TCR Friday Notes

- Dale Sveum's ass must be pretty chapped from the hot seat he's been sitting in over the last week. Although he hasn't been fired yet, rumors earlier in the week had the Cubs targeting Joe Girardi and now another catcher is in the fold. Peter Gammons is saying that Brad Ausmus would be a person of interest if the Cubs do indeed decide to go another direction. Ausmus hasn't been given a major league managing job yet, but he did manage Team Israel in the World Baseball Classic qualification round and was a candidate for the Boston Red Sox job last offseason before the Red Sox traded for John Farrell. Also, if he would lead the Cubs to the promised land, he could help turn this leaflet into possibly a pamphlet.

- Baseball America has been putting out their top 20 prospects for each minor league. The Cubs didn't land anyone on the top Arizona League prospect list, but 6 made the Northwest League including Kris Bryant at #1. The other 5 are Paul Blackburn(#7), Yasiel Balaguert (#9), Dillon Maples (#10), Shawon Dunston Jr. (#12) and Kevin Encarnacion (#17). You can see how the Cubs have fared in the past over at Wiklifield.

Comments

interesting statistical...thing.

the top 5 teams in ERA in the NL all made the playoffs (in order): Atlanta, Pittsburgh, Dodgers, Reds, Cardinals

in the AL, the top one won't make it...the Royals, and Rangers are 3rd. A's (2nd), Tigers (4th), Rays (5th), Red Sox (6th) round out the field.

the team leader in ERA in the AL hasn't made the playoffs 6 years straight: Royals (2013), Rays (2012), Angels (2011), A's (2010), Seattle (2009), Toronto (2008). 5 of those 6 years, the same team that led in ERA led in run allowed with the outlier being the Rays in 2011 (who did make the playoffs).

Red Sox made it in 2007.

Minor League Ball Top 75 update

http://www.minorleagueball.com/2013/9/27/4775038/minor-league-ball-top-7...

8) Javier Baez, SS, Chicago Cubs: Pre-season 18, July rank 14. I do worry about the strikeouts but the power/speed upside is just enormous. I could see this going down a few slots depending on book analysis.

19) Kris Bryant, 3B, Chicago Cubs: 2013 first-round pick. Masher.

22) Albert Almora, OF, Chicago Cubs. Pre-season 44, July 18. The Cubs are going to have one hell of a lineup someday.

27) Jorge Soler , OF, Chicago Cubs. Pre-season 25, July 23. Holding steady pending health.

41) C.J. Edwards, RHP, Chicago Cubs. Unranked pre-season, July 73. Spectacular season from pre-season sleeper. You can make a case to slot him in the 30s.

70) Arismendy Alcantara, SS, Chicago Cubs. Unranked pre-season, July 57. Very broad range of skills, has speed, power, patience, don’t expect batting championships.

Pierce Johnson and Dan Vogelbach make honorable mention. Mike Olt tries to cry in his beer, but no tears flow.

Haw haw!

He never saw it coming.

fun times if there's a 3-way tie in AL wild card

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20130927&content_id=61931552&vke...

the Indians would host the Rays on Monday, with the winner becoming an A.L. Wild Card. The losing Club in Monday's game would then play against the Rangers in Texas on Tuesday, with the winner of that game becoming the other A.L. Wild Card.

In the event of a two-team tie for one Wild Card berth, the Tiebreaker game would be played on Monday and hosted by the Club that won the season series between the two Clubs

btw, Rays and Indians have won 7 straight and Rangers 4 straight...Rays up 1 game on Indians, Indians 1 game up on Rangers, Rays 2 games up on Rangers...pennant fever baby.

pointless things from a pointless season...

"Jesse Rogers @ESPNChiCubs

Travis Wood will pitch just one inning tonight to get to 200 for season. Then will be pulled for Brooks Raley most likely"

derp.

T. Wood pitching just one inning tonight to get him to 200 and will be replaced by Brooks Raley.

A. Wainwright moved up a day to start Saturday if anyone possibly cares.

What, did you say Bears? Oh,cares? No, guess not.

Sabean comments in the sidebar looks like they're going to re-configure the Giants...see how far they take it. I imagine everyone but Posey can be had at the right price.

Can't imagine Cubs would unload too many prospects for Cain or Bumgarner, but the possibility is intriguing at least.

given the fan outpouring last night for t.lincecum (lots of signs, lots of ovations) it might be him letting the fans know that with cain/bum around they're probably not going to sink loot into keeping lincecum around. i imagine they're ready to wash their hands of zito...can't imagine they'd want pence around since you could probably get someone like choo for a few million more at worst.

they've still got some key pieces around for another year under contract so i don't see them punting...though it'll probably point towards that if they get rid of panda and/or romo who are only under contract for 1 more season. scutaro + pagan + buster have multiple years left.

vogelsong has a 6.5m option...300K buyout...that might be interesting.

they need bats badly, especially more power...there's not many attractive options for that on the FA market.

I agree. This was definitely a pr bite to start softening the blow when Lincecum leaves etc.

the fan love for lincecum last night was rather impressive...standing O after a sac bunt...numerous ovations when he took the mound from pre-game til he exited...lots of signs in the stands.

