Cubs 2018 Rule 5 Draft & Minor League Free-Agent Watch List
As things stand right now...
17 Cubs minor leaguers are eligible to be MLB Rule 55 minor league free-agents (6YFA) at 5 PM Eastern on the 5th day following the final game of the 2018 World Series (Friday 11/2), and 70 Cubs minor leaguers (including seven who were eligible to be minor league free-agents but who signed 2019 minor league successor contracts) are eligible for selection in the December 2018 Rule 5 Draft.
So the Cubs have until five days after the final game of the World Series to either sign a post-2018 Rule 55 minor league free-agent to a 2019 minor league successor contract or add the player to their MLB 40-man roster, otherwise the player will automatically be declared a free-agent.
Then the Cubs must decide by November 20th which 2018 Rule 5 Draft-eligible players (including any player eligible to be a free-agent who has signed a 2019 minor league successor contract) to add their MLB 40-man roster (to keep the player from being eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft).
The Cubs also must decide by November 20th whether to place a 2018 Rule 5 Draft-eligible minor league player who is not added to the MLB 40-man roster on 11/20 on their AAA Iowa reserve list or on the reserve list of an affiliate of a lower classification. At most 38 of the 2018 Rule 5 Draft-eligible Cubs minor leaguers can be placed on the AAA Iowa Reserve List on 11/20. However, although the AAA Reserve List limit is 38, probably more like 32 or 33 of the Rule 5 Draft-eligible players will actually be placed on the AAA Iowa reserve list on 11/20, because slots need to be left open for players the Cubs might want to select in the AAA Phase of the Rule 5 Draft, as well as for free-agents signed to minor league contracts or players outrighted to the minors after 11/20 but prior to the Rule 5 Draft. (Any Rule 5 Draft-eligible player who signs a 2019 minor league contract prior to the Rule 5 Draft will be eligible for selection). Any 2018 Rule 5 Draft-eligible Cubs minor leaguer who is not placed on the AAA Iowa Reserve List on 11/20 will be eligible for selection in the AAA Phase of the Rule 5 Draft.
Here are some of the more-noteworthy Cubs minor leaguers who are either eligible to be a minor league free-agent post-2018 or eligible for selection in the 2018 Rule 5 Draft...
GROUP 1 (Eligible to be Minor League FA post-2018):
"ON THE BUBBLE" TO BE ADDED TO 40 IF HE DECLINES MINOR LEAGUE SUCCESSOR CONTRACT:
1. Kyle Ryan, LHP - SWING
WILL LIKELY BE OFFERED MINOR LEAGUE SUCCESSOR CONTRACT:
2. Terrance Gore, OF
3. Jeffrey Baez, OF
4. Alberto Baldonado, LHRP
5. Cory Mazzoni, RHRP
6. Mike Freeman, INF
7. Bijan Rademacher, OF
8. Daury Torrez, RHP - SWING
9. Corey Black, RHRP (February 2017 TJS)
10. Jose Paulino, LHP - SWING
11. Trey Martin, OF
12. Ryan Court, INF
13. Stephen Bruno, INF
14. Wynton Bernard, OF
15. Jose Rosario, RHRP
NOT LIKELY TO BE OFFERED MINOR LEAGUE SUCCESSOR CONTRACT:
16. Chris Coghlan, OF-IF
17. Casey Coleman, RHP - SWING
NOTE: Of the minor league players eligible for free-agency after the World Series, Kyle Ryan is the one most-likely to be added to the Cubs MLB 40-man roster (as happened with RHRP Jose Rosario post-2016 and RHRP Matt Carasiti post-2017)... Jeffrey Baez is not just a potential post-2018 minor league free-agent, he is a legitimate prospect (and if he is not necessarily Top 30 prospects right now, he does have upside with the potential to eventually reach MLB), so the Cubs might want to think twice before letting him just walk away... Same goes for Erick Leal (the Cubs July Minor League Pitcher of the Month) and one-time top Mariners pitchers prospect Danny Hultzen... Getting a player to agree to sign a 2019 minor league successor contract is possible (Daury Torrez, James Puglisse, and Carlos Penalver signed one post-2017), but the player doesn't have to sign it, and even if the player does agree to sign a successor contract, he then becomes Rule 5 Draft eligible and the Cubs could lose the player that way, too, albeit with a $100,000 profit. (RHRP Pedro Araujo was eligible to be a minor league 6YFA post-2017, but he signed a 2018 minor league successor contract with the Cubs in September and was given an opportunity to pitch in the Arizona Fall League, where he caught the eye of the Baltimore Orioles, who then poached him in the Major League Phase of the Rule 5 Draft after the Cubs left him unprotected).
