Cubs @ Colorado: Darvish vs. Márquez (Game 65)
CHC (37-27): RHP Yu Darvish (2-3, 4.88 ERA)
COL (33-31): RHP German Márquez (6-3, 4.07 ERA)
First pitch 7:40pmCDT
Coming off the home sweep of the Cardinals, the Cubs fly west for a three-game set at altitude. Yu Darvish is set to be the first potential victim of Coors. Yu's had a solid stretch marred only by that Cincinnati game that came apart in the 8th inning. His last start came against the Rockies at home. He surrendered three runs, two earned, on three walks and three hits in 5.1 innings pitched. The Rockies did all that damage in the 6th before Kintzler managed to strand two runners belonging to Yu. Darvish has pitched one game in Colorado in his career and he allowed five runs on five hits and four walks. The Rockies have better stats at home, but they are right around league average with the park factored in (101 wRC+). That's still a marked improvement, as they are 29th in the majors on the road by the same measure (73 wRC+).
The Cubs got to Márquez last time out for eight(!) earned runs in 5.1 innings pitched. David Bote mashed a 3-run homerun off of German in fifth and a 3-run double off of Rusin in the sixth (all three baserunners were inherited). If Bote had taken an 0-for instead of having himself a day, Márquez's ERA still might be hovering around 3. Bully for Bote! The Cubs looked quite hitter-ish this weekend they must be champing at the bit to take their swings in Coors. Márquez has far preferred the road, allowing far more contact (.314 average vs. .187) and power (.451 slugging vs. .287) at home. The Cubs' offense has been 4th best in the majors on the road with a 114 wRC+ (or third best if you prefer OPS, .817).
I set the over-under for game time at four hours and five minutes.
Dolorous Jon Lester 2 hours 1 min ago (view)
No argument there. Plays an excellent violin though.
crunch 13 hours 20 min ago (view)
tim815 13 hours 49 min ago (view)
He's better than Taylor Davis.
Dolorous Jon Lester 14 hours 31 min ago (view)
He's at a career juncture where I think he is a toss up of he is who he is or there's a little more left for him to achieve. Playing this as his age 27 season he is either in or damn close to his peak. I personally think he doesn't need the everyday playing time, just based on the fact that he's not a top prospect, is older, and doesn't project to be a starter at any spot for a first division team.
Charlie 15 hours 29 min ago (view)
This is the take if you see him as a legit prospect. Which, maybe? I know little about him, and his numbers in limited AAA exposure last season were really nice. Maybe a lively ball helps his career.
bradsbeard 15 hours 47 min ago (view)
Sounds like a long shot to get a trade done then. Thanks for clarifying!
Arizona Phil 16 hours 7 min ago (view)
BRADSBEARD: Before making a trade with the Rule 5 Draft pick's former club, the drafting club must first place the player on Outright Assignment Waivers and any of the other MLB clubs can claim the player for the $50,000 waiver price and assume the Rule 5 Draft obligations (actually it's Rule 6 Selected Player obligations, but you know what I mean).
bradsbeard 17 hours 21 min ago (view)
AZ Phil, the "work out a trade" part of Rule 5 is still a mystery to me. Do the Cubs have to put Megill through waivers and (if he clears) offer him back to SD before they can trade for him?
Arizona Phil 17 hours 22 min ago (view)
For those of you who didn't see the game, here are the pitch-velo readings from Wednsdays Cubs - Royals game:
NOTES: An amazing pitcher... he's probably in mid-season form right now... just needs to gradually increase innings...
NOTES: A legit candidate to be the 5th starter
Craig A. 18 hours 21 min ago (view)
Craig A. 18 hours 21 min ago (view)
He'll be 27 in May and he's played in 36 games at AAA. Seems like he should be playing regularly.
Dolorous Jon Lester 19 hours 5 min ago (view)
I really like this idea. They've talked of a 3rd catcher as 26th meaning Phegley, who seems a waste of roster space, good spring notwithstanding. Higgins is far more interesting
tim815 22 hours 12 min ago (view)
Is Brailyn Marquez getting any time in big league camp? Having him around the veterans would seem a solid use of resources.
Thanks, as always.
Charlie 22 hours 32 min ago (view)
Hot take: The Cubs should be considering PJ Higgins as the potential 26th man. 3rd catcher / infield sub who can put the bat on the ball.
I think I'm just stealing an AZ Phil projection from a while ago, actually. But it makes sense!
Charlie 23 hours 34 min ago (view)
Zagunis's stock has dropped a lot since his first exposure to MLB pitching. His 2019 at AAA is particularly alarming given the power spike in that league.
Hagsag 1 day 5 hours ago (view)
I see that Dillon Maples hasn't pitched yet. Is he injured or spending time in the lab?