Cubs Hits Of The Week (4/28 Through 5/4)

The five hits that did the most to enhance the Cubs' chance of winning during the past. not terribly successful week against the teams we'll have to beat if we want to take the division, as measured by FanGraphs' Win Probability Added (WPA):

#5 Big Hit: Tuesday, v. the Brewers, 7th inning — The opener of the Cubs' three-game series with the Brewers is getting out of hand when Mike Fontenot hits a two-out, bases-clearing double that brings the home team to within two runs at 9-7. WPA .133

#4 Big Hit: Sunday, v. the Cardinals, 2nd inning — Reed Johnson gets the Cubs on the board against Todd Wellemeyer by doubling home Geovany Soto, moving Fontenot to third, and setting the Cubs up for a monster inning...that never materializes. WPA .134

#3 Big Hit:
Thursday, v. the Brewers, 9th inning — Moments after seeing his team's closer (and I use the word loosely) cough up a 3-1 lead, Ronny Cedeno leads off the last of the ninth by working Eric Gagne for a walk, and with the power-hitting Soto due up, the stage is set for a dramatic resolution. Unfortunately, Soto, who strikes out, and Felix Pie, who raps into a game-ending DP, didn't read the script. WPA .135

#2 Big Hit:
Saturday, v. the Cardinals, 4th inning — The Cubs are already leading 1-0 when Soto steps in against Kyle Lohse with the bases loaded, cracks a ground-rule double to extend the Chicago lead to 3-0, and reminds us once again how positively swell it is to have a catcher who can rake. WPA .145

#1 Big Hit:
Friday, v. the Cardinals, 9th inning — With a certain segment of the Cub-loving population already planning their "We have to trade Alfonso Soriano!" phone calls to the local sportstalk radio stations, Fonzie does all he can do to make everyone forget what a truly horrific night he was having by sending a laser beam over the leftfield fence and bringing the Cubs even with the Cardinals at 3-3. (We should have just gone into a prevent defense after that and settled for a tie.) WPA .342



Cedeno shagging flyballs in center again, Pie on the hot seat.

sure Reed Johnson has been swell and all, I mean, by all means we must get this guy in the lineup everyday:

vs righties: 279/324/328
vs lefties: 273/415/303

that's a 677 OPS overall (78 OPS+). Meh...

I see that link is 3/44 and in another thread..sorry.

Cedeno is outhitting Pie so far. I'm not saying that will necessarily last, but if Lou is willing to bench Pie based on poor approach and poor results in a limited number of ABs, why shouldn't he be willing to play Cedeno based on good approach and good results in a limited number of ABs?

I'm not sure we have any center fielders who are going to hit well enough to justify a starting role, but Cedeno (if they think he can play center) and Johnson are closer than Pie at this point. I still think (hope) Pie will hit, eventually.

if Cedeno can handle CF and keeps hitting, great. I doubt that.

my point was that Reed Johnson isn't very good and the more he plays, the more he'll be exposed for being not very good at anything but taking pitches.

He's fine on the short-side of a platoon, start playing him vs. righties and it's gonna get ugly quick.

On the other hand, it'll give Hendry a position to look for so he can justify his cellphone bill.  

How long until Kfuk gets a look in Center?

How long until Kfuk gets a look in Center?

As soon as we trade for Brian Roberts and can move DeRosa to RF.


for those using IE7...

First, my apologies, it's a horrible program.

Second, I think I fixed the tab problem on the right sidebar and the "Upcoming Games' and Site Search tabs should be loading and working properly now.

Harrison Ford is a great actor for action pictures, but my God he made need some help against your Chicago Cubs.

Check May 22nd on Cubs schedule on

I guess he didn't want to face Dbacks, for obivous reasons.

Shorty will be in the bullpen to pitch relief.

"Okay, DR JONES!!!"

Way off topic but -- I like the Cubs position right now.

Cubs are currently on pace for 94 wins. They have had a mini-season already -- a very hot streak, their current funk, injuries to key players, soem players hot, some cold, etc. Pretty indicative of how the season could play out.

The Cards have the bigest positive diffential in home vs. away games -- 21 at home (14-7) vs. only 11 on the road (6-5). Hopefully, the road will jump up and bite them a bit.

Brewers have taken a big hit with Gallardo, and Gagne looks shaky.

All in all -- I like where we are.

However -- we better win a few in Cincy -- the big bad D-Backs will be tough this weekend.

It's just so frustrating to see them smack a team around for one game and then be so listless for the other two.

When they were down 4-2 against the Cards, I had that same old feeling, "Welp, this game's lost," even though it was only the 4th.

When they're firing on all cylinders, they kick ass. But when they're lethargic, they're real lethargic.

well we could use a CFer...


I'd trade a PTBNL for 25% of what's remaining on his contract. Especially since we are already on the hook for 40% of it as is.

If you're not wiling to give Pie a shot, then a year of JJ at a reduced salary could be worthwhile, especially if you platoon him with Johnson. They'd give us league average defense and acceptable offense from center field. I'd rather put Fukie in CF and use Murt in RF, but Murt can't seem to find his bat and they aren't willing to put Fukudome in center, so that wish will go unfulfilled. I'd much rather send a PTBNL for Jones than send Marshall, Gallagher and bunches of other guys to the Orioles for Roberts. We're going to need at least one of Gally and Marshall, maybe both. Cedeno is starting to look like our best option at SS, so I wouldn't send him over in a Roberts trade either.