GROUP 2 (Eligible for selection in 2018 Rule 5 Draft)
"ON THE BUBBLE" TO BE ADDED TO THE 40 BY 11/20:
1. Justin Steele, LHSP (pitching in AFL)
2. Trevor Clifton, RHSP
3. P. J. Higgins, C-INF (playing in AFL)
4. Jason Vosler, 3B-1B
5. Jhonny Pereda, C (playing in AFL)
6. Erick Leal, RHSP (pitching in AFL)
LONG-SHOT TO BE ADDED TO THE 40 BY 11/20:
7. Ian Rice, C-1B
8. Erling Moreno, RHSP
9. Manuel Rondon, LHP - SWING (pitching in AFL)
UNLIKELY TO BE ADDED TO 40 BUT COULD RECEIVE RULE 5 DRAFT CONSIDERATION:
10. Charcer Burks, OF
11. Jacob Hannemann, OF
12. Chesny Young, IF-OF
13. Craig Brooks, RHRP
14. Brad Markey, RHP - SWING
15. Zach Hedges, RHP - SWING
NOTE: If it's like 2017, the Cubs will add maybe three of these players to their MLB 40-man roster on 11/20, but it's also possible that two, one, or even NONE of these players will be added to the 40 post-2018. The bottom line is, this group is VERY fluid, very much subject to change. All it would take to go to the top of the list would be for one of the pitchers or position players to have a "break out" and/or an All-Star level AFL performance (like David Bote did in 2017). But none of the players listed as "on the bubble to be added to the 40 on 11/20" are "locks" or even "virtual locks" to get added to the 40 post-2018.
1B Efren Navarro, C Chris Gimenez, RHRP Anthony Bass, RHRP Justin Hancock, C-1B Taylor Davis, OF Terrance Gore, LHP Jaime Garcia, RHRP Allen Webster, and INF Mike Freeman (all eligible to be minor league free-agents post-2018) were added to the Cubs MLB 40-man roster during the course of the 2018 season, although Navarro, Gimenez, and Bass were subsequently outrighted back to AAA (and then Navarro was eventually released so that he could sign with an NPB club, Gimenez was traded to the Minnesota Twins, and Bass elected to be a free-agent after the conclusion of the MLB regular season). Fact is, it is not unusual for veteran players who are added to the MLB 40-man roster during the course of the season to be removed from the 40 when they are no longer of use to the club. For example, C-1B Taylor Davis, INF Mike Freeman, RHP Seth Frankoff, and LHRP Zac Rosscup (all four eligible to be Rule 55 minor league 6YFA post-2017) were added to the 40 during the course of the 2017 season, although none of the four were retained for 2018 (Rosscup was traded to the Colorado Rockies in June 2017, Frankoff was claimed off waivers by the Seatle Mariners in September 2017, Freeman was sent outright to AAA Iowa in November 2017, and T. Davis was non-tendered on 12/1, although both Freeman and T. Davis eventually agreed to sign 2019 minor league contracts with the Cubs that included an NRI to Spring Training).
Besides adding players who are eligible to be minor league free-agents to the 40 during the MLB regular season, a player eligible to be a Rule 55 minor league free-agent (second-contract or 6YFA) is sometimes added to the club's MLB 40-man roster post-World Series just to keep the player from becoming a minor league free-agent, especially if the player declines to sign a minor league successor contract. That's what happened last year, when the Cubs added RHRP Matt Carasiti (eligible to be a Rule 55 second-contract minor league FA post-2017) to the 40 after the 2017 World Series to keep him from walking away as a free-agent, although he was released about a month later so that he could pursue an opportunity to pitch for the NPB Tokyo Yakult Swallows in Japan. (The Cubs received a substantial cash payment from the Swallows as the release fee).
