The Trade Winds Blow

Undoubtedbly the Cubs wil be selling as the July trade deadline approaches with Matt Garza, Scott Feldman, Kevin Gregg & Nate Schierholtz being the most likely chips on the table. There certainly may be others, but those players make the most sense. Let's take a look at some potential trade partners:


When it comes to starting pitching, a contender is one injury away from being in the market, so I'm sure the list will expand, but here are the most obvious candidates (NH stands for not happening):

1. Baltimore (Starters' ERA: 4.88)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects To Target: Kevin Gausman or Dylan Bundy

More Likely to Get: Jake Arrieta, Mike Wright or Brandon Kline

2. San Francisco Giants (Starters' ERA: 4.50)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Kyle Crick, Chris Stratton or Clayton Blackburn

More Likely to Get: Martin Agosta or Mike Kickham

3. Colorado Rockies (Starters' ERA: 4.41)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Nolan Arenado (NH) or David Dahl

More Likely to Get: Eddie Butler, Tyler Matzek or Tyler Anderson

4. Arizona Diamdonbacks (Starters' ERA: 4.13)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Tyler Skaggs(NH) or Archie Bradley (NH)

More Likely to Get: Adam Eaton, Matt Davidson or Andrew Chafin

5. Oakland Athletics (Starter's ERA 4.11)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Addison Russell or Michael Choice

More Likely to Get: Sonny Gray, Dan Straily or Nolan Sanburn

6. Texas Rangers (Starters' ERA 3.98)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Mike Olt

More Likely to Get: Mike Olt, Cody Buckel, Martin Perez

7. San Diego Padres (Starters' ERA: 4.56)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Jedd Gyorko(NH) or Rymer Liriano

More Likely to Get: Casey Kelly or Robbie Erlin

8. Anaheim Angels (Starters' ERA: 4.49)

Pre-Season Top 20 Prospect List

Prospects to Target: Kaleb Cowart

More Likely to Get: Nick Maronde or R.J. Alvarez

The Angels might seem like an odd choice on this list, but they didn't spend all that money to pack it in.  That being said, they'll need a bit of a run heading into the deadline before they start being buyers. The Orioles seem to make the most sense on the list and could easily slot Garza and Feldman in their rotation, Gregg in their bullpen and maybe, just maybe that would be enough to land one of Gausman or Bundy and 3-4 other B/C prospects. Feldman makes a ton of sense for the Rockies if they go shopping (sinkerballers and all in Coors), but who knows how willing they are to move prospects and of what quality. The A's have always been willing to make deals when they feel they're in it, hence their inclusion. I know Adam Eaton might seem like an odd inclusion from the Diamondbacks, but with the emergence of Parra and with Pollock around and Eaton's  injuries, they can probably spare a young outfielder.

Relievers/Closers

1. Detroit Tigers

2. Boston Red Sox

3. Arizona Diamondbacks

4. St. Louis Cardinals

5. Cincinnati Reds

6. Baltimore Orioles

7. Anaheim Angels

The Cards, Reds, Angels and Orioles could have a use for Gregg as a set-up man and I'm sure many other teams could emerge in that role. The other 3 could probably use Gregg as a closer, but how much any team is going to give up in a deal for a guy picked off waivers is beyond my prediction capabilities.

Outfielders

1. Kansas City Royals (OPS by RF'ers: .707)

2. Pittsburgh Pirates (OPS by RF'ers: .664)

3. Oakland A's (OPS by RF'ers: .663)

4. New York Yankees (OPS by RF'ers: .679/ LF: .624)

5. Cincinnati Reds (OPS by LF'ers: .669)

I imagine Dejesus might be shopped around as well once he comes back, but Schierholtz seems to be the best best. Royals are in desparate need of power and a Francouer/Schierholtz platoon would be lethal, but who knows if that's on their radar. The Reds are expecting Ludwick back at LF at some point and seem to be doing well enough without him, so I don't expect a move, but I imagine it's a possibility. The A's were without Reddick that got them to that number and while he's struggled since returning, I'm not sure if they're looking for a minor upgrade on offense, especially considering Reddick's far superior defense.

Comments

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/prospects/watch/y2013/...

international signing period begins on July 2nd, Cubs will be in on some of these names

and this

The Rangers should be very interested in an OF. Their LF production has been horrible. Nelson Cruz could be looking at a PED suspension. And DH Fatso Berkman has been a major disappointment for the past month and a half. I don't think they'd be in on Soriano. But they should be very interested in Schierholtz. And moderately interested in DeJesus or even Sweeney.

