Bryant Close to Signing...Ruins Deadline Drama

UPDATE: Bryant has indeed signed at slot value of $6,708,400, according to Sullivan. That would put the Cubs at $10,743,400 and $186,900 over and would still have $340,925 to play with before having to worry about losing a draft pick.


So a few weeks back, Jon Heyman must have been starved for a story or gets paid by the headline and decided to freak everyone out with some alarming piece about the Cubs and Bryant seemingly miles apart in negotiations. The rest of the sane world realized that this is Scott Boras and he'll wait until the last possible minute and get the most money he can out of the Cubs, but the odds were quite low that it wouldn't get done.

Lo and behold, Heyman is back today saying that the Cubs and Bryant are nearing a "record" deal. The deal isn't done yet and the details are scarce, but earlier reports were Bryant wanting over $6.7M which was the slot value, while the Cubs wanted to pay more in the $6M range. Now the Cubs can go as high as $7,049,325 by my calculations and still stay withing the 5% penalty that would cost them just a tax. Any higher and they start losing draft picks. BUT...they allegedly already signed 24th round pick Tyler Alamo and 12th round Trevor Clifton and both were expected to land deals over $100K which will go against the bonuss cap. An earlier story on Clifton's signing said he wanted 3rd round money and got it (anywhere between $490K to $747K). So it remains to be seen what Bryant will get, but I'm putting the over/under at $6.5M.

As for the "record' portion of the report, I'm not sure what that is in reference to. I believe Stephen Strasburg currently owns the bonus record at $7.5M and it's highly unlikely that the Cubs will top that because that would end up costing them a draft pick next year. Maybe it's a Cubs record that Mark Prior currently holds at $4M (although Soler received a $6M bonus, but he wasn't drafted). Or it's a record for baseball since they installed the cap, which Mark Appel currently owns at $6.35M. Why would the Cubs pay more for Bryant? Well leverage is the key, Appel had less as a college senior unless he wanted to try independent ball route that Luke Hochevar manuevered a few years back into a higher deal. Bryant though, as a college junior, could head back to San Diego and hope he gets picked #1 next year and get whatever #1 slot money is in 2014, which does adjust for inflation.

Comments

Good news.

Bring him up!

/sorry Old and Blue

I second that emotion! Bryce Harper his ass

Glad that's done with. Let's get back to trading winning!

Right now, I'd rather get to trading. While winning is fun to watch, I am much more interested in the 2015+ team being stocked.

I shutter to think what our farm system would (still) look like if Hendry were still here. Nothing is certain, but I'm finally excited about the farm again.

Shutter?

(Sorry -- I love your posts AND you are a fellow Joe -- but I was feeling snarky today)

Haha. I'm extremely under the whether this weak. That's my excuse.

If Hendry was still here, Wrigley would be shuttered soon, from the utter lack of fans. There's some good stuff going on at the lower levels, and hey, even the big league club has a better record than last year's world series winner, so things are looking up a bit. I expect that to change once Soriano's hot streak ends, though.

Soriano and son out on the field early today. Just like Dempster last year...

http://twitter.yfrog.com/o0dswyjj?sa=0

Love this schoolyard stuff when it happens in the pro arena: http://wapc.mlb.com/play/?content_id=28723377&topi...

Only schoolyard about it was the 4th grade mentality of the hitter

Pena's pure joy was pretty schoolyard.

Oh yeah, that was cool.

I just can't stand Swisher

From the twitter box:

Travis Wood's Cutter: Changing Approach, Results
http://www.baseballanalytics.org/baseball-analytic...

4 batters, 4 runs, 0 outs...this cubs game kinda sucks in record time.

-edit- 6 batters, 5 runs...not 5 batters, 5 runs...

either way, it's over now...5 runs in top 1st. neat.

Can Bryant pitch?

And my father then christened him the Sausage Bopper

http://deadspin.com/hey-its-10-years-and-a-day-sin...

Matt Garza, rhp, Cubs: "He's the best pitcher on the marketplace. The stuff is good. But you hear various things about the makeup, and some people just aren't going to be convinced that he can stay healthy."

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/danny-knobler/22...