But even if the player does agree to sign a successor contract, the club might choose to add the player to the MLB 40-man roster because the club doesn't want to risk losing the player in the Rule 5 Draft. In fact this happened in 2016, when LHRP Jack Leathersich (who was eligible to be a Rule 55 second-contract minor league FA post-2016) signed a 2017 minor league successor contract prior to the conclusion of the World Series, only to be added to the Cubs MLB 40-man roster on 11/18 so that he would not be eligible for selection in the December 2016 Rule 5 Draft.
The bottom line is, if a player eligible to be an MLB Rule 55 minor league free-agent (either 6YFA or second-contract FA) is not added to an MLB 40-man roster or does not sign a minor league successor contract by 5 PM Eastern on the 5th day after the final game of the World Series, the player will be automatically declared a free-agent and the player's former club receives no compensation if the player signs elsewhere. So minor leaguers like Jeffrey Baez and Erick Leal (as well as the other players eligible to be a minor league FA post-2018) have leverage other Cubs minor leaguers do not have.
As far as players eligible for selection in the December 2018 Rule 5 Draft are concerned, the Cubs have added only one player (RHRP James Norwood) to the 40 during the course of the 2018 MLB regular season who would have been eligible for selection. By comparison, during the course of the 2017 MLB regular season the Cubs added four players to the 40 (RHP Dylan Floro, RHRP Dillon Maples, RHSP Jen-Ho Tseng, and OF Mark Zagunis) who would have been eligible for selection in the December 2017 Rule 5 Draft, although Floro was subsequently claimed off waivers by the Los Angeles Dodgers. NOTE: IF-OF Ian Happ was also added to the Cubs MLB 40-man roster during the 2017 season, but he would not have been eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft until post-2018.
The Cubs then added three more post-2017 Rule 5 Draft-eligibles (RHSP Adbert Alzolay, INF David Bote, and RHSP Oscar de la Cruz) to the 40 on 11/20 of last year, Bote after hitting a robust 333/395/536 for the Mesa Solar Sox in the post-season Arizona Fall League. It's not unusual for the Cubs to assign a Rule 5 Draft-eligible player to the Arizona Fall League, as the AFL is often used as a "proving ground" for pitchers and position-players who are under consideration for promotion to an MLB 40-man roster. (Players who are eligible to be minor league free-agents after the World Series cannot be assigned to the AFL unless the player has either been added to an MLB 40-man roster or has agreed to a minor league successor contract).
RULE 5 DRAFT
The MLB Rule 5 Draft is held on the 2nd Thursday in December and is presently the last order of business at the MLB WINTER MEETINGS. It is a mechanism that allows MLB clubs to select (draft) players off minor league reserve lists.
There is a "Major League Phase" where an MLB club can select Rule 5 Draft-eligible players off the reserve lists of minor league clubs (any minor league classification) for $100,000 ("Major League Phase" Rule 5 Draft price increased from $50,000 to $100,000 beginning with the December 2016 draft), and a "AAA Phase" where a club's AAA minor league affiliate can select Rule 5 Draft-eligible players off the reserve lists of minor league clubs of a lower classification (below AAA) for $24,000 (Rule 5 "AAA Phase" draft price increased from $12,000 to $24,000 beginning with the December 2016 draft).
NOTE: Effective December 2016, the "AA Phase" (where a club's AA minor league affiliate could select Rule 5 Draft-eligible players off the reserve lists of minor league clubs of a classification below AA for $4,000) has been eliminated.
There is no limit on the number of rounds in each phase (there could be one, there could be three, there could be five or more). As long as at least one club is still selecting players, the phase will continue, but as soon as all 30 teams have a full reserve list (so that clubs can no longer make selections) or have passed, the phase is over.
There is no limit on the number of Rule 5 Draft-eligible players any one organization can lose in a Rule 5 Draft.
RULE 5 DRAFT ELIGIBILITY
1. A minor league player who was 18 or younger on the June 5th immediately prior to signing his first contract is eligible for selection starting with the 5th Rule 5 Draft following his first qualified season, and a minor league player who was 19 years or older on the June 5th immediately prior to signing his first contract becomes eligible for selection starting with the 4th Rule 5 Draft following his first qualified season.
