Cardinals @ Cubs: Lynn vs Quintana (Game 149)

STL (77-71): RHP Lance Lynn (11-7, 3.01) 
CHC (82-66): LHP José Quintana (10-11, 4.25) 
First pitch: 1:20pmCST

Quintana took his turn beating the Mets on Tuesday, giving up 2 ER in 7 innings. He gave up 3 ER in 6 innings to win against St. Louis in July at Wrigley. Overall, they are 12-42 (.286) against him. Fowler is 4-10.

Lynn had a win against the Reds his last time out (5 IP, 3 ER, 3 K, 0 BB). He’s 0-0 with a 3.38 in two games against the Cubs this season. For their careers, the Cubs are 23-98 (.235) against him. Rizzo is 11-32 with 2 HR.

After a day off, it’s Lester (11-7) against Snell (3-6) and the Rays in Tampa on Tuesday at 6:10pmCST, for a quick two day series. 

Go Cubs! 


skies are getting rather grey at game start. hopefully it'll pass over without delay.

Marlins facing Brewers. Two outs, two on, one in, pitcher up. Walk the pitcher. 7 more runs score. Still not out of the inning.

Q goes from one of his best starts as a cub to "oh yeah, it's cubs Q" from the 5th to the 6th. sigh.

Leave it to Dexter to breathe life into the Cardinals. Dang.

only his 2nd HR from the right side on the season.

Quintana shouldn't have needed to pitch to Fowler in the 6th. Essentially 2 base error on Schwarber to start the inning. Bad jump and bad route. Q (and Cubs) were able to work around Bryant error in 4th, couldn't do it for the second time in the 6th. Best start I've seen him have since I didn't catch his first one as a Cub against BAL.

Q has been the Cubs' best starter this year on a per-innings basis, and it's not even close.

that bar is not set very high. hendricks is pretty much the only starter that's been close to consistently good (after his first 3 starts of the season, anyway) and like Q he would be on pace for 30HR-ish given up over a full season of work with the cubs. arrieta's straightened up a bit lately...well, until he got injured.

cubs take the lead! heyward's having a game, finally.

strop and dung bringing some quality-outcome drama to the late inning relief work.

Pedro Strop is so lucky. The last guy I would want to see pitching in a tied game.

w.davis up in the pen...first 3-day-in-a-row appearance since early may. he threw 41 pitches in his may 3-peat appearance. he's got 43 over the last 2 days. why he was throwing 25 over 1.1ip in a game with a 6 run lead a couple days ago is up for debate.

He "needed the work", LOL. Maddon is so smart.

he got it done! woo. 14 pitches. cubs sweeeeeeeeep.

Great win and sweep -- nice job of hitting by Javy and JHey in the 7th. A few more head-scratchers from Maddon in the 7th: letting Schwarber face a lefty, but pinch-hitting for the red-hot Almora against a righty? Then, pulling LaStella back to pinch hit Caratini? Didn't really get either of those moves. But, Joe continues to put up impressive post-AS records every year.

I was OK with his use of Davis in Game 1. Up 8-2, but Grimm had put 2 on and is Grimm, Joe had already used Wilson, CJ and Strop (because of the Lackey meltdown), Monty and Duensing had both pitched 2 innings the day before, Rondon (and Koji) are hurt, and this was a huge game. Don't want Grimm to let things get out of hand, Pena had thrown a lot over the past several days and it's not a spot to bring in Maples. So, unless you trust Grimm in that situation (I don't), Davis was really the only option. And, he hadn't pitched in 4 days.

I saw it as a dry run for how Joe expects or hopes or will be forced to use Davis in back-to-back-to-back games in October. Ran no risk of not having Davis available today. Given the opportunity Joe might try to do it one more time if circumstances come up just right.

So I think the Cubs magic number is 10... please anyone correct me if I'm wrong.

10 for Milwaukee, 8 for the Birds. On track to hopefully clinch in St. Louis, which of course would be awesome. Also of note: if the Cubs merely split each of the series on the upcoming road trip, they're guaranteed a 163rd game even if they somehow got swept by the Reds on the final weekend. And since that won't happen, all we need from the Cubs is to simply split the MIL and STL road series, and the Cubs will be the champs. It would be the first time the Cubs have played postseason ball in three consecutive seasons since the 1906-08 Cubs won three straight pennants. They would have won five straight, but in 1909 they finished 2nd despite winning 104 games (!) Sure could have used a wildcard then........

What a disappointment 1909 was.

i remember being in the sanitarium recovering from consumption when i got message over telegraph that also-ran frank chance couldn't muster the gumption to motivate his team to victory. fred clarke was twice the man and he showed it. bully for him.

Early 20th century trolling. Ha!

AZ Phil, I hope your prediction is right that the Cubbies pick up another bullpen arm for the last couple of weeks.