Is that another Hendry Acquisition nobody wants?

Izturis, Barret, Jacque, Marquis

Woo... the racist is back!

Seems like there is a pretty good team a little south of Chicago that wants Izturis, and is doing fine with him.

If you really think Barrett was a bad signing, I am not sure what to tell you.

Jacque was a lot better than many people thought during his 2 years in Chicago.

Marquis is valuable pitcher in his role - a #5.

And sure... ignore: Fukudome, Soriano, Lee, ARam, DeRosa, Lieber, etc.

Even if the Cubs wanted him back, not sure he'd come - too many bad vibes in the past.

platoon Cfer with Reed Johnson. Worth a flyer for the minimal cost. IMHO

Cubnut, since the team has only won one game in each of the last series, did you think of doing Opponent's big hits of the week?

There were plenty more of those.

I haven't considered it. It would be like reliving a series of root canals.

Actually a good idea.

Why in the world would we want to waste a roster spot on Jacque Jones who was hitting .165?? If we are going to take a pure flyer on someone, there are a ton of other free agents out there that would be better choices.

Recent comments

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  • based on what SF has been doing every other year lately, getting access to the postseason playoffs seems to be what's important. bring on dat short series!

    that said, skipping the sudden death 1-game WC would be nice from here on out.

  • I know what you are saying, but I feel compelled to point out that there's no such thing as luck, curses, etc. The Cubs this year have as good as a chance as the Pirates to move on to the next round. If the Cubs proceed to the next round or not tomorrow, it will not be because of luck, but because one team outlasted the other. When/if the Cubs are lucky enough to make it to the league series, that's where they may find their biggest challenge. The Dodgers have a good, deep pitching staff.

  • debuting the new format 1 game "sudden death" WC matchup at yankee stadium does a perfect job of showing the intense emotion and drama this game can be.

    that said, i'm ready to not see yankee stadium or hear fans at yankee stadium for another 5 and 1/2 months. at least i don't have to sit through the braves with their "tommy hawk chawp" this postseason.

  • i'd like to know why the internet radio feed of the game (which is always delayed by a few seconds at best) is almost a minute faster than the ESPN cable TV coverage. wtf?

  • i dont know what order they'll be in, but i pretty much expect fowler/schwarb/rizzo/bryant/montero/castro/lastella/arrieta. any change at all (aside from the first 4 guys) wouldn't shock me, though. coghlan is still a wildcard in the lineup joe could always march d.ross out there with very slow arrieta pitching.

  • Yup. Have to agree. Baseball, like golf, certainly has that psych component for the player. There is no real reason why a fielding position should affect a batting average. The Cubs are 106 years over due for a little luck. Don't you guys think so? Maybe the rookies can bring some dumb luck on.

  • probably stacking capable lefties vs cole while keeping the "hot" castro in the game. fwiw, he's 1-6 lifetime with 0 bb/k vs cole (double).

    i chalk bryant's issues at the plate while playing OF up to coincidence so far.

  • I will call your dead horse, "Trigger".

    In one game, when anything is possble, I am glad that Joe Maddon is our Manager.

    He knows the stats better than all of us. It would seem, IF La Stella gets the start at 3B, it will be only up to the point that they were to get the lead (crosses fingers). From everything I have read, the game will be managed like a hoops game: offense/defense. So expect La Stella to be out of the game by the 5th. This team is incredibly deep which is so surprising. We never woulda thunk it.

  • i don't know what their roster plans are, but j.herrera is out there practicing with the team.

    i can't imagine him making any roster, though. dude had 4 PA the entire month of sept. him being a good dude to be around while keeping the clubhouse loose seems to be his main role at this point.

  • I know it's my own personal dead horse to beat --but Bryant has been a lousy hitter when playing the OF this year. Given that it's his first playoff game, I really hope they keep him in his natural position and don't mess with his routine.

    Lousy as in 8-for-45 with one XBH and no HR. Small sample and all that -- but why take the chance?

  • hard to tell what's up given they'll probably want to stack as many good lefties into the lineup as possible.

    castro being a bit hot doesn't help things. if he was still cool they'd probably stick la stella at 2nd and call it a day.

  • Madden won't announce lineups but Stella is practicing at 3rd and Bryant in LF today. I'd rather see Bryant at 3rd but I guess Stella has been hotter than Coghlan.

    /edit. Though I guess they could be practicing this with the idea Stella would come in as a PH then double switch him to 3rd base and Bryant to LF. Hope that's the plan instead

  • I really like the sound of that idea about expanding the AFL to ten teams. Each org. gets to field more players.
    They should do that anyway, regardless of Adv. Instructs.

  • Dallas Beeler, Corey Black, David Garner, Pierce Johnson, Steve Perakslis, James Pugliese, Duane Underwood Jr, and Rob Zastryzny threw early-morning bullpen side-sessions at Riverview yesterday.  

    Underwood threw last, and received specific one-on-one instruction from pitching coach Mike Mason. 

  • HAGSAG: There are only five advanced instructs squads left, and presently the only "co-op" team operating is the Angels/Cubs.

    The league was originally established as a "parallel" league to the AFL (a sort of "junior AFL"), for players too advanced for traditional ("basic") instructs but who were unable to get placed on AFL rosters due to AFL player-limits.

  • He is but I would think it'd be better to start out with offense and then bring in Jackson and LaStella once they have a lead. Stella has very good PH #s too.