2. If a player signs his first contract after the conclusion of the season of the MLB or minor league club to which he is first assigned (even if he signs prior to the Rule 5 Draft), the next season is considered to be the player's "first qualified season" for Rule 5 eligibility purposes. (Depending on the minor league, the conclusion of a minor league club's season could be as early as the first week of August, or as late as the second week of September).
3. A player eligible to be an MLB Rule 55 minor league free-agent who signs a minor league successor contract prior to being declared a free-agent and a free-agent with prior MLB and/or minor league service who signs a minor league contract prior to the Rule 5 Draft is eligible for selection if the player was 18 or younger on the June 5th immediately prior to signing his first contract and it is at least the 5th Rule 5 Draft since he signed his first contract, or the player was 19 years or older on the June 5th immediately prior to signing his first contract and it is at least the 4th Rule 5 Draft since he signed his first contract.
4. Any player on a minor league reserve list who has either been released or had his contract voided and then re-signs with the same MLB organization within one year is eligible for selection.
5. Any player on a minor league reserve list who has been outrighted to the minors previously in his career is eligible for selection.
6. A player on the Voluntary Retired List, Disqualified List, or Ineligible List is not eligible for selection.
7. An MLB club can designate any player on a minor league reserve list "eligible for selection" in the Rule 5 Draft even if the player would not normally be eligible, but once a player is designated "eligible for selection," he remains eligible for selection in all subsequent Rule 5 drafts. NOTE: A club might do this if the club is planning to release the player during the off-season.
8. A minor league player-manager who would be eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft if he was only a player can be selected, but if he is selected, the player-manager can reject the selection and retire. He has 30 days to decide. If he rejects the selection and opts to retire as a player, the player-manager is ineligible to be reinstated as a player for a minimum of one year.
Rule 5 Draft-eligible players most-likely to be on AAA Iowa Reserve List on 11/20 are in bold/italics/underlined (if player not added to MLB 40-man roster by 11/20)
CUBS MINOR LEAGUERS ELIGIBLE FOR SELECTION IN 2018 RULE 5 DRAFT (last updated 11-2-2018):
Anderson Acevedo, RHP (Second-Contract Player signed for 2019)
Tyler Alamo, C-1B
Gioskar Amaya, INF (signed 2019 minor league successor contract)
Luis Aquino, RHP (Second-Contract Player signed for 2019)
Luis Ayala, OF
Yasiel Balaguert, 1B-OF (signed 2019 minor league successor contract)
Casey Bloomquist, RHP
Andres Bonalde, LHP
Craig Brooks, RHP
James Buckelew, LHP (Second-Contract Player signed for 2019)
Charcer Burks, OF
Roberto Caro, OF (signed 2019 minor league successor contract)
Eric Castillo, C (signed 2019 minor league successor contract)
Trevor Clifton, RHP
Alfredo Colorado, RHP
Yan de la Cruz, RHP (Second-Contract Player signed for 2019)
Enrique de los Rios, RHP
Scott Effross, RHP
Wander Feliz, RHP
Riger Fernandez, LHP
Emilio Ferrebus, RHP
Wladimir Galindo, INF
Hector Alonso Garcia, RHP
Robel Garcia, INF (Second-Contract Player free-agent signed for 2019)
David Garner, RHP (on AAA Iowa RESTRICTED LIST)
Dalton Geekie, RHP (Second-Contract Player signed for 2019)
Yapson Gomez, LHP
Eric Gonzalez, C
Jose Alejandro Gonzalez, RHP (ex-OF)
Jacob Hannemann, OF (Article XX-D player)
Zach Hedges, RHP
P. J. Higgins, C
Jesse Hodges, INF
Danny Hultzen, LHP (signed 2019 minor league successor contract)
Ryan Kellogg, LHP
Ryan Lawlor, LHP (Second-Contract player signed for 2019)
Erick Leal, RHP (signed 2019 minor league successor contract)
Vimael Machin, INF
Brad Markey, RHP
Junior Marte, RHP
Marcus Mastrobuoni, C
Ivan Medina, RHP
M. T. Minacci, RHP
Jordan Minch, LHP
Kevonte Mitchell, OF
Erling Moreno, RHP
Preston Morrison, RHP
Rafael Narea, INF
Richard Nunez, C
Pablo Ochoa, LHP
Eugenio Palma, LHP
Tyler Payne, C
Henrry Pedra, INF
Yeiler Peguero, INF
Jhonny Pereda, C
Chris Pieters, OF-1B (signed 2019 minor league successor contract)
Eury Ramos, RHP
Will Remillard, C
Ruben Reyes, LHP (ex-OF)
Ian Rice, C
Andry Rondon, RHP
Manuel Rondon, LHP
Justin Steele, LHP
Jake Stinnett, RHP
Franklin Tineo, INF
Sucre Valdez, RHP
Jason Vosler, INF
Ryan Williams, RHP
Chesny Young, INF
Rob Zastryzny, LHP (Article XX-D player)
NOTE: RHP Aneuris Rosario was eligible for selection in the 2018 Rule 5 Draft before being placed on the Disqualified List on 4/24, and as long as he remains on the Disqualified List he will not be eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft.