Anyone have any thoughts on Garza's make up that would give teams pause? There was some stuff in TB a few years ago, but I thought that was old news.

garza's never going to live down his makeup/coachability issues it seems...especially for a guy that seems to know what he's doing and is willing to adjust.

he's not like many ball players...he's not going to go out and party with them. he wakes up in the morning hours before many players are hitting the snooze button for the first time.

he will put his family before the team 10 times out of 10 (which is probably why the cubs won't retain him unless they're willing to pay him top dollar), but he shows up ready to work, in shape to work...and unlike more than a few of his peers, excels at day games.

Hey crunch, I've heard this from you before and you seem pretty confident about it. I'm just curious where you go this info about Garza being an early riser and not a drinker. (The day/night splits are obviously available to all of us.)

i'm not saying he doesn't drink...but he's been long known as a guy who clears out of the clubhouse and back to the hotel room or back home to the family when the game and post-game stuff is over. his early-rising and early-to-the-park work ethic is a long known thing.

i guess it's one of those things that happens when you have your first kid while still in highschool (technically just after graduation), keep having kids, and you're not a deadbeat dad (married the girl, had 2 more kids). he is extremely family-centric. family comes first. when he went to college, his girlfriend (now wife) and the kid followed him there...he's never been absent from the whole family process.

it's not like he never goes out with the team or hangs out with them...he does...just not a whole lot.

he had a rep in min/tb of being a bit hardheaded with being coached, but he's had plenty of instances (from college, especially as a freshman, all through the minors and the bigs) where he obviously has done something to change his approach and turning it into a positive when negative results were being achieved.

Sometimes when you are the hard working one amongst a bunch of lazy asses, you get a bad rep. I learned this as a 20 something in an apathetic work place where the bare minimum was the norm.

I've heard some people don't like his rah rah bullshit too.....kinda like Nick Swisher, but not THAT annoying.

Totally deleted!

Deleted!

Double post, dildos.

That's what happens to asshats like you who are way over hyper and trying to do too much. Triple posts! By god, man, take a valium!

I kid.

Dunno how baseballs evaluate make-up, but putting your family first sounds to me like a guy with his priorities straight.

it's probably a combo of his "family over everything" mixed with min/tb incidents of him being hard to coach...but it's not that level of "hard to coach" trevor bauer resides in (aka, trevor bauer knows what trevor bauer needs to do and the rest of you can deal with it or gtfo).

i honestly believe he'd sign with the marlins if they gave him the most money/years at this point...just out of a family financial security issue rather than caring about who can get him a ring. that said, that is just speculation...

Well, who's on "Scouts Corner"? If it's scouts from other teams in baseball that are in the market for adding players, part of their job description at this time of year seems to be to water down the value of known commodities on the trading block. I know I would not want my guys heaping extravagant praise on Garza this time of year. "The guy's a stud. Teams will be giving up their very best prospects for him. Maybe even three of them."

...and tonight we learn why a 100mph fastball isn't a shortcut to awesome.

0ip 3h 2bb 0k, 2r/2er

H. Rodriguez DFA watch begins...

Maybe Rodriguez sucks, but the guy had only pitched 1 inning in the last 16 days. It's tough for any pitcher to be effective with that kind of inactivity. Sveum's bullpen management is terrible.

Jeff Garland...drunk as all get out in the booth. That's quility television.

I've reached my lifetime Jeff Garland quota.

The over/under on his heart attack has to be less than 3 years.

valbuena playing LF subbing for soriano...k.bryant callup and soriano trade imminent.

"Cubs general manager Jed Hoyer said that the club has discussed bringing back Scott Baker for next season."

well, he's earned it...wait...

Why not, double down!

interesting note by Rosenthal on MLB Network on the potential Biogenesis suspensions (and in this article)

http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/biogenesis-ped-scandal-possible-suspe...

the suspensions wouldn't fall under failed PED rules, but "just cause"

suspensions would be announced with number of games and then players could appeal and keep playing. Appeals could take weeks or months. In PED cases, the suspensions are laid out depending on how often a player violated and appeals can be made before the suspension is made public.

