Keep It Real

GAME 56 PREVIEW TORONTO BLUE JAYS (29-28) at CHICAGO CUBS (30-25) Wrigley Field, 7.05pm CT, TV: WGN, RSN
SP *John Koronka SP *Gustavo Chacin
LF Reed Johnson CF Jerry Hairston
RF Alex Rios SS #Neifi Perez
CF Vernon Wells 1B Derrek Lee
1B Shea Hillenbrand 3B Aramis Ramirez
3B Aaron Hill LF Jason Dubois
2B Frank Menechino
d>RF *Jeromy Burnitz C #Gregg Zaun C Michael Barrett SS John McDonald 2B #Jose Macias Pitcher's spot Pitcher's spot It was about a month ago now that the Cubs stood at 12-17, having lost a record seven in a row under Dusty Baker. There was talk of the season being over. A month later how things have changed. The Cubs have won nine of their last ten, twelve of their last fifteen, eighteen of their last twenty-six, and they stand proudly a few games above five hundred, atop the wild card standings no less. But, just as it was wrong to be too down on the Cubs back at the beginning of May, it's just as wrong to be too high on them now. Baseball is a game of peaks and troughs, good streaks and bad, and that cocktail of a combination has a nasty habit of creating undue optimism and pessimism in near equal disproportion. These Cubs are a good team, but they certainly have their flaws and limitations. That they'll be sending out Koronka, Rusch and Mitre to face the Blue Jays over the next few days could give us an untimely reminder of that. That's not entirely fair though. Rusch has been magnificent so far this season, twice as good as even I had dared hope (no, literally! I thought an ERA around 4.00 would be an achievement for him - he currently stands at 1.96). Naturally, that kind of a figure is only going to head in the wrong direction in the long term, but hopefully he can continue his dominating form a while longer. And I am meanwhile one of Mitre's bigger fans - I see a pitcher with a plus sinker that induces multitudes of groundballs (the kind that stay in the ballpark), a decent slider and an improving changeup that get a fair if unspectacular numbers of punchouts, and acceptable enough control of all three to not walk too many. That, and his youth and paycheck, make him serviceable in the short-term, perhaps even a decent starter in the longer term once he's got some experience under his belt. Suggestions that he shouldn't be accruing that experience with the Cubs right now strike me as bizarre given the next best option, apparently, is John Koronka, a pitcher that truly doesn't belong in a major-league rotation. Indeed, it's only Koronka's turn in the rotation right now that I really worry about. Hopefully the Cubs can score some runs tonight and the bullpen be in fine fettle, because an okay fastball, a good changeup and not much else doesn't seem to get you around the lineup too many times at this level. All the same, go Koronka and go Cubs! Interleague play. There's a topic that raises debate. So, debate. Personally, I quite like it. Let's be honest, we're the Cubs, and we're not ever going to see an American League team otherwise! I don't think that'd be a good thing. The current system isn't ideal, it's unbalanced for starters, but it's better than nothing. Don't worry though, I'm not completely anti-traditionalist - the DH should go. PS. Keep an eye out tonight too for Rich Hill vs Adam Wainwright, Cubs vs Cardinals at Triple-A, also starting at 7.05pm CT

Comments

Any word/opinion on why BOTH Patterson and Walker are out of the lineup tonight? At least play Enrique Wilson over Macias, geez....

chacin's splits:

vs. lefties
.203/.243/.266 2 BB/15 K 64 AB's

vs. righties
.294/.374/.412 23BB/22 K 187 AB's

Hairston and Walker seem to be on a pretty straight platoon for the time being, and it's probably just an attempt to give Korey a day off

Thanks, Rob, that makes sense. Still don't like it though.

I have a love/hate relationship with interleague play. I have always enjoyed it until last year. At this time last year the cubs were about even with the cardinals, then we had to play the A's and White Sox, while the Cardinals were going against their regional rivals the AAA team in KC. It gave them an advantage that they never let go after going 11-1 in interleague.

Why do people only talk about the "unbalanced" interleague schedule in 2004 and 2005? The 2003 Cubs played the Yankees at home, but also got the DRays. Meanwhile, the Cardianals went to both Boston and New York, and the Royals (at the time) were in 1st place in the AL Central. Considering the fact that the Cardinals only finished 3 games out of 1st that year...

The answer's obvious Robb, you're talking to Cubs fans. Of course we're going to complain about things that affect us most directly.

I'm sure White Sox fans don't like that the Twins get 6 against the Brewers every year while they have to play the Cubs. I'm sure Mets fans complain about having 6 against the Yanks, while the Marlins get 6 against the Rays.

Have any of the WGN announcers (radio or tv) said "Koronka has kept the Cubs in the game so far"

You know they're going to say it.

I'm no big fan of the screwed up schedules in inter-league play, either. For that matter, the unbalanced schedule as a whole is pretty dumb in regard to the wild card, too. But over 162 games, it's hard to complain about 3 or 6 games vs. the Royals or White Sox. What about the teams getting to play the Giants without Bonds? Or the Cubs without Wood/Prior? Etc.

Fun while it lasted
Exhausted by rhetoric
Now calm mellow peace

WHOO RALLY RALLY RALLY

What? Dusty let Macias bat? Well, there goes that game. Bye-bye game.

Well, it was either that, or let me hit for the pitcher still down at least a run should Walker have pinch hit and done anything other than gone yard or hit into a double play.

Dusty's mistake was pinch hitting Patterson for Hairston the inning before.

Truthfully, you're right. That was pretty bad.

This game just sucked. The Cubs didn't take pitches and Koronka had one horrible inning and it came back to cost them the game. Ah well... we'll get them tomorrow.

