Cubs @ Colorado: Darvish vs. Márquez (Game 65)

CHC (37-27): RHP Yu Darvish (2-3, 4.88 ERA)
COL (33-31): RHP German Márquez (6-3, 4.07 ERA)
First pitch 7:40pmCDT

Coming off the home sweep of the Cardinals, the Cubs fly west for a three-game set at altitude. Yu Darvish is set to be the first potential victim of Coors. Yu's had a solid stretch marred only by that Cincinnati game that came apart in the 8th inning. His last start came against the Rockies at home. He surrendered three runs, two earned, on three walks and three hits in 5.1 innings pitched. The Rockies did all that damage in the 6th before Kintzler managed to strand two runners belonging to Yu. Darvish has pitched one game in Colorado in his career and he allowed five runs on five hits and four walks. The Rockies have better stats at home, but they are right around league average with the park factored in (101 wRC+). That's still a marked improvement, as they are 29th in the majors on the road by the same measure (73 wRC+).

The Cubs got to Márquez last time out for eight(!) earned runs in 5.1 innings pitched. David Bote mashed a 3-run homerun off of German in fifth and a 3-run double off of Rusin in the sixth (all three baserunners were inherited). If Bote had taken an 0-for instead of having himself a day, Márquez's ERA still might be hovering around 3. Bully for Bote! The Cubs looked quite hitter-ish this weekend they must be champing at the bit to take their swings in Coors. Márquez has far preferred the road, allowing far more contact (.314 average vs. .187) and power (.451 slugging vs. .287) at home. The Cubs' offense has been 4th best in the majors on the road with a 114 wRC+ (or third best if you prefer OPS, .817).

I set the over-under for game time at four hours and five minutes.

Comments

cargo gets a great hand from the fans back in COL.

2nd longest tenure (games played) for a COL player.

bote and schwarber go back to back...schwarb looked surprised it left the park.  pause, start hauling ass to 1st, realize it's out...jog home.

woo colorado.

extremely beautiful sunset providing a hell of a backdrop for the game.  it rivals some amazing ones i've seen in arizona.

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  • crunch 23 hours 58 min ago (view)

    j.girardi did a 2nd interview with PHI on Monday and he's supposedly the favorite for the job.

     

  • bradsbeard 1 day 4 hours ago (view)

    The draft over the ASB and the trade deadline pushed back until August 15th or so would make sense. Otherwise, I don't know how scouting departments are going to handle the draft lead up and the trade deadline running almost simultaneously.  

     

  • Arizona Phil 1 day 5 hours ago (view)

    One other thing about MLB player development that is very different from NFL, NBA, and NHL player development is that most MLB clubs have upwards of 300 minor league players under contract (not including players on their MLB 40-man roster, the Cubs presently have 301 minor leaguers under contract on nine minor league affiliates).

     

  • Arizona Phil 1 day 5 hours ago (view)

    JUST SAYIN: MLB is the only one of the four major North American professional sports that holds its draft and signs its draft picks during the season.

     

  • crunch 1 day 13 hours ago (view)

    umpire eric cooper has died...complications from knee surgery (blood clot)...52 years old

     

  • crunch 2 days 1 hour ago (view)

    "MLB Network's Jon Heyman reports former player David Ross and Astros bench coach Joe Espada "appear to be the frontrunners" for the Cubs' managerial opening."

    espada's had 2 interviews.  for a guy who's actively at his "other job," having a 2nd interview seems like both sides want to make this work.  SF and PIT are also supposedly interested in espada.

     

  • JustSayin' 2 days 2 hours ago (view)

     That's a fair description of the benefits of the plan but If I have to choose between "better way" and "owners' greed," I pick the latter.  MLB wants better MiLB facilities, on average, without paying a cent.  They want to deal with the social and legal pressure they are getting for not even paying minor league players minimum wage per real hour worked by having less players.  In addition, the draft is to be moved to late August, so every draftee would lose compensation for the stub year in which they are drafted.  For this reason, I'm not sure your point about col

     

  • Hagsag 2 days 2 hours ago (view)

    Thanks Mr. Phil.

     

  • Arizona Phil 2 days 4 hours ago (view)

    HAGSAG: Besides reducing the costs that are associated with operating a minor league club, reducing the number of minor league affiliates would allow MLB organizations to increase the salaries of their remainng minor league players (who would be the organization's most-legit prospects) without having to increase the organization's aggregate minor league payroll. 

     

  • crunch 2 days 4 hours ago (view)

    The discussions on this matter have been quite varried.  There seems to be a lot of pressure connected to this on minor league team owners who haven't upgraded their facilities/park in a while or who lag in quality compared to their competitors.

    It seems like this would not only cause some teams to fold, but some radical redistribution of existing teams/cities into new minor league levels rather than just pruning some teams over others.

     

  • Hagsag 2 days 16 hours ago (view)

    AZ Phil, what are your thoughts on the discussion to eliminate 42 low minor league teams in 2021? What would this do to the Dominican League? Thanks.

     

  • crunch 2 days 22 hours ago (view)

    yanks/astros game 6 was a f'n classic.  wow.

    altuve continues to build his astros legend.

     

  • bradsbeard 3 days 13 hours ago (view)

    Thanks for this. I agree they’ll probably take their chances in the Rule 5 if he will resign, though I really wouldn’t mind adding him back to the 40 man. I feel like he has a good chance to be effective out of the bullpen. 

     

  • bradsbeard 3 days 13 hours ago (view)

    I hope Sagara doesn’t end up leaving because of the shakeup. The Athletic did report that his position might be eliminated but that he should be offered another role in the organization somewhere. All I know is Sagara’s name came up frequently in connection with the pitch lab, and he was credited for improvements with Ryan, Wick, and Wieck. Maybe he’ll end up focusing more specifically in that role helping guys tweak things in the lab. 

     

  • JustSayin' 4 days 59 min ago (view)

    Does anyone have insight into the new management hires and musical chairs the Cubs announced yesterday?  Craig Breslow might be the only guy out there with extensive MLB experience AND the grey matter to challenge any quant not making sense. His role intrigues me but are they going to give him real responsibility to clear out the deadwood (including the existing minor league coordinator who was never good enough to be the pitchers he's coaching?)  Or, is this a superficial change aimed at keeping ownership off Theo's back? 

     

  • Arizona Phil 4 days 2 hours ago (view)

    BRADSBEARD: I think the Cubs want to retain Oscar de la Cruz post-2019, just not on the MLB 40-man roster.