Additionally, any player eligible to be an MLB Article XIX-A minor league free-agent, an MLB Article XX-D minor league free-agent, or an MLB Rule 55 minor league free-agent post-2018 who signs a 2019 minor league contract or a 2019 minor league successor contract prior to the December 2018 Rule 5 Draft will be eligible for selection in the December 2018 Rule 5 Draft if the player was 18 or younger on the June 5th immediately prior to signing his first contract and it is at least the 5th Rule 5 Draft following his first qualified season, and a minor league player who was 19 years or older on the June 5th immediately prior to signing his first contract becomes eligible for selection starting with the 4th Rule 5 Draft following his first qualified season.
MLB RULE 55 FREE-AGENT POST-2018
SIX-YEAR MINOR LEAGUE FREE-AGENTS:
Jeffrey Baez, OF
Alberto Baldonado, LHP
Wynton Bernard, OF (Article XX-D player)
Corey Black, RHP
Stephen Bruno, INF
Chris Coghlan, OF-INF (Article XIX-A player)
Casey Coleman, RHP (Article XX-D player)
Ryan Court, INF
Mike Freeman, INF (Article XX-D player)
Terrance Gore, OF (Article XX-D player)
Trey Martin, OF
Cory Mazzoni, RHP (Article XX-D player)
Jose Paulino, LHP
Bijan Rademacher, OF
Jose Rosario, RHP
Kyle Ryan, LHP (Article XX-D player)
Daury Torrez, RHP
SECOND CONTRACT MINOR LEAGUE FREE-AGENT:
RULE 5 DRAFT RESTRICTIONS:
1. A minor league player eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft cannot be added to an MLB Reserve List (40-man roster), traded to another organization, or transferred from one minor league reserve list to another within the same organization, starting with the filing of MLB & minor league reserve lists on November 20th (or November 19th if November 20th falls on a Saturday or November 18th if November 20th falls on a Sunday) up through the conclusion of the Rule 5 Draft.
2. A Rule 5 Draft-eligible player cannot be sent outright to the minors beginning at 5 PM (Eastern) on the third day prior to the Rule 5 Draft through the conclusion of the draft.
3. A club must have as many slots open on its MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) prior to the Rule 5 Draft as the number of players it selects in the Major League Phase, and an MLB club's AAA affiliate must have as many slots open on its reserve list prior to the Rule 5 Draft as the number of players the affiliate selects in the AAA Phase.
4. A club can select a player off the reserve list of one of its own minor league affiliates, but if the player is selected in the Major League Phase, the club is bound by the same Rule 5 roster restrictions as if it had selected the player off the reserve list of another club's minor league affiliate. NOTE: This actually happened at least once a number of years ago, after a club inadvertently left one of its top prospects off its MLB Reserve List (40-man roster) when it was submitted to the MLB Commissioner on November 20th.