Not that you're wrong, but they're turning Profar into a LF'er - at least for this season.

I was aware of that. Bright bright future ahead of him. But the bat doesn't seem ready yet.

Gammons rumoring a Garza to Padres deal involving Reymond Fuentes and 2 others.

https://twitter.com/pgammo/status/34927290844...

Also Nolasco to Giants.

Fuentes was part of the Gonzalez deal (along with Rizzo and C. Kelly). 22 years old in AA, putting up .891 OPS this year (.705 for his career though)...1st round (28th overall) in 2009.

Getting the band back together.

Fuentes scouting report

http://www.scoutingbook.com/players/p2605

fast dude, cousin of Carlos Beltran, great defense...not much power, needs to improve plate discipline.

If they could get Kelly(out for year with TJ surgery) and Fuentes, I'd be pretty stoked...send Padres most of cash to cover Garza's deal.

The deal would need to include this guy too. http://www.scoutingbook.com/players/p3440

just for the name...

...hope he has a lot of Turk Wendell's quirks.

Marwin Gonzalez optioned to Triple A by the Astros btw.

NY Daily News and all, but apparently Nationals are looking for starting pitching as well...add them to the list.

http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/baseballinsi...

Top 20 list

http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/12/27/380...

L. Giolito, AJ Cole, M. Skoles...

Jim Callis‏@jimcallisBA2h #Cubs sign 8th-rder Sam Wilson for $130k. Lamar (Colo.) CC LHP, also OF, 6-1/205, 88-91 to 93, SL has promise too. 30K under slot.

That leaves Garner as the only top 10 pick without his bonus being reported and then whatever Bryant gets...plus whatever over $100K 12th round pick Clifton is allegedly getting.

I believe the 24th round pick, Alamo, is also receiving a decent bonus.

at the moment, BA has them at $212,400 over their slot money, but they can go up to $527,825 before they lose a draft pick, so still some wiggle room.

if Bryant just gets slot money, he'll get more than Appel ($6.7M vs $6.35M), although I would be very surprised if that happens. I think he takes just a little less than Appel.

more on draft values

Hannemann's $1M would put him in the mid-2nd round between #55 and $56, Skulina's $800K would put him in the the competitive balance 2nd round between picks #69 and #70. The $170K that 9th round pick Burks got is mid-7th round money (between #214 and #215).

TOR's 11 game win streak ends...at the end of tonight's loss they've gone from last place to...umm...last place.

looks like the cubs might have a line on the garza + feldman replacements "Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro indicated Monday that Carlos Zambrano is unlikely to be promoted before July 1, when he can exercise the opt-out clause in his contract." /cringe /lulz possible AAA replacements include chris "89mph fastball lefty" rusin and...ummm...no one else. i'm a bit surprised they haven't moved k.hendricks up to AAA (the dude acquired from TEX as part of the dumpster trade) to challenge him more...but it's not like he doesn't belong in AA or he's mastering it. they might not want to rush his development. either way, if both go, vanillawafers will most likely move back into the rotation and when we get s.baker back in the last week of september that should help.

evidently the school closings and budget cuts in illinois along with the recent NSA spying has driven the population of chicago into the streets to protest http://cdn.tribtv.com/wgntv/live/breakingnews... j/k...it's the douchebag parade because of hockey. clark is on lockdown.

The mayor is sending the bill for extra police protection to the Cubs.

Paul Bonyenne ‏@PaulBonyenne Thousands flock to Wrigleyville's Clark Street to celebrate Cubs taking 2 of 3 from Astros. --- Beachwood Reporter ‏@BeachwoodReport Occupy Wrigleyville issuing its demands: More beer, more Dave Matthews Band, more khaki, more bros, more entitlement . . . or else.

phil rogers on NBC shoving bros in the street getting in his live shot...lulz.

Congrats Hawks!! Young homegrown talent wins second cup, please rub off onto the Cubs.

That was FUCKING awesome!

Couldn't have happened to a better city either...eff Boston.

Bears camp starts July 25th...one month of Cubs/White Sox for the city to be bored with.

Who are the White Sox?

From Jon Heyman: Third baseman Ian Stewart and the Cubs are on the verge of working out an arrangement for Stewart to leave the organization, people familiar with the situation said. This comes two weeks after he expressed frustration with his situation via a couple of revealing tweets. The resolution allowing him to move to another organization is expected to come within a couple of days... http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/jon-heyman/... Any bets on Hayman's source being Stewart and his agent Larry Reynolds - thinking they can just walk away and get paid.

