Tuesday Cubs Hot Stove Round-Up

- Rosenthal says the Braves are growing impatient and may pull their offer by Friday when free agency opens up. USA Today says "one team" is demanding a resolution by the 14th (let's take a guess on which team).  Rosenthal goes on to say the Padres have sent counter-offers to the Cubs and Braves, although he doesn't think either team will up the ante. In terms of players involved, he mentions Sean Marshall and possibly Josh Vitters.

- Sullivan thinks the Cubs are offering about 4/50 to Dempster right now.

- The Toronto Globe and Mail thinks Dempster is pretty likely to stay a Cub and says he'll take a discount if the Cubs acquire Peavy.


UPDATE: Buster Olney says the Cubs and Padres are trying to get a 3rd team involved and that Josh Vitters might be in play. I'd be surprised if the Cubs dealt Vitters or Samardzija myself, but you never know.

 

Comments

Can we have the old Rich Hill back? A Z, Peavy, Demp, '07 Hill, Lilly rotation would be alright. Of course they won't score any runs in the playoffs, so who gives a shit.

What happens to Harden? I'm sorry, I should know this, but I've tried to think about the Cubs as little as possible the last two months.

Anyone think if Cubs get Dempster and Peavy they will flip Harden for a lefty bat?

unless it's a bat of epic proportions then no thanks

I drool over the thought of

Peavy
Z
Harden
Dempster
Lilly

That right there is a 110 win season.

if by some miracle, we do get Peavy and Dempster, the thought of Peavy, Harden, Z, Dempster, Lilly would be pretty damn exciting, but you have to wonder about the Marquis situation.

It's a good bet the Cubs would have to shed some salary for at least one-left handed bat and Marquis would be a lot harder to move than Harden and would get you much less in a trade. On top of that, you have to wonder about rotation stability. Assuming you've traded at least Marshall and possibly another starter, you've got a lot of guys in the rotation that our injury risks. Who steps in when they go down withouth Marshall and let's say Atkins or whatever. 

We'd still have Gaudin and they could sign Lieber or something like him again and I'll assume Samardzija isn't getting traded and there's always Rich Hill, but the pitching staff could fall apart quickly. And I think it's a safe bet that if the Cubs got Peavy and Dempster that Harden wouldn't be resigned after this year.

Now I'm not advocating it, I'd love to see them move Marquis and roll the dice with that kind of talent, but it's certainly something to think about. And Harden would definitely be the best trading chip we have.

We too drool over the thought of...

Lilly
Peavy
Z
Harden
Dempster

Ted,

I would put Lilly ahead of Harden based on durability.

I just drool a lot, no matter what the occasion.

I love the idea of getting swept in October by scores of 1-0, 2-0, 1-0.
They ask if it could get worse, well yeah, that is worse.

Baseball Prospectus has their top 11 Cubs prospects:

Five-Star Prospects
1. Josh Vitters, 3B
Four-Star Prospects
2. Jeff Samardzija, RHP
3. Jose Ceda, RHP
Three-Star Prospects
4. Hak-Ju Lee, SS
5. Andrew Cashner, RHP
6. Tyler Colvin, OF
7. Dae-Eun Rhee, LHP
8. Ryan Flaherty,
Two-Star Prospects
9. Welington Castillo, C
10. Donald Veal, LHP
11. Micah Hoffpauir, 1B

Just Missed: Matt Cedra, INF; Jay Jackson, RHP; Logan Watkins, INF

http://baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articlei...

The rest of the content in the link is subscriber only.

Hoffpauir a 2-star prospect? unpossible...he's s every bit as good as Derrek Lee and would never, ever hit into a double play.

 

Anyone think there is something to the Padres withdrawing their offer to Hoffman? Like maybe they are getting a potential power arm to try at closer from the Cubs, i.e. Samninja or Ceda? Or someone from the Braves? Or maybe its nothing.

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-padres-ho...

it's just them cutting costs....

Espn 1000 Bruce Levine is reporting Padres and Braves have "two pieces in place to complete trade," but Cubs still might have a chance.

Olney said the same thing in his article...

Thought so too

My bad

No BP love for Casey Lambert or Mitch Atkins?

There isn't anybody on Baseball Prospectus' list or combination thereof that I wouldn't trade for Peavy. Samardzija has the NTC, and Cashner/Flaherty can't be traded until after June 15th or whenever the June draft is held this year.

Lincecum gets the NL CY

Lincecum, Webb, Johan, Lidge, CC, Dempster was the final vote...

probably would have flipped Johan and Webb myself, Dempster got 4 3rd place votes

please oh please

http://www.desipio.com/?p=1782

The Jake Peavy to the Cubs rumors will not die, and today they took a turn for the interesting.
A source within the Padres organization claims that it’s “basically a done deal” (whatever basically means) that Peavy is headed to Chicago, and that the Cubs will send back Felix Pie, Sean Marshall and Ryan Theriot.
Is this one of those “I know a guy, who knows a guy” deals? Yes, that’s exactly what it is. So I have no idea if it’s true. All I can say is that the “source” is a guy who actually should know.

and from the comments..