I have a feeling this works out that no one significant ends up missing time in 2013.

A very cold shower is in order:

Javy Baez 0-for-17 since his opening HR at Tenn.

Is he too young for us to suggest a "slump buster"? It's probably more fun than a cold shower.

Bring him up!

All he needs is a change of scenery.

My 1-30 prediction looking pretty good

Indians prospect and soon-to-be Matt-Garza-trade-centerpiece Danny Salazar makes his MLB debut this afternoon, FYI.

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  • They've mentioned Henry Rodriguez (2013), Chris Carpenter, and Andrew Cashner as Cubs who have gone 100+. They said Rodriguez was tops at 100.8. Who knows before 2008?

    QuietMan 1 hour 11 min ago view
  • Regarding Heyward--

    He'll play regardless of what he does, just like Soriano played for seven years before they finally ditched him.

    What can they do? All I can think of is they can keep hiring and firing hitting coaches until they find one who can get him to stop hitting balls with the handle of the bat.

    (All those broken bats added to his paycheck is just a bit much.)

    VirginiaPhil 1 hour 11 min ago view
  • Lester will probably be all right.

    I think Arrieta might have added too much muscle preparing for that butt-naked ESPN photo shoot. Pitchers are supposed to be loose, not muscled up.

    Seriously.

    VirginiaPhil 1 hour 18 min ago view
  • I have basically written off Heyward for this year -- if you are working on major swing changes in late July, you are going to struggle. Hopefully, he can be more productive at the plate next year. It will be interesting to see what they do with him if the Cardinals keep winning and close the gap. Heyward is dead last in the NL in slugging and in the bottom 5 in OPS -- yet still has a positive WAR. Hunh.

    billybucks 1 hour 21 min ago view
  • Has anybody in a Cub uniform ever thrown a ball 103 before?

    VirginiaPhil 1 hour 25 min ago view
  • He certainly looks better, no doubt, and is a different player than what we saw when he first came up. Full credit to him for changing his approach and saving his career.

    But he has zero walks in 35AB since the break, and 10 in 251 AB all year. He does seem to be able to hit some pitches out of the zone, but, a guy with his pop should be drawing more walks. However, it's easy to forget he is still only 23, and probably trying to make an impact to prove he should be an everyday player.

    billybucks 1 hour 34 min ago view
  • The usual suspects, Molina and Wong. Gyorko drew a walk with two outs, none on. I recall us (particularly Szczur and Bryant) swinging at everything Familia threw.

    VirginiaPhil 1 hour 36 min ago view
  • Yup. Thanks Q

    The E-Man 1 hour 41 min ago view
  • QuietMan 1 hour 49 min ago view
  • I for one hope that Sosa comes back soon.

    Rob Richardson 2 hours 8 min ago view
  • O/B interesting you should mention that. Google ESPN Science Aroldis Chapman and you'll be treated to how his mechanics and delivery are possibly historic. It's the 120% of his body stretch plus the torque. They compare him to the Unit and NRyan.

    The E-Man 2 hours 47 min ago view
  • Amazing how much lower the production gets when Bryant runs into a mini-cold streak. He doesn't stay cold for long. If just one of Zobrist or, gulp, Heyward, gets hot, they oughta have one more really nice winning streak in them. Having a closer that you have absolute confidence in can't hurt.

    Old and Blue 3 hours 31 min ago view
  • I hope they hold onto Jimenez. Outfield depth is questionable, especially with McKinney, who struggled this year but still, gone.

    Old and Blue 3 hours 42 min ago view
  • You don't think he's improved? He looks completely different out there than he did when he first came up. The last I checked his K rate was in the low 20% range - 22-23 or so. When he came up it was 40%+.

    To me, what is scary about him if I'm the other guy is that he IS learning the strike zone. This guy could easily be the MVP someday.

    Old and Blue 3 hours 43 min ago view
  • So, playing .500 for the rest of the year puts them at 91 wins. You would think there is enough talent to do a little better than that, right?

    The E-Man 4 hours 2 min ago view
  • First team to 60 wins! Onward to 70, 80, 90 and 100!

    billybucks 12 hours 32 min ago view