He deserves it. Great player, and man he brought the hardware (personal and team) and did it with grace and style.

wood's last harrah inning not so sweet.

after a missed 3rd out sliding catch (ruled a hit) by bog...

hit (the botched catch), hit, hit, walk, hit...cards lead by 3

he K's the pitcher with the bases loaded for the final out.

he gets his 200 innings...but his sub-3.00 era is now 3.11

It was a really stupid idea to pitch 1 inning and man did it backfire. Damn.

Btw if Sveum gets the boot on Monday (and I think he will) it will be for many reasons none of which are really anything close to incompetence. But I think one consideration was his dour persona - really a PR disaster and not what the Cubs want to project. It was like having a bridge troll as a manager.

If this team manages to get swept in St. Louis and put up a -50 run differential, it'll ease the pain of not having Cubs baseball to watch ... until about 6 hours after the World Series, of course.

it's rather sad that i'm sitting here with 2 games left (after tonight) of cubs baseball asking myself why in the hell am i still watching this game...

it's not even been messy play...it's just been a display of mediocre talent doing the best it can do.

castro is 3-3 so far at least...

also, if d.barney is the starting 2nd next season this new "the cubs way" can go fuck itself.

also, i'm pretty sure the gun is hot tonight.

a.cabrera and b.parker were throwing 95 regularly...h.rondon was throwing 98 regularly...

also, rondon has 8 outings in a row without giving up a run after tonight. 8ip 1h 1bb 6k

c.martinez (STL) just threw a 101mph fastball...that gun is hot f'sure.

Ozzie and his sons watch out, you've got competition...

http://www.dnainfo.com/chicago/20130927/south-loop...

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  • video of Maddon.

    http://www.espn.com/espn/now?nowId=21-0561343809737202839-4

    always nice that he actually tries to honestly answer questions. Does mention that he wanted to give Zastr? a chance in a meaningful spot rather than a mop-up role.

    Rob G. 1 hour 23 min ago view
  • from Muskat:

    #Cubs Maddon: "I'm not going to make up an excuse for why I did what I did. It has nothing to do with lack of confidence" ... "It was the right thing to do today based on what I saw, what their lineup looked like and Rob Z.'s availability." #Cubs

    Rob G. 1 hour 28 min ago view
  • http://www.espn.com/espn/now?nowId=21-0561339391889382475-4

    Hammel not particularly understanding of getting pulled out...as he should. Be curious what Maddon had to say. All I can think of is is keeping arms fresh and maybe wanting to see if Zastr? is worth considering for the playoffs and how he'd do against the Dodgers.

    Rob G. 1 hour 33 min ago view
  • great defense

    Heyward, Russell, Baez, Bryant, Ross in particular...although Bryant's a bit hard to judge with all the positions.

    Fowler and Rizzo in the top half of the NL for their positions as well (per fangraphs)...Zobrist right at the halfway cutoff for 2b in the NL.

    I'm sure some luck is involved too, but the Cubs and Maddon knew what they were doing.

    Rob G. 1 hour 45 min ago view
  • If all the starters have FIP > ERA, is that luck or good defense?

    Craig A. 1 hour 56 min ago view
  • #Cubs plummet to 19-5 in August.

    Fun with FIP

    • J. Hammel   3.07 ERA/4.27 FIP (3.68 FIP last year)
    • J. Arrieta     2.62 ERA/3.05 FIP (2.35 FIP last year)
    • J. Lester     2.81 ERA/3.67 FIP (2.92 FIP last year)
    • K. Hendricks  2.19 ERA/3.37 FIP (3.36 FIP last year)
    • J. Lackey     3.41 ERA/3.72 FIP (3.57 FIP last year with Cards)
    Rob G. 2 hours 21 min ago view
  • zastyryzryzryzny put in 3.2ip 1h 0bb 3k

    he's great when his control is "on"...problem is it's rarely "on" consistently. he could vault up the cubs prospect list if he ever gets better with that aspect of his game.

    crunch 3 hours 1 min ago view
  • JD's take was just trying to get in a lefty to better deal with mostly lefty Dodgers lineup.

    My second thought was what you came up with. My first thought was he was trying to light a fire under Hammel.

    Jackstraw 4 hours 13 min ago view
  • Maybe he was trying to spare him another brutal road start? NY, Colorado...

    billybucks 4 hours 30 min ago view
  • joe got a pitcher up for hammel at nearly the 1st sign of trouble in the 3rd...pulled after 2.1

    not injured and though it wasn't his day so far he wasn't looking like a pure disaster.

    really short leash on him. zastryznzryzryny in.

    crunch 4 hours 35 min ago view
  • Russell and Soler can attest that Urias has a pretty good curve/slider - two big strikeouts looking to get out of that jam in the first.

    Eric S 5 hours 19 min ago view
  • Classic Scully - great stuff.

    Thank God we'll still have Hawk next season. (cricket cricket cricket)

    Eric S 10 hours 10 min ago view
  • Here's Scully's call on Bryant's 10th-inning homer:

    "And it's a long fly ball, a mean fly ball, and a gone fly ball."

    VirginiaPhil 11 hours 24 min ago view
  • When the Cubs were the old, hundred-year Cubs, one bad hop did not undo their opponents.

    VirginiaPhil 11 hours 27 min ago view
  • If only he was clutcher. More clutcher.

    Jackstraw 12 hours 46 min ago view
  • cubs win...bryant with 7HR in his last 8 games.

    crunch 19 hours 58 min ago view