Andy
10

The source of this rumor reports to Kevin Towers directly. Nope, not Masur or Vasgersian.

the Cubs will send back Felix Pie, Sean Marshall and Ryan Theriot.

Oh my... that would be incredible.

Interesting. That would seem to seriously conflict with today's rumors about the Braves having pieces in place, but perhaps they ended up asking for too much. I have a bad feeling though this will be akin to the '05 blog from some dude that Furcal signs with the Cubs, only to have him sign with the Dodgers the next day.

Rob, I'm guessing the "please oh please" is more about shedding Theriot than acquiring Peavy? :)

"the '05 blog from some dude that Furcal signs with the Cubs"

As long as WSCR George Offman is not reporting it, it could be true.

yup, trading Theriot means they're planning to sign Furcal would be my guess...

I give that rumor about a 1% shot of having any truth to it, because I don't think the Cubs would move Theriot w/o knowing for sure about Furcal and they haven't been able to talk money yet and there's a good 4-5 teams that are interested in him.

And the fact that is a shitty deal for the Padres....

Could be Padres are releasing this to scare Braves into action.

If the Theriot gets traded they better sign Furcal asap. Ronny the Retard for 160 a games will not be pleasant.

not sure the Padres would use Andy Dolan of desipio.com to float a rumor to get the Braves to pony up. 99.8% chance no one in the Braves has heard of it....

99.8?

Would the Cubs trade Theriot if they Greene back in the deal somehow? They'd make a run at Furcal, sure, but Greene would be the back up plan.

Of course, perhaps the deal is "basically" done except for the little detail that Hendry still has to find a third party to get involved to send more pitching to SD.

Could it mean Ronny Cedeno at Short? Or maybe Khalil Green is coming this way?

Lets hope we never see the 'Ronny Cedeno era' as the starting shortstop, Greene has really declined lately but he'd be a way better option than Cedeno.

Realistically we have nothing to offer pitching wise (exception Szamarja or Harden) compared to the Braves. If this deal gets done with pie, marshall and theriot then it's silly not to take it. I wonder if Giles will be in this deal to shed all of their salary...find this third team...what else would we be giving up?

There is no way we are getting rid of Marquis and his 9mil this year if this deal gets done. In all honestly they should let Dempster walk this was his best year by far when you compared it to his past. He's not worth the 12-15 he may get on the open market. If you can get a good deal on Wood then go for it but he's also not worth 12-15 per year.

Peavy
Z
Harden
Lilly
Marquis or Hill (in my prayers)

Any body have details on Hill in the Venezuela league..he's getting hammered. Don't count on him to do anything.

It should be interesting.

His source at Cubs-

No chance for Dempster resigning, he wants 5/85

Wood gone also, Tampa very interested

Peavy trade needs third team(duh), Peavy needed because of no Dempster

~grain of salt~

He probably means no re-signing before Thursday. It'd be stupid for Dempster to rule out the Cubs now.

The way he was saying it was the Cubs would not pay 5/85 for Dempster, which is what he's supposedy is asking for.

Yeah, but I doubt any team is going to pony up that kind of cash off one good year as a starter. Maybe his agent is having delusions of Boras. He may ask for that, but I doubt he gets it.

$17M a year for Dempster is...well....um...not wise.

Roll the dice with Samardzija in the rotation and go pay for Furcal and RFer. 

I agree.

And I can't understand the whole he will take a cut in pay to pitch with Peavy is mind boggling. I mean it's not Bball or Football and that they will be on the field again.

Then again he's Canadian.

Or just keep Marquis. I'd probably trust him over Samardzija for a year. Never thought I'd say that.

I'd do the Peavy deal pretty much under any circumstances, Vitters might hurt a little but I'll take a pitcher with Cy Young stuff over a prospect.

Kerry Wood's got Cy Young stuff...

that and Peavy actually has won one.

So Randy Johnson would be better than Peavy?

if it was 28 year old Randy Johnson, then yes.

The difference is that Jake Peavy has Cy Young stuff and has one one. Meaning that he's put up the numbers deserving of a Cy Young award and will probably continue to show his Cy Young stuff.

Kerry Wood will not put up Cy Young numbers nor will Randy Johnson.

Why are you trying to pick this nit when you God Damned well what he's trying to say?

Because I think Peavy is a disaster waiting to happen for whichever team trades for him. You can see the Braves are not willing to discuss their two 'five star prospects' but the Cubs, in theory are. That doesn't make sense.

Winter Leagues

Rich Hill ERA 6.28 IN-14.1 Hits 15 13BB 9

Angel Guzman - ERA 2.08 In 13 H14 K- 8 BB-3

I've read in a couple places now about maybe Adam Dunn to the Cubs. Can he even play RF? He sure can't play LF worth a damn, but if he has a strong arm (I don't know, does he?), there's no reason he'd be any worse in RF than in LF, right?

He would certainly address the Cubs' age-old need for a LH power bat in the middle of the order. If they signed him, I imagine he would be the heir apparent at 1B once Lee's contract is over.