Nice list. I won't remember any of it - but nice list anyway. Whatever prospects the Cubs acquire, I only have one suggestion once they do. Bring em up!!!

Marmol DFA'd, Stewart released.

huzzah!!!

Bogusevic called up.

Holy shit. Didn't see that coming

Any chance Marmol accepts the assignment, and how much of Stewart's salary do they still need to pay?

Marmol gets paid regardless, he'll take his money and will most likely eventually sign with a team at the league minimum which will be subtracted from what the Cubs owe. I don't see why he'd entertain any ideas of pitching in Iowa...if he's willing to go to the minors, he'll find a contender.

Sounds like Stewart's taking a settlement to get his release, so probably just some of what he was still owed.

And they already saved a bit of cash with the 10-game suspension. These types of moves have to be good signals to the minor league system at least.

Didn't realize Bogusevic was a former first rounder. As a pitcher. Kind of like, the Bizarro world's Brooks Kieschnick.

BOB: Carlos Marmol was Designated for Assignment so he hasn't been assigned yet. He actually has minor league options remaining, but because ha has accrued more than five years of MLB Service Time he would have to give his permission in advance before he could be optioned to the minors. However, because he was replaced on the 40-man roster by another player (Brian Bogusevic), the Optional Assignment option is off the table.

A player who is Designated for Assignment during Spring Training or the MLB regular season can be returned to the 40-man roster and be optioned to the minors AS LONG AS the player was not replaced on the 40-man roster by another player after being DFA'd. NOTE: A player being ootioned to the mninors after being Designated for Assignment will usually only happen if Optional Assignment Waivers are required before the player can be optioned to the minors and the player's slot on the 40 is needed for another player, because it takes two days to get a player through waivers). 

He could be outrighted to the minors, but again (because he has more than five years of MLB Service Time) he would have t9o give his permission in advance before thart can happen, and there is no reason for him to that. 

So the only two choices will be trade or release, and since the other 29 clubs know that he MUST be released if he isn't traded within ten days, there is no reason to give up a player to get him. And if he is signed after being released, the Cubs are on the hook for what remains of Marmol's 2013 salary (about $5M) minus the pro-rated MLB minimum salary (about $250K this time of year) that his new club must pay IF he signs a major league conttract.

But if Marmol endx up signing a minor lerague contract, his new club could pay him as little as $10,000 or so, with the Cubs on the hook for the balance, at least unltil Marmol is added ro an MLB 40-man roster and has to be paid at least the MLB minimum salary (with the Cubs on the hook for the balaqnce).

In the case of Ian Stewart, he still is owed about $1M  in 2013 salary, and the Cubs must pay that, unless he signs with anothger club, and then (like Marmol) the new club only has to pay him the minor league minimum (about $10,000) until he is added to an MLB 40-man roster, when the new club would have to pay Stewart the pro-rated MLB minumum salary (with the Cubs on thed hook for the balance), presuming he ever gets added tro an MLB 40-man roster prior to the conclusion of the 2013 season. 

Where is the news that Stewart was released? Don't see it anywhere?

Thanks. One thing I like about this new regime, they aren't afraid of cutting losses.

Nomar!!!

Shawn Camp is a fuckin' survivor, man.

cockroaches, twinkies, Jamie Moyer, Neifi Perez and Shawn Camp....

Twinkies resent being on that list. They are delicious.

delicious and remarkably durable...

Twinkies and cockroaches. Connecting the dots...See Wall•E http://www.balanceintheforce.com/wp-content/u...

I saw something in the nets the other day about someone who left a burger and fries out at room temp for three years. McDonalds, Wendy's, and BK. Not a speck of mold after 3 years. That shit nasty.

The Cubs left Neifi Perez in the starting line up for a couple of years and that was nasty too.

Cubs roster: All OF, all the time...Count em (7, 6 active) Bogusevich, Soriano, DeJesus(DL), Schierholtz, Hairston, Borbon, Sweeney Reminds me of the somber days of 2005 where we had 6-8 Quasi-Second Basemen: Neifi Perez, Todd Walker, Jose Macias, Enrique Wilson, Ronnie Cedeno, Mike Fontenot, Ryan Theriot and Nomar Garciaparra http://www.baseball-almanac.com/teamstats/ros...