Was at Autozone to see the I-cubs and Rich Hill gave up one walk, 8 strike outs and 3 Hr.s I-cubs 7-6 victory . Greive and Nate Frece went deep.

So, there's another guy in the draft that I've found named Micah. Think the cubs will draft him too? They seem to love guys named Micah

I was at the game tonight. In the 9th, when Barret was up and Dubois was at 2nd, I saw Todd Walker in the on-deck circle, and I was soooooo excited. All I was saying was: Barrett, you better get on base! And then, he did, and I saw Todd go to the batters box. We were cheering like crazy. And then... he got recalled???!!??? My heart just dropped when he walked back and Macias entered. What was Dusty thinking???? I know Macias was 2-3, but Walker was the guy who could have tied the game! He had a pinch-hit HR last time he pinch hit!

Rich Hill's line last night
7 IP, 5 H, 3 HR, 1 BB, 7 K, 5.14 ERA (4 ER)

All the runs scored on the home runs.

For his last nine starts now
62 IP, 37 H, 8 HR, 18 BB, 102 K, 2.47 ERA (17 ER, 18 R)

Of those 18 runs, 10 have scored on home runs (that's 6 solo shots and 2 two-run shots).

If his new found control is for real, his only problem now is those home runs. If he can learn to limit them, he's simply going to be dominant. But, right now, those home runs are a definite concern, because longballs tend to spike upwards when pitchers first reach the majors. In the majors, mistake pitches are punished a lot more ruthlessly, and even good pitches can find their way out. Come on Rich!

I should add that, because Hill wasn't in the game when two of those eighteen runs charged against him scored (relievers allowing inherited runners to score), he's actually himself only given up six runs not on the home run in those 62 innings. That's pretty staggering, but that's what that many strikeouts and that few walks will do for you.

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  • been like that everytime I've been there too including Jack Murphy/Qualcomm Stadium. Cubs travel well. It was pretty loud for Angels/Cubs this year and decent for Dodgers/Cubs but Dodger fans definitely turn out better than the Padre fans.

    Rob G. 1 hour 9 min ago view
  • When I went in the 2007-2008 range, it was at least 75% Cubs fans.

    blockhead25 1 hour 21 min ago view
  • Jeff Sullivan on Kris Bryant's lack of clutch hitting in 2016. Very good stuff, unsatisfying conclusion (it's probably random).

    http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-one-problem-wit...

    John Beasley 1 hour 23 min ago view
  • I was at Tuesday's game in San Diego. It looked like half of Chicago was at Petco. We were much louder than Padres fans.

    BobbyD 1 hour 23 min ago view
  • We may have a chance to catch one in October. Although hell, I couldn't deal with my co-workers if we lose to them.

    blockhead25 1 hour 43 min ago view
  • think I have to miss this series too (also was at the Arrieta game last year). But in my case, just had a busy weekend with work and kids have a bunch of activities and we made it to Opening Day in Anaheim and a couple of games in Wrigley this year which we normally don't get too...so not feeling like I'm missing out this year.

    Rob G. 1 hour 56 min ago view
  • they're awful

    Rob G. 1 hour 58 min ago view
  • I hope the Cubs play three good teams.

    Jackstraw 2 hours 34 sec ago view
  • First year I'm not going to a Cubs/Dodgers game in a long time. 4 month old baby kinda changes plans around. But the no-hitter I was at last year can last in the memory banks for awhile.

    I think Dodger Dogs are awful. I love hot dogs, but those are crap.

    blockhead25 2 hours 35 min ago view
  • ayyyy...get a doyer dog, then.

    crunch 2 hours 55 min ago view
  • I'm going to be at this one! Am told a Dodger Dog is just a long hot dog. Disappointing.

    Charlie 2 hours 57 min ago view
  • If my math is correct, if the Cubs play .500 baseball for the rest of the season, they will finish with 99 wins. I only just confirmed through Baseball Reference that 97 wins last year (and 2008) were the most Cubs wins in my lifetime. I think that last year while Arrieta was pitching better than Cy F. Young I didn't really get or appreciate what he was doing. I'm trying to try to grasp in the moment just how fucking remarkable this season is.

    Jackstraw 3 hours 49 min ago view
  • This is awesome.

    https://twitter.com/JeffNuich/status/769227069788131329

    (CSN Chicago will air Vin Scully's call of the Sunday Cubs vs. Dodgers game...well for an inning at least)

     

    Rob G. 4 hours 48 min ago view
  • I figured this was going to be the most meaningless regular season in Cubs history...and it is pretty much on point, although I certainly didn't think we'd have close to a 14 game lead.

    But, one bad hop in game 1 in October could change absolutely everything we will remember about this year.

    blockhead25 5 hours 26 min ago view
  • oh he's great, there's like 10 great pitchers in the NL right now that can flat out dominate though. Picking #2 (behind Kershaw) doesn't matter much to me right now. Much like whom the Cubs will play in the playoffs won't matter much, they're gonna be good teams.

    Rob G. 5 hours 39 min ago view
  • The Cubs great pitching has a lot more to do with their great defense this year and plenty of good luck  (#1 in ERA, #4 in FIP behind Nats, Mets and Dodgers with a rather ridiculous .258 BABIP against Cubs' pitchers).

    Cubs pitchers do strike out more hitters than Giants pitchers and do walk more hitters than Giants pitchers so that's a few more balls in play. Cubs' pitchers actually have a higher groundball rate though. Crawford is just really good and baseball happens.

    Rob G. 5 hours 41 min ago view