5. A player eligible for selection in the Rule 5 Draft cannot be "covered up" from selection, either by agreement between two clubs or by effect (such as by concocting a phony injury and placing the player on the disabled list in an attempt to decrease a player's value when the player is not really injured). Also, a player selected in the Major League Phase of the Rule 5 Draft cannot be "hidden" on a disabled list to help the drafting club fulfill Rule 5 roster obligations (such as by leaving the player on the DL after he is healthy enough to play). If the MLB Commissioner believes a club "covered up" a player to avoid losing the player in the Rule Draft or "hid" a selected player on a Disabled List, the offending club or clubs are subject to a penalty (TBD by the MLB Commissioner).
crunch 4 hours 28 min ago (view)
s.souza 1/1m finalized.
could be up to 3m after performance and non-IL (injury list) incentives.
it seems he'll be giving rest to schwarb/heyward vs lefties at a minimum. it will be interesting to see him play OF this spring to see how much distance he can cover (and on back-to-back days).
crunch 6 hours 43 min ago (view)
cubs signing jeremy "smoke 2 joints" jeffress
Arizona Phil 7 hours 49 min ago (view)
Cubs minor leaguers in Mesa are wearing the new Nike jerseys, which look the same as the previous Majestic unis (blue Cubs jersey with red names and numbers outlined in white), except for the Nike "swoosh" insignia on the upper right front of the shirt.
Arizona Phil 8 hours 15 min ago (view)
The "Under Armour Performamce Center" (UAPC) at the Cubs facility in Mesa in now called the "Chicago Cubs Performance Center" (CCPC). All references to Under Armour have disappeared.
Hagsag 16 hours 6 min ago (view)
It's great to start getting reports from the Instructs. Keep them coming Phil!
bradsbeard 22 hours 11 sec ago (view)
Since the deal isn't official, I wonder if the Cubs will wait until camp opens to finalize the deal and then put him on the 60 day IL as soon as it's available (assuming it's a major league deal). That doesn't really make sense in light of their luxury tax maneuvering though. If he's gonna miss a third of the season they'd probably only offer a minor league deal I guess.
Arizona Phil 1 day 1 hour ago (view)
Cory Abbott, Ben Hecht, Ryan Lawlor, and Brailyn Marquez were in a separate group on Field #3, so they may be prepping for NRIs to MLB Spring Training.
Arizona Phil 1 day 1 hour ago (view)
And Max Bain threw (long toss) at Instructs this morning, too.
Arizona Phil 1 day 1 hour ago (view)
I can positively confirm that Jerrick Suiter (1B-OF selected by Cubs from Pirates in Minor League Phase of last month';s Rule 5 Draft) is indeed being converted to a RHP. I saw him throw long-toss this morning at Instructs.
Arizona Phil 1 day 1 hour ago (view)
The Cubs have purchased the contract of LHP Adam Choplick from Southern Maryland (Atlantic League) and he has been assigned to AA Tennessee.
Choplick was the 14th round draft pick of the Texas Rangers out of the U. of Oklahoma in 2015, and he was released by the Rangers at the end of Spring Training 2019 (never got higher than AA).
I saw Choplick throw (long-toss) at Instructs this morning and he is one huge dude (6'9 250+).
crunch 1 day 2 hours ago (view)
the entire cubs offseason has been "wow, this guy was good 2-3 years ago, but didn't play or sucked in recent past."
houston finished using their trash can and the cubs are rooting around in it looking for players.
speaking of...it's taken MLB longer to figure out bryant's service time complaint than the entire astros cheating scandal.
crunch 1 day 3 hours ago (view)
"Chicago Cubs selected the contract of LHP Adam Choplick from Southern Maryland Blue Crabs."
okay. sure. congrats and good luck.
Charlie 1 day 6 hours ago (view)
Good for Nick. Good luck to him and the Reds improving his defense. That park should very much play to his offense.
Interest in Gennett is strange. If you are going to pick up a bench infielder at this point, shouldn't it be someone with SS chops?
crunch 1 day 7 hours ago (view)
nick castellanos to the reds, 4/64m...opt out after 1 year.
meanwhile, on the cubs front...
"Bruce Levine of 670 The Score reports that the Cubs continue to have interest in free agent Scooter Gennett. "
Sonicwind75 1 day 11 hours ago (view)
There seemed to be a least an tacit understanding between ownership and fans during the rebuild that we as fans should support the organization when it was intentionally underspending and tanking. When it was time to be competitive, you know when the greatest core of Cubs players in my lifetime are in their prime, ownership would make the most of that window. That doesn't appear to be the case with the team shedding around $40 million in salary.
crunch 1 day 22 hours ago (view)
in all honesty, the team is spending a healthy amount that i only jokingly complain about...but...it was not just fans talking about the extra perks the new revenue streams and tv contract would open. it was ownership and front office at points in the past bringing it up.