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  • Cubster 2 days 14 hours ago (view)

    Lefty Matz to Cardinals. 4/44. 

     

  • Arizona Phil 3 days 19 min ago (view)

    With the CBA expiring on December 1st, MLB owners and the MLBPA have jointly agreed to move the contract tender date up from Thursday December 2nd to Tuesday November 30th (that's a week from today). 

    Then (presumably) the lock-out will start the next day (Wednesday). 

     

  • Arizona Phil 3 days 2 hours ago (view)

    Not that TJS is ever necessarily a good thing, but taking a year off from catching could give Miguel Amaya a chance to work on his hitting.

    His glove & arm were probably a year ahead of his bat coming into 2021, so once he gets going again hopefully he will be able to spend a significant part of his rehab working in the cages. 

    Also, although he won't be able to throw for a while, he should be able to work on his receiving during the summer, once he is cleared to resume non-throwing baseball activities.  

     

  • Arizona Phil 3 days 2 hours ago (view)

    CUBSTER: Unless you consider Erick Castillo and Tyler Payne as legit contenders to be the Cubs back-up catcher in 2022, the Cubs have no catcher who is projected to eventually play in MLB anywhere near MLB ready.

     

  • Cubster 3 days 3 hours ago (view)

    With Amaya's 2022 year as a catcher essentially an non-factor and Robinson Chirinos and Austin Romaine again free agents, It looks like any rumors of moving Willson Contreras will go quiet. At least Chirinos could hit (for a backup catcher). 

     

  • Arizona Phil 3 days 3 hours ago (view)

    The Cubs have released LHP Chris Allen, 1B Shendrik Apostel, INF Matt Burch, INF Widimer Joaquin, RHP Garrett Kelly, RHP Marco Prieto,  RHP Jorge Remon, RHP Dawel Rodriguez, and OF Vance Vizcaino, so the off-season Cubs Minor League Domestic Reserve List is now at 169 (21 slots are open).  

    Six of the nine players who were released (Allen, Apostel, Joaquin, Kelly, Remon, and Vizcaino) were Rule 5 Draft-eligible, and all six had been left off the Iowa Reserve List when rosters were filed last Friday. 

     

  • Cubster 3 days 3 hours ago (view)

    sorry, posted in other thread.

     

  • Arizona Phil 3 days 4 hours ago (view)

    Also, Justin Steele gets a 4th minor league option in 2022 (must be used in 2022). 

     

  • Arizona Phil 3 days 4 hours ago (view)

    W-RAT: Of all the TJS rehab types, a catcher TJS rehab is probably most similar to a pitcher's because of the laser pinpoint rifle throws a catcher needs to make to 2nd base.

    So I would expect Amaya will be able to DH by mid-season (hitting shouldn't be a problem by then), and then (hopefully) be able to throw normally in games (as a catcher) at post-season Instructs and then maybe in the AFL, with 2023 Spring Training being when he should be 100%. 

     

  • Arizona Phil 3 days 5 hours ago (view)

    TIM: Yes, except a position player only gets a maximum of 20 days on a minor league injury rehab assignment, so the 30 extra days allowed for a position player rehabbing from TJS would mean a maximum of 50 days, whereas it would be a maximum of 60 days for a pitcher (the original 30 days that pitchers get plus the additional 30 days in the form of three 10-day increments). And this also only applies to players on an MLB IL. 

     

  • Arizona Phil 3 days 5 hours ago (view)

    DSJ: Exactly. Even though he was just acquired in a trade, the Cubs still might opt to non-tender Ramirez on 12/2, that is, as long as he goes along with the plan. I doubt that the Cubs would non-tender him if he declines (in advance) to sign a 2022 minor league contract.  

     

  • crunch 3 days 7 hours ago (view)

    well...that's one hell of a forearm strain.

     

  • tim815 3 days 8 hours ago (view)

    Arizona Phil. Would Amaya, as a catcher, be eligible for the TJS exemption?

     

  • crunch 3 days 9 hours ago (view)

    w.franco (rays) extend 11y/185m

    not bad for a guy with 1/10th of a season service time.

     

  • Wrigley Rat 3 days 9 hours ago (view)

    Miguel Amaya to have Tommy John surgery. Will likely miss most of next season. (I speculate that he could maybe DH a bit in the second half and throw towards August.)

     

  • Dolorous Jon Lester 3 days 14 hours ago (view)

    When you add in the arb-eligibility, that's gotta make Ramirez a real contender for Hermosillo's "non-tender poster boy" title