Final question, this one about Brian Roberts. Would the Orioles at all be interested in Mark DeRosa as part of a Roberts trade? I wonder if the Cubs could put together trade packages for BOTH Peavy and Roberts; I'm not convinced the Cubs have enough quality young players, but maybe DeRosa would help them get it done.

If the Cubs DID somehow acquire Peavy, Roberts and Dunn, I'm buying my World Series tickets right now.

The Cubs already have two heir apparents for first base in Ramirez and Soriano.

I am not sure about Dunn's arm. He was a college QB, so it wouldn't surprise me if it's playable, though I don't know why the Reds wouldn't have played him in right. The other option would be to move Soriano to right (or center), but his arm is a little short for that.

ive heard this Dunn/Cubs/RF crap, too.

yes, pinella will play guys in RF who have no business there, but not regularly (thankfully).

dunn can barely play LF and his arm is clunky. hell, he can barely play 1st.

Right field has the fewest plays.

but generally requires the best arm.

having said this, Dunn was a college qb. I bet his arm is better that we think

dunn's arm isn't that bad, but it's not good or accurate. he's also battled off/on soreness with his throwing arm almost yearly.

much like the entire package that is adam dunn he's got an amazing set of tools he applies really oddly.

it makes me wonder how good of a player he could be if he actually liked the game as much as some other players out there. there's more than a few that think dunn could use a clemens meets schilling lockerroom "talk" to get him into the game more.

Recent comments

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  • If he puts up Soriano numbers I will be ecstatic

    jacos 22 min 23 sec ago view
  • I think Javy is learning--but he's learning to make contact, not learning to lay off pitches out of the zone. A quick glance at his plate discipline numbers on Fangraphs shows that his contact rate is up, especially his contact rate out of the zone, but his swing rate is up too, especially his swing rate out of the zone.

    Charlie 56 min 53 sec ago view
  • I definitely saw ballpark radar guns go up to 102 on Kerry Wood back when he was still a starter, but who knows how accurate they were.

    Charlie 1 hour 10 min ago view
  • They've mentioned Henry Rodriguez (2013), Chris Carpenter, and Andrew Cashner as Cubs who have gone 100+. They said Rodriguez was tops at 100.8. Who knows before 2008?

    QuietMan 2 hours 34 min ago view
  • Regarding Heyward--

    He'll play regardless of what he does, just like Soriano played for seven years before they finally ditched him.

    What can they do? All I can think of is they can keep hiring and firing hitting coaches until they find one who can get him to stop hitting balls with the handle of the bat.

    (All those broken bats added to his paycheck is just a bit much.)

    VirginiaPhil 2 hours 34 min ago view
  • Lester will probably be all right.

    I think Arrieta might have added too much muscle preparing for that butt-naked ESPN photo shoot. Pitchers are supposed to be loose, not muscled up.

    Seriously.

    VirginiaPhil 2 hours 41 min ago view
  • I have basically written off Heyward for this year -- if you are working on major swing changes in late July, you are going to struggle. Hopefully, he can be more productive at the plate next year. It will be interesting to see what they do with him if the Cardinals keep winning and close the gap. Heyward is dead last in the NL in slugging and in the bottom 5 in OPS -- yet still has a positive WAR. Hunh.

    billybucks 2 hours 44 min ago view
  • Has anybody in a Cub uniform ever thrown a ball 103 before?

    VirginiaPhil 2 hours 48 min ago view
  • He certainly looks better, no doubt, and is a different player than what we saw when he first came up. Full credit to him for changing his approach and saving his career.

    But he has zero walks in 35AB since the break, and 10 in 251 AB all year. He does seem to be able to hit some pitches out of the zone, but, a guy with his pop should be drawing more walks. However, it's easy to forget he is still only 23, and probably trying to make an impact to prove he should be an everyday player.

    billybucks 2 hours 57 min ago view
  • The usual suspects, Molina and Wong. Gyorko drew a walk with two outs, none on. I recall us (particularly Szczur and Bryant) swinging at everything Familia threw.

    VirginiaPhil 2 hours 59 min ago view
  • Yup. Thanks Q

    The E-Man 3 hours 5 min ago view
  • QuietMan 3 hours 13 min ago view
  • I for one hope that Sosa comes back soon.

    Rob Richardson 3 hours 32 min ago view
  • O/B interesting you should mention that. Google ESPN Science Aroldis Chapman and you'll be treated to how his mechanics and delivery are possibly historic. It's the 120% of his body stretch plus the torque. They compare him to the Unit and NRyan.

    The E-Man 4 hours 10 min ago view
  • Amazing how much lower the production gets when Bryant runs into a mini-cold streak. He doesn't stay cold for long. If just one of Zobrist or, gulp, Heyward, gets hot, they oughta have one more really nice winning streak in them. Having a closer that you have absolute confidence in can't hurt.

    Old and Blue 4 hours 54 min ago view
  • I hope they hold onto Jimenez. Outfield depth is questionable, especially with McKinney, who struggled this year but still, gone.

    Old and Blue 5 hours 5 min ago view