Despite Monday's Results, the Cubs and Dodgers Like 'em Loaded

Monday's tense victory over the Dodgers might have been much less so if the Cubs had capitalized on a bases loaded/one out situation in the last of the sixth inning. Instead Chad Billingsley turned Kosuke Fukudome's hard groundball back to the mound into a snappy, 1-2-3, inning-ending double play.

In general, the Cubs offense, which remains the highest-scoring in the NL at 5.7 R/G, has held up its end of the workload in 2008. It's certainly been true in the precise situation that Fukudome found himself.

According to numbers presented at Bill James Online (subscription required),

the Cubs have faced a bases loaded/one out scenario 28 times this season and subsequently produced 55 runs. That's about 22% above the average for all of MLB this year.

Relatvely speaking, the Cubs are even more lethal with the bases jammed and two out. From 33 such opportunities, the Cubs have generated 40 runs--about 54% above the MLB average.

Of course, when it came to missing couldn't-miss scoring opportunities Monday afternoon, the Dodgers took the day: in both the sixth and eighth innings, they filled the bases with one out, yet came away empty both times. This, too, is uncharacteristic. So far this season, the Dodgers have out-produced the rest of baseball by about 12% when the bags are loaded with one out. And when there are two out? The Dodgers have tallied 53 runs in 26 chances. That's 158% above the MLB average.

I'm glad I didn't know any of this while driving around and listening to Pat Hughes Monday afternoon. The game was nerve-racking enough.

Comments

Forgive me if it's 3/44, but ex-Cub Jeremi Gonzalez died at age 33. Struck by lightning. (Twice, I guess, if you count the lightning in a bottle that struck him in his one good cub season).

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-obit-geremigonzalez&prov=ap&type=lgns

I believe he had changed his spelling to Geremi. FWIW

Rest in peace.

jorge bell approves.

Huh. I thought the story had it wrong.

from the Sun-Times:

http://www.suntimes.com/sports/baseball/cubs/97143...

Outfielder/pinch hitter Daryle Ward hoped to be cleared to take batting practice today for the first time since having an epidural May 19 to relieve pain caused by a bulging disc. He has done limited conditioning exercises since then and said his goal is to return from the disabled list as close as possible to his eligible return date of Thursday. Manager Lou Piniella, though, said, ''I think it'll be a while.''

Helplessly Hoping...in Iowa (Pie, Murt, EPat, Hill, Marshall)
que CSN&Y...

from the Trib:
http://chicagosports.chicagotribune.com/sports/bas...

"They're changing something with my swing and my stance [getting his leg kick down sooner without dropping his hands too quickly] and I'm going to be better. The GM and Lou told me when I feel good and comfortable I'll be back. But right now I don't think I'll be back soon."

...felix pie

is this kid well adjusted to his situation or what?

about time the trib brought some literature that isn't "dumbed down" too...nice to see an article written like this every once in a while.]

btw, be sure to check out the detailed murton comments.

Wow. A good article from the Trib? It makes me wish Melissa Isaacson would take over Paul Sullivan's job.

Seconded. Not only was that article well-written, but she actually managed to get meaningful, interesting quotes out of those guys. Maybe it helps that they're away from the big city media, but I can't remember ever reading an article with that many quotes that didn't sound completely manufactured.

Well done, Melissa Isaacson. Also, I wish Carol Slezak would take some notes on how to be a female sports journalist without turning every article into an issue of gender.

I wish Carol Slezak would take some notes on how to be a female sports journalist

You say this as if being a female sports journalist is any different than being a male journalist...

It is.

It is far different when you are playing to a predominantly male audience as it is when your readership is closer to 50/50.

It's also different because she has no Twig and Berries

A conversation about good female sports journalists and no mention of Carrie Muskat....

....being replaced?

Probably because it *is* different.

One facet of Doug's point is that a well-written article shouldn't have you thinking about the gender of the author. I've seen cases where both men and women gender-type their articles. The cases where women do it are more annoying to me since I'm a guy; I would imagine the reverse might be true for female readers.