HAGSAG: If he has cleared Trade Waivers (and only the MLB office and the 30 MLB clubs know for sure who has cleared Trade Waivers), one RP to keep an eye on is SF closer Sam Dyson. He is an extreme ground ball pitcher who has filled-in very well for Mark Melancon, and he is arbitration eligible post-2017 (he was a "super two" post-2016) but is  under club control through 2020. 

The Giants have the #1 waiver claim priority right now, but the Phillies could catch them by Wednesday. So (let's say) if the Cubs placed Pierce Johnson on Trade Waivers on Thursday and he was claimed by SF on Saturday, the Cubs and Giants would have until 1:30 PM (Eastern) tomorrow (Monday) to make a deal, or else the Cubs could either let the claim stand and the Giants would get him for the $50,000 waiver price, or the Cubs could pull him back off Trade Waivers and then place him on Outright Assignment Waivers at 2 PM (Eastern) tomorrow.

The Giants could then just bide their time and put in a claim on Johnson after he is placed on Outright Assignment Waivers, too, but there is a chance the Phillies could catch them for #1 waiver claim priority by Wednesday and win the Outright Assignmernt Waiver claim. 

So would SF be willing to insure not losing Pierce Johnson (presuming they value him) enough to give up an MLB player for him?

If the Cubs are able to trade Pierce Johnson, it would have to happen no later than 2 PM Eastern tomorrow. Otherwise he would have to be placed on Outright Assignment Waivers (which are irrevocable) and either be claimed off waivers (or outrighted to the minors if he is not claimed) by Wednesday in order to meet the seven day DFA limit.

Of course it's also possible that Pierce Johnson has already been placed on Outright Assignment Waivers, in which case he will almost certainly be claimed by another MLB club by the time his 47-hour "waiver ride" has concluded. 

There is also a chance the Cubs will acquire some other MLB reliever within the next week (before all Trade Waivers secured in August and September expire at noon on 9/25) independent of the Pierce Johnson DFA. I would look to Baltimore and Tampa Bay (in particular), since they both have just recently fallen out of legit Wild Card contention, and they may be more-willing to move a reliever now who they were not wiling to move earlier. 

Again, the key is which relievers have already cleared Trade Waivers, because any reliever put on Trade Waivers right now (or within the last few days) will be claimed by MIL, STL, and./or COL to keep the Cubs from getting him. 

I think the Cubbies will add somebody. Phil has this shit figured out!

I'm trying to figure what "and one" piece is worth the gamble for the Giants to send Johnson for Dyson.

BEARS. How many years have we been suffering with this here? Since 2011? This will be 6 straight years since Chris Conte blew coverage to let the Packers beat our ass in a home NFC Championship game. All of you who complained about Cutler (and I have too) this guy is WORSE. Looking right into double coverage and throwing into it. Slow as a sloth. Eyeing receivers from the snap. Short arms throws. ugh. Half the team is injured so Fox will get another pass in 2017. Well - the Cubs had hope. With a top 5 draft pick again, they should have some momentum in 2018.

@E-Man- I'm ok with them losing and getting another very high draft pick this year. As long as they are cautious with Trubisky and don't screw him up or risk injury with him somehow... There are some things to like about our team, but not enough to celebrate our future yet.

Wrong. Fox won't make it to December.

E-Man: Fully agree that Glennon should not be a starting NFL QB, for all the reasons you list. Also -- the Bucs know him well, know that he can't throw deep, so they jammed everybody up to the line of scrimmage and stuffed the run game -- Bears ran 16 times for 20 yards. I wonder if you are getting your history mixed up, though. I recall the Conte mistake against GB was Trestman's first year, and cost them a playoff spot. They did lose to GB in the NFC Championship game at home in 2011 (that was the game Cutler got hurt and didn't come out for the 2nd half), but I don't remember a big Conte screw-up in that game. Quite possible, but my lasting memory was the last game in 2013. Soldier Field could be half-full for December games.

Loved the Duensing reaction after getting the K on Carpenter! He has been so good this year -- nice for him to have a pumped-up moment.

Duensing has been a real steady dude since April. Need to get him re-signed.

Anyone notice the Rangers released Tyson Ross. Looks like he was a land mine they fortunately avoided.

Never understood the fascination. Ross is a nice guy, but wasn't thaaaaaaat good of a pitcher when he had all his ribs. If he'd take $350 K to pitch in Iowa in 2018, I'm interested.

Duensing's gonna get paid. 2 or 3 years with a nice amount per. I'd be more interested at Zach Duke, or somesuch, at Duensing money from last off-season.

FA Pitching Yeah, as I mentioned a couple threads ago, the FA starter market sucks horribly. Jake is gonna get the equivalent of the GDP of Aruba. It would be cool if they get another Cahill type, or if Maples can make the squad, that would help. I could dig Zach Duke too Tim.

