Cubs Hits Of The Week (4/28 Through 5/4)

The five hits that did the most to enhance the Cubs' chance of winning during the past. not terribly successful week against the teams we'll have to beat if we want to take the division, as measured by FanGraphs' Win Probability Added (WPA):

#5 Big Hit: Tuesday, v. the Brewers, 7th inning — The opener of the Cubs' three-game series with the Brewers is getting out of hand when Mike Fontenot hits a two-out, bases-clearing double that brings the home team to within two runs at 9-7. WPA .133

#4 Big Hit: Sunday, v. the Cardinals, 2nd inning — Reed Johnson gets the Cubs on the board against Todd Wellemeyer by doubling home Geovany Soto, moving Fontenot to third, and setting the Cubs up for a monster inning...that never materializes. WPA .134

#3 Big Hit:
Thursday, v. the Brewers, 9th inning — Moments after seeing his team's closer (and I use the word loosely) cough up a 3-1 lead, Ronny Cedeno leads off the last of the ninth by working Eric Gagne for a walk, and with the power-hitting Soto due up, the stage is set for a dramatic resolution. Unfortunately, Soto, who strikes out, and Felix Pie, who raps into a game-ending DP, didn't read the script. WPA .135

#2 Big Hit:
Saturday, v. the Cardinals, 4th inning — The Cubs are already leading 1-0 when Soto steps in against Kyle Lohse with the bases loaded, cracks a ground-rule double to extend the Chicago lead to 3-0, and reminds us once again how positively swell it is to have a catcher who can rake. WPA .145

#1 Big Hit:
Friday, v. the Cardinals, 9th inning — With a certain segment of the Cub-loving population already planning their "We have to trade Alfonso Soriano!" phone calls to the local sportstalk radio stations, Fonzie does all he can do to make everyone forget what a truly horrific night he was having by sending a laser beam over the leftfield fence and bringing the Cubs even with the Cardinals at 3-3. (We should have just gone into a prevent defense after that and settled for a tie.) WPA .342



Cedeno shagging flyballs in center again, Pie on the hot seat.

sure Reed Johnson has been swell and all, I mean, by all means we must get this guy in the lineup everyday:

vs righties: 279/324/328
vs lefties: 273/415/303

that's a 677 OPS overall (78 OPS+). Meh...

I see that link is 3/44 and in another thread..sorry.

Cedeno is outhitting Pie so far. I'm not saying that will necessarily last, but if Lou is willing to bench Pie based on poor approach and poor results in a limited number of ABs, why shouldn't he be willing to play Cedeno based on good approach and good results in a limited number of ABs?

I'm not sure we have any center fielders who are going to hit well enough to justify a starting role, but Cedeno (if they think he can play center) and Johnson are closer than Pie at this point. I still think (hope) Pie will hit, eventually.

if Cedeno can handle CF and keeps hitting, great. I doubt that.

my point was that Reed Johnson isn't very good and the more he plays, the more he'll be exposed for being not very good at anything but taking pitches.

He's fine on the short-side of a platoon, start playing him vs. righties and it's gonna get ugly quick.

On the other hand, it'll give Hendry a position to look for so he can justify his cellphone bill.  

How long until Kfuk gets a look in Center?

How long until Kfuk gets a look in Center?

As soon as we trade for Brian Roberts and can move DeRosa to RF.


for those using IE7...

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Second, I think I fixed the tab problem on the right sidebar and the "Upcoming Games' and Site Search tabs should be loading and working properly now.

Harrison Ford is a great actor for action pictures, but my God he made need some help against your Chicago Cubs.

Check May 22nd on Cubs schedule on

I guess he didn't want to face Dbacks, for obivous reasons.

Shorty will be in the bullpen to pitch relief.

"Okay, DR JONES!!!"

Way off topic but -- I like the Cubs position right now.

Cubs are currently on pace for 94 wins. They have had a mini-season already -- a very hot streak, their current funk, injuries to key players, soem players hot, some cold, etc. Pretty indicative of how the season could play out.

The Cards have the bigest positive diffential in home vs. away games -- 21 at home (14-7) vs. only 11 on the road (6-5). Hopefully, the road will jump up and bite them a bit.

Brewers have taken a big hit with Gallardo, and Gagne looks shaky.

All in all -- I like where we are.

However -- we better win a few in Cincy -- the big bad D-Backs will be tough this weekend.

It's just so frustrating to see them smack a team around for one game and then be so listless for the other two.

When they were down 4-2 against the Cards, I had that same old feeling, "Welp, this game's lost," even though it was only the 4th.

When they're firing on all cylinders, they kick ass. But when they're lethargic, they're real lethargic.

well we could use a CFer...


I'd trade a PTBNL for 25% of what's remaining on his contract. Especially since we are already on the hook for 40% of it as is.

If you're not wiling to give Pie a shot, then a year of JJ at a reduced salary could be worthwhile, especially if you platoon him with Johnson. They'd give us league average defense and acceptable offense from center field. I'd rather put Fukie in CF and use Murt in RF, but Murt can't seem to find his bat and they aren't willing to put Fukudome in center, so that wish will go unfulfilled. I'd much rather send a PTBNL for Jones than send Marshall, Gallagher and bunches of other guys to the Orioles for Roberts. We're going to need at least one of Gally and Marshall, maybe both. Cedeno is starting to look like our best option at SS, so I wouldn't send him over in a Roberts trade either.

