be made before the suspension is made public.

I have a feeling this works out that no one significant ends up missing time in 2013.

A very cold shower is in order:

Javy Baez 0-for-17 since his opening HR at Tenn.

Is he too young for us to suggest a "slump buster"? It's probably more fun than a cold shower.

Bring him up!

All he needs is a change of scenery.

My 1-30 prediction looking pretty good

Indians prospect and soon-to-be Matt-Garza-trade-centerpiece Danny Salazar makes his MLB debut this afternoon, FYI.

Recent comments

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  • The only player in the deal that would cause me a second thought is Gleyber Torres.

    McKinney and Crawford are decent prospects but they are bnoth redundant/replaceable in the system and Warren was really only a middle-reliever or #6 starter, so to me it's really just Torres for Chapman. And if Chapman is nails as a closer and gets the Cubs to the World Series and helps them win a World Championship that they are a less-likely to win without him,and then he walks as a FA after the season, I would absolutely make that trade again & again.   

    Arizona Phil 1 min 15 sec ago view
  • I assume Chapman will replace Richard on the roster, but who goes down when Cahill gets activated? Maybe Grimm?

    And when Soler and Coghlan get healthy, how do they fit them on the roster when they're ready to be activated?

    chitownmvp01 2 min 48 sec ago view
  • We are giving up a lot, but it's not like we're trading Addison Russell for 2+ months of Jason Hammel. When impact players become available, they are going to cost you. The other bids could also have been high.

    Having Chapman as a rental is potentially less disruptive than having him come in with an extension in place. 

    CTSteve 4 min 33 sec ago view
  • Billy McKinney had season-ending knee surgery last August and came to Minor League Camp this year somewhat restricted. (He was used mostly as a DH in Cactus League Minor League Camp games), and I'm not sure he's 100% right now (he's repeating AA, and his XBH numbers are way down, like he's not getting good rotation in his lowev half). That might have been part of the reason why the trade wasn't completed right away.

    Arizona Phil 11 min 52 sec ago view
  • Rashad Crawford was a basketball star in HS (he was known as "Baby Jordan", and baseball was only his second sport) and he has plus-speed and athleticism, so when the Cubs drafted him (Keith Lockhart was the scout)  he was seen as a long-term project.  

    I was at Fitch Park the day that Rashad Crawford became a LH hitter, He waa never a switch-hitter, He went directly from being a RH hitter to a LH hitter, which I had never seen before. 

    Arizona Phil 19 min 47 sec ago view
  • I'm with Rob G and Johann here. It's not about Chapman as a pitcher. I just don't want to have to block out a real problem (the domestic violence) in order to try to enjoy the frivolous ball and stick game.

    Charlie 27 min 52 sec ago view
  • ROB G & BOB R: You're right. The QO can only be extended if the player spends the entire previous season with one club, so only the Yankees could have offered one to Chapman (if he wasn't traded). If an Article XX-B FA is traded during the season, the new club can't offer a QO. .

    Arizona Phil 28 min 42 sec ago view
  • i was going off what AZPhil said above...they keep talking about tweaking the rules, i didn't know if that had been changed or not. my winter/spring was way too hectic aside from a couple weeks vacation in janurary and i missed a lot of stuff.

    if not, this is one hell of an expensive trade for what looks to be 30-40 innings of play...including the playoffs. damn.

    crunch 39 min 58 sec ago view
  • Did the QO rules change?

    unless there's a TARDIS involved, I dont believe that's a possibility

    Rob G. 44 min 3 sec ago view
  • I didn't think you could offer a QO to a player who was traded during the season? For example, Lester was not offered a QO when the Cubs signed him.

    Rob Richardson 45 min 28 sec ago view
  • I think the assumption is that make him a Qualify Offer and he signs elsewhere next year.

    billybucks 48 min 31 sec ago view
  • cubs QO, chapman declines, cubs get a draft pick, brewers sign him for 6/90m, brewers win world series in a sweep as chapman strikes out g.torres in game 4 vs the yanks.

    crunch 49 min 2 sec ago view
  • Sorry, how are the Cubs getting a pick out of this?

    Rob G. 1 hour 6 min ago view
  • Besides what he adds to the Cubs bullpen, getting Aroldis Chapman means the Giants and Nationals (and Indians) can't get him, and that could be important come the post-season. 

    When the opponent knows Chapman is out there ready to pitch in the 9th, it can cause the other team to alter their strategy and play things differently than they otherwise might prefer to play things in the 6th, 7th, and 8th innings. 

    Arizona Phil 1 hour 7 min ago view
  • thats a lot for 2-3 months....beyond Torres it's a lot of organizational depth, but hate to use your best prospect for a rental.

    Rob G. 1 hour 10 min ago view
  • chap's a FA after this season. 2-3 months of chapman and a sandwich pick after the 1st round (stay healthy chap) seems to be the "worst" outcome, but damn they're giving up a hell of a piece in torres.

    i don't care that torres is blocked...i just think something more valuable/controlled can come from trading away a guy like him.

    crunch 1 hour 22 min ago view