I also find that a lot of female journalists have problems finding their niche, fitting into a male-dominated field. Too many of them write fluff pieces (perhaps that's what they're assigned?). Some try to be chatty (especially radio media) and try to relate to the predominately male audience as a friendly voice. To me, the more successful women in the field are those who simply do solid reporting. And Erin Andrews, who might do solid reporting, but somehow I never quite hear what she's saying. 8)

Reading this article, I had no idea whether this was a male or female journalist. I just knew it was well-written, which is both rare and refreshing. More, please.

I'm not saying being a female sports journalist is fundamentally different than being a male sports journalist, but hacky journalists like Slezak tend to bring their own agendas/biases into reporting (I could say the same about people like Stephen A. Smith/race or Jay Mariotti/decent haircuts, etc).

Also, sports journalism is predominantly male. It might not be different, but it is much harder to be a female sports journalist, and the best way to earn respect is to write interesting articles with real information, rather than stir the pot with bullshit about Ozzie's blow-up dolls.

I could have said "I wish Carol Slezak would take some notes on how to be a GOOD sports journalist," but in her case gender is an issue and that's why I mentioned it.

Maybe it's the dearth of good female sports journalists (the only decent one I can think of is Jemele Hill), but to be honest, after I read the article I checked the byline and was a bit surprised that it was written by a woman. I suppose that might make me somewhat sexist, but at least I can recognize that initial reaction as unfair.

but hacky journalists like Slezak tend to bring their own agendas/biases into reporting

Sure... but as you admit, this has nothing to do with gender and everything to do with being a hack.

but in her case gender is an issue and that's why I mentioned it.

I still have no idea how Slezak's gender is the issue. She doesn't wrote good content. That would remain true regardless of her gender.

And I'm saying that it is entirely possible for her to have a hard time relating stories to men. Men communicate very differently to each other than we do with women. It may be hard for her to reach her audience.

Can we agree on that she sucks?

Yea - no problem saying that. :)

OK, so it's not that her gender is an issue per se, but the fact that she constantly brings gender into the equation when it's either not warranted or simply used to attempt to make a salacious story.

Male, female whatever. A hack is a hack.

...or in CSlezak's case of 0/0

In other news, tonight's game is on ESPN. Dave O'Brien & Sut. Maybe we'll have an Erin Andrews sighting...

For those not in town --

It is a horrible night for baseball. Current temp is about 45, with a wind from the north about 20 mph gusting to 30mph.

I know it's a horrible night for baseball because my son has a Little League game at the lake front in about an hour. Hopefully, some father will remember to bring a flask. This is nuts.

This spring sucks donkey balls. Yesterday it was 80 and today 45? Unreal.

news flash:

the weather in chicago sucks!

Worst January-May stretch in a long, long time. Consistently miserable, even by Chicago standards. But, no tornados or earthquakes -- could be much worse.

And yet, despite the weather, both Chicago teams are in first place. Curious.

You think Hitler is enjoying a nice ice skate right now?

Probably in Millennium Park. I can't imagine Hell being much worse than Chicago this winter/spring.

Per Gordon Wittenmyer:

Soriano LF
Fontenot 2b
Lee 1b
Ramirez 3b
Fukudome RF
Edmonds CF
Soto C
Cedeno SS
Gallagher P

Why wouldn't we do Soto 6th and Edmonds 7th to break up the lefties? Also, I was really hoping they'd give Soriano's bad legs the day off with a really cold day today (for you non-Chicago residents, it's supposed to be in the upper 40's tonight).

Recent comments

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  • early tim tebow stuff rolling in...

    ran a 6.7 60yd (above average)...shagging flies in RF and showed off a rather impressive arm a few times, but average-at best on most of his throws...hit a few over the fence (both fields), fouled or weak contact a few...he's got a touch of power

    it'll be interesting to see who bites on this project, if anyone. he probably projected himself out of RF and into LF/1st because of his arm, but unless he can make that power work on a steady basis it'll be hard for him to play himself up anyone's system.

    crunch 17 min 39 sec ago view
  • LHP Clayton Richard (released by the Cubs earlier this month) is pitching very well as a starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres and could be a good candidate to get traded to a contender looking for a veteran SP before tomorrow night's post-season roster eligibility deadline.