Is that another Hendry Acquisition nobody wants?

Izturis, Barret, Jacque, Marquis

Woo... the racist is back!

Seems like there is a pretty good team a little south of Chicago that wants Izturis, and is doing fine with him.

If you really think Barrett was a bad signing, I am not sure what to tell you.

Jacque was a lot better than many people thought during his 2 years in Chicago.

Marquis is valuable pitcher in his role - a #5.

And sure... ignore: Fukudome, Soriano, Lee, ARam, DeRosa, Lieber, etc.

Even if the Cubs wanted him back, not sure he'd come - too many bad vibes in the past.

platoon Cfer with Reed Johnson. Worth a flyer for the minimal cost. IMHO

Cubnut, since the team has only won one game in each of the last series, did you think of doing Opponent's big hits of the week?

There were plenty more of those.

I haven't considered it. It would be like reliving a series of root canals.

Actually a good idea.

Why in the world would we want to waste a roster spot on Jacque Jones who was hitting .165?? If we are going to take a pure flyer on someone, there are a ton of other free agents out there that would be better choices.

Recent comments

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  • Per Jesse Sanchez at, Cubs reportedly have signed Cuban OF Eddy Julio Martinez for $3M bonus. 

  • BLOCK: Of course any advantage is an advantage. An MLB, NBA, or NHL team getting the extra game at home in a seven game series is an advantage, I just don't think it is enough of an advantage for winning a division and/or having the best record in a conference or league over the course of an 82-game season (NBA and NHL) or 162 game series (MLB).

  • TEX takes the opening game from TOR (@TOR) 5-3.

    TOR lost bautista + donaldson in-game due to injuries...TEX lost beltre...dunno if any will be lingering issues leading to missed games.

  • Ride the Kid Magic! Schwarber hadn't homered in a long time before last night.

  • Greg Maddux was 8-18 in his rookie season. Kyle has the 8 wins down pat.

    Think Baby Maddux.

    Prof. Harold Hill's THINK system at work.

    Kyle is on the far left.

  • I support this. Hendricks has not only looked better lately but seems to start struggling after a few innings which is better than the 1st in the playoffs.

  • Just tweeted via Jesse Rogers: Hendricks starting Game 2. Wow. Just wow.

  • That was good!

  • Well said. On one hand, I thought the HBP was a bad baseball play -- down 4 runs, put a runner on for a red-hot Fowler. On the other hand, they needed to do something -- I hadn't thought about the warning/pitching inside point. Is Hurdle that smart? He does not strike me that way. By the way -- not clear which fan base you are referring to in your "first" 3rd point.

  • My unsolicited opinions on topics covered in this thread:
    1. I hate the fact that after 162 games, a team could be out after 1 game. However, I think the system is pretty close to perfect right now. 2 of 3 isn't feasible unless they shorten the regular season, and it ices the division winners for way too long. This creates excitement, and rewards the division winners.

  • Personally, I think the game could have had a very different look had the Pirates held onto the ball and tagged Fowler out on the steal in the first. Cole was clearly frazzled, but if they took that runner off the base, it could have relaxed him a lot.

  • Football games are played once a week. There are 16 games a year. I'm not even remotely following at all how you can compare the two leagues and playoff systems. It is physically impossible to play a home and away series. The idea of not having any road games in baseball playoffs is certainly a head scratcher.

    How is not having the first and last game at home a benefit for the division winners and team with the best record? How is it not an incentive to win the division when a WC team has to blow their top pitcher?

    Call me lost.

  • Two 97+ win teams in a do-or-die, great bullpens, overpowering starters, plenty of pop--hard to believe that game wouldn't be tense. A 4-0 lead is not a blowout, especially in that situation and with the Cubs' young bullpen. Not only would a defensive play here or there make a difference, but you get the win there also on the home plate umps strike zone (generous strike calls for Arrieta, including a couple Ks), and on Schwarber sitting on the right pitch at the right time.

  • Unbeleivable Dodgers:
    I just noticed the Dodger's payroll today. It is just absurd. $300,000,000+!!
    Here is where just some of their money is for 2015:

    Some "Highlights"
    Carl Crawford $20MM
    Brandon McCarthy $17MM
    Bronson Arroyo $3.5MM
    Darwin B $2.2MM
    Dan Haren $10MM
    Matt Kemp $18MM
    Brian Wilson $10MM
    Ryan Webb $2.2MM
    Dee Gordon $2.5MM

  • So I think tomorrow will be the most important test of how far we can go. We can win it all with two pitchers since Arietta has shown he can carry over his success to the post season. If Lester can be dominant also then I think we can go far no matter how Hendricks or Hammel do.


    And in terms of pitching just went through to see how we could maximize Lester and Arietta and came up with this (Lester would be going on 4 days rest three times and Arietta twice):

  • i still can't believe that crawford contract (7/142). all that loot and years for a LF'r who's entire hitting game revolves around his legs and line-drive power. those triples that raised his value are deceptive as hell to his true power, but it helped him get paid.

    there's also pause about a guy who's ob% is almost totally driven by hits rather than walks. BOS got lucky unloading that crap deal.