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  • jdrnym 17 min 17 sec ago (view)

    Brad Brach signs with the Mets for $850K but the Cubs are paying $500K, per Ken Rosenthal.


  • crunch 44 min 31 sec ago (view)

    Yeah, I've made myself familiar with a lot of the changes, but AZP's posts have both added more information and cleared up stuff I didn't fully grasp.  I appreciate the hell out of it.  Thanks Phil, thanks TCR.


  • bradsbeard 2 hours 26 min ago (view)

    Looks like Savant has his breaking pitch classified as a curve while Fangraphs calls it a slider. Suppose by ST he could have made everything over in the pitching lab, so who knows!


  • Arizona Phil 2 hours 43 min ago (view)

    Again, none of these rules (including the one that requires a pitcher to face a minimum of three batters or else record the final out of the inning) have been officially approved.  

    I think one possible caveat that might be added to the three-batter minimum rule would be that the pitcher can be replaced prior to facing three batters or recording the final out of the inning if the other team puts up a pinch-hitter. 


  • Arizona Phil 2 hours 47 min ago (view)

    Ptchers would also be treated differently under the new rules as far as the Injured list and Optional Assignment to the minors is concerned, with pitchers having to spend at least 15 days (up from 10 days) on the Injured List before being eligible to be reinstated and at least 15 days (up from 10 days) on Optional Assignment before being eligible to be recalled (inless the pitcher is being recalled to replace a pitcher on the 26-man roster who has been placed on an MLB inactive list).  


  • Arizona Phil 2 hours 47 min ago (view)

    SONICWIND: As the rule is proposed, prior to the start of each MLB regular season a club must designate all players on its Opening Day 26-man roster as either a "pitcher" or a "position player." A maximum of 13 can be designated as pitchers (14 pitchers max when rosters expand from 26 to 28 beginning on 9/1). 

    For players who come up during the season, the club must designate the player as either a pitcher or a position player when the player is placed on the MLB active list roster. 


  • Arizona Phil 3 hours 21 sec ago (view)

    BRADSBEARD: Fangraphs shows the CT as his primary pitch in 2018 with the SL & FB (and an occasional CH) as his secondary pitches, with no CV at all. I guess I'll find out for sure in Spring Training. 


  • Sonicwind75 4 hours 16 min ago (view)

    AZ Phil, thank you as always for the detailed information.  How is the "cannot be a pitcher" part of the rule to be enforced?  With a few two way players and the increasing amount of mop up innings being handled by position players it seems like there could be a gray area there.  What is preventing a team from stashing an athletic relief pitcher as a "5th outfielder" that could be a pinch runner and play a passable OF when needed but could also provide them with extra relief pitcher.  Anytime I hear of a new rule I always think of how Bill Billichek would circumvent it t


  • bradsbeard 4 hours 17 min ago (view)

    AZ Phil, looking around Baseball Savant, it looks like Winkler now primarily throws a low 90s cutter, a 4-seamer that he throws a little harder (but is less effective), a curve and a sinker. The slider and change haven't been a major part of his repertoir the last two years. The cutter has been really effective the last two years but it looks like he lost command/effectiveness of his 4-seemer and curve last year For whatever reason  


  • bradsbeard 7 hours 36 min ago (view)

    They just signed this guy:


  • Hagsag 8 hours 53 min ago (view)

    There seems to be a lot of player movement so far. Too bad the Cubs aren't involved.


  • Arizona Phil 1 day 51 min ago (view)

    Beginning in 2019, a club must wait a minimum of seven days before it can place a player who was claimed off Outtright Assignment Waivers during the off-season back onto waivers, so because he was claimed off waivers on Wednesday 11/27, yesterday (Wednesday 12/4) was the first day the Cubs could place LHRP C. D. Pelham back onto Outright Assignment Waivers, and so tomorrow (Friday 12/6) is the first day the Cubs can send Pelham outright to the minors (if he was placed back onto waivers yesterday).


  • Arizona Phil 1 day 21 hours ago (view)

    A Competitive Balance draft slot can be traded only during a period of time starting on December 2nd and extending up until two hours prior to the MLB First-Year Player Draft (MLB Rule 4 Draft), so don't be surpised if these draft picks are traded during the off-season.

    Keep in mind that the slot cannot be traded for cash unless it is a financial adjustment made to offset the salary of one or more of the players involved in the trade.


  • Arizona Phil 1 day 21 hours ago (view)

    The active list roster limit changes scheduled to go in effect in 2020 have not yet been officially approved. Same goes for the three-batter minimum (or else record the third out in the inning) for relief pitchers. 


  • Arizona Phil 1 day 21 hours ago (view)

    And then the active list roster limit will expand from 26 to 28 on September 1st (max 14 pitchers in September). 


  • Arizona Phil 1 day 21 hours ago (view)

    The "26th man" who was added for doubleheaders will now be the "27th man" and he can be a pitcher.