    Because they released him, the Cubs are paying most of Richard's 2016 salary (the Cubs are on the hooks for $2M, minus the pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary that is paid by the Padres).

    Arizona Phil 2 hours 4 min ago view
  • it is honestly awesome (for real) that anyone would even have a strong opinion on AZL playoffs. i guess if you invest enough time watching it, you want to see a fair/just playoff structure.

    plus, the kids deserve it.

    crunch 2 hours 5 min ago view
  • The AZL team with the best record over the course of the full 2016 AZL season and the only AZL team to play .600 ball (the AZL Dodgers) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, and the AZL East Division team with the best record over the course of the full season (the AZL Athletics) did not qualify for the AZL playoffs, either. 

    That's because of the ridiculous "split season" schedule most of the minor leagues now play, a stupid system that rewards mediocrity at the expense of the worthy. 

    Arizona Phil 2 hours 12 min ago view
  • Despite good movement on his fastball, I think location kept him from getting Ks. Left some pitches up and away that got hammered up and away. Then of course Travis Wood gave up the 2-run double in the 7th, but both runs counted against Arrieta.

    Charlie 2 hours 48 min ago view
  • "i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date."

    This level of discourse is #charming.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 2 hours 49 min ago view
  • I would be having this discussion with anyone who (a) blathered on ad nauseum about the topic. (See, "Olt, Mike, not given an opportunity") or (b) responded directly to what I posted (which you did).

    Have a nice day.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 2 hours 51 min ago view
  • what would you do without me? aside from having your posting content here cut by 75%+?

    i'm gonna make you my main squeeze one day, bro. save the date.

    crunch 2 hours 55 min ago view
  • In this instance, yes, I care more about the result of this big thing that isn't really a big thing.

    #crunchsplaining

    #willlistentojeffsullivanmorethanyou

    #blessyourheart

    #hitler

    #tcrmartyr

    #billyhamiltonwar

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 2 hours 55 min ago view
  • Two things:

    Fangraphs WAR #s include baserunning and Hamilton is elite at that. He leads in SBs with the 54 and and has an 87% rate which is really good. I'm sure once he gets on base he's able to take the extra base quite often too. Both those things will up his overall WAR value.

    The differences between BR and FG WAR is pretty well documented online and thus If there are discrepancies it's fairly easy to figure out why. It's fairly well accepted that BR WAR is fine as a snapshot but FG is better at predicting future value.

    johann 2 hours 59 min ago view
  • i have no doubt at all you quit reading at that point. you're very enamored with outcomes without caring what it takes to get there.

    the fact it's exploitable, especially without someone to cover the running game for him, as well it's evolution in how people are testing possible exploits is interesting to some people...to me...i'm some people...hurrah.

    some people want to check the boxscore to see who won, some want to know how it went down.

    crunch 3 hours 12 min ago view
  • I read it as him saying it's not really that much of a concern and that the one time it really cost Lester, vs. K.C., was an anomaly.

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 3 hours 17 min ago view
  • if jeff says it, it's cool...when i say it, it's straight from the mouth of hitler.

    aside from the lack of jeff touching on the insane leads runners take and lester's inability to throw if he's fielding, this is a lot of what i've said about the issue.

    exploitable, needs his own personal catcher to control his shortcomings, relies on his ability to get outs along with his personal catcher keeping runners in check before things become further exploited...

    crunch 3 hours 19 min ago view
  • That would be Rice Krispy Treat

    The E-Man 4 hours 38 min ago view
  • "Crunch's cousin"

    Butterfinger or Baby Ruth?

    VirginiaPhil 4 hours 52 min ago view
  • I saw the first three innings and the last three, so I didn't see Arrieta get hit. His stuff looked nasty at first...what happened? Any insight from anyone who watched?

    #baseballtalk

    Tito 5 hours 4 min ago view